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A truck rammed the gates of parliament in the Russian-backed breakaway Georgian region of Abkhazia on Friday as hundreds protested against an investment agreement with Moscow that some Abkhaz fear will price them out of the property market. Two people were injured in the clashes, Russia’s RIA state news agency cited local emergency services as saying. Russian media showed a truck ramming into the gates surrounding the parliament in the capital, Sukhumi. Russia recognized Abkhazia and another breakaway region, South Ossetia, as independent states in 2008 after Russian troops repelled a Georgian attempt to retake South Ossetia in a five-day war. Other footage published by local Telegram channels showed protesters tying rope to the metal gates and attempting to tear them down.
Persons: Maxim Reshetnikov, Kristina Ozgan, Scuffles, Aslan Bzhania, Alexander Ankvab, Raul Khadzhimba Organizations: Russian Economy, Abkhazian, Telegram Locations: Russian, Georgian, Abkhazia, Moscow, Sukhumi, Russia, South Ossetia, Georgia, Soviet
CNN —Protesters stormed the parliament of the Russian-backed breakaway Georgian region of Abkhazia on Friday and opposition politicians demanded the resignation of the self-styled president over an unpopular investment agreement with Moscow. Protesters used a truck to smash through the metal gates surrounding the parliament in the capital Sukhumi. Eshsou Kakalia, an opposition leader and former deputy prosecutor general, said the parliament building was under the control of the protesters. “We will now seek the resignation of the current president of Abkhazia,” he was quoted by Russia’s Interfax news agency as saying. Protesters also broke into the presidential administration offices located in the same building as the parliament.
Persons: Russia’s, Protesters, Maxim Reshetnikov, Kristina Ozgan, Aslan Bzhania, Alexander Ankvab, Raul Khadzhimba Organizations: CNN — Protesters, Protesters, Russia’s Interfax, Russian Economy, Abkhazian, Russian Locations: Russian, Georgian, Abkhazia, Moscow, Sukhumi, , Russia, South Ossetia, Georgia, Soviet
October saw Russia hit with its highest average daily casualties since the war in Ukraine began, a UK offical said. The UK's Chief of Defence Staff said Russia suffered around 1,500 killed or injured each day. Thousands of North Korean troops are now bolstering Russian President Vladimir Putin's forces. Russian forces were bolstered by the arrival of thousands of North Korean soldiers in October, Western officials have said. AdvertisementReports of Ukrainian and North Korean troops' first clashes in Russia's Kursk region emerged earlier this week.
Persons: offical, Vladimir Putin's, , Tony Radakin, Laura Kuenssberg, Mark Rutte, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong, Gavriil, Kuenssberg, Radakin, Alexandra Prokopenko, Prokopenko, Donald Trump's Organizations: Defence Staff, Service, Ukraine's Ministry of Defense, General Staff, Ukrainian Armed Forces, NATO, North, AFP, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russia's Kursk, Russian, Europe
There should be no enduring mystery about what a Trump presidency means for Ukraine. Trump may appoint a cabinet that mildly adjusts the pace or tone of his instincts, but in the end he wants out. Workers remove debris from an apartment building that was damaged during a Russian drone strike in Kyiv, Ukraine, on October 29, 2024. Furthermore, Trump enters the White House at perhaps the most perilous time for Kyiv since the start of the war. Those tired of the Ukraine war – be they Kyiv ally or frontline soldier – should still not embrace the idea of a Trump-backed deal.
Persons: upsides, Trump, Donald Trump, , Vladimir Putin, Joe Biden –, Chasiv Yar, Putin, Thomas Peter, Kim Jong, Qasem Soleimani, Biden, Zelensky, , Kostiantyn Organizations: CNN, NATO, Trump, Pentagon, Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Congress, Kyiv, Russian, European Union, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, United States, Europe, Russia, Moscow, Pokrovsk, Donetsk, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Russian, Kyiv, Afghanistan, Singapore, Korean, Bankova, Syria, Ukrainian, Georgia, Moldova
Russia faces a crisis whether it continues the war or not, economist Alexander Mertens says. War spending has been a major boost to Moscow's GDP growth and wealth, and ending the war will be tricky. If Russia continues the war, the economy looks on track for a "severe recession" and long-running stagnation, Mertens said. "The current state of the Russian economy is far from critical but it does present Putin with a dilemma. The Russian economy is not yet close to collapse, but it is increasingly dependent on wartime conditions and faces growing risks of overheating."
