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Ukraine only needs to advance 10 miles to "crush the Russian army," says a war expert. AdvertisementAdvertisementWhere intelligence analysts see distances on maps of southern Ukraine, military planners see something very different. They apply military math and calculate that Ukraine does not need to advance 50 miles to "crush the Russian army and strangle the troops in frontline fortifications"— 10 miles will suffice to make headway, wrote Kallberg. From here, the Ukrainian counteroffensive needs to advance 7-10 miles to disrupt Russia's east-west transport routes, inhibiting the Russian army's ability to mobilize and fight. Russian military bloggers are gloomyUkrainian troops train with heavy weapons near the frontline in Zaporizhzhia on April 20, 2023.
Persons: Jan Kallberg, Russia's, Skala, Muhammed Enes Yildirim, Mark Milley Organizations: Reuters, Service, Center for, Washington Post, Separate, Ukrainian Armed Forces, REUTERS, Anadolu Agency, Getty, US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Washington DC, CNN Locations: Ukraine, Russian, Wall, Silicon, Kallberg, Crimea, Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia, Ukrainian, Orikhiv, Azov
Elon Musk denied Ukraine's request for Starlink access near Crimea last year, per The New York Times. Some Ukrainian officials and world leaders worry about relying on Musk's technology, the report said. According to the Times, Ukraine asked Musk for Starlink access near Crimea, but Musk refused, two people familiar with the discussions said. But Ukrainian officials are also concerned about relying too much on Starlink and have reached out to other satellite internet providers. And Ukrainian officials said in September that Musk had blocked Starlink internet access in Crimea, saying he was concerned about escalating the conflict.
Persons: Elon Musk, Musk, Mykhailo Fedorov, Starlink, Fedorov, Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, Mark, Zaluzhnyi Organizations: New York Times, Times, Service, Privacy, The Times, EU, SpaceX, Ukraine's Armed Forces, US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Ukraine Locations: Crimea, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Russia, Russian
CNN —US troops in Niger have been restricted to the American military base in Agadez, Niger, as the Biden administration works to restore democratically-elected President Mohamed Bazoum to power. A US military official said the approximately 1,000 troops were “retrograded” back to the base last week, shortly after Bazoum was seized by members of the presidential guard on Wednesday. “We’re working really, really hard to see if we can turn this around,” said a senior State Department official on Monday. But the Pentagon is engaging in “strategic patience as we monitor the situation and see how it resolves itself,” the military official said. The US has had troops in Niger for around a decade, mostly advising and training Nigerien forces on counterterrorism efforts.
Persons: Biden, Mohamed Bazoum, Bazoum, , Mark Milley, Dave Butler, “ There’s, Abdourahamane Tiani, they’ve, , Wagner, Yevgeny, Prigozhin Organizations: CNN, Nigerien, State Department, US Joint Chiefs, Staff Locations: Niger, Agadez, , Bazoum
Russia has been imprisoning Ukrainian civilians since the early months of the invasion. A document shows that Moscow plans to build 25 more prison camps in Ukraine by 2026, per AP. War analysts previously noted how Russia is prepared for a protracted war. The plan is another reflection of what war analysts have described as Russia's vision for a prolonged war after Ukrainian resistance dashed Moscow's hope for a swift victory. The think tank also added that a prolonged war is a narrative that Russia would want to push to discourage the West's support for Ukraine.
Persons: Dara Massicot, German Intelligence Agency Bruno Kahl, Dmitry Medvedev, Medvedev, Mark Milley Organizations: Service, Russia, Associated Press, RAND Corporation, German Intelligence Agency, Russian Security Council, Ukraine, Kyiv, US, Chiefs, Staff Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Russian, Vietnam, Kyiv, Washington
Ukraine has made "tactically significant gains" around the besieged city of Bakhmut, a think tank says. Geolocated footage published Thursday shows that Ukrainian troops made gains in Yahidne, around a mile north of Bakhmut, according to Washington DC-based think tank the Institute of the Study of War (ISW). However, it is unlikely that they have many more reserves to commit to the battle, the UK Ministry of Defense said. Along with the gains around Bakhmut, Ukraine's forces have also continued operations in at least three other sectors of the frontline on Friday, according to ISW. Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu Agency via Getty ImagesIn August 2022, Russia attacked Bakhmut using a combination of Wagner Group mercenaries, Russian soldiers, and pro-Russian separatist forces.
