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Investors don't need to worry that the market got out over its skis on interest rate cuts, according to Bank of America. The S & P 500 rallied to all-time highs this week after the Federal Reserve issued its first interest rate decrease in four years. Said another way, when looking historically, Subramanian found "no relationship" between returns ahead of the Fed's first cut and 12-month forward performance. On top of that, she said the S & P 500 sitting near a 52-week high heading into the cut has mattered "even less." The S & P 500 has climbed 11% on average over the year following an initial rate cute.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Said Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve
Analysts are increasingly recommending defensive stocks to blunt the impact of an economic slowdown. The S&P 500's consumer staples sector has risen more than 4% in the last month. AdvertisementAmid fears of a recession and increased market volatility, analysts have been pointing to defensive stocks as a safe bet to hedge macro risk. Among defensive sectors — which include things like real estate and financials — investors recently have been pouring into consumer staples in particular. With the Federal Reserve likely to finally cut rates at its meeting this week, defensive stocks could be poised for further growth.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley's, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Service, Retailers, Walmart, Target, Bank of America, P Global Semiconductor, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: cyclicals
Traders should look to financials, utilities, and real estate stocks, Savita Subramanian says. Subramanian pointed to large-cap value stocks, and said they "look incredibly attractive." Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementTraders should look to avoid risks and hide in safe dividend stocks as the market faces rising uncertainty, Bank of America chief equity strategist Savita Subramanian said.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Organizations: Service, of America, Bloomberg Television, Business
US stocks ended mixed on Monday ahead of the start of the Fed's two-day policy meeting. The Fed is widely expected to deliver a rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points at the end of its meeting on Wednesday. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementStocks close mixed on Monday as traders and investors prepared for the start of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's rate-setting group, is expected to deliver an interest rate cut at 2 p.m. on Wednesday.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, Apple, Morgan Stanley, Z Organizations: Apple, Service, Federal, Market Committee, Bank of America, Tech, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Nvidia, Micro, Micron Technology Locations: Here's
But there's another lesser-known S&P 500 index that you might not have heard of: the SPW. In contrast, the conventional S&P 500 allocates more weight to the biggest companies based on market capitalization. Big Tech names carry very little debt on their balance sheets, meaning that they are less affected by elevated interest rates. Bank of AmericaIn contrast, the cap-weight S&P 500 is approaching overvalued territory. Examples of SPW index funds include the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW).
Persons: , that's, Jack Ablin, LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Savita Subramanian, Buchbinder, Ablin, haven't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Big Tech, Business, Bank of America, Cresset, Healthcare, financials, Bank of America's, Equity, RSP
According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.
Persons: , Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's
Bank of America sees yet another tailwind for utilities: The sector is a way to play falling interest rates. To that end, CNBC Pro used FactSet data to screen the S & P 1500 utilities sector, looking for companies that meet the following criteria. A total return – the stock price plus the value of reinvested dividends – of at least 10% in 2024. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.0% and has a 2024 total return of nearly 23%. Year to date, the stock has a total return of nearly 38%, and it offers a dividend yield of 2.5%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Garrick Rochow, Morgan Stanley, David Arcaro, Diego's, , Fred Imbert Organizations: Constellation Energy, NRG Energy, Mizuho Securities, Bank of America, Utilities, Real, CNBC Pro, Street, CMS Energy, Consumers Energy, CMS, NextEra, Management, Google, CNBC, PPL Locations: Jackson, Michigan, , Florida, 1Q24, Allentown, Penn
The tech slide has many investors anxious to buy the dip, but now is the time for caution, some say. Communication services and information technology stocks are the two worst-performing S & P 500 sectors this quarter, after having fallen into a correction from their peaks in July. Communication services is more than 11% off its 52-week high, while information technology is more than 12% off its recent high. For much of this year, any dips in the high-flying tech stocks have proven to be a buying opportunity for investors, as the promise of artificial intelligence has traders unable to stay away from these names for long. Investors were buying the dip again midday through the trading session Tuesday.
Persons: Ken Mahoney, We've, Rob Williams, Williams, Savita Subramanian, Jason Draho, CNBC's, Tesla Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asset Management, Sage Advisory, Bank of America, UBS Global Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia
Utilities — not tech — are now the hottest trade on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "Note that the total return of S & P 500 Utilities (the 'tortoise') has been in line with Nasdaq's (the "hare') over the long term." Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) , a $6.4 billion market cap-weighted fund, has a total return of 22%. The iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (IDU) , with $1.4 billion in assets, has a 22% total return. Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (RSPU) , an equal-weighted fund with just $317 million in assets, has a roughly 20% total return in 2024.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, , Invesco, Jesse Pound Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Utes, Utilities, Vanguard Utilities, U.S . Utilities, Fidelity MSCI Utilities Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLarge-cap value stocks are underappreciated and poised to do well, says BofA's Savita SubramanianSavita Subramanian, Bank of America Securities head of U.S. equity strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the market's too ahead of the Federal Reserve, which part of the equity market needs a strong economy, and much more.
