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☆ Welcome to interest-rate cut week: Here's how the Fed's next move will impact everything from home prices to new cars loans
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Madison Hoff | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest rate changes based on market predictions, the size of the rate cut is a coin toss. As of Friday afternoon, there's a 51% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points and a 49% chance it'll be an extra-large 50-basis-point cut. That's because a larger rate cut makes borrowing cheaper, which tends to drive up spending and fuel price increases. Rate cuts will also eventually make it cheaper for small businesses to take out loans. A rate cut could cause a rush of buyers to enter the market in the short term, driving up prices and competition.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Michael Madowitz, she's, McTier, it'll, Mark Hamrick, Banks, Hamrick, NerdWallet, Sara Rathner Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Federal Reserve, Business, Washington Center for Equitable Growth, Fed, Consumer Financial, Bureau, asheffey Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, McTier

Closing the wealth gap is more difficult because a significantly larger number of white households traditionally have money in stocks and mutual funds. A separate Fed survey shows that as of 2022, about 65.6% of white households had investments in stocks, compared with 28.3% for Hispanic households and 39.2% for Black households. More than 50% of Black financial wealth is invested in pensions, the New York Fed found. In contrast, less than 30% of white financial wealth is invested in pensions, with about 50% invested in businesses, equities, and mutual funds. In April of 2020, more than 40% of Black business owners reported they were not working, compared with only 17% of white business owners.

Persons: ”, Janelle Jones, Jones, Walley Adeyemo, Adeyemo, ___, Charles Schwab Organizations: New York Federal Reserve Bank, Black, Washington Center for Equitable, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Associated Press, Charles, Charles Schwab Foundation, Inc, AP Locations: U.S, America

☆ Achieving the 'American dream?' A lot of it depends on where you grow up
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

We are thought to be the country of the American dream, [where] once you start from the bottom, you move to the top. Measures of mobilityThere are two measures of mobility: relative and absolute. "We have less [relative] mobility in this country than we do in other developed nations, especially in Europe and developing European countries. "We are thought to be the country of the American dream, [where] once you start from the bottom, you move to the top. The U.S. only ranks behind England for having the world's highest university tuition fees, according to data from the OECD.

Persons: Friedman, John Friedman, that's, It's, haven't, Kreg Steven Brown, Brown, Juan Palomino, there's, Susan Thompson Buffett Organizations: Opportunity, Brown University, Harvard University, . Census Bureau, World Bank, U.S, Washington Center for Equitable, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, England, OECD, Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation, Biden Locations: Dallas, Texas, U.S, Europe, Denmark, China, South Africa, Morocco, American, Germany, Canada, Japan, France, Scandinavian, Nebraska

☆ We are beginning to enter a so-called 'debt doom loop', says Cato Institute's Romina Boccia
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are beginning to enter a so-called 'debt doom loop', says Cato Institute's Romina BocciaRomina Boccia, Cato Institute director of budget and entitlement policy, and Michael Linden, Washington Center For Equitable Growth senior policy fellow and former OMB executive associate director in the Biden administration, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest negotiations on Congress, the impact of a potential shutdown on the markets and economy, and more.

Persons: Cato Institute's, Boccia, Michael Linden, Biden Organizations: Cato Institute, Washington Center, Equitable Growth

☆ The US jobs market stayed strong in August
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Truck transportation also saw employment fall by 36,700.Leisure and hospitality saw a job gain of 40,000 from July to August. From wage growth to an increase in labor force participation, various data points suggest the US labor market is still strong. There were 8.8 million job openings in July after 9.2 million in June, according to new Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey or JOLTS data released by BLS earlier this week. "We expect this labor market rebalancing to continue," Powell said. "Evidence that the tightness in the labor market is no longer easing could also call for a monetary policy response."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Lydia Boussour, EY, Boussour, Nick Bunker, Bunker, it's, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Jonathan Fisher, Fisher, Powell Organizations: payrolls, Service, SAG, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, North America, Washington Center for Equitable Growth Locations: Wall, Silicon, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ The unemployment rate among Black workers increased in June for the second month in a row
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Filadendron | E+ | Getty ImagesThe overall U.S. unemployment rate declined in June, but a negative trend among Black workers may be emerging, according to the latest nonfarm payrolls report. Overall, the unemployment rate last month was 3.6%, a 0.1 percentage point decrease from May, the U.S. Department of Labor reported Friday. However, Black workers saw their unemployment rate rise to 6% in June from 5.6% in May, making it the second consecutive monthly increase. "If the employment level for Black workers has gone down pretty significantly for the last three months, then that is a red flag." Cumming attributed the increase in unemployment among Black workers to the mechanics of the economy slowing down.