Persons: Alexander Mertens, , Vladimir Putin, Mertens, Merten, Putin, That's Organizations: Service, Kyiv's International Institute of Business, Ukraine, Atlantic Council, Russian National Welfare Fund, Kremlin, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Ukrainian, Ukraine
Photo: Ulf Mauder/dpa (Photo by Ulf Mauder/picture alliance via Getty Images)Russia's central bank on Friday raised its key interest rate by 200 basis points to 21%, citing consumer price increases considerably above its forecast and warning of ongoing high inflation risks in the medium term. The key rate was previously taken up by 100 basis points to 19% in September. On Friday, the central bank noted annual seasonally adjusted inflation hit an average of 9.8% in September, up from 7.5% in August. "Over the medium-term horizon, the balance of inflation risks is still significantly tilted to the upside," the bank said in a statement. "The key risks are associated with persistently high inflation expectations and the upward deviation of the Russian economy from a balanced growth path, as well as with a deterioration in foreign trade conditions."
Persons: Ulf Mauder Organizations: Foreign Ministry, Getty, Reuters Locations: Russia, Ukraine
BRICS' Kazan Declaration on Wednesday contained 134 points — and only one discussed the Ukraine war. It shows that Russia still has trouble getting friendly countries on board with the war, per the ISW. AdvertisementOver two dozen world leaders at this year's BRICS summit ended Wednesday's talks with the Kazan Declaration, a 134-point summary of their agreements. "The Kazan Declaration notably only mentioned Russia's war in Ukraine once," the Washington-based think tank wrote. The declaration "demonstrated that Russia has not yet secured the international support nor created the alternative security structure that the Kremlin desires," ISW added.
Persons: BRICS, , Vladimir Putin, ISW, Huileng Tan, Putin Organizations: UN, Service, United Nations, Kyiv, South Sudanese, Mastercard Locations: Kazan, Ukraine, Russia, China, Washington, Nazi, Moscow, Brazil, India, Syria, Tel, Lebanon, Gaza, Republic, Tatarstan
Russia is flooding Ukraine with men and equipment, but that should soon slow, analyst Michael Kofman said. Its high losses indicate its military is strained under its current level of aggression, he told the Intelligencer. AdvertisementRussia's numbers advantage against Ukraine is likely to start diminishing as soon as the end of this year, said US-based military analyst Michael Kofman. Russia's equipment can't last foreverKofman's first explanation is that Moscow has been replacing high equipment losses with Soviet-era weaponry, but even these reserve stocks can't last forever. "What it does mean is that the Russian military has increasingly been forced to adjust tactics to minimize their losses," he added.
Persons: Michael Kofman, Kofman doesn't, , Intelligencer's Benjamin Hart, Kofman, it's, Hart, lim, Wes Organizations: Service, Kremlin, Carnegie Endowment, International, Soviet, UK Defense Ministry, Defence, adm, unc Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Kyiv, Moscow, Russian, Rus
Russia's economy is staring at "near stagnation," according to Anders Åslund. That's according to Anders Åslund, a Swedish economist who says Russia's economy is taking a bigger hit from Western sanctions than some believe. "My own view is that the current sanctions regime shaves off 2-3% of GDP each year, condemning Russia to near stagnation. AdvertisementRussia's GDP technically grew 3.6% last year, with another 3.2% real GDP growth expected in 2024, according to estimates from the International Monetary Fund. Consumer prices rose 8.5% year-per-year the week of September 17, according to official figures from Russia's Economic Development Ministry.
Persons: Anders Åslund, , Putin, Åslund, SWIFT Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Syndicate, International Monetary Fund, Labor, Economic Development Ministry, Soviet Union, Wealth Fund Locations: Swedish, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Soviet
Larry Fink says China is the biggest, fundamental supporter of Russia's economy. AdvertisementChina is Russia's biggest war backer, BlackRock chairman and CEO Larry Fink said on Tuesday. "Russia's biggest supporter and fundamental supporter of the Russian economy is China. "We have businesses in China, I'm sure everybody here has some businesses in China," Fink said. In July, Finland's President Alexander Stubb told Bloomberg in an interview that Russia's reliance on China means the Asian giant could end the Ukraine war if it wanted to.
