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The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.
Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia
One of the best performing stocks in the underperforming energy sector looks ready for another potential up leg, according to the charts. The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) has underperformed the S & P 500 thus far in 2024, but with a year-to-date gain of about 8.5%, it's actually the fifth best sector out of 11. From the closing low in May 2023 to its recent closing high on April 5, it gained a whopping 109%. However, when the stock finally emerged from that condition a year ago, demand resurfaced, and the strong advance commenced. Lastly, even after MPC's recent 20% decline, the stock has drastically outperformed both the XLE Energy ETF and the S & P 500 since the COVID lows.
Persons: it's, haven't, Said, XLE, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Marathon Petroleum, MPC, Marathon Oil, ConocoPhillips, XLE Energy
One AI model that is built to help investors pick winners in the stock market has grown confident in the near-term upside for a mid-sized energy stock. Some of the data sources that feed into the iFi AI model include macroeconomic updates, news articles, fundamental company data and technical trading indicators. The AI model is bullish on more energy stocks than just Marathon, as Southwestern Energy also makes the cut. One potential momentum play from the iFi AI list is Vertiv , whose share price has more than doubled in 2024. The CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March , is CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana.
Persons: Ai, Ron Insana Organizations: Oil, Southwestern Energy, CNBC Locations: Marathon, LSEG, The Ohio
Final Trades: Samsara, Prologis and the XLE
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Samsara, Prologis and the XLEThe Investment Committee give you their top stocks to watch for the second half.
Organizations: Investment
The move higher for energy stocks comes as West Texas Intermediate crude oil approaches the mid-2022 highs of $88.31 per barrel. Theoretically, one can make bullish bets on oil using an ETF, such as the United States Oil Fund (USO) . However, I would caution against using this as an investment vehicle to make a long-term bullish bet on oil. SPR decline As the chart below illustrates, the country's Strategic Petroleum Reserve declined sharply in the lead-up to the 2022 midterm elections – keeping oil prices in check. The total cost of the spread risks just under 4.4% of the current stock price.
Persons: It's, Brent, Biden, Kinder Morgan Organizations: West Texas, United States Oil Fund, USO, country's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Halliburton, Schlumberger, Valero, Marathon Petroleum, Marathon, MPC Locations: Marathon
Energy could be a hot trade this summer, according to Robert Schein, chief investment officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management. That, in turn, would bode well for shares of energy stocks, Schein said. "I think energy could be the story of the summer," Schein told CNBC Pro. But the ETF rallied more than 57% in 2022, even as the S & P 500 tumbled more than 19%. XLE .SPX YTD mountain The XLE vs. the S & P 500 this year Schein said energy has begn to break out after being "left behind."
Persons: Robert Schein, bode, Schein, Hightower Organizations: Wealth Management, CNBC, Energy, Fund, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, LSEG Locations: of Baltimore, The California
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But Jim Smiegel, the CIO at $1.4 trillion SEI, thinks the stocks' run could be over soon. Tesla shares are down 32% since December, while shares of Apple are down 14% over the last few months. Historically, higher interest rates hurt growth stocks with higher valuations. 2 areas to look insteadSmiegel listed two areas of the market that look more attractive to him at the moment: energy and financials.
Persons: , Meta —, Jim Smiegel, Smiegel, There's Organizations: Service, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta, SEI, Business, Federal, CPI, Vanguard
Final Trades: KWEB, XLE, XLU & RIG
  + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: KWEB, XLE, XLU & RIGThe final trades of the day with CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.
Persons: CNBC’s Melissa Lee Organizations: Fast Money
U.S. crude oil futures might be showing signs of a break out after topping $80 this week, though some analysts caution against reading too much into the move. The move higher came after the International Energy Agency forecast a crude supply deficit this year and Ukraine attacked several oil refineries in Russia. U.S. crude performed the same pattern this week, wiping out and closing above last week's intraday high of $80.67. U.S. crude has also held above its 200-day moving average of $78.13 a barrel almost all month, he said. As the market enters a supply deficit this year, Riyadh could start rolling barrels back on the market, Melek said.
Persons: Matt Maley, Miller, Tom Fitzpatrick, R.J, O'Brien, WTI, Brent, Fitzpatrick, Maley, Malley, Bart Melek, Melek, We're, Carter Worth, It's, it's, Worth Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, International Energy Agency, SPDR, Energy, TD Securities, U.S, Worth Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Riyadh, U.S, United States
That's one of 10 investing predictions for the next 10 years by the Trivariate Research market strategist. "We have always said 'we prefer a basket of high-quality US growth equities'" when asked about crypto, Parker said in a note over the weekend. "Missing the appreciation of the asset class is not good, but participating in US growth equities has been more than adequate." "Because it is just a proxy for risk taking, investors can mirror the exposure of a basket of crypto through low quality hyper growth stocks," he added. "This sector checks all the boxes … We think there will be continued consolidation, so owning oil-sensitive energy stocks that are mid-cap likely will prove prudent," he said.
