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Read previewThe performance of hedge fund manager Harris Kupperman's Praetorian Capital Fund is proof that being pessimistic can pay off — even when the economy grows and stocks rise. ​​Since launching at the start of 2019, Kupperman's fund is up an astounding 891.1% net of fees through March 31. AdvertisementBesides budget headaches, the hedge fund manager is wary of escalating political tensions at home and abroad. How to build a crisis-resistant portfolioThe hedge fund manager's blueprint for game plan scoring gains in a shaky backdrop with persistent inflation centers around commodities. A-Mark has consistently generated mid-single-digit earnings per share in recent years, though the hedge fund manager said that could easily rise to $10 as interest in precious metals rises.
Persons: , Harris Kupperman's, , Kupperman, Washington, He's, there's, Precious Metals, Mark Organizations: Service, Capital Fund, Business Locations: cryptocurrencies, East, Ukraine, China
Prepare for volatility and chaos in 2024Kupperman's confidence in his hedge fund is inversely related to his outlook for the economy. "Recent geopolitical events, along with the collapse of bonds in many developed markets, seem likely to lead to an increase in overall market volatility," Kupperman wrote in his letter. If he's right about inflation, his hedge fund would be well-positioned to beat the market for a fifth consecutive year in 2024. "I do the same thing always, which is you buy cheap companies with really strong tailwinds and you hold 'em through the volatility," Kupperman said. For the last 18 months, Kupperman has been convinced that the future is in two commodities: oil and uranium.
Persons: Harris Kupperman isn't, Kupperman, I'm, it's, Wall, Valaris Organizations: Praetorian, Fund, Praetorian Capital Management, US, Uranium Trust Fund, Valaris, Tidewater Locations: Tidewater
Virgin Galactic posted a loss of 28 cents per share, versus the 43 cents per share loss expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Krispy Kreme — Shares of the donut maker dropped 4.8% after the company fell short of expectations on earnings and revenue. Krispy Kreme reported earnings of 3 cents per share on revenue of $407 million, while analysts polled by LSEG expected earnings of 6 cents per share on $414 million in revenue. The ridesharing company reported third-quarter bookings of $3.55 billion, lower than the $3.90 billion anticipated by analysts polled by FactSet. Earnings came out at $3.42 per share, while analysts polled by LSEG had called for $3.43 per share in earnings.
Persons: Virgin Galactic, Krispy Kreme, LSEG, Goldman Sachs, FactSet ., , Bud, Dickinson, Wall, FactSet, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Galactic, Virgin Galactic, LSEG . Revenue, Virgin, Disney —, Disney, ESPN, , ISI, Barclays, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, FactSet, Arm, Anheuser, Busch InBev —, HSBC, Busch, Company Locations: U.S
The firm upgraded shares to neutral from sell in a Wednesday note, and slightly increased its target price to $5.50 from $5. The firm upgraded the offshore drilling company to overweight from equal weight in a Thursday note and raised its price target to $106 from $84. The bank reiterated a buy rating on Disney with a $120 per share price target, or about 42% upside from Wednesday's $84.50 close. Bank of America's Jessica Reif Ehrlich also reiterated a buy rating on Disney, albeit with a $110 per share price target, which implies more than 30% upside. The bank initiated coverage of the electric vehicle giant with a reduce rating accompanied by a $146 per share price target.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ygal Arounian, — Brian Evans, Bud Light, Carlos Laboy, BUD, Brian Evans, EBITDA, Stephanie Yee, Parker, Banks, Parker Hannifin, Nicole DeBlase, Eddie Kim, Brett Feldman, Bank of America's Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Bob Iger's, Michael Montani, Greg Melich, — Fred Imbert, Tesla, Michael Tyndall Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, HSBC, ISI, Analysts, Citi, Anheuser, Busch InBev HSBC, Busch InBev, Middle America, InBev, BUD, JPMorgan, Montrose Environmental, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, Disney, Bank of America's Locations: China, U.S, North America, Montrose, 3Q23, EBITDA, Valaris
Affirm posted $496.5 million in revenue, more than the $444.5 million consensus estimate, according to FactSet. It posted adjusted per-share earnings of $8.03, greater than the consensus estimate of $7.55, according to FactSet. The media conglomerate expanded its cost-cutting measures by $2 billion, and reported stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter. Becton, Dickinson and Company — Shares dropped more than 8% after Becton, Dickinson and Company reported disappointing quarterly earnings. The medical technology company posted adjusted earnings of $3.42 per share, lower than the $3.43 per share anticipated by analysts polled by LSEG, formerly Refinitiv.
