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☆ Sweden's central bank chief says 2 to 3 more rate cuts this year is a 'forecast not a promise'
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"Two or three cuts is a forecast, it's not a promise, and we will adapt monetary policy according to incoming information," Thedéen told CNBC's Arabile Gumede. "Our inflation forecast is pointing to a good inflation outlook, we're still already now very close to our target and our forecast has pointed to 2% inflation in the coming months and years," Thedéen said. In order to deliver more rate cuts, "we don't need to have a super positive surprise, we need to have data coming in in-line overall. So I think that would be the main message," Thedéen told CNBC. Headline inflation in Sweden was 3.7% in May, slightly higher than the 3.5% forecast in a Reuters poll of economists.

Persons: Sweden's Riksbank, Erik Thedéen, Thedéen, CNBC's Arabile, we're Organizations: CNBC Locations: Norway, Swedish, Sweden

☆ Sweden central bank governor: Two to three more rate cuts this year is our best forecast
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSweden central bank governor: Two to three more rate cuts this year is our best forecastErik Thedéen, governor of Sweden's Riksbank, discusses the central bank's decision to hold rates in June and the factors behind its inflation outlook.

Persons: Erik Thedéen, Sweden's Riksbank Locations: Sweden

☆ Bank of Canada cuts rates, economists predict another reduction next month
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Bank of Canada in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, on Thursday, May 18, 2023. After keeping interest rates at a more than two-decade high of 5% for almost a year, the BoC said the indicators for underlying inflation looked increasingly positive. The European Central Bank is most likely to follow suit on Thursday, financial markets foresee. Inflation in Canada has slowed this year to hit a three-year low of 2.7% in April. "But we are taking our interest rate decisions one meeting at a time," he added.

Persons: Macklem, Riksbank Organizations: Bank of Canada, The Bank of Canada, BoC, Financial, Reuters, Canadian, U.S ., Swiss National Bank, European Central Bank Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada

☆ Dollar eases after Fed-spurred rise; yen stronger ahead of BOJ
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, pound and Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration, January 21, 2016. The Japanese yen strengthened against the greenback before Friday's Bank of Japan policy announcement, while the pound and the Swiss franc slipped after the British and Swiss central banks kept rates unchanged. The BOJ will end its negative interest rate policy next year, the majority of economists said in a Reuters poll, as the market has begun to envisage the demise of its ultra-easy monetary settings. The pound fell to its lowest since March after the Bank of England held interest rates steady on Thursday, following a cooler-than-expected inflation report the previous day. Meanwhile, Sweden's Riksbank and Norway's central bank both raised rates by 25 basis points, in line with expectations.

Persons: Jason Lee, Helen, Powell didn't, BoE, Monex's, Brad Bechtel, Sweden's, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Sam Holmes, Shri Navaratnam, Sharon Singleton, Richard Chang Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Friday's Bank of Japan, Swiss, British, Fed, Monex, ECB, Traders, FX, Jefferies, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, Swiss, Japan, Swedish, Norwegian

☆ Pound, franc slide as central banks pause hikes; dollar holds firm
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The euro rose as high as 0.9677 francs and is set for its biggest one-day rise since June. The dollar rose 0.8% to 0.9053 francs , hitting its highest level since June 13. "The Swiss franc has understandably weakened after the surprise hold in the policy rate today," ING strategists said in a note. Meanwhile, Sweden's Riksbank and Norway's central bank both raised rates by 25 basis points, in line with expectations. Although you never know for sure with this central bank," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, Goldman Sachs, Michael Cahill, Sweden's, Niels Christensen, Matt Simpson, Samuel Indyk, Brigid Riley, Kevin Buckland, Sam Holmes, Shri Navaratnam, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Swiss, British, U.S . Federal Reserve, Friday's Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, ING, Fed, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, NZ, Thomson Locations: Swiss, Sweden, Norway, Swedish, Norwegian

The European Central Bank last week lifted rates to a record 4% and upgraded its inflation forecast for 2024, but the euro fell and has lost almost 2% against the dollar this month. Overall, Europe's central banks "would like to portray this idea of higher for longer (rates)," said Ed Hutchings, head of rates at Aviva Investors. The currency, which the central bank labeled "unjustifiably weak," barely caught a break and remains near a record low against the euro . He expected one the of big European central banks to be the first to cut rates. European central banks were "in a bind," Fiotakis added, as higher oil prices also threatened to push inflation higher.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, Kit Juckes, BoE, SocGen's Juckes, Ed Hutchings, Nathan Thooft, Bjoern, Fiotakis, Orla Garvey, Naomi Rovnick, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Sterling, LONDON, Bank of, Swiss, greenback, Societe Generale, European Central Bank, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Aviva Investors, Investment Management, Reuters, DWS Group, Nomura, ING, Barclays, Federated, Thomson Locations: Swiss, Bank of England, Switzerland, Sweden, Europe, U.S, Western Europe, United States, Britain, Swedish, Japan, European

