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☆ Using options to trade an index that's become a swing trader's dream
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Although it is very volatile and exhibits wild swings, in the 1-year daily chart shown below, it becomes evident how confined its movement is within a well-defined trading range. Whenever it breaches one of these levels, it quickly stabilizes in a new trading range. Based on this analysis, I am considering a bearish set-up while keeping the top of its current trading range in mind. The trade Given the bearish outlook, I'm using a call credit spread as my trade structure. If the index stays below $2,260 by the expiration date, the trade will yield an ROI of 42% on the capital risked.

Persons: Russell, Nishant Pant Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A china stock poised for a breakout amid this stimulus rally, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Chinese central bank unrolled the most significant stimulus program since the COVID-19 pandemic and Chinese equities are starting to show signs that the long history of underperformance relative to western equities could possibly be on borrowed time. The name that has already demonstrated leadership that we want to focus on should this move into Chinese names continues is Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) . Before we get further into the company specifics it's important to reiterate that Chinese equities have under-performed U.S. equities since 2007. The goal of the program according to Chinese officials is to return the economy to a 5% growth rate. Turning to the focus company Tencent Holdings (TCHEY) is a multinational technology conglomerate listed on the Hong Kong exchange since 2004.

Persons: TCHEY, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Tencent Holdings, People's Bank of China, Hong, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: China, Hong Kong

☆ A way to play the China stock breakout using options following the big stimulus there
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed effectively cut rates to zero during the pandemic plunge, and the S & P had an extraordinary bull market. How to play it Consider PDD Holdings . PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates several online platforms. PDD YTD mountain PDD Holdings, YTD The share price is nearly 44% below the all-time highs of early 2021. If you're looking for a single stock to get involved with to hitch your wagon to PBOC's train, consider PDD Holdings.

Persons: you've, I've, PDD Organizations: Fed, People's Bank of China, Holdings, PDD Holdings Inc, Pinduoduo, PDD Holdings, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, United States, China

☆ An options trade that wins if Apple continues to trade sideways or down on iPhone, AI disappointment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Apple Inc. (AAPL) is facing headwinds despite the launch of the new iPhone 16, which offered only incremental improvements over the prior generation. Investors eagerly awaited the company's Apple Intelligence software update, but its absence as a significant growth driver is tempering investor enthusiasm. To capitalize on the potential downside, I suggest selling the Nov 15 $230/$245 Call Vertical. This entails: Sell the Nov 15, 2024 $230 Calls @ $7.73 Buy the Nov 15, 2024 $245 Calls @ $2.41 View this trade in OptionsPlay for updated pricing. This trade provides a high probability of profit trade for investors who believe AAPL will remain range-bound or face further downside, particularly given the slowing growth.

Persons: AAPL's, AAPL Organizations: Apple Inc, Apple Intelligence, Apple, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: OptionsPlay

☆ A key chart breakout by this materials stock suggests more upside to come
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But improved price action this week suggests Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (FCX) may be poised for further upside into the fourth quarter. So with a bearish momentum reading at the May peak, then a bullish momentum reading at the August and September lows, FCX was primed for an upside breakout. The breakout in March 2024, leading to the May peak, suggested a new uptrend as the price exited this basing pattern. The stock gapped higher on Tuesday, pushing above short-term resistance around $46 as well as a trendline using the May and July highs. The stock did become overbought this week, with the RSI popping just above the 70 level on the recent breakout.

Persons: FCX, David Keller Organizations: Inc, Freeport, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Freeport, McMoRan

☆ A popular China ETF is surging Tuesday. It's not time to jump in just yet, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Not surprisingly, the news has given a jolt to the most liquid Chinese ETF today, as well. The iShares China Large Cap ETF (FXI) has been trading even higher than that so far on Tuesday. The ETF was trading considerably higher in pre-market trading hours and opened a whopping 6% higher from the prior day's close. And that's exactly why we need to look beyond the last few months to a get true sense of its trend. And at that point, the ETF would be hitting its highest level since early 2022.

