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Trump’s campaign insists the former president is his own best adviser and he alone will make the call. Vance,” Trump Jr. told Newsmax in January. That’s a key concern of Trump’s top advisers who have otherwise let the former president dictate the process. “President Trump should not be made to explain other people’s scandals or statements.”Burgum’s wealth may have worked in his favor for a time when Trump trailed President Joe Biden in the money wars. But the recent influx of cash into the campaign following Trump’s fundraising blitz and criminal convictions has blunted that advantage.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr, Sen, J.D, Vance, Rupert Murdoch, Trumpworld, Doug Burgum, Sean Hannity, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Trump, —, Burgum, Rubio, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, Byron Donalds, Ben Carson, “, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Wiles, “ Susie, Nikki Haley, Scott, In Rubio, Hannity, Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s, Mike Pence, Conway, ” Conway, namechecked Donalds, Marc Andreessen, Brian Hook, Bill Ackman —, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Haley, Steve Bannon, Bannon, Paul, Trump’s Jesus, Jesus, ” Bannon, ” Trump, Newsmax, ” Tucker Carlson, Carlson, Vance “, I’ve, Pence, ”, bankroll, Marco Rubio’s, Joe Biden Organizations: CNN, Ohio Republican, North Dakota Gov, Fox News, Florida, Trump, Republican National Convention, House GOP, Florida Rep, Urban, Street, South Carolina Gov, Indiana Gov, Washington Post, Democratic Party, The New York Times, Wednesday, White, Politico, Trump Jr, GOP, Fox, North, Republican, New, ”, Wall Street, Murdoch’s, Corp, “ Locations: Milwaukee, South Carolina, Florida, New York City, Nevada, Conway, Mar, Washington, South Florida, Miami, Vance’s, North Dakota, White

His candidacy galvanized liberals to defend democracy and abortion rights, giving Democrats the edge in low-turnout special and midterm elections. Yet at the same time, early polls suggest, many less engaged and infrequent voters have grown deeply dissatisfied with Mr. Biden. The disengaged voters do not necessarily like Mr. Trump, the polling shows. Many low-turnout voters — notably including many who consider themselves Democrats — now say they’ll back Mr. Trump. Even if Mr. Trump holds his edge among the disengaged, it’s not clear many of these low-turnout voters will ultimately show up to vote.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden, —, there’s, they’ve Organizations: New York Times, Mr, Trump Locations: Siena, New York

☆ Young men and women are diverging politically. That could shape the 2024 election.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

In 2013, the share of self-identified liberals among young women exceeded the share among young men by 5 percentage points; by 2023, that gap was nearly four times as large. (In that survey, young men were substantially more likely than young women to say they rely on YouTube as a major source of news.) (In the Harvard poll, one-fourth of young women identified in some way as LGBTQ, more than double the share of young men.) “He’s got to make up for the defection of young men by winning young women by more, and he’s got to get every young woman he can out to vote,” said Lake, the Democratic pollster. Biden’s best hope of avoiding a catastrophic decline in his youth support is that the number of young women Trump repels exceeds the number of young men he attracts.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, John Burn, Murdoch, ”, Harvard University’s John F, Daniel Cox, William Frey, Melissa Deckman, Gen, “, Trump, John Della Volpe, Joe Biden doesn’t, Della Volpe, White, Deckman, aren’t, Cox, Dobbs, Anna Dean, Dean, ” Della Volpe, he’s, don’t, ” Cox, “ Donald Trump, “ He’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Pew Research Center, Financial, NBC, Democratic, Republican, GOP, Institute of Politics, Harvard University’s, Kennedy, Republican Party, Harvard, Democrats, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Biden didn’t, Brookings Metro thinktank, Religion Research Institute, Biden’s, YouTube, Pew, AEI, Blacks, Harvard Poll, Biden won’t Locations: Gaza, New York, Bentonville , Arkansas, America

☆ Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewPresident Joe Biden's approval rating remains severely underwater just under five months before Americans will render their verdict on his reelection bid. Joe Biden's approval rating has hit 37.4% in 538's average—an all-time low. https://t.co/sF8buXFup9 pic.twitter.com/lZcLTxOOw2 — Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) June 10, 2024On Monday, Biden notched the unpleasant distinction of recording his lowest-ever mark in FiveThirtyEight's weighted tracker of his approval rating with a 37.4% approval. According to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average, Trump has a 41.6% approval rating. Four other modern presidents had an average sub-50% approval rating at this same point in time.

