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UBS strategists say six out of eight signs of a stock market bubble are already flashing. In a recent note from UBS, strategist Andrew Garthwaite outlined the eight warning signs of a stock market bubble — and according to Garthwaite, six of them are already flashing. These are the eight stock market bubble warning signs, according to Garthwaite. "We can see this if we look at the TMT period when the NIPA profits fell while stock market profits rose. Extended period of limited declines - Hasn't flashedPrevious stock market bubbles saw a multi-year period of limited sell-offs of less than 20%.
Persons: , There's, Andrew Garthwaite, Garthwaite, we're, Bubbles Organizations: UBS, Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Garthwaite, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVisible Alpha: Nvidia's incredible growth trajectory is sustainableMelissa Otto, Head of TMT Sector Research at Visible Alpha, discusses Nvidia earnings and Microsoft's new AI-powered laptop.
Persons: Melissa Otto Organizations: TMT
AI is transformative, but it's hard to determine its stock winners, Howard Marks told CNBC. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementArtificial intelligence might end up changing the world, but that alone can't determine the success of its underlying assets, Howard Marks said. When it comes to AI, Marks acknowledged the technology's transformative potential, and he himself can't say whether its beneficiaries are already under or overvalued. "So to say well, I think that AI will be very important, that's the easy part," the billionaire investor said.
Persons: Howard Marks, , it's, Marks, Goldman Sachs, Wall, Steve Eisman, they're Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bank of America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSnap's move on TikTok news is 'a bit premature', says Roth MKM's Rohit KulkarniRohit Kulkarni, Roth MKM senior research analyst, and Paul Gallant, TD Cowen TMT policy analyst, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the TikTok bill in congress and its impact on other social media companies.
Persons: Roth, Rohit Kulkarni Rohit Kulkarni, Paul Gallant, TD Cowen
Deutsche Bank's Fresh Money List has beaten the S&P 500 since its inception. It includes favored names from the bank's leading analysts across various sectors. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementIf you're wary of following the crowd and think the S&P 500 is too expensive but aren't sure where to look next for gains, consider Deutsche Bank's Fresh Money List. It's a basket of the top stocks that the bank's leading analysts predict will outperform the market over the coming 12 months.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Deutsche, Business
The market's surprising rally has lifted the S & P 500 to Goldman Sachs' year-end target before the first-quarter is even over, so the firm is giving clients various scenarios that could happen from here. If their target ends up being correct and stocks pull back, Goldman recommended clients get long its basket of defensive stocks. The S & P 500 is coming off its best week since December, bringing it to 5,234.18. Catch-down scenario: The S & P 500 falls to 4,500, or down 14% from here, as sales growth estimates prove to be too optimistic, especially for the Magnificent 7 Stocks. "Mega-cap exceptionalism" scenario: The S & P 500 finishes the year at 6,000, or up another 15% from here, where expectations for stocks like Nvidia prove correct and investors take the S & P 500 to 23 price-earnings ratio.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: CNBC Pro, Wall, Nvidia Locations: That's
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley said the stock is a top idea after coming out of the company's recent TMT conference. " Morgan Stanley downgrades Hyatt to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said in its downgrade of the stock that risk/reward is more balanced. Morgan Stanley reiterates Eli Lilly as overweight Morgan Stanley said the next catalyst for Eli Lilly is the results from the company's sleep apnea trial. Morgan Stanley initiates Phinia as overweight Morgan Stanley initiated the auto components and supplier company and says it's a "key beneficiary of the EV reset." Morgan Stanley reiterates Meta as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by shares of Meta.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Oppenheimer, underperform Jefferies, Jefferies, Tesla, Evercore, Tesla's, Tesla's Austin Gigafactory, Wolfe, XEL, Morgan Stanley downgrades Hyatt, JPMorgan, Stifel, Eli Lilly, Truist, Guggenheim, it's, PDD, Locker, Meta, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Netflix, Jefferies, Wyndham, Underperform, Wyndham Hotels, Adobe, & Highland, JPMorgan, Energy, Hyatt, Petrobras, Procter, Gamble, Guggenheim, Nike, ICE, UBS, Apple, Meta, & & / Locations: Tesla's, Texas, bullish, China, Kazakhstan, America
Moore named Nvidia , Western Digital and Microchip Technology as the investment bank's favorite names coming out of the conference. Computer drive maker Western Digital is the firm's top pick. Western Digital announced in late October that it will split its hard disk drive and NAND memory businesses into two separate public companies. "Every semiconductor equipment company that we talked to highlighted that NAND spending will remain at minimal levels through CY24, even as DRAM spending and cutting edge fab spending hit new highs," he said. Western Digital shares are up 17.9% so far this year.