Persons: Larry Fink, Fink, " Fink, China's, , there's, hasn't, William J, Burns, Alexander Stubb, Xi Jinping, Stubb Organizations: BlackRock, Service, Berlin Global, Bloomberg, Business Insider, CIA, Foreign Affairs Locations: China, Russia, Russia's, Ukraine, BlackRock
The government’s draft budget released Monday proposes spending just under 13.5 trillion rubles (over $145 billion) on national defense. The Ukraine war is Europe’s biggest conflict since World War II and has drained the resources of both sides, with Ukraine getting billions of dollars in help from its Western allies. Russian President Vladimir Putin is also looking at how to sustain his war effort as military spending has placed a huge strain on the Russian economy. Ukraine, too, has developed a new generation of drones for the battlefield and for long-range strikes deep inside Russia. More than 100 Ukrainian drones were shot down over Russia on Sunday, Russian officials said.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Vladimir Putin, Monday Putin, Vitalii Kim, Putin, ” Putin, Organizations: State Duma, Federation Council, Monday, West Locations: Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, United States, State, Russia, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Mykolaiv, , Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Crimea
Russia would be in a recession by now if it weren't for the nation's hefty war budget, economists told BI. War spending is propping up the economy, which is becoming increasingly overheated, they added. AdvertisementWar may be the only thing keeping Russia's economy afloat. Russia's economy is also being plagued by currency problems, Gorodnichenko said, pointing to Russia's limited access to the dollar as the result of Western sanctions. That will ultimately depend on how long the war in Ukraine — and therefore, spending on the war — will last.
Persons: , Jay Zagorsky, there's, Zagorsky, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Gorodnichenko, That's Organizations: Service, Boston University's Questrom School of Business, Kremlin, Ukraine, University of California, Bank of, Russia, Ukraine — Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Russian, Berkeley, Bank of Russia, Soviet, China
Russian banks are running low on yuan, Bloomberg reported. AdvertisementAn intensifying supply crunch in the Chinese yuan has pressured Russians to embrace a costlier method of securing the needed currency, Bloomberg reported. With the yuan liquidity shortfall doubling, Russian firms have grown increasingly dependent on yuan swaps provided by the Bank of Russia, Bloomberg said, but borrowing the yuan this way comes at a higher rate. This hasn't stopped yuan swap activity from ballooning. But even before the fresh sanctions package took effect this summer, Chinese banks were already halting yuan payments with Russia over fears of Western repercussions.
Persons: That's, , Bloomberg, Jake Sullivan Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Bank of Russia, US, Treasury Department, National, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center Locations: Moscow, Beijing, Russia, Ukraine, China
Russia's GDP growth slowed to 4% in Q2, while inflation continued to rise. Economists have long been warning that the Russian economy is showing signs of "overheating." Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementRussia's economic growth slowed to 4% in the second quarter of 2024, down from 5.4% in Q1, AFP reported, citing official data released on Friday. While the Russian economy continues to expand, it marked the lowest quarterly GDP growth result since the beginning of 2023, the report said.
Persons: Organizations: Service, AFP, Business Locations: Russian
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Sanctions are instead straining Russia, and could do more if the West is patient enough, a group of eight European finance ministers jointly argued in The Guardian. Large financial stimulus is the chief tailwind keeping Russia resistant, but the ministers noted that isn't an endless pillar of support. The eight ministers argued that these conditions make Western sanctions more important than ever, adding that pressure should be cranked up on Russia. They noted that if the West is patient enough, Russia's confidence will eventually slump as long-term damage takes hold.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Guardian, Business, Kremlin Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Sweden, Poland, Netherlands, Soviet Union, Belarus, Asia
How Janet Yellen Became an Unlikely Culinary Diplomat
  + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Alan Rappeport | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
There was mayonnaise mixed with ants at a gastronomic taqueria in Mexico City. The garlic at a Persian restaurant in Frankfurt was aged 25 years. And, yes, the magic mushrooms in Beijing were hallucinogenic. “It’s not like it’s a scheme to conduct some sort of diplomacy,” Ms. Yellen, 77, said during an interview in June over scrambled eggs with onions and home fries at Sarge’s Delicatessen and Diner in New York City. The intrigue has been a surprising twist in the tenure of Ms. Yellen, an economist and former Federal Reserve chair, who unlike most previous Treasury secretaries prizes mixing in cultural experiences with the grind of government travel.
Persons: Anthony Bourdain, Janet L, It’s, Ms, Yellen Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Mexico City, Frankfurt, Beijing, Russian, New York City
The Biden administration on Wednesday announced a series of new financial sanctions aimed at interrupting the fast-growing technological links between China and Russia that American officials believe are a broad effort to rebuild and modernize Russia’s military during its war with Ukraine. The actions were announced just as President Biden was leaving the country for a meeting in Italy of the Group of 7 industrialized economies, where a renewed push to degrade the Russian economy will be at the top of his agenda. The measures were coordinated by the Treasury, State and Commerce Departments and aimed to further isolate Russia from the global financial system and cut off its ability to gain access to the technology that powers its military arsenal. The effort has grown far more complicated in the past six or eight months after China, which had previously sat largely on the sidelines, stepped up its shipments of microchips, machine tools, optical systems for drones and components for advanced weaponry, U.S. officials said. But so far Beijing appears to have heeded Mr. Biden’s warning against shipping weapons to Russia, even as the United States and NATO continue to arm Ukraine.