Persons: Adam Parker, That's, Bitcoin, Parker Organizations: Trivariate Research, Metrics, Own U.S, Mining, BHP Group, Microsoft, BHP, Vale, Southern Copper, Marathon Petroleum, Treasury, U.S . Treasury Locations: CRE, New York, San Francisco, Chicago, decarbonization, Freeport, McMoRan, Australia, Rio Tinto, Greece, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal
Final Trade: XLE, SCHW, SAVE, MCD
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trade: XLE, SCHW, SAVE, MCDThe final trades of the day with CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.
Persons: CNBC’s Melissa Lee Organizations: Fast Money
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
DMI (Directional Movement Index): DMI is composed of 3 lines, DI+ (green line), DI- (red line) and ADX (blue line). When the DI- (red line) is above the DI+ (green line), it indicates a downtrend which is what XLE is experiencing at the moment. Note that both DI- and DI+ are changing direction which provides further confirmation that XLE is turning around. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: , XLE Organizations: SPDR Energy, Exxon Mobil, Natural Resources, Valero Locations: oversold, Chevron, XLE
@CL.1 YTD mountain WTI in 2023 Despite all of that sounding quite bleak for energy and oil, I believe there is opportunity in Exxon Mobil . Exxon is the world's largest refiner with a total global oil refining capacity of nearly 5 million barrels per day. The option strategy that I will utilize is a credit spread, better known as a risk reversal. This risk reversal is being used as an aggressive bull trade. Being forced to buy Exxon Mobil lower than where I initially opened the risk reversal is still a better outcome than if I would have simply purchased the stock outright.
Persons: Brian Sullivan, Sully, XOM Organizations: West Texas, Exxon Mobil, Exxon Locations: China
The S & P 500 was expected to see an earnings gain of 11% for the fourth quarter on Oct. 1, and that expectation is now down to 7.8%. "We're seeing larger estimate cuts than average for S & P 500 companies through the first month of the fourth quarter," John Butters at FactSet said. Roughly 60 companies in the S & P 500 have disclosed declines of 10% or more in their earnings expectations in the month of October, according to LSEG. Earnings revisions: Notable declines in airlines and cruise lines Here are some of the S & P 500 companies that have seen earnings estimates decline 10% or more since the start of the fourth quarter, according to LSEG. The markets have sniffed this out: What's next The stock market, of course, does not wait for analysts to cut earnings estimates.
Persons: John Butters, FactSet, Nick Raich, Refiners Valero, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Alec Young Organizations: Boeing, . Airlines, Companies, Cruise Lines American Airlines, Cruise Line, Alaska Air Group, Southwest Airlines, Airlines, Delta, Entertainment Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Fox, MGM Resorts, Ford, Motors, Pfizer, Merck, Petroleum, Phillips, Seagate, Texas, Banks, Capital Markets, Blackstone, Intel, JETS, Energy, Pharmaceuticals
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy stocks come into focus in Q3 as XLE rises 10% in last three monthsCNBC's Pippa Stevens reports on where oil prices fit into the future.
Persons: Pippa Stevens Organizations: Energy
Experts predict oil prices will continue to rise heading into the fourth quarter, driven by tighter supply and production cuts. Despite some profit-taking in the last week of September, crude oil prices have rallied since the summer. That means U.S. crude oil reserves will remain under pressure amid the Saudi production cuts. And questions still remain as to the strength of a resurgence from the Chinese economy and how that will support higher oil prices. Goldman also recently published its list of buy-rated stocks to play higher oil prices, which included Chevron and Baker Hughes .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, Viktor Katona, Katona, Stephen Ellis, Ellis, Ole Hansen, " Hansen, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Goldman, Baker Hughes, Neil Mehta, Mehta Organizations: Brent, West, West Texas, Bank of America, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Morningstar, Saxos Bank, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, ConocoPhillips, XOM Locations: West Texas, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Russia, OPEC, U.S, Cushing , Oklahoma, East, Kuwait, Iraq, Ukraine, Iran
.DXY 1Y mountain The dollar index hit new highs for 2023 in September. "Energy equities haven't really kept up with the energy market rally," she added. The latest iShares outlook highlighted the firm's U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) as a way to play higher oil prices. Other major funds in that category include the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) , the Vanguard Energy Index ETF (VDE) and the Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) . Investors can outsource currency market decisions in the form of managed futures ETFs, which have exposure to currency markets in addition to other asset classes.