Persons: Morgan, Joseph Moore, Moore, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Media, Telecom, Nvidia, Western Digital, Technology, Computer, Western, Digital Locations: CY25
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSalesforce's service cloud a space where we expect early AI adoption: Third Bridge's Charlie MinerHilary Frisch, ClearBridge senior research analyst and Charlie Miner, Third Bridge TMT sector analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk Snowflake and Salesforce earnings.
Persons: Charlie Miner Hilary Frisch, ClearBridge, Charlie Miner
But never had one come this early — one year and eight months ahead of said internship’s start date. While it has always been competitive, the investment banking summer internship process has gotten increasingly premature. As a result, wannabe financiers may want to start getting ready for the process as early as their freshman year. The Internship movieNetwork with upperclassmen firstNetworking is one of the most important aspects of getting a competitive investment banking internship. “A lot of kids don't realize they don't want to do it until they’ve done it for 10 weeks after the internship,” Sibley said.
Persons: Steve Sibley, ” Sibley, Goldman Sachs, Sibley, , , they’re, it’s, you’ll, , ’ inboxes, You’ll, , , Goldman, Don’t, Carlo Allegri, don’t, there's, might’ve, “ I’m, Sturti, you’re, It’s, you'll, would've Organizations: Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business, Business, , Finance, Bank of America, Citi, BI, Investment, Excel, IB, LinkedIn, Goldman, Getty, Lazard, Reuters, I’m Locations: , New York City, Manhattan, Chicago, Charlotte, Atlanta, Houston, New York
There's an "AI Cloud" future that excites investors. So far, Microsoft is winning the "AI Cloud" future. There's the "AI Cloud" future, where Nvidia GPUs and large language models form the foundation of new generative AI services delivered and rented over the internet. Then there's the existing "Cloud 1.0" business, where CPUs and more traditional servers support apps, websites and other software services. Microsoft's Azure cloud business saw revenue grow 28% in its latest quarter (fiscal Q2, calendar Q4).
Persons: , Mark Schilsky, Schilsky, Goldman Sachs, Bernstein Organizations: AWS, Microsoft, Service, Nvidia, Amazon, Services, Bernstein Research Locations: OpenAI
Today's dominance by the "Magnificent Seven" is starting to look eerily similar to how markets were during the 1990s dot-com bubble, according to JPMorgan. By the end of 2023, the 10 largest U.S. stocks, which includes all of the Magnificent Seven names, accounted for 29.3% of the MSCI USA. The 10 largest stocks are: Apple, Microsoft, both share classes of Google parent Alphabet , Amazon , Nvidia , Meta , Tesla , Broadcom and JPMorgan . .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 To be sure, the valuations of the top 10 stocks in 2000 were "significantly more extreme" than they are today, Chaudhry said. What's more, the top 10 stocks today are more crowded than they were even in 2000.
Persons: That's, Khuram Chaudhry, Chaudhry, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, USA, Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta, Broadcom, Apple Locations: U.S, USA
A soft landing would greatly boost small caps since they're economically sensitive, meaning they tend to thrive in expansions and fall during contractions. Marcelli also made note of smaller companies' weaker balance sheets, though those are arguably accounted for in valuations. With that said, those positive forces appear to be intact, so small caps could finally break out. Instead of selling AI chips or products, smaller companies can enhance their productivity by using the technology, the strategy chief said. 5 sectors where small caps can thriveWithin small caps, Temple said he's less focused on what sector a company falls into and more concerned with whether that firm is financially healthy.
Persons: haven't, Russell, Marcelli, Ronald Temple, Temple, couldn't, there's, Jack Janasiewicz, Janasiewicz, he's, you've, I'd, they've Organizations: Business, Yahoo Finance, UBS Global Wealth Management, Lazard Asset Management, Temple, Reserve, Savings, Nvidia, Devices, Microsoft
Even including the sale of Heathrow, this year is the slowest for airport transactions in the past decade, totalling $5.9 billion globally to date, according to Dealogic data. They have hired Mediobanca (MDBI.MI) and Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA) to find a buyer for a sale of their 49% stake in the company, the people said. Heathrow's sale valued the airport at 14.3 times EBITDA, according to JP Morgan analysis published on Wednesday. UK's Esken (ESKN.L), owner of regional Southend Airport, said in June it had started a process for the sale of the airport. On Thursday, Hungary's state-owned Corvinus and Vinci Airports notified the European Commission of a proposed joint takeover of Budapest's airport, according to a document posted on the EU website.