Persons: ISW, Bakhmut, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Mark Milley, Milley, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Vladimir Putin Organizations: MoD, Service, Washington DC, of, Ukrainian, Staff, UK Ministry of Defense, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Moscow, US Joint Chiefs, CNN, Bakhmut, Wagner Group, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, Bakhmut, Wall, Silicon, Yahidne, Russia, Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, Zaporizhia Oblast, Zaporizhia, Donetsk, Russian, Belarus
Ukrainian servicemen ride in a T-80 main battle tank captured earlier from Russian troops, along a road near the front line town of Bakhmut on June 19. Ukraine’s Western allies are getting nervous about the fact that the progress of Kyiv’s long-awaited counteroffensive is being measured in meters, rather than kilometers. Kyiv’s allies are well aware that Ukraine cannot defeat Russia without their help. Many of the countries that are supporting Ukraine’s war efforts are struggling with high inflation, rising interest rates and sluggish growth. Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley said that the pace is not surprising, given that Ukrainian soldiers were fighting “for their life.”“We are giving them as much help as humanly possible, but at the end of the day, Ukrainian soldiers are assaulting through minefields and into trenches,” he said.
Persons: Serhii, he’s, , Mark Milley Organizations: Radio Free, Radio Liberty, CNN, US Joint Chiefs, Staff Locations: Bakhmut, Radio Free Europe, Ukraine, Russia, Washington
Ukraine’s Western allies are getting nervous about the fact that the progress of Kyiv’s long-awaited counteroffensive is being measured in meters, rather than kilometers. But the slower than expected pace of the counteroffensive means their support could become increasingly unsustainable if the conflict drags on. Many of the countries that are supporting Ukraine’s war efforts are struggling with high inflation, rising interest rates and sluggish growth. Multiple Ukrainian and Western officials have admitted that the counteroffensive has so far failed to yield major advances – but most were quick to add that the slow progress was justified. The front lines in southern and eastern Ukraine have not moved much over the past months, giving Russian troops plenty of time to dig in and prepare for a counteroffensive.
Persons: he’s, , Mark Milley, ” Milley, Milley, , Legion, Defense Hanna Maliar, ISW, Volodymyr Zelensky, ” Zelensky Organizations: CNN, US Joint Chiefs, Staff, National Press Club, Ukraine’s, Brigade, Defense Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Washington, Bakhmut
NYT reported that one village, Neskuchne, was liberated with roughly 70 Ukrainian troops. According to the Times, Russia also has a contingent of troops known as the Storm Z unit that consists of former inmates. Ukrainian soldiers told the newspaper that reclaiming the village was a slow and painstaking process. According to the Times, Ukrainian soldiers first moved in on Neskuchne by foot before carrying out an artillery attack with small drones. More than a dozen Russian soldiers were killed and wounded, and six Ukrainian soldiers died, according to the report.
Persons: , Mark Milley, Russia's, Hanna Malyar Organizations: Service, Ukraine, New York Times, US, Chiefs, Staff, 129th Territorial Defense Brigade, Motorized Rifle Brigade, Times, Storm, 129th, Institute for Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Neskuchne, Donetsk, Moscow, Russian
Over a year since Russia invaded Ukraine, there still does not appear to be a clear end in sight. Here are six ways the war could play out and what victory might look like for either side. Russia's war in Ukraine has been raging on for over a year, and there is still no clear end to the conflict in sight. With the largest land war in Europe since 1945 now entering a new phase, here are six ways it could play out. One senior official previously said that a Russian nuclear strike could trigger a "physical response" from NATO.
