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This prompted us to investigate the group further, which revealed that various stocks are sporting constructive technical formations. Restaurant stocks charts showing strength McDonalds (MCD) has had a wild ride over the last 10 months and now sits at the same price level that it was trading at last April — eleven months ago. MCD isn't the only restaurant stock that's sporting an attractive technical pattern. On the weekly chart, Restaurant Brands International (QSR) looks very similar to MCD, having formed its own inverse-head-and-shoulders formation over the last year. While this is no indication of what could happen now to MCD, YUM and QSR, it shows how breaking through multi-year resistance can attract momentum.
Persons: that's, , Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Brands, Texas
A closer look at the 1-year daily chart of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector (XLY) reveals the formation of a double top pattern. This is great because this allows me to construct a $1 wide put spread and risk as little as $50 to make $50 per winning trade. All I need is for XLY to drop by $1 by expiration date for this trade to double my money. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Nishant, Nishant Pant Locations: XLY
Amazon (AMZN) is set to report earnings this Thursday after the bell with the stock on a roll and expectations high. However, there are signs that the impressive run may be headed for overhead resistance, according to the charts. Further, there are signs within the consumer discretionary sector that recent underperformance compared to the rest of the 'growth trade' may persist. The consumer discretionary space has been showing signs of weakness relative to the other growth/offensive sectors like technology and communications that continue to power ahead. If so, the sub-mega cap companies in consumer discretionary may have their work cut out for them.
Persons: It's, XLY, Gordon, AMZN Organizations: Edge, Netflix Locations: AMZN, TSLA, Tesla
Like many sectors, the consumer discretionary sector has enjoyed a strong year, rallying more than 16% in 2023. Against this backdrop, one sector to watch is consumer discretionary. With this view in mind, I am looking to put on a bearish options trade on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR fund (XLY) , which tracks the performance of the S & P 500 consumer discretionary sector. When selling credit spreads, you bring in a premium when you open the trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Wall Street's, XLY, Nishant Organizations: XLY Locations: Red
Companies in the consumer discretionary spending sector reporting next week include Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) and AutoNation Inc (AN.N). Reuters GraphicsGrowing recession fears over the last year have already prompted many consumer discretionary companies to cut costs to boost margins, which may lead to positive earnings surprises this quarter, Melson said. Part of that expected growth comes from a job market that has remained robust, helping buoy consumer spending, said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group. Meanwhile, U.S. consumer sentiment inched up in April, but households expected inflation to rise over the next 12 months. Sandy Villere, a portfolio manager at Villere & Co, has winnowed his holdings of consumer discretionary stocks in anticipation of a recession later this year.
Stocks accelerated to the downside late in the session as worries resurfaced about how Friday's employment report might influence Fed policy. Depend on the data Powell's testimony Tuesday before a Senate panel and Wednesday before a House panel was lengthy and covered a broad range of issues, including rates, inflation, the debt ceiling and cryptocurrency regulation. That includes the government's February nonfarm payrolls report on Friday and the latest readings on consumer inflation and wholesale inflation next week. Economists estimate that 207,500 nonfarm jobs were created in February — less than half of January's much stronger-than-expected 517,000 additions . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Uncertainty in the consumer sector has created a potential options opportunity for investors in the final weeks of earnings season, according to Goldman Sachs. The average large-cap Consumer Staples stock has moved +/-3.7% on the day of earnings, inline with options implied moves and above the 17-year average of +/-3.2%," the note said. Additionally, Goldman analyzed the components of SPDR's consumer discretionary ETF (XLY) and consumer staples ETF (XLP) and found there are several stocks in both groups whose options are implying unusually low volatility, according to Goldman. "One-month implied volatility on the average XLY stock is only in its 44th percentile relative to the past year, despite upcoming earnings (35th percentile for the XLY ETF). The companies below are scheduled to report earnings before the next monthly options expiration date on March 17 and have options prices that are implying below average volatility.
Stocks have given up much of their year-to-date gains after a furious rebound rally to start 2023. Here are five contrarian investments to make if stocks rally despite a recession. Denise Chisholm, the director of quantitative market strategy at Fidelity Investments, has chosen the latter. If that's the case, Chisholm thinks stocks could enjoy a bear-defying relief rally this year. Investors looking to get exposure to Chisholm's preferred sectors can consider the following exchange-traded funds (ETFs): the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB), and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV).
Shares of movie theater chain AMC (AMC) have soared nearly 65% so far in 2023, and AMC (AMC)’s companion preferred stock (which trades under the ticker APE as a nod to the nickname AMC (AMC) fans have given themselves on social media) has more than doubled. So did investors learn nothing from last year’s market meltdown? I don’t agree with this market rally in meme stocks,” said Erik Ristuben, chief investment strategist with Russell Investments. Another strategist agrees this recent rally for meme stocks and other speculative bets may not end well. If they’re upbeat about spending, that could keep the rally in consumer stocks going.
Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson is telling investors to avoid a popular trade tied to the economy. "Cyclicals probably are more risky now than the growth stocks," the firm's chief U.S. equity strategist and CIO recently told CNBC's " Fast Money ." "The growth stocks — a lot of them had their comeuppance last year with the financial conditions tightening." Cyclical stocks include shares that benefit when the economy is strengthening like retail. "There's this sort of narrative that China is reopening, inflation has peaked, [and] we can look through the valley here and start buying early cyclical stocks," he said.
David Keller, StockCharts.comThe S&P 500 has pulled back from the critical technical resistance level of 4,000, Keller noted. A round number like that is not only seen as a significant milestone for psychological reasons, but it's also a key Fibonacci retracement level, Keller said. The S&P 500 will likely retest the 3,200 level at some point and will be hovering around current levels by the middle of next year, the veteran chartmaster said. It's currently at 24, down from 33.6 when the S&P 500 was at its mid-October lows. The S&P 500 can hit new highs and break the 5,000 mark by late 2023, Keller said, though he doubts a breakthrough will come any earlier than that.
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