Persons: BofA's Savita Subramanian Savita Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Federal Reserve
Bank of America is offering up a selection of stocks to help investors sleep soundly during bouts of market volatility. The picks come on the heels of a roller-coaster week for Wall Street. Here are some of the companies that made the list: Several consumer staples stocks showed up, with the S & P 500 sector up more than 11% this year. PG 1M mountain Shares over the last month Lockheed Martin was another low-beta stock that made the cut. Shares of the aerospace and defense company have rallied more than 21%, outperforming the market year to date.
Persons: Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Gamble, Lockheed Martin Organizations: of America, Wall, Bank of America, Walmart, PepsiCo, Procter, Starbucks, Elliott Management, T Bank, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Consolidated Edison, New Locations: U.S, China, New York
However, investors can continue generating portfolio income if they snap up the right dividend stocks. Dividend yields that are too high may also raise the question of whether the company can sustain these payments to investors. Data storage player Seagate Technology made the cut, with a three-year annualized dividend yield of 7.9%, according to Bank of America's analysis. Bank of America rates KeyCorp as a buy, and it sees the company and its peers benefiting as the Fed dials back its policy. Devon, which the bank rates as a buy, this week surpassed the Street's estimates on core earnings per share in the second quarter, per FactSet.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, Ebrahim Poonawala, Kraft, Merck Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Bank of America, Seagate Technology, Bank of, KeyCorp, Devon Energy, Kraft Heinz, Simon Property Group Locations: Devon, Bank
Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks so they can "sleep at night." According to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, investors should "get used to the volatility." AdvertisementTo combat expectations of continued volatility, Subramanian said investors should buy defensive stocks that would allow them to "sleep at night." "The best hedge is owning high quality stocks," Subramanian said of combating market volatility. Most of these defensive stocks are found in defensive sectors, which include consumer staples, healthcare, real estate, and utilities.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, , They're, Stocks Organizations: . Bank of America, Service, Bank of America, Procter, Gamble, Kroger, PepsiCo, Walmart, Utilities, Investors, Consolidated Edison, Alliant Energy, CMS Energy, Healthcare, Quest Diagnostics, Essex Property Trust, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Essex
Bank of America says the recent stock market sell-off is unlikely to be the start of a new bear market. AdvertisementThe stock market's recent sharp sell-off is unlikely to transform into a full-fledged bear market, according to Bank of America. But according to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, the tell-tale signs of a stock market peak have yet to materialize. AdvertisementFor perspective, Subramanian pointed to stock market history to highlight that pullbacks in the market are common. Instead of preparing for a prolonged market sell-off, Subramanian recommends investors go bargain hunting and focus on buying high quality stocks.
Persons: BofA, , Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: of America, Credit, Service, Bank of America, Nasdaq, Conference, Senior
Read previewBuying and holding Big Tech stocks has led to great performance in recent years, but this might not be the case going forward. As a result, buy-and-hold investors are probably seeing more red than they'd like in their portfolios right now. AdvertisementBig Tech overexposureIf you hold a lot of Big Tech stocks in your portfolio, you're not alone. Related storiesThere's definitely reason to be bullish on tech overall, especially as AI spurs growth, but overexposure to Big Tech isn't without its drawbacks. According to Subramanian, there's more room for Big Tech to fall, especially if investors don't see AI monetization cases soon.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, overexposure, Subramanian, That's, there's, They're Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Down, Dow, Business, Bank of America, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Fund, Vanguard, Energy
"The most powerful part of the AI story thus far is the chief technology officer, chief information officer," Griffin said at the Milken Global Institute. At the most profitable hedge fund of all time, that person is Umesh Subramanian, Citadel's chief technology officer. But in the age of generative AI, the role of the CTO has evolved into something that reaches far beyond the back office. Nearly two years after OpenAI introduced ChatGPT, finance firms are still trying to figure out the best ways to leverage generative AI for their own businesses and workers. Related stories"The level of investment right now in AI, trickling down the whole value chain, is no longer only a technology investment," Argenti said.
Persons: , Ken Griffin, Griffin, They've, Subramanian, OpenAI, it's, Andrew Chin, AllianceBernstein, Goldman Sachs, Marco Argenti, Chin, Wells, Bridget Engle, Engle, Keri Smith, Argenti, Citadel's Subramanian, Wall, Accenture's Smith, AllianceBernstein's Chin, Goldman's Argenti Organizations: Service, Citadel, Milken Global Institute, Business, BNY Mellon, Goldman, Amazon Web Services, Management, Accenture, Tech, Wall Locations: Wall
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSee strong signs for cyclicals in the second half, says BofA's Savita SubramanianSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of earnings season so far, impact of AI, where investors can find opportunities, and more.