☆ Take Five: A central bank bonanza
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Now it's the turn of the world's most important central bank. Also on Thursday, the Bank of England is tipped to hike for the 15th consecutive meeting, taking benchmark borrowing costs to 5.5%. Norway's central bank is also expected to nudge benchmark borrowing costs higher, following a 25 bps rise in August to 4%. Reuters Graphics4/ DIVERGING TRAJECTORIESThe push and pull factors on central banks are nowhere more visible than in emerging markets. But for Turkey's central bank, convening on Thursday, the only way is up.

Persons: Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Amanda Cooper, Naomi Rovnick, Karin Strohecker, Jerome Powell, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, hypothesise, Tayyip Erdogan, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: U.S . Federal, ECB, Bank of England, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Japan's, of Finance, Thomson Locations: Central, Lewis, New York, Tokyo, London, United States, Europe, Scandinavia, Switzerland, Norway's, Latin America, South Africa, Egypt, Taiwan

☆ Asian shares stumble as investors brace for central bank packed week
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

S&P 500 futures advanced 0.2% while Nasdaq futures edged 0.1% higher. Also, Chinese trust firm Zhongrong International Trust Co, with exposure to Chinese property developers, said over the weekend it was unable to make payments on some trust products on time. The euro recovered 0.1% to $1.0673 in early Asia trade, after slumping to a 3-1/2 month low of $1.0629 last week as the European Central Bank signalled its rate hikes could be over. Brent crude futures rose 0.3% at $94.20 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 0.4% at $91.14. Reporting by Stella Qiu; Editing by Lincoln Feast and Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: BOE, BOJ, Tommy Xie, Jerome Powell, Chris Weston, Weston, Kazuo Ueda, Cash Treasuries, Stella Qiu, Lincoln Organizations: SYDNEY, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, China Evergrande, HK, International Trust Co, Greater, Greater China Research, OCBC Bank, U.S . Federal, Fed, U.S ., Bank of England, Treasury, Amazon, European Central Bank, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Hong Kong, Beijing, Greater China, Tokyo

☆ Big central banks hike again with end of tightening in sight
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONDON, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Major central banks are tentatively eyeing the end of aggressive interest rate hikes as price pressures finally show signs of abating. So far, nine developed economies have raised rates by a combined 3,865 basis points (bps) in this cycle. This may have marked the end of a 20-month hiking cycle, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the central bank to stay put for the rest of 2023. Canada's inflation rate fell to 2.8% in June. Reuters Graphics10) JAPANThe Bank of Japan, the world's most dovish major central bank, kept its interest rate target at -0.1% in July, but shook markets by making its yield curve control policy more flexible.

Persons: Jerome Powell, BoE, Riksbank, Nell Mackenzie, Alun John, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Robertson, Chiara Elisei, Vincent Flasseur, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Tomasz Janowski, Toby Chopra Organizations: UNITED, Federal Reserve, ZEALAND, Reserve Bank of New, Reuters, BRITAIN, Bank of England, bps, Bank of Canada, BoC, European Central Bank, ECB, Reserve Bank of Australia, Norges Bank, Swiss, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, NORWAY, SWEDEN, SWITZERLAND Swiss, JAPAN

☆ Big central banks hike again with end in sight
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

To date, nine developed economies have raised rates by a combined 3,840 basis points (bps) in this cycle. Expectations for a big rate increase have eased after latest data showed inflation fell to a softer-than-expected 7.9% in June. Markets think there's a 50% chance of a 25 bps increase in September, and an equal chance of a hold. Reuters Graphics10) JAPANThe Bank of Japan, the world's most dovish major central bank, concludes a two-day meeting on Friday. The central bank is leaning towards keeping the dial set to dovish, Reuters reported last week.

Persons: Jerome Powell, BoE, Philip Lowe's, Michele Bullock, Riksbank, Kazuo Ueda, Nell Mackenzie, Alun John, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Robertson, Chiara Elisei, Vincent Flasseur, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Sharon Singleton Organizations: UNITED, Federal Reserve, ZEALAND, Reserve Bank of New, Reuters, BRITAIN, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, BoC, European Central Bank, Norges Bank, bps, Swiss National Bank, Markets, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, AUSTRALIA, NORWAY, Norway, SWEDEN, SWITZERLAND, JAPAN

☆ Morning Bid: Fed turns screw, Micron pops
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