Persons: Andras Kranicz, GIP, Australia's Macquarie, Spain's, Ferrovial, Agata Lyznik, Mediobanca, Gianni, Origoni, Nico Torrisi, Morgan, UK's, France's Vinci, Vinci, Corvinus, Emma, Victoria Farr, Andres Gonzalez, Elisa Anzolin, Joanna Plucinska, Mathieu Rosemain, Anousha Sakoui, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: LONDON, Heathrow, BNP, Global Infrastructure Partners, AGS Airports, Southampton, Australia's, International, ACI, Airports, Macquarie, Credit Agricole Assurance, 2i, Credit, SAC, Gatwick, Southend Airport, Global Infrastructure Fund, Vinci Airports, European Commission, EU, Thomson Locations: Edinburgh, Italy, FRANKFURT, Spanish, Europe, Aberdeen, Glasgow, Heathrow, France, Hungary's, Budapest's
Here are the biggest tech stock buys by major investors
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Technology stocks have been powering this year's stock market rally despite the threat of elevated interest rates staying higher for longer. For a better illustration of position changes over the course of the quarter, Dick estimated the notional value of the tech buying using "volume-weighted average prices" (VWAP), a common Wall Street yardstick, last quarter. Meta was the stock that saw the strongest buying from professional investors last quarter, Bank of America said. Meanwhile, Activision Blizzard also saw elevated buying from big investors betting that the merger with Microsoft would get regulatory approval and close. Other well-loved tech names that saw increased buying included Uber, Qualcomm , DataDog and Intel .
Persons: Michael Dick, Dick, Meta, Airbnb Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Bank of America, Technology, Media, Telecommunications, Nasdaq, Meta, Activision Blizzard, Microsoft, Uber, Qualcomm, DataDog, Intel Locations: Airbnb
REUTERS/Stefan Wermuth/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 20 (Reuters) - Nacho Gutiérrez-Orrantia, one of Citi's (C.N) 's most senior bankers in Europe, will become the bank's head of banking in Europe as part of its planned restructuring, people familiar with the situation said. In his new role of head of the Europe cluster, the Spanish banker will look after Citi´s businesses in the region. Prior to the restructuring, Europe was part of its EMEA business unit, the second-largest region on a revenue basis, according to Citi's 2022 annual report. Gutiérrez-Orrantia was appointed in 2021 as its co-Head of Banking, Capital Markets and Advisory (BCMA) for Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) and has spent 19 years at the bank. The US bank recently appointed former Deutsche Bank UK deputy CEO Tiina Lee as UK Citi Country Officer (CCO) and UK cluster and banking head.
Persons: Stefan Wermuth, Nacho Gutiérrez, Orrantia, Jens Welter, Jane Fraser, Ernesto Torres, Tiina Lee, Andres Gonzalez, Pablo Mayo Cerquerio, Anousha Sakoui, Louise Heavens Organizations: Citibank, City of, REUTERS, Reuters, Citi, EMEA, Banking, Capital Markets, Advisory, Bilbao, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank UK, Citi Country, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Europe, Spanish, Middle East, Africa, EMEA, America, Asia South, Asia, Australia, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAnalyst discusses Sam Altman's ouster and implications for MicrosoftMelissa Otto, head of TMT sector research at Visible Alpha, discusses the OpenAI board's decision to oust Sam Altman as its CEO.
Persons: Sam Altman's, Microsoft Melissa Otto, Sam Altman Organizations: Microsoft
Electric power transmission pylon miniatures and Iberdrola logo are seen in this illustration taken, December 9, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Spanish utility Iberdrola is planning to make an offer for Electricity North West (ENWL) that could value the British power distribution network at a maximum of 3.5 billion pounds ($4.34 billion), two sources familiar with the matter said. Iberdrola (IBE.MC) declined to comment on any involvement in the ENWL sale process, which one of the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said is expected to start in December. Iberdrola is ramping up its investments in electricity networks, aiming to deploy 27 billion euros until 2025, with the goal of achieving 30% growth in core earnings of its networks unit to up to 8.5 billion euros. Iberdrola expects to receive around 6 billion euros from partnerships and asset sales by the end of the year that will help it close 2023 with a net debt of around 43 billion euros, roughly in line with 2022.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jefferies, KKR spokespeople, JP Morgan, Andres Gonzalez, Pietro Lombardi, Anousha Sakoui, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, Electricity, Reuters, Japan's Kansai Electric Power Co, Macquarie, KKR, ENWL, Scottish Power, Colonial First State, Iberdrola, Thomson Locations: Manchester , Lancashire, Cumbria, Iberdrola, ENWL, Merseyside , Cheshire, North Wales, North Shropshire, England, Central, Southern Scotland
Chinese stocks too have done poorly. 'High confidence in the tradable value' While the Chinese economy "is not very strong," Wong has "high confidence in the tradable value," of Chinese stocks. Stocks to play Goldman is overweight on several sectors including online retail, media/entertainment, tech hardware, health care equipment and services and food & beverage. Other stocks the investment bank sees outperforming "as the China growth story evolves" include internet services provider NetEase , technology hardware manufacturer Xiaomi , and manufacturing conglomerate BYD . China-focused ETFs Elsewhere, Saxo's Wong has his eye on the new infrastructure (such as 5G technology), industrial technology and agricultural technology themes.
