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Read previewThe Federal Reserve's path of rate cuts could be what ends up causing a US recession, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. Elevated interest rates could cut into economic activity and employment, Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday. At this point, the economy faces a bigger risk of recession than rampant inflation, El-Erian suggested. The recession outlook remains mixed, given the cocktail of tight financial conditions and resilient economic growth so far. According to New York Fed economists, the US has a 52% chance of slipping into recession by May next year.
Persons: , Mohamed El, Erian, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Fed, Yahoo Finance, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: El
And she's part of a growing class of Gen Z retirement super-savers. Many are concerned about stagnating wages in an era of skyrocketing costs of living, says Paloma Thombley, chief human resources officer at Handshake, the jobs site for college students and new grads. Gen Z prioritizes retirement benefitsGenesis Hinckley, 27, works as a business analyst for Google in Boulder, Colorado. 'It's no longer chasing money; it's chasing time'Anxiety aside, many Gen Zers see super-saving for retirement as a way to take control over an uncertain future when the built-in support systems are lacking. They learned when it makes sense to invest in a plan pre- or post-tax, how to actually invest your retirement money, and the value of compound interest.
Persons: Lillian Zhang wasn't, Zhang, Gen, Gen Zer, millennials, Gen Xers, Paloma Thombley, Zers, Thombley, Lillian Zhang, isn't, Z, Genesis Hinckley, Hinckley, Roth, TikTok Organizations: IRA, Northwestern Mutual, Social Security, Google, Genesis, YouTube Locations: Boulder , Colorado
Traditionally, value investing and growth investing are considered two distinct investment strategies. Value investors look for stocks they believe the market has undervalued and may be trading for less than their "intrinsic" value. Value investors often employ "bottom-up" investing, which focuses on individual companies rather than the overall market or industry. Growth investing focuses on companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies. Is there a way to introduce a margin of safety to a growth stock using options?
Persons: Dan Ives, Jensen Huang, Vince Lombardi Organizations: Nvidia, Intel Locations: Wedbush
Cybersecurity stock Palo Alto Networks (PANW) will be reporting Monday after the close. The following table includes ten stocks reporting earnings this week where the options market is implying moves of 7% or greater. Palo Alto Networks was hard hit after they reported earnings on February 20th. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks, YTD Palo Alto Networks is a global network security solutions provider. Palo Alto has recovered roughly half the decline the stock suffered following its earnings release last quarter.
Persons: Nikesh Arora, Zscaler, PANW Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Networks, Palo Locations: Palo, Palo Alto
The consumer, making up 70% of the U.S. economy, is being hit by higher interest rates and sticky inflation. Consumer spending, also known as personal consumption expenditures (PCE), typically represents about two-thirds of the U.S. GDP. While that is attributed to easing consumer demand for EVs, dealer inventories of ICE vehicles have recovered significantly since the pandemic. Away from consumer discretionary and towards consumer staples. The Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP) is trading 21 times trailing earnings and about 19.6 times forward earnings estimates versus 25.7 times trailing and 22.83 times forward for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index.
Persons: there's, Tesla, Power Organizations: Starbucks, Investors, PPI, CPI, Federal Locations: U.S
I like putting money in CDs, and one option that will help long-term with taxes is a SEP IRA CD. I started moving money between high-yield savings accounts, CDs, and other passive income-earning investments like REITs and dividend stocks. Interest and earnings from savings accounts, CDs, and other investments are considered taxable income. Instead, after paying my taxes, I reassess how much money of interest income I actually made and decide how to use the cash then. However, unlike a regular CD, CDs in your retirement fund have contribution limits set by the IRS.
Persons: Organizations: Service, IRS
It could also mean taking a few minutes to click around the deductions page on your tax software to make sure you're not leaving money on the table. Here are three tax moves that experts say people tend to overlook. If you didn't hit your maximum contribution for 2023, you can retroactively direct funds to those accounts for the 2023 tax year. If you have children or other dependents, for instance, your tax prep software will likely guide you to the Child Tax Credit and the Child and Dependent Care Credit. "You're not going to enter something in wrong and the program's not going to give you the Child Tax Credit.
