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These commodity stocks could win big as China moves to boost its struggling real estate sector and economy, according to Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley's team believe these measures display a heightened "sense of urgency" and signal that China is "taking deflation seriously." Against this backdrop, the firm sees a positive setup for metals and mining stocks that have underperformed the S & P 500 by 25 percentage points since May. Here are some of the names that could benefit from China's stimulus: Within the mining sector, Morgan Stanley names Freeport-McMoRan and Alcoa among its top picks, with shares up about 22% and 17%, respectively, this year. Analysts view U.S. Steel as one of the biggest beneficiaries from a China stimulus along with shares of Nucor .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Stephen Cheung, Carlos De Alba, Biden Organizations: Alcoa, Vale SA, Steel, . Steel, Japan's Nippon Steel, NBC Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan, Indonesia, Nucor .
Several tailwinds that have not been in place for a decade now make the Brazilian mining giant Vale SA too attractive to ignore, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman upgraded Vale to buy on Tuesday and raised its stock price target by 60% to $19.50, implying nearly 25% upside from the stock's $15.65 close on Monday. Goldman forecasts iron ore prices of $110 per ton next year and estimates that Vale is internally pricing in a $104 per ton price. "We believe the story is now too attractive to ignore and investors will slowly increase exposure as confidence around iron ore supply/demand balance in 2024 increases," analyst Marcio Farid wrote. The investment bank also expects ongoing policy support in China The key downside risks are weaker-than-expected iron ore prices in 2024 and less policy support in China to back up its ailing property market, according to Goldman.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, bearish, Marcio Farid, Vale Organizations: Vale SA, Vale, Goldman Locations: China
Mining operations account for some 4%-7% of global greenhouse gas emissions, according to global consulting firm McKinsey & Company. But some miners are moving to reduce use of fossil fuels in extracting and refining, partly due to pressure from downstream customers that want more sustainable supply chains. Located beside a crystal-blue lake in the lush jungle of Sorowako, South Sulawesi, Vale Indonesia — a subsidiary of Vale international — runs its smelters entirely from hydroelectricity. Other companies and countries around the world also are reducing use of fossil fuels in their mining operations. But now, having that infrastructure means big savings at a time when global energy prices are high.
Persons: Michael Goodsite, , Joko Widodo, Widodo, “ Ford, ” Christopher Smith, Febriany Eddy, Eddy, it’s, ” Eddy, Aimee Boulanger, there’s, they’ve, ” Goodsite Organizations: McKinsey & Company, Vale, Companies, University of Adelaide, Volvo, Mercedes, Hyundai, Apple, Ford Motor Co, Vale Indonesia, Associated Press, Initiative for, Mining Assurance, , AP Locations: SOROWAKO, Indonesia, Indonesian, Sulawesi, Sorowako, South Sulawesi, Indonesia —, Chile, Raglan, Canada, Australia, ” Indonesia, Vale Indonesia, China, United States
Aides said that President Biden urged both sides of the dispute to stay at the negotiating table. Just before the strike vote, Mr. Biden called Shawn Fain, the president of the U.A.W. How Mr. Biden navigates the situation could have a significant impact on his hopes for re-election. Mr. Biden won the state over former President Donald J. Trump with just over 50 percent of the vote. “They talk about labor, but they don’t say ‘union.’ It’s ‘union.’ I’m one of the — I’m proud to say ‘union.’ I’m proud to be the most pro-union president.”
Persons: Biden, Biden’s, , ” Mr, “ You’ve, , Eddie Vale, You’ve, Vale, Shawn Fain, Donald J, ’ ”, ’ It’s, Organizations: United Auto Workers, Republican, White, Democratic, AFL, CNN, Trump, Labor Locations: Michigan, America, United States, Philadelphia
Brazilian miner Vale's profit slumps well below forecasts
  + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
The company posted a net profit of $1.8 billion for the first three months of 2023, in a filing to Brazil's main stock exchange on Wednesday, while analysts polled by Refinitiv had forecast a profit of $2.4 billion. Last week, the miner had already reported a slip in iron ore sales volume, blaming it on port loading restrictions and supply chain rebalancing after strong sales in the previous quarters. Revenues, meanwhile, fell 22% to $8.4 billion, also lagging analysts' $9.2 billion forecast. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization came in at $3.6, below analysts' $4.3 billion estimate. Over the quarter, Vale said that prices for its iron ore had averaged $108.6 per tonne, down from the $141.4 per tonne it reported for the same period last year.
These approaches from international miners come as the Vancouver-based miner is fending off unsolicited bids from Glencore Plc (GLEN.L). Freeport, Vale and Anglo American declined to comment. Teck investors will decide on the Canadian miner's restructuring plan on April 26. Influential proxy advisor Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) on Thursday advised shareholders to reject Teck's restructuring plan on uncertainties and structural issues. The Globe and Mail first reported interest in Teck's base metals business.
