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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is a case to 'stick with equities,' especially in the U.S., CIO saysWillem Sels, global CIO of HSBC's Global Private Banking and Wealth division, discusses U.S. vs European equity markets and which sectors are performing well.
Persons: Willem Sels Organizations: HSBC's, Private Banking, Wealth Locations: U.S
U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo's trip to China last month had promised some economic and trade detente between the two superpowers now at loggerheads. And none of the 222 funds polled expected China economic growth to be any higher next year than this - mirroring a recent Reuters survey of domestic and overseas banks and investors. As these sorts of surveys go, there's an awful lot in there that could spell "peak gloom". Indeed, shorting China equities was deemed the second "most crowded trade" behind long exposure to supercharged Big Tech stocks. Even if the economy turns, political catalysts for a return to China may be slow in coming.
Persons: Aly, Gina Raimondo's, it's, Jamie Dimon, Jay Clayton, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Willem Sels, Mike Dolan, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, . Commerce, Bank of, Big Tech, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, JPMorgan, Investments, The Ontario Teachers, Caisse, Franklin, HSBC Private Banking, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, loggerheads, Wall, Asia, Silicon Valley, Hong Kong, Temasek, Bridgewater, Blackrock, India, Indonesia, Washington, United States
U.S. Treasury yields fell on Monday as investors remained focused on remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that signaled the possibility of more interest rate hikes to tackle inflation. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was down at 4.2217%. While Powell said the Fed could be flexible, he said it still has further to go to fight inflation. "Although inflation has moved down from its peak — a welcome development — it remains too high," Powell said in prepared remarks. The Treasury is expected to auction three-month and six-month bills as well as two-year and five-year notes.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Willem Sels, Sels, CNBC's, subindexes Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Traders, Federal Reserve, Kansas City, HSBC Private Banking, Wealth, Composite, U.S . Labor Department Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHSBC: The Bank of Japan will need to get more hawkish and the yen will start to stallWillem Sels, global chief investment officer at HSBC, discusses global market sentiment and looks at how major central banks are faring.
Persons: Willem Sels Organizations: HSBC, The Bank of Locations: The Bank of Japan
It's not even midyear yet, but the full gamut of scenarios has been juggled in just five months. World markets have swung from "hard landing" fears of late 2022 to the "soft landing" hopes of the new year and then even unnerving thoughts of "no landing" at all - just before the banking stress hit of March forced them to return to square one. "The economy is more resilient than the market realizes," BlackRock's Chief Executive Larry Fink said on Wednesday, adding more interest rates rises will be necessary but that he saw no "evidence that we're going to have a hard landing." A "soft landing" typically relates to the ability of the Federal Reserve and other central banks to get inflation back close to 2% targets without crashing the economy into a deep contraction with surging unemployment via extreme rate rises. If correct - and not all agree - the prospect of a sustained return to 2% inflation targets would surely turn off the seatbelt sign.
Persons: Larry Fink, Willem Sels, Simona Mocuta, Mocuta, Mike Dolan, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, HSBC Global Private Banking, Nasdaq, Street Global Advisors, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wall, United States, Europe
Lens beat Strasbourg to cut PSG lead to three points
  + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
LENS, France, April 7 (Reuters) - Clinical RC Lens beat Strasbourg 2-1 to provisionally cut Paris St Germain's once double-digit lead at the top of the Ligue 1 table to three points on Friday and open up the title race. Lens are second on 63 points, three ahead of third-placed Olympique Marseille, who travel to Lorient on Sunday. Strasbourg remain in 16th on 26 points. Strasbourg's Kevin Gameiro pulled one back with a glorious curler in the 84th minute, but Lens held on for victory. Lens can further improve their prospects of winning a second French top-flight title when they face leaders PSG next week, after the defending champions' trip to Nice on Saturday.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic outlook is ‘very lackluster’ but don’t be too bearish on equities, HSBC CIO saysWillem Sels, global chief investment officer at HSBC Private Banking, discusses the twists and turns in financial markets since the start of 2023 and shares his outlook for the remainder of the year.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are still underestimating the impact of China's reopening, CIO saysWillem Sels, global chief investment officer for global private banking and wealth at HSBC, discusses the worldwide effects of China's reopening and low valuations across China and ASEAN.