Persons: —, Joe Biden's, sF8buXFup9, lZcLTxOOw2, Nathaniel Rakich, Biden, Donald Trump's, Trump, Gallup, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama Organizations: Service, Business, Monday, White House, Capitol, Gallup, Biden Locations: Gaza, Afghanistan

☆ Kamala Harris blasts Rep. Byron Donalds for comments on Black families under Jim Crow
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Donald Judd | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris, in an interview published Monday, criticized a suggestion made last week by Republican Rep. Byron Donalds that Black families were “together” during the Jim Crow era of racial segregation. Ron DeSantis into Black history curriculums. “During Jim Crow, more Black people were not just conservative — because Black people have always been conservative-minded — but more Black people voted conservatively,” he said. “Everyone on that list has supported a Trump abortion ban in their state or has called for a national ban. Are we supposed to debate that?”The vice president has often served as the administration’s messenger on an array of hot-button issues.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Byron Donalds, Jim Crow, Donald Trump’s, Politico, Donalds, “ It’s, ” Harris, Ron DeSantis, “, Wesley Hunt, ” Donalds, ”, Harris, Trump Organizations: CNN, Republican Rep, Politico, Republican, Trump, Republican Gov, Texas Rep, Philadelphia Inquirer, Biden, Florida Republicans, of, state’s Department of Education Locations: Florida, Philadelphia, Jacksonville , Florida, Tucson

☆ Biden is lagging in key swing states. But white non-college voters are keeping him afloat in Wisconsin.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

And it's Biden's support among white voters without a college degree — a huge voting bloc in these areas — that's currently keeping him afloat in Wisconsin. And it's the backing of many white working-class voters that has been critical for the president. Related storiesIn the Quinnipiac poll, Wisconsin voters gave Biden positive marks on issues like abortion rights and the preservation of democracy. AdvertisementAmong white voters in Wisconsin, Biden actually led Trump by four points (50% to 46%) in the Quinnipiac poll. Advertisement"In order to win, Democrats have to overperform — by a lot — with white working-class voters in the state, because most voters in Wisconsin are white working-class voters," Wisconsin Democratic Party Chairman Ben Wikler recently told The Washington Post.

Persons: —, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, he's, Ben Wikler Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Quinnipiac University, Wisconsin, Quinnipiac, Biden, GOP, White, Democratic, Wisconsin Democratic, Washington Post Locations: Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Madison, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac, Arizona, Omaha

☆ Tim Scott launches multimillion dollar outreach effort to get Black and Latino voters to support the GOP
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Kit Maher | Eva Mckend | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, a contender to be former President Donald Trump’s running mate, is launching a multimillion dollar effort to recruit Black voters to support Republicans in 2024. And that translates into a lot of ticked off people who are looking at the Republican Party,” he said. Trump won roughly 1 in 10 Black voters nationally in 2020, according to multiple estimates, including 12% in CNN’s exit poll. In the same survey, 14% of Black voters said that if the election were held today, they would vote for Trump vs. 49% for Biden. As CNN’s Kevin Liptak reported last week, Biden’s aides say they aren’t taking Black voters for granted as surveys suggest an erosion of support, particularly among Black men.

Persons: South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Donald Trump’s, Scott, Trump, Biden, ” Scott, “ It’s, ”, aren’t, “ I’ve, we’re, “, ‘, I’m, ’ ” Scott, ” Trump, Kevin Liptak, Biden’s, ” Jennifer DeCasper, ” DeCasper, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, South, GOP, Great Opportunity PAC, Republican National Committee, Republican, Trump, Republican Party, Black Colleges, Universities, Act, Detroit, Biden, New York Times, Siena College, Black, Trump . Younger, Fox News Locations: South Carolina, Michigan, North Carolina , Georgia, Arizona , Nevada, Pennsylvania, Washington ,, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Bronx, Siena, CNN’s

☆ Will It Matter? Searching for Clues in the Polls About a Trump Conviction.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