Persons: Mark Jaeger, Hunt, Jaeger, Ed deHaan, deHaan, de Haan Organizations: Child Tax, Care, American Opportunity, Tax, Stanford Graduate School of Business, Research Locations: TaxAct
By hiring an accountant, we'll be able to get the most out of tax season and save for retirement. Short-term capital gains are profits you've made on stock that you've held for one year or less. Long-term capital gains are gains on investments you've held for longer than a year and range from 0% to 20%. What tax rate you'll pay on these gains depends on your taxable income, or what tax bracket you fall into. Little-known tax moves like this are another reason hiring an accountant is worth every penny.
Persons: we'll, , I've, you've, I'm, Max, doesn't Organizations: Service, IRS
I wondered if ChatGPT would give me good retirement adviceSpeaking of tiresome work, I've spent many years putting off my retirement plan beyond my husband's 401(k). First, I asked Rush and ChatGPT the same question: What are the best retirement strategies for self-employed people? They recommended similar types of accountsRush and ChatGPT had similar suggestions regarding which kinds of retirement savings accounts freelancers should consider. ChatGPT also mentioned determining your risk tolerance and diversifying your investment portfolio accordingly, as well as including healthcare expenses in your retirement plans by contributing to an HSA, and reassessing and adjusting your retirement plans regularly. I'm happy getting retirement advice from a humanBut Rush had a few other suggestions that ChatGPT didn't list in its response to my question.
Persons: ChatGPT, I've, Justin Rush, Rush, it's, they've, doesn't Organizations: Service, Business, Google, IRA
A Minnesota woman whose S.U.V. struck a horse and buggy last fall, killing two children and injuring two others, tried to trick the authorities into believing that her twin sister was the driver, according to court documents. The woman, Samantha Petersen, 35, was charged Monday with 21 counts, including criminal vehicular homicide, driving under the influence of drugs and leaving the scene of the crash in Stewartville, Minn. Statements Ms. Petersen made imply that she had tried to deceive investigators to avoid going to prison, according to a complaint filed in Fillmore County District Court. According to the complaint, Ms. Petersen was driving a silver S.U.V.
Persons: Samantha Petersen, Petersen Organizations: Minnesota Locations: Stewartville, Minn, Fillmore County, Minneapolis
Filing your taxes early means you have more time to make last-minute retirement account contributions. Finishing your taxes early also gives you time to plan ahead for next year. But as a financial planner, I always recommend getting them done as early as possible. Even if you're not a freelancer, filing early can ensure you get your return early or have more time to pay your bill. Plus, evaluating my latest tax return early gives me a game plan for next year's liability.
Persons: , I've, Uncle Sam, You'll, That's Organizations: Service, IRS
Facebook fired Kagan in 2006 after he leaked company information to the press at Coachella. "I didn't work too hard at Intel and I didn't spend a lot of money," Kagan says. Following his firing from Facebook, Kagan ran conferences for aspiring entrepreneurs (a hustle he had started while at Intel), taught English in South Korea and picked up consulting work for Silicon Valley tech firms. In addition to working on AppSumo, Kagan manages rental properties and creates content for his YouTube and social media channels. In addition to his AppSumo business and his book, Kagan operates a YouTube channel and manages five rental properties.
Persons: Noah Kagan, Kagan, Bill Gates, Kagan's, Facebook, Camila Ortega, He'd, Maria, didn't, hadn't, AppSumo, They'll, We've, everyone's, we've, Kagan didn't, wasn't, Rolexes, , he's Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Facebook, University of California, Intel, Mint, Apple, PC, PayPal, Rolex, Entertainment, Insurance, Spotify, YouTube, AppSumo, Mazda Locations: Silicon Valley, Redmond , Washington, Barcelona, Austin , Texas, Berkeley, Israel, South Korea, Philippines, Argentina, Austin, Pakistan, AppSumo
HONG KONG (AP) — China’s economy for the October-December quarter grew at a quicker rate, allowing the Chinese government to hit its target of about 5% annual growth for 2023 even though trade data and the economic recovery remain uneven. Official data released Wednesday showed that the Chinese economy grew 5.2% for 2023, surpassing the target of ‘about 5%’ that the government had set. The growth for 2023 is likely helped by 2022’s GDP of just 3% as China’s economy slowed due to COVID-19 and nationwide lockdowns during the pandemic. For the fourth quarter, China’s gross domestic product also grew at 5.2% compared to the same time last year. Fixed-asset investment — spending on factory equipment, construction and other infrastructure projects to drive growth — grew 3% year on year in 2023.