A vote on Teck's plan to fully separate the copper and zinc business Teck Metals from the steelmaking coal Elk Valley business is scheduled on April 26. These approaches from international miners come as the Vancouver-based miner is fending off unsolicited bids from Glencore Plc (GLEN.L) that would involve combining and spinning off the thermal and steelmaking coal businesses of both companies. The Swiss mining company has offered Teck shareholders 24% of the combined metals group and up to $8.2 billion in cash for those who may not want exposure to thermal coal. Two proxy shareholder advisory firms have recommended that Teck Resources shareholders vote against the planned split. On Saturday, Bloomberg News reported that Glass Lewis also asked Teck Resources shareholders to vote against Teck's plan to spin off its coal business.
BHP Group seeks delay to Brazil dam court case
  + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Ricardo Moraes/File PhotoLONDON, March 29 (Reuters) - Mining group BHP Group (BHP.AX) is seeking to delay a potential 36 billion pound ($44 billion) London lawsuit over Brazil's worst environmental disaster as it needs more time to prepare, the company's lawyers said on Wednesday. BHP denies liability and in December applied to join Vale to the case. Simon Salzedo, representing Vale, argued that BHP has no case against Vale and that, if it did, any lawsuit should be brought in Brazil. Reparation and compensation programs implemented by the Renova Foundation funded $6 billion in financial aid by the end of 2022, BHP added. BHP has applied to the Supreme Court to end the case without trial following the Court of Appeal's decision last year.
Lula departs for China this weekend, but many executives and lobby groups have traveled ahead of the president, government officials said. JBS representatives said the company aims to bolster commercial ties with China, a key trading partner. In a statement, ABPA said they are seeking recognition from Beijing that Rio Grande do Sul and Parana are free of foot-and-mouth disease without vaccination, in order to export pork with bones and pork offal. China buys 44% of Brazil's pork exports by volume and around 14% of its chicken exports, according to ABPA data for the first two months of 2023. Some 62% of Brazil's beef exports went to China last year.
Miner BHP potentially faces $44 bln bill in Brazil dam case
  + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/3] Members of the Krenak indigenous people, Daniel Krenak, Andreia Krenak, Djanira Krenak, Maycon Krenak and Marcelo Krenak, demonstrate outside the High Court in London, Britain December 13, 2022. BHP (BHP.AX) was initially sued by around 200,000 Brazilians over the 2015 collapse of the Fundao dam, owned by the Samarco joint venture between BHP and Brazilian iron ore mining company Vale (VALE3.SA). BHP, the world's biggest miner by market value, denies liability and in December applied to join Vale to the case. BHP has said the London lawsuit duplicates legal proceedings and reparation and repair programmes in Brazil. BHP has applied to the Supreme Court to overturn that decision and its application is pending.
General Motors Co. has discussed taking a small stake in Brazilian miner Vale SA’s base metals unit, a business that mines and processes nickel and other metals crucial to building electric vehicle batteries, according to people familiar with the matter. Vale said in December it would consider selling up to a 10% stake in the business, without disclosing a potential sale price. A stake of that size could be valued at as much as $2 billion, according to some of the people.
Cramer's lightning round: Vimeo is not a buy
  + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Loading chart...Vimeo Inc : "I can't recommend a stock here that is losing money. Uranium Energy Corp : "It should be coining money, but it's not. And [there is] political risk there. I don't take political risk on 'Mad Money.'" Loading chart...Hyliion Holdings Corp : "I'm not going to recommend the stocks of companies that are losing fortunes."
Investors are pushing miners to adopt tougher sustainability policies amid fears the rush for minerals to expand renewable energy will harm the environment and poor communities. The newly-launched Global Investor Commission on Mining 2030 said it would introduce sustainability standards by next January which will seek to overhaul the mining industry this decade. “We’ll improve the practices and outcomes in the mining industry more quickly,” he said. PREVIEWThe rules will draw on lessons from investors and the mining industry’s development of the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management. The tailings standard came out about two years ago following the 2019 Vale SA Brumadinho disaster in Brazil where a tailings dam collapsed and killed 270 people.
LONDON, Dec 13 (Reuters) - Global mining giant BHP Group (BHP.AX) was on Tuesday accused of trying to "forever put off" the question of liability for a 2015 dam collapse that triggered Brazil's worst environmental disaster. BHP, the world's biggest miner by market value, denies liability and earlier this month applied to join Vale to the case. BHP has applied to the Supreme Court to overturn that decision and its application is pending. He argued BHP was trying to "forever put off the question of substantive liability for another few years – that would no doubt be very convenient." Charles Gibson, representing BHP, said in court documents that the list of current claimants was "chaotic" and there was "continuing uncertainty" around whether thousands of individuals wanted to continue their cases.
