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It may be time for U.S. stocks to underperform their European counterparts, according to UBS global equity strategist Andrew Garthwaite. First, UBS thinks the global economy has reached a point that would make American companies more vulnerable. "The US outperformed as US GDP growth was revised up sharply relative to non-US GDP growth (especially European GDP). .SPX .STOXX YTD mountain SPX vs STOXX 600 UBS also listed the U.S. fiscal policy as a risk factor. "This hence carries with it one of the following: i) a US bond spread risk; or ii) a relative growth risk."
Persons: Andrew Garthwaite, Garthwaite Organizations: UBS, U.S Locations: U.S, underperform
Piper Sandler reiterates Pinterest as a top pick Piper said it's sticking with its overweight rating on the stock. JPMorgan reiterates Amazon as overweight JPMorgan said the e-commerce giant remains a top pick at the firm. The firm also says it's sticking with its outperform rating on Apple. "We are reiterating our Buy rating and raising our price target on shares of Costco from $890 to $940." Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on Tesla .
Persons: Bernstein, it's, D.A, Davidson, KBW, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Musk, Piper Sandler, Pinterest, Piper, Evercore, Morgan Stanley, Sunrun, Guggenheim, Macquarie, Roblox, TD Cowen, Cowen, Michael Colglazier, Morgan Stanley downgrades Twilio, JPMorgan, GenAI, Wolfe, Elon Organizations: Bank of America, Elon, Spotify, UBS, TPC, Galactic, America, JPMorgan, Adobe, " Bank of America, Hasbro, of America, Monopoly, Apple, Baidu, Apple Intelligence, Costco, Nvidia, Tesla Locations: China
High interest rates have been a boon to Americans holding cash, but many on Wall Street are cautioning investors to start thinking ahead. People have been piling into cash vehicles like money market funds and certificates of deposit since the Federal Reserve started hiking interest rates. Interest rates appear to be staying higher for longer, with the Federal Reserve on Wednesday projecting only one rate cut this year. Agency MBS have a duration of about six years, per the Bloomberg US MBS Index as of June 3, Jones noted. Right now, the residential mortgage-backed securities sector looks attractive because of its relative value compared to investment-grade corporate bonds, he said.
Persons: Jones, Leslie Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Wells Fargo, Luis Alvarado, Alvarado, Falconio Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Agency MBS, Bloomberg, MBS, UBS, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Investors, corporates, UBS America's, AAA Locations: UBS Americas, Wells, Wells Fargo
Analysts have slashed price targets on three stocks from around the world over the past week: Adobe , France's Remy Cointreau , and Israeli software provider NICE . Adobe Five analysts cut their price targets ahead of Adobe's second-quarter earnings report, released after the bell Thursday. Remy Cointreau It's also been a tough week for Remy Cointreau, the makers of cognacs, liqueurs, and champagne. Ten analysts cut their price target on the stock over the past week. NICE NICE, which builds customer relationship management software, saw five analyst price target cuts over the past week.
Persons: France's Remy Cointreau, Remy Cointreau, Oppenheimer, Brian Schwartz, Remy Cointreau It's, Sanjeet Aujla, Remy, Rishi Jaluria Organizations: NICE, CNBC Pro, Adobe, Google, UBS, Nasdaq, RBC Locations: U.S, Adobe's, Cognac, China, Europe, United States
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Investors may want to be careful when buying tech stocks, as some names in the sector have become overvalued after their recent gains. Additionally, the CNBC Magnificent 7 Index has seen gains nearly twice that of the XLK and Nasdaq year to date, rising about 35%. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks in the XLK whose forward price-earnings ratio is above the S & P 500's. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.4, which is nearly double its five-year average P/E of 12.6. The megacap tech stock's forward P/E of 32.8 is 13.1% above its five-year average.