For almost a decade, Donald J. Trump has done, said and survived things that would have doomed any other politician. The polls cannot tell us how voters will respond to the unprecedented verdict. Most voters weren’t even paying close attention to the trial, and asking voters about hypotheticals is always fraught. It’s possible he won’t lose any support at all. While Mr. Trump has survived many controversies, he has also suffered a political penalty for his conduct.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, MAGA, haven’t Organizations: hypotheticals

☆ A ‘Laundry List’ or a ‘Feel’: Biden and Trump’s Clashing Appeals to Black Voters
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Shane Goldmacher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

As President Biden took the stage in Philadelphia on Wednesday to kick off his Black voter outreach program, he methodically ticked through more than a dozen accomplishments, executive orders, appointments, investments and economic statistics. “The bottom line,” Mr. Biden said in summing up his pitch, “is we’ve invested more in Black America than any previous administration in history has.”It was a compelling catalog that stood in contrast to the blunt appeal that his rival, former President Donald J. Trump, had made a week earlier about the economy at a rally in the Bronx designed to highlight his appeal to nonwhite voters. “African Americans,” Mr. Trump had said, “are getting slaughtered.”The two events captured a fundamental difference between the Black outreach that both camps see as crucial to winning in 2024.

Persons: Biden, Mr, Donald J, Trump, ” Mr Locations: Philadelphia, Black America, Bronx

Since the constitutional right to abortion was taken away in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization in 2022, Democratic spending on abortion-related ads has jumped. Line chart showing the percentage of television ad spending devoted to abortion from 2018 to 2024. Democratic spending jumped up to around one-third in 2022 after the Dobbs ruling and has stayed high. In the first four months of this year alone, 48 percent of Democratic ad spending on broadcast networks in Pennsylvania centered on abortion. Democrats are seizing the moment, devoting two-thirds of their ad spending to abortion there.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Dobbs, Emily Holzknecht, Adam Westbrook, Trump, overperformed, —, N.M, Andy Beshear’s, Daniel Cameron’s, Mr, Biden Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Republicans, Jackson, Health Organization, Democrats, Republicans Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Wisconsin, Supreme Court, Data, Pew Research, Ore ., Nev . Ohio Ill, Conn . Iowa Pa, Ind, Del . Utah Colo, Religion Research Locations: Dobbs v, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, . Arizona, . Maine, Mont, Minn . Vt, Ore, Ore . Idaho, Wis, N.Y, S.D . Mich, R.I, Wyo, Conn . Iowa Pa . N.J, Nev . Ohio, Del . Ind . Utah Md, Colo, W.Va . Va . Calif, Kan, Mo, Ky, N.C, Tenn, Okla, ., N.M . Miss ., Ala . Texas, Fla . Alaska Hawaii, Conn . Iowa, Neb . N.J, Del . Utah, W.Va . Md . Va . Calif, United States, Nevada , Arizona , Montana , Colorado, South Dakota , Nebraska , Missouri , Arkansas, Florida , New York, Maryland, Nevada , Arizona , Wisconsin , Michigan, Kentucky, Gaza, Ukraine

☆ Tired, testy and fractured: The Supreme Court prepares for more drama
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Joan Biskupic | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +13 min

CNN —As Supreme Court justices try to resolve more than a dozen major cases over the next month, including whether Donald Trump must stand trial for election subversion, they appear mired in antagonism and distrust. Conservatives, who indeed hold the upper hand on the 6-3 court, nonetheless spike their writing and remarks with derision for the left. When the court majority allowed Louisiana state officials to use a map with a second majority-Black congressional district (over the protest of a GOP-backed group of White voters), the three liberals dissented. (A lower US court had referred to it as the “bleaching of African American voters” from the district.) Dissenting liberals emphasized that the decision reversing the lower court undercut a 2017 Supreme Court ruling, Cooper v. Harris, issued before the far-right majority took hold.