Persons: , Li Qiang Organizations: China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Communist Party Locations: HONG KONG, China
Gas prices have fallen or remained steady since Sep. 19 — marking about a 70-day trajectory of decline, Andrew Gross, spokesperson for motor club AAA, said Tuesday. As of Tuesday, the national average for gas prices stood just below $3.25, according to AAA. Experts point to a recent decline in oil prices and a seasonal dip in demand, as well as easing inflation. Political Cartoons View All 1270 ImagesWHY ARE GAS PRICES FALLING? While the downward trend in gas prices is expected to continue at least into the New Year, anything's possible.
Persons: — It's, Andrew Gross, Patrick De Haan, Gross, ” Gross, De Haan, There's, ” De Haan, Organizations: AAA, West Texas Locations: U.S, Russia, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Israel, Texas, Mississippi, Georgia, California, Hawaii, Washington
Morning Bid: Sidestepping Moody's rating twist
  + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. It's the last of the three major rating agencies to maintain a top rating for the U.S. Treasury as Fitch lowered its rating in August and S&P removed its AAA in 2011. On one level, there's some relief the AAA rating was maintained despite the darker outlook. And that would at least keep the Federal Reserve at bay despite its warnings last week that another rate hike was still on the table. Line chart with data from LSEG Eikon show the U.S. consumer price index inflation, core CPI inflation and federal funds target rate from Jan. 2019 to Sep. 2023.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Fitch, William Foster, Mike Johnson, China's, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Suella Braverman, David Cameron, Lisa Cook, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Tyson, Henry Schein Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Treasury, AAA, Reuters, . House, Republican, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Tyson Foods, Walmart, Bank of England, Moody's, U.S . AAA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wall St, San Francisco, New York
Take Five: That rate cut trade
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Markets are keen to trade rate cuts and big central banks are pushing back, shining a new light on upcoming data in that tug of war. Traders, anticipating roughly three quarter-point Fed rate cuts next year, will now turn their attention to Tuesday's inflation data to confirm their view on the outlook. A sharper cooling could fan the peak rate talk, fuelled by October's employment report, which pointed to an easing in labor markets. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics3/ ONCE BITTENThe robust dollar suddenly appears vulnerable to the push and pull in the market's Fed rate cut bets. The data could also help justify, or challenge, recent remarks from BoE chief economist Huw Pill that mid-2024 could be the time for rate cuts.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Dhara, Jerome Powell, Ping, Powell, Rishi Sunak, Sunak, BoE, Huw Pill, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Riddhima Talwani, Prinz Magtulis, Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Traders, Reuters, Beijing, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, New York, Tokyo, Milan, London, Washington, September's, Germany, Europe, ITALY, Italy
Morning Bid: Powell pushback puts cloud 9 beyond reach
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell answers a question during a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. Curiously, there was little change in that basic market pricing after Powell spoke - with end-2024 futures still pointing at a rate of 4.50-4.75% versus the current 5.25-5.50%. But the Treasury market did suffer a bigger jolt - as they were also undermined by poor demand at the latest long bond auction. But others pointed to a ransomware attack on the U.S. arm of The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which reportedly disrupted trades in the Treasury market on Thursday. Whatever the main cause, fresh bond market jitters were enough to knock the S&P500 out of its winning streak and close almost 1% lower.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's pushback, Powell's, Powell, 5bps, Sterling, Janet Yellen, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Veterans, Commercial Bank of China, Treasury, University of Michigan, Dallas Federal, Atlanta Fed, European Central Bank, Financial Affairs, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, United States, HK, Washington, Beijing, Atlanta
ATP roundup: Jack Draper pulls off massive upset at Sofia Open
  + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Mandatory Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNovember 9 - Great Britain's Jack Draper pulled off a 7-5, 6-2 upset of No. 1 seed Lorenzo Musetti of Italy on Wednesday in the second round of the Sofia Open in Sofia, Bulgaria. Fognini, a wild card, rallied for a 4-6, 7-6 (7), 7-6 (5) victory against fifth-seeded Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan, while No. 6 Sonego swept Jordanian qualifier Abdullah Shelbayh 6-3, 7-5. Other winners included Frenchmen Luca Van Assche and wild card Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Russia's Alexander Shevchenko.