FILE PHOTO: Brazilian mining company Vale SA logo and trading symbol are displayed on a screen at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., December 6, 2017. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid//File PhotoNEW YORK (Reuters) - Brazilian mining company Vale is in advanced talks with possible partners for its new base metals investment vehicle and looks to have a deal concluded during the first half of 2023, Chief Executive Gustavo Pimenta said on Wednesday. Pimenta said the key quality Vale is looking when deciding for the partner is expertise. “We will change the way we manage base metals. Demand for metals like nickel and lithium is seen growing sharply in coming years due to expected production growth of electric vehicles (EV).
[1/2] A logo of Brazil's state-run Petrobras oil company is seen at their headquarters in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil October 16, 2019. REUTERS/Sergio Moraes/File PhotoBRASILIA, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Brazil's incoming leftist government will not have an interventionist stance on state-run oil giant Petrobras (PETR4.SA), a member of the transition team for President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said on Thursday. Market participants have been showing concern over how the Lula administration might run Petrobras. He also noted that the incoming administration, and not Petrobras itself, would set a new fuel pricing policy for the country. Shares of Petrobras, which slipped by roughly a quarter since mid-October, were up more than 4% on Thursday, outperforming Brazil's Bovespa stock index (.BVSP), which rose 2.5%.
Brazil's Cosan swings to loss on higher debt costs
  + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The conglomerate, which controls companies in sectors ranging from sugarcane to logistics, lost 202 million reais ($37.70 million) in the July to September period, compared with a 3.26 billion reais profit during the same months last year. During the quarter, Cosan reported cost of debt of 679.3 million reais, a more than 90% spike year-on-year, as Brazil's interest rate peaked at 13.75%, in addition to the issuance of roughly 8 billion reais in commercial notes. Weak figures from Raizen, a joint venture with Shell (SHEL.L) that produces ethanol and sugar, also dented Cosan's bottom line, reflecting consistent price declines for its products. The figure slightly exceeded analyst estimations polled by Refinitiv of 4.08 billion reais. ($1 = 5.3579 reais)Reporting by Peter Frontini; Editing by David Alire GarciaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The chief executive of Vale SA (VALE3.SA) said on Friday the Brazilian iron ore miner is reconsidering a near-term spin-off of its base metals business and an eventual public listing. The Brazilian miner had a longstanding plan to sell the unit that was still being considered as recently as 2021. But rather than selling all or part of it, the company is now looking to separate and ring-fence the copper and nickel unit from the iron ore business as the two have different growth prospects, Eduardo Bartolomeo said at the FT Mining Summit. There is "huge growth" in base metals, whereas iron ore is a mature business, he added. Vale, once the world's top producer of the steel ingredient, said in September that global demand for nickel should increase 44% by 2030 to 6.2 million tonnes.
Vale's third-quarter iron ore output edges up
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
SAO PAULO, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Brazil's Vale SA (VALE3.SA), one of the world's largest miners, on Monday reported a third-quarter iron ore production up slightly from the previous year, while its smaller nickel output soared as refineries resumed operations. Vale's output of iron ore, its main product, reached 89.7 million tonnes for the third quarter, up 1.1% from the previous year. Meanwhile, nickel production for the period leapt 71.5% to 51,800 tonnes, as refineries resumed after a maintenance period, Vale said. Nickel sales, however, grew just 6%, which Vale attributed to low container availability and sales commitments during maintenance stoppages in the last three months of this year. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Peter Frontini; Editing by Chris Reese and David GregorioOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
A general view of the aftermath of a mine dam wall collapse in Jagersfontein, South Africa, September 12, 2022. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterThe disaster has raised questions about who should be responsible for tailings dams oversight in South Africa and across the world. The Jagersfontein dam burst follows the brumadinho tailings dam collapse in Brazil nearly four years ago, which killed hundreds when a Vale SA (VALE3.SA)-owned dam collapsed. South Africa's government, mining industry and experts are still in the process of updating the country's tailings code to align with the global standard, the Minerals Council of South Africa said. The experts say, for example, that the global standards require a clearer responsibility and accountability structure than the current mine residue code in South Africa.
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Persons: Tatiana Popa, Vinăria, ., Zaharia Triboi, Zaharia Organizations: Călărași Locations: Molovata, Dubăsari Molovata, Nistru, Dubăsari, Molovata Nouă, Moldova, Orhei, Călărași Călărași, Palanca, Frumoasa, Hârbovăț, Puhoi, Ialoveni, Chișinău, Capitală, Nisporeni, Ciorești, Codru
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