Persons: it's, FXI, that's Organizations: Shanghai Stock, RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: China

☆ A market hedge using options with the S&P 500 up nearly 20% for the year heading into October
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

New all-time highs in the S & P 500 have been welcomed by investors in the wake of the Federal Reserve going big on their first rate cut. The SPDR S & P 500 (SPY) is up nearly 20% year to date, I want to spend some of my remarkable 2024 profits on downside protection in the event a breather to the rally or a downturn is imminent. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year-to-date Measuring risk is always a challenge, specifically when various headwinds exist at the same time. Additionally, this is the richest valuation we have seen in quite some time with the S & P 500 trading at 24 times. I will look to potentially buy the $591 call if we see a 2% move lower in the S & P 500.

Persons: Jamie Dimon Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ Katie Stockton has an under-the-radar way to play the comeback in wheat and other soft commodities
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: CTVA, Katie Stockton Organizations: Invesco DB Agriculture Fund, Wheat, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: CTVA

☆ Using options to trade the AI-driven power generation buildout
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Power generation has emerged as a crucial investment theme in the context of artificial intelligence (AI) energy demand due to the significant electricity requirements of AI technologies. Several factors make power generation a vital AI-adjacent investment theme: Data centers, the backbone of AI operations, are among the largest electricity consumers. Investing in power generation becomes vital to support this expanding infrastructure. Fluor offers a wide range of services in the nuclear power sector, including project management, engineering, procurement, construction, and maintenance. The company has experience developing new nuclear power plants and maintaining, refurbishing, and decommissioning existing ones.

Persons: Fluor's, FLR, I've Organizations: Bechtel, KBR, Fluor Corporation, Corporation, Fluor, NuScale, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Irving , Texas, Fluor

☆ Pfizer is a bottoming stock that will pay you to wait for the comeback, says Carter Worth
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Former pharmaceutical champion Pfizer (PFE) , down 52% from its December 2021 all-time high, is judged to be in the throes of a "bearish-to-bullish" Reversal. Pfizer, the laggard the past year: Is now... Pfizer, the leader the past month: By our work, PFE represents a compelling "value play". And with a 5.73% dividend yield, one "gets paid" to wait as the stock continues to bottom. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Pfizer, pharma, Pharmaceuticals Industry Group, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Rallying Microsoft shares could be forming the troubling 'bear flag' chart pattern
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The foundation of Dow's work was based on the analysis of price trends, comparing swing highs and swing lows to define and track the trends over time. An initial look at the chart of Microsoft (MSFT) may suggest a consistent uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. And while this short-term uptrend is a valid observation, this also means Microsoft may be forming the dreaded "bear flag" pattern, which often precedes a major downdraft. A bear flag pattern occurs when you have an initial downtrend, in this case, the drop from $470 to $385 from early July to early August of this year. If MSFT would drop below $410 in the coming weeks, that would complete the bear flag pattern, and would also push the price back below the 200-day moving average.

Persons: Charles Dow, Downside, David Keller Organizations: Microsoft, MSFT, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A way to play the too-hot utilities trade now that rate cuts have begun
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors looking to participate in a new growth phase for electricity demand by purchasing the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) might be discouraged by its massive run over the past year. We'll review a way to play it with options that adds a buffer of protection. XLU .SPX mountain 2023-10-23 Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund since October low Despite this strong performance, the utilities select sector index still trades at just over 19 times forward earnings, a much cheaper multiple than the S & P's 23.5 times, and typically trades with significantly lower volatility as well. Spurring the economy will likely increase demand, but lowering rates improves the relative attractiveness of utilities for fixed-income investors as well. The trade XLU has an annual dividend yield of 2.8% and would make a fine addition to one's portfolio.

Persons: EVs Organizations: Utilities, Fund, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ How to play the Fed decision using options on gold
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gold is trading at all-time highs due to a combination of inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and expectations around monetary policy. Historically, gold tends to benefit from dovish monetary policies, especially when they signal prolonged low interest rates, which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Gold has maintained its bullish momentum, trading near $2,600, and appears to be breaking into new all-time highs. Looking at the chart, gold has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, a sign of strong upward momentum. The trade To express a bullish to neutral view on gold going into the Fed announcement, consider selling a SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Nov 1 $237.5/232.5 Put Vertical @ $2.02 Credit.