Persons: Jefferies, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Barclays, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Citi, UBS, Microsoft
The impact on China’s EV makers will vary depending on the level of tariff and each company’s cost structure. “One critical issue for China is that the EU accounted for 38% of China’s EV exports in 2023,” Sebastian said. In February, nine government agencies, including the Commerce Ministry and the central bank, vowed to provide support to accelerate Chinese EV makers’ global push. Tesla prices to riseIn contrast to BYD, state-owned carmaker SAIC is in a “disastrous” situation facing 38.1% in additional tariffs, according to Sebastian. Soula said China could retaliate by imposing tariffs on some European goods such as luxury cars, premium brandies or airplane parts.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, BYD, Tesla, Gregor Sebastian, , ” Sebastian, Etienne Soula, It’s, Sebastian, Geely, Andrew Bergbaum, don’t, Soula Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, European Union, EV, China’s, Alliance, Democracy, German Marshall Fund of, Commerce Ministry, SAIC, Volvo, European Commission, UBS, EU Locations: China, Hong Kong, European, Europe, Beijing, Asia, Brazil, Turkey, United States, EU, America, Shanghai, Hungary, Italy, Spain
The bank also raised its price target to $160 from $115, suggesting 18% upside from Wednesday's close. — Michelle Fox 7:59 a.m.: KeyBanc raises Netflix price target Netflix's growth isn't going to slow down any time soon, according to KeyBanc Capital Markets. — Pia Singh 7:23 a.m.: Bank America raises price target on Boeing Bank of America is weighing the challenges and opportunities Boeing has to make a turnaround. She kept her $38 price target, which implies shares could drop just slightly from its latest close. — Pia Singh 5:45 a.m.: Jefferies names Microsoft a top pick Microsoft is "going for AI gold," according to Jefferies.
Persons: Jefferies, Christine Cho, — Jesse Pound, Clark, Anna Lizzul, Kimberly, — Michelle Fox, Justin Patterson, Patterson, — Pia Singh, Ronald Epstein, Epstein, Oppenheimer, Ulta, Rupesh Parikh, Parikh, Morgan Stanley downgrades Corning, Corning, Morgan Stanley, Meta Marshall, Marshall, Tom O'Malley, O'Malley, AVGO, JPMorgan's Harlan Sur, Timothy Arcuri, Brent Thill, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Barclays downgrades NextEra Energy Partners, NextEra Energy Partners, Barclays, Bank of America, Clark Bank of America, KeyBanc, Markets, Netflix, Bank America, Boeing Bank of America, Boeing, Broadcom, VMware, Google, UBS, Jefferies Locations: Kimberly, F2H25
The S & P 500 could surpass 5,600 if cooling inflation leads to rate cuts, according to UBS. Strategist Jonathan Golub said that even his target, which was set in late May, could get left behind on a market rally this year. .SPX YTD mountain .SPX YTD While the number of anticipated interest rate cuts in 2024 has jumped around, three to four are now expected over the next 12 months, Golub noted. (For comparison, the average analyst anticipates the S & P 500 closing the year at 5,220.) He initially expected the S & P 500 to finish the year at 4,850, which is approximately 15% lower than his current estimate.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, Golub, BMO's Brian Belski Organizations: UBS, Wall, CNBC
Broadcom has a pathway to "join the trillionaires club," Bank of America said as it reiterated a buy rating on the chipmaker Thursday. The firm raised its price target to $2,000 per share from $1,680, a forecast that implies nearly 34% upside from Wednesday's $1,495.51 close. Analyst Vivek Arya said Broadcom's steady semiconductor sales and its exposure to multiple secular product cycles could help it get there. AVGO YTD mountain Broadcom stock. On Thursday, Broadcom stock rallied more than 15% and touched a fresh 52-week high.
Persons: Vivek Arya, it's, Arya Organizations: Broadcom, Bank of America, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Wall
Here's why UBS is bullish on homebuilder stocks
  + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why UBS is bullish on homebuilder stocksJohn Lovallo, UBS equity analyst, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the lock-in effects high rates are having on homebuilders, his favorite homebuilder name, and much more.