Persons: Redmond Wong, Wong, Goldman Sachs, Stocks, Goldman, Saxo's Wong, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Clement Tan Organizations: Shenzhen Component, Saxo, CNBC, National Bureau of Statistics, Tech, Baidu, Galaxy Entertainment, Mining, China Resources Beer, Miniso, Hong Kong Exchange, CSI Agriculture, CSI 5G Communications, CSI Technology, Enterprises Locations: Shenzhen, China, Taiwan, India, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico
Four stock-picking PMs have recently left Balyasny Asset Management. The departures follow the exit of global equities chief Jeffrey Runnfeldt in October. Balyasny is up 2.8% this year, lagging most of its peers. A handful of long-short equities portfolio managers have departed $20 billion Balyasny Asset Management, which parted ways with its global equities chief in October. Four stock-pickers have recently left the fund, according to people familiar with the matter, including TMT investor Rob Bevegni, consumer PMs Jeff Russel and Matthew Gardner, and healthcare PM Chris Kuehnle.
Persons: Jeffrey Runnfeldt, Balyasny, Rob Bevegni, Jeff Russel, Matthew Gardner, Chris Kuehnle Organizations: Asset Management, Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVietnam is at the 'leading edge' of AI developments in emerging Southeast Asia: JPMorganRanjan Sharma, head of ASEAN TMT equity research at JPMorgan, says Vietnam has a longer-term outlook on artificial intelligence than Malaysia and the Philippines.
Persons: JPMorgan Ranjan Sharma Organizations: Vietnam, JPMorgan, ASEAN Locations: Southeast Asia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines
Telefonica and Liberty Global have been working with advisers on the sale of up to half of their combined 50% stake in Cornerstone. Vodafone (VOD.L) owns the rest of the business through its Frankfurt-based subsidiary Vantage Towers (VTWRn.H). Spokespeople for Telefonica, Liberty Global, Virgin Media O2 and GLIL declined to comment. Cornerstone, established in 2012, is Britain's largest tower company, managing more than 20,000 sites, according to the company's website. In recent years infrastructure and private equity investors have competed for slices in some of the largest tower deals, including Deutsche Telekom's sale of a majority stake in GD Towers, because of their stable cash yield and long-term contracts.
Persons: Phil Noble, Amy, Jo Crowley, Andres Gonzalez, Paul Sandle, Helen Popper Our Organizations: REUTERS, Virgin Media O2, Liberty Global, Telefonica, Cornerstone, Vodafone, Deutsche, GD, Thomson Locations: Blackpool, Britain, Frankfurt
A higher-for-longer interest rate environment could mean a "stalemate" for equities after their long upward march in 2023. However, history indicates that's unlikely to continue, according to Chen Zhao, chief global strategist at Alpine Macro. He expects stocks will trade sideways for some time as investors weigh competing narratives around a robust economy with the pressures of higher bond yields. Of course, stocks bounced back the following year when the Federal Reserve began to cut rates. … But at the same time, you have rising borrowing costs, rising discount factors that actually tamp down asset values."
Persons: Stocks, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Komal, Kumar, Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Federal Reserve, Kumar Global
JPMorgan's top strategist is telling investors to buy more gold and remain underweight stocks. All three major averages remain higher this month, shrugging off higher yields and the breakout of the Israel-Hamas conflict. "Our outlook is likely to remain cautious as long as interest rates remain deeply restrictive, valuations expensive, and the overhang of geopolitical risks persists," Kolanovic wrote. In fact, the strategist expects the upward march in equities is 'unsustainable' in a higher-for-longer interest rate environment. Equities are up YTD mostly on multiple expansion while real rates and cost of capital are moving deeper into restric-tive territory," Kolanovic wrote.
Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Israel
Ofcom said it had identified features that made it more difficult for UK businesses to use multiple cloud suppliers. Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft had a combined 70-80% share of Britain's public cloud infrastructure services market in 2022, Ofcom said. Microsoft said it was committed to ensuring the UK cloud industry remained innovative and highly competitive. The CMA welcomed the move, saying effective competition in the 7.5 billion pound ($9.1 billion) UK market was essential. Google Vice President Amit Zavery said Ofcom's referral demonstrated the need to create an open cloud market with no vendor lock-in.
Persons: Dan Ridsdale, Edison, Dado Ruvic, Fergal Farragher, Amit Zavery, Yadarisa, Paul Sandle, Foo Yun Chee, Mark Potter, Jan Harvey, Jacqueline Wong, Jane Merriman Organizations: CMA, Microsoft, Ofcom, Amazon Web Services, Google, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Markets, REUTERS, Cloud Infrastructure Services, Amazon, MICROSOFT, Activision Blizzard, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Britain, France, Japan, The Netherlands, South Korea, China, EU, Europe, Bengaluru, London, Brussels
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