Persons: Gargi Chaudhuri, Morgan Stanley, Sasikanth Chilukuru, It's, Chaudhuri, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Andrew Beer, Beer, You've, Anastasia Amoroso, There's, Amoroso Organizations: Texas, BlackRock, iShares, Energy, U.S . Energy, Vanguard Energy, Fidelity MSCI Energy, Wall, U.S ., Invesco DB, Fund, WisdomTree Bloomberg, Investors, Global, Apple, Nvidia Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, DBi, Japan
On Friday's "Ask Halftime," traders answered questions from CNBC Pro subscribers about which stocks and exchange-traded funds to buy, hold or sell right now. NewEdge Wealth's Rob Sechan talks about why right now may not be the best time to enter new positions in Microsoft and Broadcom because he sees more downside to come before they go higher. Bryn Talkington of Requisite Capital Management recommended the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSPG) for exposure to energy names because it is more diversified than the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE ).
Persons: NewEdge, Rob Sechan, Bryn Talkington Organizations: CNBC Pro, Microsoft, Broadcom, Management, Energy
Some believe a tight oil market and resilient U.S. growth will keep energy stocks rising for the rest of 2023. Bullish investors argue that energy stocks are still cheap by historical standards - and far less richly valued than other areas of the market. The energy sector currently trades at a forward price to earnings ratio of 12.2, well below its historical median forward P/E of 15.3, according to LSEG Datastream. Parts of the market appear skeptical energy stocks have much further to run. "That should result in a ... smoother ride for energy stocks than we’ve been accustomed to."
Persons: Bing Guan, LSEG, Charles Lemonides, Baker Hughes, Savita Subramanian, Brent, Bjarne Schieldrop, Rodney Clayton, we’ve, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Exxon, Mobil, REUTERS, Energy, West Texas, Federal, drillers, U.S . Energy, Administration, Global, Citi, Brent, SEB Research, Macquarie, Duff, Phelps Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Beaumont , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China
A bearish head-and-shoulders pattern has formed in the S&P 500, Keller said in a recent interview with Insider. The S&P 500 is in a head-and-shoulders pattern and could soon fall to around 4,100. His early August warning that stocks will slide was correct, though the S&P 500 didn't give up as much of its summer rally as the chart guru predicted. Outside of technology, Keller likes stocks in the utilities and energy sectors — specifically those in the oilfield services industry. The recent rebound of utilities, a defensive stalwart, is another signal that more market downside is likely ahead, Keller said.
Persons: chartmaster David Keller, Keller, StockCharts.com, we've, David Keller, Keller's, he's, it's, Keller didn't Organizations: Labor, Nvidia, Utilities, Energy, VanEck Oil Services
Another is the still-inverted Treasury yield curve, meaning yields on shorter-duration government bonds are higher than those with longer durations. Inversions of the 3-month and 10-year yields have preceded every recession since the 1960s without producing a false signal. The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) offer exposure to energy stocks. The Consumer Price Index, a main measure of inflation, rose to 3.7% year-over-year in August compared to 3.2% in July. Investors can gain exposure to short-term government bonds through TreasuryDirect, their brokerage, or through ETFs like the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH).
Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Michael Feroli, Cash Organizations: for Supply Management, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Federal, Energy, Vanguard Energy Locations: China, TreasuryDirect
These are Wall Street's favorite energy stocks as oil rallies
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
For investors looking to play this trend, here are some energy stocks with the greatest long-term upside potential. The sector has added 0.5% this week as oil prices rallied from news of extended voluntary oil supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia until year-end. Oil and natural gas company Diamondback Energy is another name on the list. Natural gas producer EQT , oil and gas giant EOG Resources , as well as petroleum refining and marketing company Valero Energy , are also Wall Street favorites. For investors looking for energy stocks but who do not want to bet on individual names, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) and the iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) track companies in the sector.
Persons: Russell, Halliburton, Nitin Kumar, EQT, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Energy, CNBC, Oil, Resources, Diamondback Energy, Diamondback, Energy Partners, Warwick Capital Partners, Valero Energy, Mizuho Securities, Valero, Energy Investment, U.S . Energy Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Oil and Texas, EQT, U.S, XLE
Final Call: XLE, WTI and Dell
  + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Call: XLE, WTI and DellThe final calls of the day with the Options Action traders.
Persons: Dell Organizations: Options
Standout hedge fund manager Charles Lemonides came into the year careful but is now more optimistic. Heading into 2023, hedge fund manager Charles Lemonides was preparing for the worst. His hedge fund is down 8% in 2023 through May, though it's still up 155% in the past five years. The hedge fund manager said the economy can take another rate hike or two, even though investors may groan about it. The hedge fund manager is currently bullish on energy stocks broadly — particularly those in the oil and gas industry.
Persons: Charles Lemonides, Lemonides, hasn't, it's, We've, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Netflix, Energy, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Unit Corp, United Natural Foods, Yale Materials, Foods Locations: financials
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