Persons: Jack Draper of, Andrey Rublev, USTA Billie Jean King, Danielle Parhizkaran, Jack Draper, Lorenzo Musetti, Draper, Russian Pavel Kotov, Cem Ilkel, Kotov, Sebastian Baez, Ilkel, Max Purcell, Frenchman Adrian Mannarino, Spain's Albert Ramos, Lennard Struff, Billy Harris, Austria's Sebastian Ofner, Hungary's Marton Fucsovics, Hungarian Fabian Marozsan, Fabio Fognini, Lorenzo Sonego, Alexander Bublik, Sonego, Abdullah Shelbayh, Fognini, Luca Van Assche, Pierre, Hugues Herbert, Russia's Alexander Shevchenko Organizations: USTA Billie, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Sofia, Turkish, Argentine, British, Bublik, Thomson Locations: Flushing , NY, USA, Jack Draper of Great Britain, Italy, Sofia, Bulgaria, Russian, Hungarian, Moselle, Metz, France, Kazakhstan
Where are the 12 US gov't funding bills to avert shutdown?
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
But first, the House and Senate would have to agree upon the overall dollar amount of spending for the 12 bills combined. The Senate passed its version as part of a three-bill package on Nov. 1 with strong bipartisan support. DEFENSEOne of the largest of the 12 bills funds the Department of Defense - the Army, Navy, Air Force and the CIA. The Senate's version passed out of committee on July 27. The Senate's version passed out of committee on July 27.
Persons: Jon Cherry, shutdowns, Joe Biden, Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Moira Warburton, Aurora Ellis Organizations: U.S . Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Democratic, Republican, Senate, of Veterans Affairs, Army, Navy, Air Force, U.S . Department of Agriculture, Food and Drug Administration, of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, Department of Housing, Urban, House Republicans, Amtrak, Department of Defense, CIA, Department of Energy, Nuclear Regulatory, of, of Indian Affairs, Land Management, Environmental Protection Agency, The, Department of Homeland Security, FBI, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Department of State, Agency for International Development, Peace Corps, Congress, Capitol Police, of Congress, Office, Treasury, of Columbia, Federal Trade Commission, COMMERCE, of Commerce, U.S . Census, U.S . Patent, Department of Justice, Republicans, HUMAN, of Education, Department of Health, Human Services, Department of Labor, Social Security Administration, National Labor Relations Board, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, United States, New York, U.S, Washington
Morning Bid: Waiting for word from the Fed chief
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. Last week's surprisingly soft jobs data heightened expectations that interest rates had peaked, but Fed commentary since then has warned against complacency in the fight against inflation. For now, investors have dialled up wagers on near-term rate cuts, with the Fed funds rate showing better than 50/50 odds for one as early as May. In Asia time, long-term Treasury yields are stuck around 4.58% and the dollar is biding its time around $1.07 per euro. While the Fed outlook dominates investors' attention, there is plenty of central bank speak in store from Europe as well.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Kevin Buckland, Jay Powell, Christine Lagarde, Philip Lane, Joachim Nagel, Pablo Hernandez de Cos, Andrew Bailey, Fed's Powell, Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Kevin, Kevin Buckland Markets, Reuters Graphics, Bank of Spain, Bank of England, Adidas, Airbus, Bayer, Continental, Credit Agricole, Federal Reserve Division of Research, Statistics, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Asia, Europe, Germany, Brussels, Irish
The Jabalia refugee camp is highlighted and the site of an airstrike within the camp shown. People and medics rush to the scene of an Israeli attack that hit the Jabalia refugee camp in north Gaza on Wednesday, Nov. 1. People and medics rushed to the scene of an Israeli attack that hit the Jabalia refugee camp in north Gaza on Wednesday, Nov. 1. The second airstrike hit on Wednesday Nov. 1 in the Falouja neighbourhood of Jabalia refugee camp, approximately half a mile from the site of Tuesday’s explosion. A third Israeli airstrike hit the Jabalia refugee camp on November 2, Reuters reported.