Persons: John Lovallo Organizations: UBS
The firm upgraded the ingredients maker to buy from neutral but lowered its price target to $48 per share from $50. "Though these items might not help earnings until 2025, we believe visibility surrounding them could improve in coming months and send the share price higher," he added. Lovallo has a $198 price target for Lennar, reflecting 30.1% in upside. Analyst Raimo Lenschow upgraded the marketing automation stock to overweight from equal weight and upped his price target by $4 to $29. Singlehurst raised her price target to $58 from $54.20, but the new forecast implies nearly 2% downside from Tuesday's close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Thomas Palmer, — Brian Evans, Edward Jones, Logan Purk, — Jesse Pound, John Lovallo, Lovallo, — Alex Harring, Oppenheimer, Colin Rusch, Rusch, Alex Bradley, Alex Harring, Raimo Lenschow, Lenschow, Wells, Steven Cahall, Wedbush, Michael Pachter, Pachter, Keith Gill, Piper Sandler, Valvoline Piper Sandler, Peter Keith, Keith, VVV's algo, hasn't, Will Gaertner, Gaertner, Morgan Stanley, Mark Murphy, Keith Weiss, Brent Bracelin, Louise Singlehurst, Singlehurst, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Analysts, Citi, Diamond Green Diesel, AMD, Devices, Nvidia, UBS, Lennar, KB, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Paramount, GameStop, Products, LSEG, Google, AI, JPMorgan, Oracle Locations: California, Tuesday's, VVV, reaccelerate, ORCL
Morgan Stanley upgrades Ciena to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley sees "upside potential" for the networking company. Morgan Stanley downgrades Pure Storage to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock mainly on valuation. Goldman Sachs downgrades Birkenstock to neutral from buy Goldman downgraded Birkenstock mainly on valuation. Wells Fargo initiates Skechers at overweight Wells said it's bullish on shares of the footwear company. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's possible that Tesla could make a phone.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Piper, it's, Edward Jones, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Birkenstock, Goldman, Wells, Wedbush, Needham, HAE, TD Cowen, Cowen, Tesla, Oppenheimer, Salesforce Organizations: Products, Devices, AMD, Paramount, Citi, DAR, Barclays, FI, GameStop, McCormick, Procore Technologies, UBS, Nvidia, hyperscalers, Bank of America, Apple, Fortinet Inc Locations: VVV
Massimo Pinca | ReutersDETROIT – Since spearheading a merger to create Stellantis in 2021, CEO Carlos Tavares has been on a cost-cutting mission. "We are not in the race to transition to EVs, but in a race to cut cost on EVs," Tavares said in late May during a Bernstein investor conference. The cuts are part of Stellantis' strategic plan to increase profits and double revenue to 300 billion euros by 2030. Executives on Thursday will outline developments across Stellantis' regions and businesses, including its capital and operational disciplines, according to Stellantis CFO Natalie Knight. "The share price reaction to the [capital markets day] will likely be driven by how these short-term concerns are addressed.
Persons: Carlos Tavares, Massimo Pinca, Tavares, " Tavares, Stellantis, Ned Curic, EVs, I've, Natalie Knight, David Dee Delgado, Ram, China's, Patrick Hummel Organizations: Reuters DETROIT, Atlantic, PSA Groupe, Fiat Chrysler, Ram, CNBC, Amazon, New York, Auto, Reuters, Cox Automotive, UBS, GM, Ford Locations: Turin, Italy, U.S, Auburn Hills , Michigan, Manhattan , New York, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS says these factors could push gold prices up to $2,600 by end-2024Joni Teves, gold and precious metals strategist at UBS, discusses the bank's decision to raise its forecast for gold prices.
Persons: Joni Teves Organizations: UBS
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during the conference celebrating the Centennial of the Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington D.C., United States on November 08, 2023. None of those numbers are dramatically different from the April readings, and still show inflation running well above the Fed's 2% target. Central bankers prefer the Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices, a broader measure that also accounts for changes in consumer behavior. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release the CPI report at 8:30 a.m. The Fed meeting
Persons: Jerome Powell, Celal Gunes, Jonathan Pingle, Pingle, tinker, Jack Janasiewicz, , Janasiewicz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, of Research, Statistics, Governors, Federal, System, Washington D.C, Getty, Anadolu, Federal Reserve, UBS, CPI, Investment, Labor Statistics Locations: Washington, United States, Anadolu
Despite the rare event, it’s unlikely the stock market will swing widely because of the economic two-fer, some investors say. Inflation showed signs of cooling in April after staying worryingly warm during the first quarter of this year. America’s rural hospitals keep getting attacked by cybercriminals. Microsoft said in a statement to CNN that it would provide free security updates for eligible rural hospitals, as well as security assessments and training for hospital staff. Google will provide free cybersecurity advice to rural hospitals and start a pilot program to match the firm’s cybersecurity services with the needs of rural hospitals.
Persons: Powell, , Dave Sekera, Alicia Wallace, Sean Lyngaas, Michelle Watson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, Morningstar, Investors, Traders, Fed, UBS, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, cybercriminals, Microsoft, Google, White, CNN, White House National Security Council Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, United States
Davidson's Gil Luria to upgrade shares to a buy. Apple shares have lagged major technology peers this year due in part to its failure to share a clear-cut AI plan. Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng was "encouraged by the financial implications" of the announcements, noting that new product features should help fuel an iPhone upgrade cycle . Lingering skepticism To be sure, other analysts worry that Apple's AI prospects may not be enough to power significant upgrades. "Contrary to consensus, we maintain the view that Apple's AI strategy will not lead to a significant iPhone upgrade cycle this fall."