Persons: Donald Trump, Samuel Alito, Alito, Elena Kagan, Clarence Thomas, Ketanji Brown Jackson, John Roberts, Richard Nixon, Bill Clinton, Sonia Sotomayor, Kagan, Jackson, Blacks, Purcell, ’, Amy Coney Barrett, “, ” Barrett, Roberts, ” They, Bush, Feedback Kavanaugh, Gore, Cooper, Harris, ” Kagan, ” Alito, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Martha, Ann, ”, Alito tersely, Kagan’s, Edwin Kneedler, ” Roberts, Kneedler, Joshua Turner, Sotomayor, ” Sotomayor, Turner, interjected Organizations: CNN, Trump, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Liberal, GOP, White voters, Congress, Gore, South, American, Capitol, New York Times, US Justice Department Locations: America, Colorado, South Carolina, Carolina, Louisiana, Virginia, New Jersey, American, Alito’s, Jersey, Grants Pass , Oregon, Idaho, The Idaho

☆ Supreme Court allows second majority-Black district in Louisiana over liberal dissents
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( John Fritze | Fredreka Schouten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The ruling will have an impact beyond the Louisiana district, which likely explains the vote count, said CNN Supreme Court analyst Steve Vladeck. The Supreme Court has never defined what constitutes a “last-minute” election decision that should bar courts from weighing into such disputes. In a brief dissent, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson said it was premature for the Supreme Court to intervene in the case. Louisiana came to the Supreme Court caught between two lower court orders. Two years ago, the Supreme Court allowed that map to be used in the midterm even though a lower court said it was likely illegal.

Persons: Sen, Cleo Fields, “, ”, Liz Murrill, –, Steve Vladeck, Vladeck, Purcell, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, Purcell “, ” “, ” Jackson, Jackson, ” Vladeck, “ Today’s, Garret Graves, Jeff Landry’s, ” Michael McClanahan, ” Edward Greim, Paul Hurd Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Representatives, Democrat, Republican, US, CNN Supreme, Black, University of Texas School of Law, Louisiana Gov, Court, Supreme, White Republicans, White, NAACP Louisiana State Conference, “ Locations: Black, Louisiana, Shreveport, Baton Rouge, Rep, Bayou, Republican Louisiana

☆ Opinion | ‘The Seeds Had Been Planted. Trump Didn’t Do It Himself.’
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Thomas B. Edsall | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Replying by email to my inquiry, Hetherington wrote:In 1992, those whites scoring at the top of the authoritarianism scale split their two-party vote almost evenly between Bush and Clinton (51-49). By 2012, those high authoritarianism white voters went 68-32 for Romney over Obama. In both Trump elections it was 80-20 among those voters. So from 50 Republican-50 Democrat to 80 Republican-20 Democrat in the space of 24 years. The two authors analyzed data from seven studies conducted by the World Values Survey in 76 countries between 1981 and 2022.

Persons: Marc Hetherington, ”, Hetherington, Clinton, Romney, Obama, Joshua Conrad Jackson, Dan Medvedev, Jackson, Medvedev Organizations: University of North, Chapel Hill, Trump, Republican, University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business Locations: United States, Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, University of North Carolina, Bush

☆ A Trump judge and Biden’s Justice Department agree that a Texas map is illegal. But that doesn’t mean it will change
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Tierney Sneed | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —A county redistricting plan in Texas that a Donald Trump-appointed judge deemed “a clear violation” of the Voting Rights Act is back before a notoriously conservative appeals court. After the 2021 Census, the Republican-led county commission broke up that district, locking in four majority-white districts instead. Their opponents argue that Congress did not intend for multiple “classes” of minorities to be considered together when assessing a map’s Voting Rights Act compliance. Black and Latino voices ‘extinguished,’ judge saysThe 2021 map split up the long-established Precinct 3, spreading those minority voters across the four total commission precincts. “It would be devastating for minority voters as devastating as it was for Galveston’s Black and Latino voters.”

Persons: Donald Trump, Biden, Jeffrey Vincent Brown, –, ”, Valencia Richardson, Christian Adams, ‘, ” Brown, Brown, Mark Henry –, Henry, Robin Armstrong, Armstrong, Adams, Circuit “, Elena Kagan, …, ” Chad Ennis –, ” Ennis, Hilary Harris Klein Organizations: CNN, Republican, 5th, Campaign, “, Senate, Justice Department, Galveston Republicans, Interest Legal Foundation, Circuit, Southern Coalition for Social Justice Locations: Texas, Galveston’s County, Galveston County, White, Galveston, Louisiana, Mississippi, ”

