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The S&P 500 alone has generated an average return of 7% during presidential election years since 1952, according to LPL Financial. If you limit that to election years in which the incumbent president is running for reelection, the average jumps to 12.2%. Yes, but: Market volatility in an election year tends to pick up in October and there are many months left in this cycle with potential surprises to come. “An autumn pullback fits well time wise with potential downside earnings revisions, make-or-break decision time for the Fed, and election uncertainty. The first round of the French election will be held on June 30, with a second round on July 7.
Persons: Goldman Sachs —, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, they’re, It’s, Goldman Sachs ’ Scott Rubner, , , Mark Hackett, Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Jim Reid, There’s, Emmanuel Macron, Katie Nixon, Chris Isidore ., they’ve, Samantha Murphy Kelly, ChatGPT —, Siri —, OpenAI, Siri, ChatGPT, hasn’t, Organizations: London CNN — Traders, Investors, White, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Nasdaq, Citigroup, Goldman, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Deutsche, Fed, United, Labour Party, Renaissance, Northern Trust Wealth Management, Alaska Airlines, Alaska —, Southwest —, Southwest, Railway Labor, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Samsung, Cyberspace Administration, Wall, IDC Locations: United States, France, , Alaska, China
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Sunday as the market is set to enter the last week of June and 2024's first half near record highs. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were both little changed. The S&P 500 scored an intraday record of 5,505.53 on Thursday and posted another winning week. The equity benchmark gained 0.6% last week, notching its eighth positive week in nine. The S&P 500 has advanced almost 15% this year after notching 31 record closes.
Persons: Katie Nixon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S ., Trust Wealth Management, Federal, FedEx, Micron, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Nike
New York CNN —If you won big on bets you made for the March Madness men’s and women’s NCAA tournaments, enjoy the money. So if you made bets last year, here’s what you need to do on your 2023 tax return, which is due for most people on April 15. Your winnings also may be subject to state tax, unless you live in the dozen or so states that exempt gambling winnings. It will then be up to you on your tax return to square whether you owe more or less on your winnings. So say you won $1,000 in 2023 at the tables in Vegas, but you lost $1,500 betting on last year’s March Madness tournament.
Persons: , Mark Luscombe, Luscombe, ” Luscombe, Daniel Rahill Organizations: New, New York CNN, NCAA, American Gaming Association, IRS, Wolters Kluwer, Accounting, Wintrust Wealth Management, Illinois CPA Society Locations: New York, Vegas
Did the economy end 2022 with a bang or a whimper?
  + stars: | 2023-01-22 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
But the United States economy still seems to be chugging along just fine after experiencing a hiccup in the first half of 2022. Despite worries about weaker consumer spending during the holidays, economists are forecasting solid growth for the fourth quarter. Yearning for earningsMore blue chip companies will report fourth quarter results (and perhaps give guidance about the first quarter of 2023 and beyond) this week. But according to FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters, earnings for the tech sector are expected to fall nearly 10% in the fourth quarter compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. Verizon (VZ), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Travelers (TRV), 3M (MMM), Boeing (BA), Dow (DOW), Visa (V), Chevron (CVX) and American Express (AXP).
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is in grave danger of being too hawkish, says JPMorgan's David KellyJim Caron, global fixed-income portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management; David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management; and Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss Fed policy hikes, the rapid rise in the 2-year note, and the looming economic slowdown.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI just don't think the economy can take a 4.25 to 4.5% rate, says JPM's David KellyJim Caron, global fixed-income portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley investment management, David Kelly, chief global strategist at JP Morgan asset management and Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the Fed announcement of a 75 basis point hike.
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