But as investors hit the half-year mark tomorrow, the tightening credit environment tempered fresh risk-taking. Two-year Treasury yields crept higher to 4.77% on Thursday after all the news, with the dollar (.DXY) firmer too and S&P500 futures marginally positive - helped by Micron. The VIX (.VIX) volatility gauge remains subdued at 13.6. Powell's relative hawkishness was mostly matched by counterparts at the European Central Bank and Bank of England yesterday. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Riksbank, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Paychex, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: Federal Reserve, Micron, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Atlanta Fed, Nike, McCormick, Paychex Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Japan, China, Madrid, Dublin, Brussels

With economic and monetary policy outlooks varying, currency moves are increasingly out of sync with each other. More pain is also anticipated for the yuan, trading near seven-month lows, as well as smaller Asian currencies. It's continuing to weaken against some European currencies and also Latin American currencies," he said. MULTI-LAYERED CRISISKit Juckes, head of FX strategy at Societe Generale, said the focus on monetary policy differences was also a result of uncertainties elsewhere. "We've got a one-in-a-100-years pandemic and once-in-75-years war and a-once-in-25-years energy crisis all thrown into the mix together," said SocGen's Juckes.

Persons: Yen, Pound, Jordan Rochester, Nomura, Lee Hardman, Hardman, Juckes, Morgan Stanley reckons, We've, SocGen's, You’ve, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alun John, John Stonestreet Organizations: The Bank of, European Central Bank, Reuters Graphics Rochester, Societe Generale, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Europe, COVID, Ukraine, The Bank of Japan, United States, Beijing, Scandinavia

☆ Sweden's Riksbank raises rate to 3.50%, says nearly done with hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Sweden's central bank raised its policy rate by half a percentage point to 3.50% in line with market forecasts on Wednesday and said it was nearly done with policy tightening. While the half-percentage point hike was in line with forecasts, markets cut their expectations of where the Riksbank policy rate will peak to around 3.75% from close to 4.0% prior to the decision. The dovish tilt in policy was underlined by two of the five rate-setters voting for a smaller hike this time. Deputy Governors Martin Floden and Anna Breman wanted a quarter point hike with the flexibility to hike more or less later this year. The central bank said it would continue to focus on new data in determining policy ahead and uncertainty remains high.

☆ Germany's Buch seen as favorite to be new ECB top supervisor, sources say
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-15 | by ( Balazs Koranyi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

WASHINGTON, April 15 (Reuters) - Three women are seen as the top contenders to become the European Central Bank's new supervisory chief, with Germany's Claudia Buch considered the clear favorite, conversations with a dozen sources with direct knowledge indicate. The ECB oversees just over a hundred of the euro zone's biggest banks and needs to pick a new top supervisor to replace Andrea Enria. His five-year term expires at the end of this year, just as sharply rising interest rates challenge banks' business models. Donnery, a deputy governor at Ireland's central bank, is seen as more of a long shot, the sources said. The sources added that the selection process has yet to start, so all discussions about the candidates are still informal.

[1/2] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, February 8, 2023. Crude prices eased, with gold firmer as the dollar index fell 0.18%, while MSCI's U.S.-centric index of stock performance in 47 countries (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.44%. China's blue chips (.CSI300) rose 1.3%, pulling away from a one-month trough, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) gained 1.6%. Crude prices eased as oil infrastructure appeared to have escaped serious damage from the earthquake that devastated parts of Turkey and Syria, while U.S. inventories swelled and investors worried about central bank rate hikes. Gold prices rose for a fourth straight session as the dollar faltered, even as Fed officials indicated more rate hikes are warranted to rein in inflation.

☆ European markets head for positive open as investors looks ahead to U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

European markets are heading for a higher open as investors gear up for more inflation data this week, with U.S. consumer price data for December due Thursday. U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday emphasized the need for the central bank to be free of political influence while it tackles persistently high inflation. In a speech delivered to Sweden's Riksbank, Powell noted that stabilizing prices requires making tough decisions that can be politically unpopular. The speech did not contain any direct clues about where policy is headed for a Fed that raised interest rates seven times in 2022, and has indicated that more increases are likely this year.

☆ Sweden is facing its ‘day of reckoning’ as house prices plummet
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Hannah Ward-Glenton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

But now property prices are tumbling. Sweden's property prices are facing a serious drop as the country's former central bank governor warns of lofty household debt levels. Central bank rate hikesIn 2022, Sweden's central bank undertook an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle that ricocheted through the property market. So basically once the interest rate is stabilised, we don't expect prices to continue declining," Brodin said. Sweden isn't the only European country experiencing a plunging property market post-pandemic, with some economists forecasting a similar downturn of between 20% and 25% in Germany.