Persons: women's, Carmen Sanchez Cumming, Cumming Organizations: U.S . Department of Labor, Washington Center for Equitable

But while the Fed in 2019 was asking "'is this as strong as the labor market can get?' Fed rate hikes could have "very significant, uneven short-term impacts" on the job market. So far headline payroll employment growth remains strong. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsWANTING IT BOTH WAYSFor now, though, the Fed might mark the pandemic labor rebound as essentially complete, despite the risks. The economy needs to create about 100,000 payroll jobs a month to keep pace with population growth.

Persons: Bryan Woolston, Michael Madowitz, Raphael Bostic, Trump, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Kentucky, Center, REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Washington Center for Equitable, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, BLS, American Progress, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Thomson Locations: Frankfort , Kentucky, U.S, Bryan Woolston WASHINGTON, COVID

☆ Unemployment dropped among Hispanic men and women in May but rose for Black workers
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. unemployment rate rose in May, but declined for Hispanic workers, according to the latest nonfarm payrolls report. The overall unemployment rate last month was 3.7%, a gain of 0.3 percentage point from the prior month. The unemployment rate for Hispanic men ticked lower to 4% from 4.1% in April. Meanwhile, unemployment for Black workers overall rose 0.9 percentage point to 5.6% in May from 4.7% in April. The unemployment rate also ticked higher for Black women, rising to 5.3% in May from April's rate of 4.4%.

Persons: Carmen Sanchez Cumming, it's Organizations: Labor Department, Washington Center for Equitable Growth

☆ The US economy slowed dramatically at the start of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The advance estimate for GDP from the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the US economy is slowing. US GDP grew at annualized rate of 1.1% in the first quarter of 2023. That's below the forecast of 2.0% and way below the 2.6% annualized rate in the fourth quarter of 2022. That's based on the advance estimate for gross domestic product (GDP). In short, the economy remains on the edge of a swamp – not in recession yet but close to one."

Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThere's one group of people that's being disproportionality hurt by high inflation: women. First, a jump in child care prices has started to pressure women out of the workforce. Child care inflation, which has increased 214% from 1990 to 2022, has outpaced average family income gains, which have risen 143%. Surprisingly, over 50% of parents spend over 20% of their income on child care in the US." Women and minorities are underrepresented in higher-wage industries, such as technology or finance, that are more insulated from inflation pressures, Gosai noted.

☆ Black women are gaining ground in the labor market but still face unique barriers
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

January's drop in Black unemployment was propelled by gains made by Black women, whose unemployment rate excluding teenagers dropped to 4.7% in January from 5.5% in December. The last time the Black unemployment rate was below 5.5% was in September 2019, while Black women last had a sub-5% unemployment rate in November 2021. She pointed to the discrimination Black people face in hiring and the increased likelihood of layoffs Black workers experience as two examples. While Black men saw a 0.2 percentage point gain between December and January, Black women added 1.1 percentage points. She said the gains in employment could be attributed at least in part to the tightness of the overall labor market.

☆ Strong U.S. job growth expected in January; wages seen cooling
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Wage growth is decelerating less than inflation," said Kate Bahn, chief economist at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth in Washington. It will also incorporate new population estimates in the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived. As such January's unemployment rate will not be directly comparable to December. REVISIONS IN FOCUSThe revisions will attract attention after researchers at the Philadelphia Fed published a paper in December that suggested employment growth in the second quarter was overstated by a million jobs. Economists will be closely watching the labor force for signs whether the current pace of job growth will persist.

☆ As U.S. unemployment improved, it worsened for Latinos and Black women
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( Rikki Klaus | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Not everyone is celebrating, however: Jobless rates for Black women and Latino men still haven’t recovered fully from the pandemic. The unemployment rate for Black women aged 20 years and older rose to 5.5% in December, from 5.2% in November, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. For Latino men, unemployment rose 0.4 percentage points to 4% last month, higher than the 3.1% unemployment rate in February 2020. The Fed effectThe government’s current response to inflation may also be playing a role in rising unemployment for Latino men and Black women, Bahn said. In April 2020, the Hispanic unemployment rate shot up to 18.1% after hovering at around 4% pre-pandemic, BLS data shows.

