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But with the market at an all-time high, now is probably a good time to hedge against potential downside, experts say. That's especially the case because there's an elevated degree of risk facing stocks, and the cost of some insurance measures is historically cheap. Related storiesThe S&P 500 also looks overextended on a technical basis, according to many measures. AdvertisementRosenberg Research"The definition of a stretched market is one when the S&P 500 gaps 14% or more above the 200-day trendline. Beyond extreme, in fact — back to 1928, the S&P 500 has only drifted this far above the moving average 7% of the time," Rosenberg said.
Persons: Jim Smigiel, they've, Louis Fed, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Steve Sosnick, we're, Smigiel, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bank of America's, Survey, Bank of America, SEI, Fed, Louis Fed Inflation, MRB Partners, Rebels, Rosenberg Research, Interactive Brokers Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Suez
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Index , which closed Friday at 12.63 is currently approaching 5-year lows. It is calculated from the prices of S & P 500 index options. Investors can speculate in VIX futures or VIX futures options, but understanding the futures "term structure" (how the prices of various futures of different expiration relate to each other) isn't that straightforward. Consider the following chart of the Barclays iPath S & P 500 (VXX) , an exchange traded note which is intended to track the S & P 500 short-term VIX futures total return index vs. the VIX Index itself. If one is inclined to make a bullish bet, but is reluctant to get caught "chasing" after the market has already rallied sharply, perhaps we can take advantage of the fact options prices are well below average.
Persons: VXX Organizations: Barclays iPath, Broadcom, Dollar Locations: New York City, VXX, SPDR
Wall Street's glide toward higher stocks and falling bond yields was jolted into reverse Thursday, as surprisingly strong economic data sent bond yields soaring and stocks tumbling . For example, the iPath Series B S & P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) and the ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY) serve as bets that investor expectations of volatility will go up from here. The UVXY is designed to provide 1.5-times returns of the VIX short-term futures and was up about 8% in midday trading. Rising yields Profiting from rate spikes through bond funds can be a bit tricky. The biggest fund in that space is the iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF (FLOT) , which was little changed on Thursday.
Persons: PFIX, FLOT Organizations: Treasury, Dow Jones, US Treasury
Beaten-down stocks could be the big beneficiaries of a potential Federal Reserve-fueled rally this week. It would be the Fed 's fourth straight 0.75 percentage point increase in its campaign to tame inflation. Instead, investors will focus on what Fed Chair Jerome Powell may signal about future rate increases on Wednesday. Any signs that the Fed will slow the pace of tightening could ease investors' fears of a recession and result in a risk-on rally. The iPhone maker is down 13.3% so far this year, far less than other hard-hit tech stocks.
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