☆ Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Donald J. Trump leads President Biden in five crucial battleground states, a new set of polls shows, as a yearning for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black and Hispanic voters threaten to unravel the president’s Democratic coalition. The surveys by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer found that Mr. Trump was ahead among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup against Mr. Biden in five of six key states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden led among registered voters in only one battleground state, Wisconsin. Mr. Trump led in five states as well, but Mr. Biden edged ahead in Michigan while trailing only narrowly in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. While Mr. Biden won all six of those states in 2020, victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin would be enough for him to win re-election, provided he won everywhere else he did four years ago.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden Organizations: Democratic, The New York Times, Siena College, The Philadelphia Inquirer, Mr Locations: Gaza, Michigan, Arizona , Nevada , Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania , Michigan

At issue is a map drawn by state lawmakers that included a second majority African American district in Louisiana’s six-district congressional plan. The Supreme Court’s intervention, the groups argued Wednesday, “is needed to ensure that harm is not repeated.”The Supreme Court could allow the newly drawn congressional districts to be used in this year’s election. Throughout the process, Republican lawmakers suggested in public statements that a primary motivation was to adhere to court orders and draw a second majority Black district. The Supreme Court is already weighing a separate equal protection challenge over South Carolina’s congressional maps. Given the delay in the Supreme Court issuing its decision, the lower court has ruled that the 2024 elections can proceed under the map it previously deemed unconstitutional.

Persons: “, ”, –, Allen, Milligan, Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise, doesn’t, Donald Trump, Bill Clinton, Taiwan Scott Organizations: CNN, Civil, Court, White, Republicans, African American, ”, GOP, Supreme, Supreme Court, Republican, South, South Carolina State Conference of, NAACP, American Locations: Black, Louisiana, Louisiana’s, Alabama, Shreveport, Baton Rouge, Taiwan, South Carolina

☆ Campaign Updates: At the R.N.C. donor retreat, Trump calls the Biden administration the ‘Gestapo.’
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-05 | by ( Maggie Haberman | Shane Goldmacher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

“You have to respect the office of the presidency,” Mr. Trump said. “When you are Democrat, you start off essentially at 40 percent because you have civil service, you have the unions and you have welfare,” Mr. Trump said on Saturday. director whom Mr. Trump fired amid an investigation into Mr. Trump and his campaign, was connected to the Blagojevich investigation. Mr. Trump also mocked the physical appearance of Jack Smith, the special counsel who has indicted him twice. At another point, Mr. Trump said that if anyone wanted to donate $1 million to the R.N.C.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden’s, ” Mr, Trump baselessly, Biden, “, Mr, ”, William P, Barr, Michael Whatley, Mitt Romney, Hope Hicks, Rod Blagojevich, Blagojevich’s, James B, Blagojevich, Jack Smith, Smith, Mike Johnson, Roe, Wade, Trump’s, — Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Tony Fabrizio — Organizations: Republican National Committee, The New York Times, Trump, Democratic, Mr, Sun Locations: New York, Florida, Palm Beach, Fla, Manhattan, Illinois, Minnesota, Virginia, Nevada , Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

☆ 10 Years, 100 Stories: The Work That Defines the Upshot
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( The Upshot Staff | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +20 min

Ten years ago this week, The New York Times introduced the Upshot, a section devoted to explaining “politics, policy and everyday life.” That’s a wide scope, by design. As a result, more than 5,000 articles later, the Upshot has been many things to many readers. To mark our 10th birthday, we’ve collected 100 stories that embody the Upshot. WordleBot Eden Weingart/The New York Times When Wordle first became popular, several people on the internet claimed, plausibly, that they had come up with the “best” opening word. Force of Ship Impact Was on the Scale of a Rocket Launch Erin Schaff/The New York Times We think of the Upshot as a place where back-of-the-envelope calculations can be both helpful and welcome.

Persons: ”, Nate Cohn’s, we’ve, Kevin Quealy, John Branch, John, Patrick Thomas, tut, Trump, pollsters, Obamacare, Leif Parsons, We’re, Jason Henry, Tony Luong, Jordan, ‘, Ruth Fremson, Laurel, ’ Rodrigo Corral, Alex Welsh, Paul Romer, Tim Enthoven, Barack Obama, epidemiologists, It’s, you’re, WordleBot Eden, Wordle, Lila Barth, McCabe, Tom Brady, ChatGPT, —, Erin Schaff Organizations: New York Times, Facebook, Yankees, Red, State Newspaper, ESPN, The Athletic, The Times, You’re, Voters, Trump, Mr, Times, Siena College, Walmart, The New York Times, Jordan Siemens, Health, New, Nike, Democratic, Twitter, America, Iowa, Iowa Democratic, Cancer, Hit, Biden, Insurance, Roe America, Disorders, Republican, Republican Party of, U.S, Budget, NASA, National, Traffic, Administration, Yorkers, Force Locations: It’s, Red Sox, State, America, Dakota, Ireland, Chipotle, Japan, U.S, United States, Siena, New Pennsylvania, District, Iowa, Covid, York City, New York, Pennsylvania, Roe, Tonga, Arizona, York, Holland