Persons: GLD Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Central

☆ Charts suggest traders should wait before they keep chasing utilities — the hottest trade of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Traders instantly react to the data (sometimes wildly so), especially when the actual numbers are distinctly different than estimates. Thus, historically, XLU has been correlated with the direction of treasury bonds (which move in the opposite direction of bond yields). Here's a chart with XLU and the TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, which we're using since it's the most widely traded treasury bond ETF. From 2022 through 2023, XLU and TLT moved in the same direction more often than not. Another reason is simply that investors are aggressively seeking yield producing instruments, with the understanding that bond yields were destined to fall.

Persons: XLU, That's, TLT, We're Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Utilities, Treasury Bond ETF, Bollinger, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: XLU

☆ A hedge that pays off if the chip stock comeback isn't for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Despite taking a beating in the latter part of August, most chip stocks have staged an impressive relief rally so far. Additionally, it's worth noting that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is starting to curve downwards, signaling a loss of upward momentum. The trade The trade structure I am using here is called a "bear put spread". THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: AVGO Organizations: Broadcom, Investment, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A growth stock showing signs of a breakout even as investors rotate out of group before Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

I wonder if this is collectively the same group that doubted the bull market when it was rallying on narrow breadth led by the Mag 7. Today we'll revisit Meta (META) , the second largest market cap name in the sector behind Alphabet. I currently hold a 7% target allocation in my Tactical Alpha Growth (TAG) portfolio and a 2% target allocation in my Strategic Income & Growth (SIG) portfolio at Inside Edge Capital. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: ( Gordon owns META in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Elliott, I'm, Zuckerberg, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, CNBC Pro, Alpha, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Apple shares are breaking down and could be under pressure for months, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: AAPL, Headwind, — Katie Stockton Organizations: Apple, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AAPL

☆ Gold keeps rising to record after record. How to play it from here with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Gold is at a new record around $2,610 per ounce — more than ten times the low of just over $253 per ounce in 1999. @GC.1 ALL mountain Gold futures, long term Physical gold holders typically retain their assets through market fluctuations. The fundamental case A notable exception has been Saudi Arabia, which has historically acted as a liquidity source by buying gold when prices fell and selling as prices rose. In 2023, central banks purchased 1,037 metric tons of gold, with China buying nearly 225 tons, the largest amount since 1977. The trade As an alternative to buying gold directly, one could consider purchasing a longer-dated call option and selling a nearer-dated strangle to offset decay on the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) , which tracks the price of gold.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, China, Central

☆ A market and tech hedge ahead of an uncertain Fed decision next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve has telegraphed the kickoff of their interest rate cutting campaign to begin next week. I believe a quarter-point interest rate cut is their first step but, a half-point interest rate cut (which has the ability to roil markets) has recently been floated strongly. The Nasdaq-100 dropped 6% last week and is now up nearly 5% this week, these are not normal market conditions. QQQ YTD mountain Invesco QQQ Trust, YTD The Cboe Volatility Index , yet elevated, is not showing current signs of panic. The trade The CME Fedwatch tool is narrowly favoring a 25 basis point interest rate cut but, it is oddly closer to a coin toss than it was last week.

Persons: pont, QQQ Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Tesla is poised for a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Before we get into the charts, it's important to discuss the process of choosing to write about TSLA this week. In other words, oftentimes, the most comprehensive method to locate constructive trade set-ups is reviewing a big list and taking note of the charts that look attractive. That's why I frequently intentionally do NOT look at the chart's stock symbol while going through a long list. I want the chart, and only the chart, to be the factor that influences my decision to potentially buy or sell it. Thus, seeing the above potential breakout attempt come to fruition would have a meaningful impact on its longer-term trend, too.

Persons: TSLA, That's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Tesla, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The inside story of how Sandra Day O’Connor rebuffed pressure from Scalia and others to overturn Roe v. Wade
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Joan Biskupic | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Handwritten notes from Justice Sandra Day O'Connor's papers on a major abortion case in 1989. The correspondence and notes foreshadow where O’Connor landed in the 1992 Planned Parenthood v. Casey case, when Justice Anthony Kennedy, hostile to Roe v. Wade in 1989, was ready to join O’Connor in upholding Roe. Accelerating the tensions all around was the time pressure of the Missouri case. O’Connor wrote that Kennedy said, “Roe is just flawed analytically” and that he wanted to “return this debate to democratic process” in the states. Library of CongressDraft opinion language from Justice John Paul Stevens he sent to Justice Sandra Day O'Connor.