Persons: Duolingo, Valaris, FactSet, Dickinson, Krispy Kreme, Amylyx, CNBC's Lisa Han, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim Organizations: . Virgin Galactic Holdings, TransDigm, — Aerospace, TransDigm Group, Disney —, Disney, Barclays, Arm, Company, LSEG, Revenue, AMC Entertainment, Pharmaceuticals
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs initiates Apellis Pharmaceuticals as buy Goldman initiated the biotech company with a buy and says it sees "continued execution." Bank of America reiterates Disney as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating after Wednesday's earnings report. Goldman Sachs reiterates Arm as overweight Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating after the stock's earnings report on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs reiterates Instacart as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating on the grocery delivery company after Instacart's earnings report on Wednesday. Morgan Stanley reiterates Rivian as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the electric vehicle company. "
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Tesla, WK Kellogg, Kellogg, Wolfe, Instacart, Morgan Stanley, Rivian, Eli Lilly, MRK's Keytruda, Evercore, it's bullish, Parker, Wells, it's, Hein Schumacher Organizations: Apellis Pharmaceuticals, HSBC, Tesla, Barclays, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Disney, ARM, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Merck, pharma, TAP, Industrial, Nvidia, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Bud, Offshore, Unilever, OW, Citi Locations: North America, Montrose
Renewed optimism about the economy calmed demand concerns while expectations of the largest oil production cuts since 2007 started to sap supply. Saudi Arabia and its OPEC allies refuse to boost oil production, much to the chagrin of the US. And so that's why I think it's just really, really interesting. Boosting uranium production takes years, he added, so it may take years to fix the shortage. Oil-adjacent stocks are the second-largest part of the Praetorian Capital Fund, Kupperman said.
Persons: Harris Kupperman, Kupperman, it's, I've Organizations: Energy, OPEC, Praetorian Capital Management, Capital Fund, Uranium Trust Fund, Praetorian Capital Fund, drillers, Offshore Locations: Saudi Arabia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Russia, Ukraine
Investors should prepare for fiscal, banking, and energy crises, a hedge fund manager warned. And thanks to a strong performance in July, the $254 million hedge fund has risen 16.8% after fees in 2023. Oil prices came under pressure when government reserves were released, but Kupperman said that's not a viable long-term recipe for reasonable energy prices. He expects a massive spike in oil prices in either 2024 or 2025, which will greatly benefit companies tied to the commodity. The investing opportunity Kupperman said he's most excited about is uranium, which he's playing through the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust.
Persons: Capital's Harris Kupperman, he's, Harris Kupperman, Kupperman, , He's, he'll, we've, Macrotrends Banks, it's, that's, Joe, JOE Organizations: Praetorian Capital Management, Praetorian, Fund, Treasury, Uranium Trust, Energy, Florida Panhandle Locations: Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Russia, Ukraine, Florida
Standout hedge fund manager Charles Lemonides came into the year careful but is now more optimistic. Heading into 2023, hedge fund manager Charles Lemonides was preparing for the worst. His hedge fund is down 8% in 2023 through May, though it's still up 155% in the past five years. The hedge fund manager said the economy can take another rate hike or two, even though investors may groan about it. The hedge fund manager is currently bullish on energy stocks broadly — particularly those in the oil and gas industry.
Persons: Charles Lemonides, Lemonides, hasn't, it's, We've, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Netflix, Energy, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Unit Corp, United Natural Foods, Yale Materials, Foods Locations: financials
The Department of Energy's "embarrassingly stupid" policies will likely cause a severe energy shortage and an energy crisis in 2023, Kupperman told Insider. I mean, US energy production has roughly been flat since the end of Q1 — six months where it's flat. Ironically, energy-friendly policies that lead to an increase in oil production would bring down prices and hurt his portfolio's performance in the process. This doesn't sound like the team of people — between his energy secretary and then Biden — that's going to restore energy production. "We're going to see a new level, so to speak, in terms of commodity prices," Kupperman said.
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