Our Electoral College maps below lay out the best scenarios for him and Mr. Trump. In a Wall Street Journal battleground poll taken in March, Mr. Biden had only 37 percent job approval in the state. … orand The second and harder path for Mr. Trump would be if he carried only one Southern swing state – most likely North Carolina. By carrying these states, Mr. Biden has several paths to 270, but the first three scenarios are his most viable. Scenario 4 They involve Mr. Biden winning Georgia and Arizona … They involve Mr. Biden winningand Scenario 5 … or Michigan and Georgia.

Persons: Biden, Akshita Chandra, Yuji Sakai, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden’s, Court’s, … orand, Hamas’s, Mr, …, —, Bill Clinton’s, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton Organizations: Presidency, Trump, New York Times, Electoral, Wisconsin –, Sun, Siena, Black, The Arizona, Michigan, Mr, North Carolina, Republicans, Georgia, Democrats, Congressional District, Michigan …, Wisconsin, Democratic, House Locations: Arizona, – Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Wis, Ariz ., Michigan, Arizona , Michigan, Arizona , Nevada, Israel, Gaza, Nebraska, Minnesota, United States, Michigan , Pennsylvania

☆ Kamala Harris Pushes the Envelope as Biden Struggles With Some Democrats
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( March | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +7 min

Harris' evolving role comes as progressive Democrats target Biden over his pro-Israel stance, polls show him in a tight race against Republican rival Donald Trump. While some have knocked Harris's performance as vice president and value to the reelection campaign in the past, she's moved into a starring role. Current and former Harris aides disputed the idea of any difference in policy between Biden, characterizing their efforts as a difference in tone and emphasis. Biden cannot emphasize divisive cultural issues without alienating more conservative voters he needs to win, current and former aides said. If Trump wins white voters, the largest U.S. racial group, for the third election in a row, Biden needs a dominant showing among a diverse set of groups that typically favor Democrats.

Persons: Trevor Hunnicutt, Joe, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, Biden, Donald Trump ., she's, Abbas Alawieh, She's, Dave Cavell, HARRIS Biden, Trump, Read, Arlene Eiras, Nandita Bose, Heather Timmons, Deepa Babington, Chizu Organizations: White, U.S, Republican, Trump, Hamas, Democratic, Freedoms, Reuters, Puerto Rican, Biden, Harris, Read Reuters Locations: Gaza, Selma, Alabama, Parkland , Florida, Israel, Minneapolis, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, U.S, San Juan, United States, Caribbean, Washington

☆ A controversial Supreme Court decision could hurt Biden in November
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( John Blake | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —A Supreme Court decision related to the election could determine the presidential victor this November, but it has nothing to do with former President Donald Trump. The study also said the “narrow” racial-turnout disparity that the high court heavily relied upon in its Shelby decision was based in part on the 2012 presidential election. Yet the study’s conclusion bolsters critics of the Shelby decision. They ignored it although they knew their decision would hurt Black voters, who tend to vote for the Democratic Party, he says. The bloody history behind the Voting Rights ActThe law was passed in 1965 after King led an epic voting rights campaign in Selma, Alabama.

Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Brennan, —, Holder, John Roberts, Barack Obama, Shelby, Jim Crow, Alabama —, Lawrence Goldstone, ” Goldstone, Sonia Sotomayor, Joe Biden, Shawn Thew, Biden, Goldstone, Black, George W, Bush, preclearance, “, ”, Elijah Nouvelage, Horace Cooper, Martin Luther King Jr, Cooper, “ That’s, Martin Luther King, that’s, ” Cooper, King, Edmund Pettus, Obama, Lyndon B, Johnson, Jr, Ralph Abernathy, Clarence Mitchell, Corbis, Roberts, Reagan, Brett Kavanaugh, tortuously, it’s, John Blake Organizations: CNN, Brennan Center for Justice, Supreme Court, Southern GOP, GOP, State of, Getty, Black, Democratic Party, George Mason University in, US Justice Department, Edmund, White, Congress, Black voters, North Carolina — Locations: Shelby, Southern, America, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, State, Washington, Alabama’s Shelby County, Atlanta , Georgia, AFP, George Mason University in Virginia, Selma , Alabama, White Alabama, “ Shelby