Persons: Sandra O’Connor, eviscerate Roe, Wade, O’Connor, Roe, Antonin Scalia, William Rehnquist, Rehnquist, — Webster, Reproductive Health Services —, ” Rehnquist, Sandra Day, George H.W, Reagan, bristled, ”, Scalia, John Paul Stevens, Gerald Ford, Casey, Anthony Kennedy, Dobbs, Samuel Alito, Webster, Kennedy, “ Nino, ” Scalia, ” O’Connor, “ Roe, O’Connor’s, Roe “, Byron White, “, Byron, Sandra, Nino, Tony …, White, Sandra Day O'Connor, Congress O’Connor, bemoaning, overruling Roe, ” Stevens, reexamine Roe, reconsidering Roe, Stevens, Stevens ’, inched, John . ”, ’, William Brennan, David Souter, Bush Organizations: CNN, Reproductive Health Services, Congress, Library, O’Connor, Stanford Law School, Roe, Chicago, Stevens, Kennedy Locations: Missouri, Roe, Bush, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Phoenix, Minnesota

☆ Stocks linked to the economy are acting poorly, especially this bellwether, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Carter Braxton Worth | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Year to date, the S & P 500 machinery group is up only 8% versus the S & P 500 industrial sector, which is up 12%. The S & P 500 itself which is up 16%. We remain underweight industrials generally, and machinery stocks specifically. Here's S & P 500 machinery industry comprising 17 stocks with a total market capitalization of $764 billion: The 2-panel chart below depicts the S & P 500 machinery industry marking new highs the past 18 months, yet a series of lower relative highs to the market. Top Panel: S & P 500 Machinery Industry Group Bottom panel: Machinery's Relative Performance to the S & P 500 Index Caterpillar chart below... we're sellers here.

Persons: Here's, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Caterpillar, Machinery Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ A hedge if this tech comeback is a head fake and a correction is still in order
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Technology Select Sector Index, which the ETF 'XLK ' tracks, is down about 9% since the all-time high on July 10. This is even though the technology sector earnings have experienced a compound annual growth rate 2.7% greater than the S & P 500. The chart below reflects the earnings growth of the Technology Sector vs. the S & P 500 over the past 20 years in a log scale. Not only has the technology sector grown earnings faster, but earnings growth has also been more stable. While technology stocks are down almost 9% from their all-time highs, those all-time highs also reflected all-time high valuations.

Persons: we've, it's Organizations: Technology, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A 'butterfly' options spread trade that pays off if there's an earnings-driven rally in Adobe
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The company's innovation pipeline provide long-term growth potential, with the earnings event likely serving as a catalyst for further upside. With expected EPS growth of 14% and revenue growth of 11%, Adobe maintain its leadership in the software industry. To capitalize on the potential for an earnings-driven rally, we suggest using a "broken wing butterfly," which offers a high reward-to-risk ratio. Specifically, I suggest the ADBE Sep 20, 2024 $585/630/650 Call butterfly at $10.96 Debit. This strategy entails: • Buying the Sep 20 $585 Calls @ $18.80 • Selling the Sep 20 $630 Calls (2 contracts) @ $5.53 • Buying the Sep 20 $650 Calls @ $3.22 This butterfly strategy offers a maximum reward of $3,404 per contract while limiting risk to only $1,096 per contract.

Organizations: Adobe, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Solar stocks get a Harris bump. What the charts say about whether the rally is for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But the stock quickly dropped to find new support around $210, eventually settling into a trading range between $200 and $240. This price range lines up well with previous resistance from 2023, adding further conviction to the importance of these levels. But if RUN can finally break above the $24 level, that would mean clear skies ahead from a technical perspective. While solar stocks still have much to prove, their technical configurations suggest investors should watch this space closely leading into the November elections. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Kamala Harris, FSLR, it's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Inc, Sunrun Inc, CMT, Sierra Alpha Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

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