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, it's, Seth Jones, Mykhalchuk, Jones, SERGEY SHESTAK, Muhammed Enes Yildirim, Putin, He's, Zelenskyy, Vladimir Putin, LUDOVIC MARIN, they've, Spencer Platt, It's, Mark Cancian, Sergei Shoigu, Valery Gerasimov, Scott Peterson, Mark Milley, Eugen Kotenko, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: Service, Center for Strategic, Studies ', Security, Leopard, Getty, Anadolu Agency, Marine, intel, 95th Airborne Brigade, US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Publishing, Getty Images, NATO Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Europe, South Korean, AFP, Donetsk, Crimea, Russian, Ukrainian, Siversk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, West, Kyiv, China
But Russia is still likely suffering around 500 casualties a day, the UK Ministry of Defence said. It comes as Russia is "preparing for anticipated Ukrainian offensive operations," it added. In March, the country was losing an estimated 776 soldiers a day, which dropped to 568 in April, it said. Russia does not release its own casualty figures, but the UK MOD pointed to figures released by the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Russia's slowing losses are explained by it moving to a more defensive position ahead of Ukraine's expected counteroffensive efforts, the UK MOD said.
The US released footage of a Russian jet forcing down one of its Reaper drones over the Black sea. The video shows a jet flying up to the drone and dumping fuel, and the drone's propeller getting damaged. 00:09 A Russian jet passes over the drone while releasing fuel, and the video transmission is disrupted. 00:27: A Russian jet starts to release fuel as it approaches the drone, and then starts to pass even closer to the drone. A composite image showing the rear of a US MQ-9 Reaper drone before and after the US military says a Russian Su-27 fighter jet collided with it.
Russia gained just 0.039% of additional territory in Ukraine in February, the ISW told Insider. It continues to lose equipment and a large number of soldiers in exchange for meager gains. Washington DC-based think tank The Institute for the Study of War told Insider that its mapping data showed Russia had gained just 0.039% more territory in Ukraine between January 31 and February 28. Russia gained this tiny amount of land while losing thousands of soldiers and hemorrhaging military equipment. And a senior US diplomat was also scathing about Russia's progress, saying: "Russia has declared that it is launching a new offensive.
Intense fighting between Ukraine and Russia has been taking place around the eastern city of Bakhmut. Putin has been sending troops into some of Ukraine's most heavily defended areas, a former general said. Mick Ryan argues the Russian leader is trying to get a win before the war's one-year anniversary. Fighting between Ukraine and Russia has intensified in recent weeks around Bakhmut, a city in eastern Ukraine's Donetsk region. Ukrainian soldiers shelter in the woods along a road outside of the strategic city of Bakhmut on January 18, 2023 in Bakhmut, Ukraine.
The US on Sunday started advanced training for Ukrainian troops, including prep for large-scale combat. The advanced training hints at larger conflicts to come, as Ukraine warns of new Russian offensive. Around 500 Ukrainian soldiers will go through its initial version, the outlet reported. This latest training is designed to help Ukraine better launch offensives against Russia and to counter Russia's own attacks, Gen. Milley said. Other allies are also committing increasingly advanced military equipment to Ukraine, with multiple European countries agreeing to send Ukraine tanks for the first time since the conflict began.
Ukraine will receive 14 more THeMIS unmanned ground vehicles, manufacturer Milrem Robotics said Tuesday. A Russian think tank previously offered a bounty for the capture of one of these vehicles. "Automating these tasks with unmanned vehicles alleviates that danger and allows more soldiers to stay in a safe area or be tasked for more important activities." Evacuation robot (unmanned ground vehicle) THeMIS seen on a dusty road during the field tests in Kyiv, Ukraine. At the time, a spokesperson for Milrem Robotics told Insider: "We take the bounty as a compliment."
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