It goes without saying that we wish Catherine, Princess of Wales, health and strength in her battle with cancer. Other than that, I think the best we can do to respect her privacy is to say as little about it as possible. Gail Collins: Absolutely no reason to torment public figures in such dire circumstances — unless, of course, they’re running a country. Bret: Thomas Edsall had a great essay in The Times last week noting that the Democratic Party is losing support among nonwhite voters. Gail: A great essay indeed.

Persons: Bret Stephens, Gail, Catherine, Princess of, Gail Collins, Bret, Thomas Edsall, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, it’s Organizations: Democratic Party Locations: Princess of Wales, Times

☆ Opinion: Why a booming economy isn’t helping Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Fareed Zakaria | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

It used to be that the public’s view of the president depended mostly on its view of the economy. Democrats who had previously thought the economy was in terrible shape now thought it was booming, and Republicans did the opposite. I argue in the book that it is identity — which encompasses culture, class and tribalism. And when people see their world in flux, they often move not left on economics but right on culture. The left needs to play more effectively on the new crossroads of politics, where culture and class have replaced economics.

Persons: Fareed Zakaria, Fareed, Read, Joe Biden’s, haywire, It’s, Nate Cohn, Barack Obama’s, Donald Trump, ’, Trump, Ronald Inglehart, —, Inglehart, John Burn, “ Organizations: CNN, Fareed’s, The New York Times, Immigration, Trump Locations: America, Sweden, Denmark, France, Austria, Germany, Japan, United States, Nigeria

☆ The presidential race is set, but ‘uncommitted’ remains an option in Louisiana and Missouri.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Nick Corasaniti | Neil Vigdor | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +7 min

Georgia, with its long history of the suppression of Black voters, has been ground zero for fights about voting rights laws for decades. The result has been a slew of laws that included restrictions to voting, like limiting voting by mail and adding voter ID requirements. He found that the growing racial turnout gap since the Supreme Court’s decision in Shelby had been felt most acutely by younger voters across the country. In Bulloch County, Ga., Winston County, Miss., and Newberry County, S.C., the racial turnout gap among young voters grew by 20 percentage points or more between the 2012 and 2020 elections. Seeing a more substantial racial turnout gap among young voters cuts against some conventional wisdom about recent changes to voting laws.

Persons: Barack Obama, Lowndes County —, Georgia —, Michael Podhorzer, Lowndes, Obama, Holder, “, Podhorzer, ” Podhorzer, Biden, Bernard Fraga, ” Fraga, Emily Elconin, Donald Trump, I’ve Organizations: Black, Republican, Justice Department, Brennan, Valdosta State University, Emory University, The New York Times, The Times, Times Locations: Georgia, Lowndes County, Shelby County, Shelby, Bulloch County ,, Winston County, Miss, Newberry County, S.C, Atlanta, Dearborn, Mich, Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, onpolitics@nytimes.com

☆ The Supreme Court and Young Voter Turnout
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-22 | by ( Nick Corasaniti | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Georgia, with its long history of the suppression of Black voters, has been ground zero for fights about voting rights laws for decades. The state has often seen stark differences in turnout between white and nonwhite communities, with the latter typically voting at a much lower rate. But not always: In the 2012 election, when Barack Obama won a second term in the White House, the turnout rate for Black voters under 38 in Lowndes County — a Republican-leaning county in southern Georgia — was actually four percentage points higher than the rate for white voters of a similar age. According to new research by Michael Podhorzer, the former political director of the A.F.L.-C.I.O., by 2020, turnout for younger white voters in Lowndes was 14 percentage points higher than for Black voters of the same age. It is impossible to tell for certain, with many variables, such as Obama no longer being on the ballot.

Persons: Barack Obama, Lowndes County —, Georgia —, Michael Podhorzer, Lowndes, Obama Organizations: Black, Republican Locations: Georgia, Lowndes County

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