Persons: Benjamin Netanyahu’s, Volker Turk, ” Turk, , OpenStreetMap, Al Bureij, Khan Younis, Bureij, Jabalia, Nizar Rayan, Abdel Kareem Rayan, , Justin Bronk, ” Bronk, Al Mouhawel, Ibrahim Biari, Daniel Hagari, Biari, situating, ” Hagari, Hagari, Hazem Qassem, Muhammad A’sar, Abu Hussein, Antony Blinken, Blinken, Netanyahu Organizations: Islamic, Human, Space Agency Sentinel, United Nations Office, Humanitarian Affairs, Masae Analytics, United Nations, Reuters, Palestine Refugees, UNRWA, United Nations Relief, Works Agency for Palestinian Refugees, Hamas, Palestinian, Technology, Royal United Services Institute, Israeli Air, Attack Munitions, Pentagon, Maxar, Jabalia Battalion, Interior Ministry, European Union Locations: Gaza, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza ., Beach, Al, Jabalia, Rafah, Palestine, Israeli, London, JDAMs, Iraq, Afghanistan, Al Almey, Falouja, United States
Toyota Motor on Wednesday said its quarterly profit more than doubled from a year ago on strong global demand for hybrids and favorable exchange-rate moves. On average, during the quarter, $1 was worth 145 yen, up from 138 yen in the same quarter of 2022. It now expects profit of 4.5 trillion yen ($29.8 billion), up from 3 trillion yen in its earlier guidance. It said it expects the weaker yen to account for the majority – about 1.2 trillion yen – of that increase. The company also announced a 100 billion yen ($662 million) share buyback and increased its dividend by 5 yen from a year ago, to 30 yen (20 cents) per share.
Organizations: Toyota, Los Angeles Auto, U.S, U.S . Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, North Carolina
A financial planner told me I need to understand how my retirement account is invested. I don't feel like I have the knowledge or time to be able to manage my retirement accounts on my own. However, Kovar said it's still important to keep a pulse on what's happening inside of those retirement accounts. Kovar recommended that people look at their retirement accounts every 6-12 months to determine how much risk they want to take on. Kovar recommended those with a 401(k) consider having a second retirement fund as well, so their investment options aren't limited.
Persons: , it's, Taylor Kovar, Kovar Organizations: Service
JetBlue Airways aircraft are pictured at departure gates at John F. Kennedy International Airport in New York on June 15, 2013. JetBlue Airways plans to begin flights to Dublin and Edinburgh from the U.S. as part of the carrier's trans-Atlantic expansion. Daily seasonal service to Dublin will begin March 13, 2024, from the airline's John F. Kennedy International Airport hub in New York, as well as from Boston Logan International Airport. Flights to Edinburgh from New York's JFK will begin May 22, 2024. JetBlue also said Wednesday that the airline would offer service between Boston Logan International Airport and Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport starting April 3, 2024.
Persons: John F, Robin Hayes, Paris Charles de Organizations: JetBlue Airways, Kennedy International, Kennedy International Airport, Boston Logan International, New York's JFK, JetBlue, American Airlines, Boston Logan International Airport, Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport, JFK Locations: New York, Dublin, Edinburgh, New, Europe, Delta, United, London, Paris
A stock with a 14-day RSI greater than 70 is considered to be overbought and at risk of a pullback. Here are some of the most overbought names: Sports apparel retailer Nike has a 14-day RSI of 81.89, and just under half of analysts covering the stock rate it a buy. Lockheed Martin is another one of the most overbought companies in the S & P 500. The U.S. defense contractor scored a 14-day RSI of 77.69, with a consensus price target implying 6.8% upside. Also on the oversold list is pharmaceutical company Moderna , which has a 14-day RSI reading of 15.5.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Lockheed Martin, Invesco, Jason Haas, Haas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, Insurance, Cardinal Health, Allstate, Humana, Investment, Hasbro, Wall, Bank of America, Monopoly, Moderna, Pfizer, FedEx Locations: U.S, Lowe's
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