Persons: BofA's Savita Subramanian Savita Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
With the second half of the year underway, there are three trades that investors should make sure they're on the right side of, Bank of America says. Bank of America expects earnings of the remaining 493 S & P 500 companies to accelerate into the end of the year. Bank of America identified avoiding dividend-paying stocks as another pain trade for later this year. Bank of America also notes that more than 200 S & P stocks currently provide higher real return potential than the 2% offered by the 10-year Treasury . The SPDR Portfolio S & P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD) has surged 10% year to date and more than 7% in the past month.
Persons: CNBC's, Russell, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, Big Tech, of America, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq
Wall Street ended July with a bang that turned a volatile month into a winner. The Russell 2000 soared 10.1% in July, its biggest one-month gain since December. .RUT YTD mountain Russell 2000, year-to-date Bank of America thinks this "pain trade" will continue as a new month of trading kicks off. Among the big analyst calls on Wall Street this morning, Morgan Stanley upgraded GE Vernova to overweight from equal weight. "We believe we are at the early stages of a multi-decade energy transition investment cycle that will require significant capital investment in gas power, renewables, and grid expansion/enhancement.
Persons: Russell, Savita Subramanian, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Percoco Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Bank of America, GE
Dividend stocks are set to surge as investors deploy $6 trillion from money-market funds, Bank of America says. Investors could be looking to invest their cash as the Fed gets ready to cut interest rates in September. AdvertisementSome of the highest-yielding S&P 500 companies include Walgreens Boot Alliance, Altria, Verizon, Ford, and AT&T. And while the S&P 500 as a whole offers a dividend yield of about 1.25%, there are nearly 300 S&P 500 stocks that offer a higher yield. AdvertisementSome of the high-paying dividend stocks recommended by Belski include Abbvie, Chevron, Duke Energy, Gilead Sciences, and Pfizer.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, BMO's Brian Belski, Belski Organizations: Bank of America, Fed, BMO, Gilead Sciences, Service, Treasury, Walgreens Boot Alliance, Altria, Verizon, Ford, Belski, Duke Energy, Pfizer Locations: Chevron, Gilead, Abbvie
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Monday as investors awaited key corporate earnings and the beginning of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded 0.1% higher. That compares to a five-year average earnings beat rate of 77%. "Both 2024 and 2025 consensus EPS are holding up, with 2024 EPS tracking a typical non-recessionary year revision trend. "Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Jerome Powell, Seema Shah Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Merck, Pfizer, PayPal, Procter, Gamble, JetBlue, Microsoft, Devices, Bank of, Fed, Asset Management
The odds of a pullback in the S & P 500 are higher now, according to Bank of America. "We are thus overdue for a pullback," wrote Subramanian, adding there is "elevated downside risk in coming months. In fact, the strategist expects the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,400. Just 50% have been triggered [today] vs. an average of 70% ahead of prior S & P 500 peaks." From 1936 to 2010, dividends contributed around 40% to S & P 500 total returns, but have only accounted for 15% since 2010.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BofA Securities
Traditional infrastructure might not seem as sexy as the newer AI data centers, but Bank of America believes traditional infrastructure has stronger growth prospects than AI infrastructure. The heavy focus on technology and AI has resulted in investors overlooking traditional infrastructure investment. Invest in industrials and materialsIn particular, Bank of America identified the industrials and materials sectors as the best investment opportunity within traditional infrastructure. The industrials sector trades at a relative forward PE of 0.98, and materials trades at 0.92. AdvertisementSome specific industries within those sectors are especially undervalued, such as construction materials and metals & mining.
Persons: , there's, Savita Subramanian, it's, Reshoring Organizations: Service, Big Tech, American Society of Civil Engineers, Business, Bank of, Bank of America Government, Bank of America, Bank, Invest, Industrial Locations: North America, industrials
"We advise investors to seek out companies with above-market and secure (not stretched) dividend yields," Bank of America's team said. "It has guarded against owning distressed companies that migrate into Quintile 1 (the highest dividend yield group) if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts," the team wrote. The stock is only up nearly 2% in 2024, but it has a dividend yield of 3.1%. SO YTD mountain Southern Company in 2024 Specialty glass maker and artificial intelligence play Corning was also in Bank of America's screen. It has a dividend yield of 2.6%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Russell, Kalei Akamine, Coterra, Akamine, Shahriar Pourreza, Corning Organizations: Bank of America, Schwab U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, Energy, Utilities, Southern Co, Bank of, Southern Company Locations: Wyndham Row, U.S, Southern, Bank
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian on why we are heading into a 'tricky' part of the yearSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what has changed in the strategist's thoughts on the S&P 500, estimates for AI capital expenditures, and much more.
Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
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