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The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.
Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan
Economists polled by FactSet anticipate the March consumer price index will show prices rising by 0.3% on a monthly basis, less than February's 0.4% advance. Similarly, the March producer price index is expected to show an increase of 0.5%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Monday April 8 Tuesday April 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (March) Wednesday April 10 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (CPI) (March) 8:30 a.m. Initial Claims (04/06) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index PPI Earnings: CarMax Friday April 12 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (March) 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (April) Earnings: State Street , Wells Fargo , JPMorgan Chase , Progressive , Citigroup
Persons: Stocks, we're, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, FactSet, David Einhorn, CNBC's Scott Wapner, he's, Michelle Bowman, Bank's Tom Hainlin, Hainlin, Jamie Myers, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Treasury Bond, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, . West Texas, Treasury, Fed, Investment Group, Investors Intelligence, American Association of, Walmart, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Index, Treasury Budget NSA, Air Lines, Price Index, Progressive Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan
Wall St ends lower amid Cyber Monday madness
  + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Remarks from Federal Reserve policymakers later in the week will also be parsed for clues regarding the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Amid the Cyber Monday fervor, Affirm Holdings (AFRM.O) surged 12.0%, as the payment platform's "buy now, pay later" option was seen hitting an all-time high, boosting the online holiday sales. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.63-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 79 new lows.
Persons: Elliott, Tom Hainlin, Greg Bassuk, Brendan McDermid, they’ve, Hainlin, Shopify, Stephen Culp, Shristi Achar, Shinjini Ganguli, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Adobe Analytics, AXS Investments, Federal Reserve, Financial, Commerce, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Elliott Investment Management, GE HealthCare, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Minneapolis, New York, New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
[1/4] A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. While the benchmark yield eased back from that level, it posted its largest weekly surge since April 2022, powered by solid economic data. 10 year Treasury yield and the Fed funds target rateStrong U.S. retail sales in September reinforced ideas that the Fed may need to keep interest rates high for longer, Hainlin said. The yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes, the bedrock of the global financial system, pulled back after breaching the 5% level late Thursday. Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 19/32 in price to yield 4.9094%, from 4.988% late on Thursday.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Ross Mayfield, Mayfield, Jerome Powell, Powell, Tom Hainlin, Hainlin, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Marc Jones, Rod Nickel, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Baird, Federal, Bank Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Louisville , Kentucky, Minneapolis, Israel, Gaza, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London
“It’s really relative to just pricing against bond yields”, said Tom Hainlin, national investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis. Eight of the eleven main S&P 500 sectors declined, with more interest rates sensitive Utilities(.SPLRCU) and Real Estate (.SPLRCR) leading losses, dropping 2.3% and 1.4% respectively. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. Second-quarter earnings for companies in the S&P 500 are now expected to fall 5% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data. The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and 6 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 88 new lows.
Persons: “ It’s, Tom Hainlin, , Thomas Barkin, Brendan McDermid, Echo Wang, Shubham Batra, Bansari, Anil D'Silva, David Gregorio Our Organizations: PayPal, Qualcomm, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Labor Department, Investors, Richmond Federal, Dow Jones, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, PayPal Holdings, Spirit Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Minneapolis, U.S, New York City, New York, Bengaluru
Disappointing results from Home Depot (HD.N), the largest U.S. home improvement chain, combined with weaker-than-expected retail sales data suggested consumer spending is losing some momentum as restrictive monetary policy dampens demand. However, a core measure of retail sales suggested the American consumer continues to bolster the economy. European shares ended lower as downbeat earnings and the U.S. retail sales data stoked worries about softer consumer spending. U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise on the heels of the retail sales data, suggesting that the Federal Reserve's efforts to toss cold water on the economy in order to rein in inflation has yet to take full effect. The dollar index rose 0.14%, with the euro down 0.04% to $1.0868.
Following last month’s banking crisis, investors have become more convinced the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the second half to ward off an economic downturn. That view could gain support if next week’s inflation reading shows a strong rise in consumer prices even after aggressive Fed rate hikes over the past year. The firm is recommending clients slightly underweight equities, expecting interest rate hikes to hit consumer spending and corporate profits. Bets on a more dovish Fed have boosted tech and growth stocks, whose future profits are discounted less when interest rates fall. “If the Fed was trying to protect investors, one way would be to cut rates," Hackett said.
Stock futures were slightly higher Thursday night as investors' attention shifted from this week's Federal Reserve meeting back to the U.S. banking system. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, while Nasdaq-100 futures were up 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite posted the largest gain, at 1%, as technology shares continued to rally on a hunch that interest rate hikes would be coming to an end. Investors continued responding Thursday to the quarter percentage point interest rate hike announced by the Fed on Wednesday. The central bank also signaled that the interest rate hikes, meant to cool inflation, could be coming the end.
US stocks tumbled after hawkish talk on rates from two Federal Reserve officials. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester each see the need for rates to rise to 5% or beyond. The Dow plunged 600 points, and the S&P 500 ended lower for a second straight day. The S&P 500 finished in the red for a second straight day, and none of its 11 sectors moved higher. Stocks may finish 2023 with a positive return, with the S&P 500 potentially landing at 4,275, said Hainlin.
The index has bounced about 10% from its October lows but remains down more than 17% on the year. Equities’ trajectory in the near future may depend on whether Tuesday’s consumer price index report shows inflation is responding to the most aggressive Fed hiking cycle since the 1980s. Hotter-than-expected data could bolster fears of more Fed hawkishness, pressuring stocks. A second helping of benign data could bolster the case for a peak in inflation and buoy equities further. Reuters GraphicsMeanwhile, investors are factoring in a half-percentage-point rate hike from the Fed next week, a step down from its recent series of three-quarter-point increases.
The S&P 500 notched its fifth consecutive losing session, and the Nasdaq Composite marked a fourth straight loss. Major banks are sounding the alarm on recession worries and potentially sharp losses in 2023. A slump in Chinese trade in November underscored global recession fears. Sign up for our newsletter to get the inside scoop on what traders are talking about — delivered daily to your inbox. The S&P 500 notched its fifth consecutive losing session with eight of its 11 sectors moving lower, led by the communications services group.
S&P 500 stocksAll 11 S&P 500 sector indexes declined, led by real estate (.SPLRCR), down 2.81%, and a 2.74% loss in energy (.SPNY). The S&P 500 declined 1.54% to end the session at 3,963.95 points. With two trading days left in November, the S&P 500 is on track for a gain of 2.4% for the month. Trading was mixed in other heavyweight growth stocks, including Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O). The S&P 500 posted 12 new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 93 new highs and 174 new lows.
S&P 500 stocksAll 11 S&P 500 sector indexes declined, led by real estate (.SPLRCR), down 2%, followed by a 1.91% loss in energy (.SPNY). In afternoon trading, the S&P 500 (.SPX) was down 1.20% at 3,977.86 points. Trading was mixed in other heavyweight growth stocks, including Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O). Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 7.7-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 11 new highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 75 new highs and 120 new lows.
Analysts widely expect the Fed to hike rates by 75 basis points for a fourth straight meeting in November. For the week, the S&P 500 climbed 4.74%, the Dow gained 4.89% and the Nasdaq rose 5.22%. Schlumberger (SLB.N) shot up 10.33% to help to lift the S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) 2.76% after reporting a quarterly profit above expectations. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.59-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.03-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 9 new 52-week highs and 32 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 60 new highs and 322 new lows.
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