London CNN —One of the main jobs of central banks is to keep prices under control, allowing households and businesses to plan for the future with some certainty on what things will cost. Tolga Akmen/EPA-EFE/ShutterstockPolicymakers face difficult questions about exactly when to pause interest rate hikes. The European Central Bank’s main rate is 2%, while the Bank of England’s is 3.5%. Still, investors are becoming increasingly confident that major central banks will change course soon. “Central banks are relatively close to the end,” Sels said.
The U.S. central bank hiked rates by 50 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, slowing down from four back-to-back 75 bps hikes, although Fed Chair Jerome Powell said recent signs of slowing inflation have not brought any confidence yet that the fight had been won. The Fed's policy-setting committee projected it would continue raising rates to above 5% in 2023, a level not seen since a steep economic downturn in 2007. Money market participants currently expect at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and borrowing costs to peak at 4.9% by May next year, before falling to around 4.4% by year-end. Wall Street's main indexes have staged a strong recovery since hitting 2022 lows in October on hopes of a less aggressive Fed, but the rally stalled in December due to mixed economic data and worrying corporate forecasts. Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) fell 2.9% after CEO Elon Musk disclosed another $3.6 billion in stock sales, taking his total near $40 billion this year and frustrating investors as the company's shares wallow at two-year lows.
Investors currently expect at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and borrowing costs to peak at 4.9% by May next year, before falling to around 4.4% by year-end. Both central banks are expected to hike borrowing costs by 50 bps. Shares of megacap companies, including Apple (AAPL.O), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Nvidia Corp , fell between 1.1% and 2.1% in premarket trading. Trade Desk Inc (TTD.O) slipped 4.1% after Jefferies downgraded its rating for the adtech firm to "hold" from "buy". Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'Souza and Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
The Fed's policy-setting committee projected it would continue raising rates to above 5% in 2023, a level not seen since a steep economic downturn in 2007. Money market participants currently expect at least two 25 bps rate hikes next year and borrowing costs to peak at 4.9% in the first half, before falling to around 4.4% by the year end. Wall Street's main indexes have staged a strong recovery since hitting 2022 lows in October on hopes of a less aggressive Fed, but the rally stalled in December on the back of mixed economic data and worrying corporate forecasts. Investors also digested economic data on Thursday that showed a steeper-than-expected decline in retail sales in November and the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits falling last week, indicating a tight labor market. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and four new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 24 new highs and 120 new lows.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHSBC upgrading Chinese stocks after ‘change in tone’ on Covid, says CIOWillem Sels, HSBC's global chief investment officer, says 'peak bearishness' on Chinese stocks has passed.
HSBC warns investors to avoid European stocks
  + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Fog shrouds the Canary Wharf business district including global financial institutions Citigroup Inc., State Street Corp., Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc and the commercial office block No. Dan Kitwood | Getty Images News | Getty Imageswatch now"We think that the emphasis should be on quality. With earnings season set to kick off in earnest next month, analysts broadly expect earnings downgrades to dominate worldwide in the short term. This need was exacerbated early this month when Russia's state-owned gas giant Gazprom cut off gas flows to Europe via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline. "The energy needs of the European chemical industry were equivalent to 51 million tonnes of oil in 2019.
Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Spencer Platt/Getty Images1. Maybe that third one isn't quite so guaranteed — but history tells us the bond market's recession warning is a pretty reliable signal of a downturn in the near to medium-term. The two-year yield on Thursday jumped eight basis points, to 3.86%, 39 basis points above the 30-year Treasury yield of about 3.47%. The stock market's fear gauge is off, too, according to DataTrek. How confident are you in the current market?
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