Persons: Tim Cook, Siri, D.A, Davidson's Gil Luria, Luria, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, Woodring, Toni Sacconaghi, Atif Malik, OpenAI, Evercore ISI's Amit Daryanani, Apple's, David Vogt, Tim Long, Long Organizations: Apple, Worldwide, Apple Intelligence, Napster, Citigroup, UBS, Barclays
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said investors shouldn't make any big moves in anticipation of the market-moving events. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, shouldn't, Jim, Nat, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Broadcom, Nvidia, Apple, Energy, UBS, Club, Honeywell Locations: CTRA
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: We're expecting the BOJ will decide to reduce government bond purchasesMasamichi Adachi, chief Japan economist at UBS, says, however, the Bank of Japan will be "rather conservative on the rate hike at this timing."
Persons: We're, Masamichi Adachi Organizations: UBS, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
Morgan Stanley resumes Broadcom as overweight Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of Broadcom , saying it's "compelling." UBS reiterates Apple as neutral UBS said its survey checks show that interest in AI remains "muted" for Apple. Morgan Stanley names DraftKings a top pick Despite gaming tax issues in Illinois, Morgan Stanley moved the gaming stock back to top-pick status. Morgan Stanley downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said investors' expectations are "too high." UBS reiterates Micron as buy UBS raised its price target on Micron to $155 per share from $125.
Persons: Truist, Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen, Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Elon Musk, Disney, DraftKings, Jefferies, Colleen, Wells, Raymond James, MHK, Rosenblatt, NVDA, Melius Organizations: Microsoft, New, Broadcom, UBS, Apple, Nvidia, Disney, North America Gaming, Jefferies, JPMorgan, Honeywell, Micron, Nike, ARM, Adobe, Citi, General Motors, Bank of America, Mobile Locations: Int'l Parks, Illinois, North
UBS says this high-risk space stock could rally 50%
  + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Texas-based satellite manufacturer AST SpaceMobile is a risky — but worthwhile — investment, according to UBS. Analyst Christopher Schoell increased his price target for the stock by $6 to $13, implying a whopping 50.8% potential upside as of Friday's close. The shares have climbed nearly 44% so far this year, and skyrocketed about 284% over the past month. "We still see ASTS as a high-risk, high-reward investment that is subject to various risks," Schoell said in a Monday note. Still, the stock has several risks that could create uncertainties for the company's path ahead, such as launch timing and the possibility of failures, regulatory issues, funding and competition.
Persons: Christopher Schoell, Schoell Organizations: UBS, AST, Verizon, Federal Communications, Vodafone, Google Locations: Texas
S&P 500 & NASDAQ notch another record close
  + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 & NASDAQ notch another record closeVictoria Greene, G Squared Private Wealth CIO, and Scott Kessler, Third Bridge Global sector lead for tech, media & telecom, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the days record market action and Apple's WWDC.
Persons: Victoria Greene, Scott Kessler Organizations: NASDAQ, Private Wealth
The European Central Bank began easing interest rates on Thursday, cutting its benchmark rate by 0.25%. Investors and economists expect the Federal Reserve to follow suit and cut interest rates in September. This combination means there's a good chance that the September cut Wall Street is praying for may never materialize. The US already has somewhat higher interest rates than other countries — the Fed's benchmark rate is 5.25%- 5.50%. And in Asian economies, where interest rates are already significantly lower than in the US, things could get even messier.
Persons: Tamara, Vasiljev, Peter Schaffrik, Nigel Green, Green, we're Organizations: European Central Bank, Investors, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, JPMorgan, UBS, Bloomberg, of International Finance, Markets, RBC Capital Markets, deVere, Fed, We're, ECB, Bank of, EU, Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada's, Bank of England Locations: stagflation, China, Europe, Japan, South Korea, It's, America, United States, EU, Bank of England, Canada, East Asia
"Cruise demand is also tied to a broader consumer desire for accumulating experiences rather than objects," Farley wrote. "We can see that 2024 is not just benefiting from pent up demand, because that is completely new demand," Farley said. Melius Research is also bullish on the industry's future and believes cruise lines are set for continued margin expansion over the next several years. However, cruise pricing is holding up, analyst Jamie Rollo said in a note Friday. Earlier this month, the cruise operator lifted its full-year earnings forecast, citing strong demand and an improved outlook for the year.
Persons: Robin Farley, Farley, diems, Viking, Conor Cunningham, Morgan Stanley's, Jamie Rollo, Jason Liberty, Morgan Stanley, Rollo Organizations: UBS, Royal, Cruise, CNBC Locations: U.S, Royal Caribbean, Norwegian
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