☆ U.S. unemployment rate falls in December, but rises for Black women, Hispanic men
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spencer Platt | Getty ImagesThe U.S. unemployment rate declined overall in December, but rose for Black women and Hispanic men, according to the latest nonfarm payrolls report. Black women saw unemployment increased to 5.5% last month, up 0.3 percentage points from 5.2% in November, data from the Labor Department showed Friday. Overall, Black employment held steady at 5.7%, while the unemployment rate for Black men actually declined to 5.1% from 5.4% last month. The overall unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1% from 4.0%. And it's really disaffecting Black women and Latinx men," Holder added.

☆ November unemployment fell for Hispanic workers and Black women, while holding steady overall
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Joe Raedle | Getty ImagesThe unemployment rate in the U.S. declined for Hispanic workers and Black women in November, while the overall rate held steady. Hispanic workers saw unemployment dip to 3.9% last month, down from 4.2% in October, according to the Labor Department on Friday. It fell more for Black women to 5.2%, from 5.8%. Notable jobs gains last month in the leisure and hospitality sector drove the decline in the unemployment rate among Hispanic workers, Holder said. Meanwhile, strong job gains in health care and government spurred the decline in the unemployment rate among Black women.

☆ The US jobs market keeps beating the odds, adding another 263,000 jobs in November
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-02 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

InsiderThe US gained 263,000 nonfarm payrolls in November, better than the 200,000 economists expected. November's gain shows ongoing strength in the jobs market. There were 263,000 nonfarm payrolls added in November, according to the latest release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). But as we head to the end of 2022, the US labor market remains resilient." The "temperature is still high" in the labor market as Bunker told Insider after the last jobs report.

☆ The unemployment rate for Black men fell in October, but so did labor force participation
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Joe Raedle | Getty ImagesThe unemployment rate for Black men ticked down in October while it rose for most other groups, but that may be because workers are dropping out of the labor force. For Black men, unemployment fell to 5.3% from 5.8% a month earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis. Though overall there is strength in the labor market, "this is not the tight labor market where people can just walk in and get a job no matter who they are." Overall Black unemployment ticked up led by Black women. In October, the unemployment rate for Black women jumped to 5.8% from 5.4% in September.

☆ America's best tool to fight inflation and prevent recessions is facing a dangerous death spiral
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Austin Clemens | Erica Groshen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Threats to truthConsider the many benefits of having a source of trustworthy and publicly available economic data. Of course, private datasets, like those used by Opportunity Insights, the JPMorgan Chase Institute, and Earnest Research, complement federal statistics. In addition to competition from other sources, statistical agencies are facing a lack of money. Sustaining the future of statsThe good news is that statistical agencies are trying to keep up with the times. To continue producing this work, federal statistical agencies need a funding boost.

☆ Hispanic unemployment rate falls sharply in September, but fewer workers join labor force
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-07 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Marco Bello | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe unemployment rate among Hispanic workers dropped sharply in September, but that could be due to fewer eligible adults looking for a job. Hispanic workers saw their unemployment rate fall to 3.8% from 4.5% in August. But Hispanics saw a sharp decline in labor force participation, which tracks how many people are employed or searching for work. Many Hispanic workers do seek employment in some areas of the market heavily affected by Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, she added. While Hispanic workers saw the biggest declines on a month-to-month basis, she noted that Black women have still seen the sharpest decline in labor force participation since the start of the pandemic.

☆ The U.S. unemployment rate rose in August, and Black workers' labor force participation declined
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-02 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Jeenah Moon | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe August jobs report showed the U.S. unemployment rate rise across the board. Meanwhile, Black workers marked the only demographic to see their labor force participation fall. The unemployment rate rose 0.2 percentage point to 3.7% in August, according to data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, Black workers marked the only group that saw labor force participation decline, while their employment-population ratio, which measures what percentage of the population holds a job, also fell. "What's happened is the queue's just gotten longer so the discouraged worker effect is much more acute for Black workers."

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