"There are plenty of other people who can take measures to combat climate change and I worry that people, in their great enthusiasm for doing good, are actually putting at risk central bank independence," King said. They were in a minority in a conference packed with central bankers who had long accepted they had some duty towards the environment and, in many cases, were already taking some steps. "It would be misleading to use tighter financing conditions as a scapegoat for further delays in the green transition," Schnabel said. "By saying we have a role to play in helping to finance the green transition... we are increasing this misunderstanding of what our role is," said Wunsch, Belgium's central bank governor. Singapore's Ravi Menon, meanwhile, said central bankers should do much more to help the economy reduce its emissions than just focussing on the risks.

☆ Morning bid: Obstacle course ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic said they expect Fed rates - now at 4.25% to 4.5% - will need to rise to a 5% to 5.25% range to sap inflation. The other big market obstacle of the week is the onset of the U.S. corporate earnings season. Four American banking giants - JPMorgan (JPM.N), Bank of America (BAC.N), Citigroup (C.N) and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) - report earnings on Friday. Diaried events and data releases that may provide direction to U.S. and world markets later on Tuesday:* U.S. Dec NFIB small business survey. * U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem and European Central Bank board member Isabel Schnabel all speak at Swedish central bank event.

☆ Powell stresses need for Fed's political independence while tackling inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday stressed the need for the central bank to be free of political influence while it tackles persistently high inflation. "The absence of direct political control over our decisions allows us to take these necessary measures without considering short-term political factors," he added. Powell's remarks came at a forum to discuss central bank independence, and were to be followed by a question-and-answer session. While criticism of Fed actions by elected leaders is often done in quieter tones, the Powell Fed has faced vocal opposition from both sides of the political aisle. President Joe Biden has largely resisted commenting on Fed moves while noting that it is primarily the central bank's responsibility to tackle inflation.

Reuters GraphicsOn a monthly basis, data showed that seven out of the 10 major central banks lifted rates in December. This compares to the monthly peak of 550 bps in September, though not all central banks meet on a monthly basis. "Most emerging market central banks are close to having completed their rate hike cycle," said Charles-Henry Moncheau, chief investment office at Syz Group. Central banks in Korea, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia and Israel did not hold rate setting meetings in December. Emerging markets interest ratesReporting by Karin Strohecker and Vincent Flasseur in London, editing by Tomasz JanowskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

SummarySummary Companies G10 central banks deliver 350 bps of rate hikes last monthEmerging central banks tightened policy by 400 bpsHiking cycle coming to an end in many developing economiesLONDON, Dec 2 (Reuters) - The pace and scale of rate hikes delivered by central banks in November picked up speed again as policy makers around the globe battle decade high inflation. Central banks overseeing six of the 10 most heavily traded currencies delivered 350 basis points (bps) of rate hikes between them last month. The European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan did not hold rate setting meetings in November. The latest moves have brought total rate hikes in 2022 from G10 central banks to 2,400 bps. "Central banks' determination to bring down inflation suggests that policy rates need to go higher still."

☆ Dollar extends losses as Fed minutes signal slower rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-24 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"As long as the Fed see a stronger labour market, they don't have a big concern about tightening," Christensen said. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against six major peers, was down 0.2% at 105.75, after sliding 1.1% on Wednesday. The euro held onto gains after the account of the European Central Bank's October meeting showed policymakers feared that inflation may be getting entrenched, justifying their outlook for further rate hikes. Meanwhile, billionaire investor Bill Ackman said he's betting the Hong Kong dollar will fall and that its peg to the U.S. dollar could break. The Japanese yen was one of the strongest gainers among major currencies, climbing 0.9% against the dollar to 138.285.

LONDON, Nov 24 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar held onto losses on Thursday after the minutes from the Federal Reserve's November meeting supported the view that the central bank would downshift and raise rates in smaller steps from its December meeting. "As long as the Fed see a stronger labour market, they don't have a big concern about tightening," Christensen said. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against six major peers, was little changed at 105.93, after sliding 1.1% on Wednesday. The euro was up 0.3% against the Swedish krone after Sweden's Riksbank raised rates by 75 basis points, in line with expectations in a Reuters poll. The Japanese yen was one of the strongest gainers among major currencies against the dollar, climbing 0.6% to 138.77.

At the International Monetary Fund's last count in the first quarter of this year, almost 5% of the world's foreign currency reserves were denominated in sterling - a total of $625 billion dollars worth of sterling and sterling assets on a crude calculation from the $12.55 trillion total. The UK has a reserve currency so it can always issue debt – it's just a question of the right price." But what if that reserve currency position is threatened and foreign central banks balk at holding so much sterling in their national savings stashes? Seven of the world's top 10 reserve holding central banks are in Asia or the Middle East. UBS chart on its 2022 survey of world reserve managersThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.

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