Persons: Biden Organizations: Wednesday, Treasury, State, Commerce, NATO Locations: China, Russia, Ukraine, Italy, Beijing, United States
Wednesday's package targeted Chinese companies which help Russia pursue its war in Ukraine and raised the stakes for foreign financial institutions which work with sanctioned Russian entities. Sanctions against Russia, he said, are therefore a "dynamic affair." Wednesday's package targets more than $100 million in trade between Russia and suppliers for its war. More than 300 new sanctions are largely aimed at deterring individuals and companies in countries including China, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey from helping Moscow circumvent Western blocks on obtaining key technology. They also threaten foreign financial institutions with sanctions if they do business with almost any sanctioned Russian entity, underscoring the U.S. view that the Kremlin has pivoted the Russian economy on to a war footing.
Persons: Putin, Aaron Forsberg Organizations: Russia Wednesday, State, Economic, Associated Press, Russia, United Arab Locations: States, Italy, Ukraine, Russia, U.S, Moscow, China, United Arab Emirates, Turkey
Read previewRussia is forcing thousands of African migrants and students to join in their war efforts against Ukraine, Bloomberg reported on Sunday, citing assessments from European officials. According to Bloomberg's report, Russian officials have threatened not to renew the visas of African migrant workers and students if they didn't join the Russian Armed Forces. Some African workers have even been threatened with deportation if they do not agree to fight in Ukraine, one European official told Bloomberg. Russia's reliance on attrition warfare has seen it continually drawing on its prison population to fuel its war effort. Russia's prison population stood at 420,000 before the war.
Persons: , Vsevolod Vukolov, Elvira Nabiullina Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Bloomberg, Russian Armed Forces, Business, Washington Post, Russian, Kommersant, Central Bank Gov, BI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russia's
Read previewJeffrey Sonnenfeld and Steven Tian, two researchers at the Yale School of Management, have been targeted for their views on Russia's economy since the war in Ukraine began. Soaring prices and ailing consumer sentiment have hit key sectors in Russia's economy, and Moscow is paying a huge cost to keep its war machine running. Steven Tian Courtesy of Steven TianAt that time, Tian and Sonnenfeld began noticing cracks forming in Russia's economy. "Putin has no grand strategy other than to hope Trump wins and cuts a favorable deal with Russia," Tian said. Positive forecasts on Russia's economy are based on a lack of visibility, Sonnenfeld and Tian say.
Persons: , Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Steven Tian, they've, Vladimir Putin's, Tian, Putin, he'd, Sonnenfeld, I've, Biden, Steven Organizations: Service, Yale School of Management, Business, Yale, IMF, Trump Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Russia
There's one major thing the West could, but won't, do: kill all Russian banks' access to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, or SWIFT. 'Russia's economy is in deep, deep trouble'Despite the West's frustration with how Russia's economy still appears to be holding up, the sanctions appear to be finally working. "In five years, you're going see a really disastrous slowdown in the Russian economy," said Portes, who called for stronger sanctions enforcement. AdvertisementIn April 2022, Russia's central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina warned Russia's reserves can't last forever. "A significant problem is that they are running out of foreign exchange reserves, and you can't create foreign reserves," Portes added.
Persons: , hasn't, SWIFT, Alex Capri, Richard Portes, Portes, Alexander Kolyandr, Elvira Nabiullina, Russia's Organizations: Service, West, Society, Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, Business, SWIFT, European Union, National University of Singapore, US Customs Service, London Business School, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Central Bank of Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Russian, SWIFT, Capri, Asia Pacific, Europe, India, China, Central Bank of Russia, Russia's
Energy prices have been relatively stable across the world, including in the United States, which helped devise the plan. But Russia’s war effort in Ukraine is intensifying, making it increasingly clear that efforts by Western allies to squeeze Moscow’s oil revenues are faltering. A variety of factors have allowed Russia to continue profiting from strong oil revenue, including lenient enforcement of the price cap. Russia’s development of an extensive “shadow” fleet of tankers has allowed it to largely circumvent that policy. That has allowed the Russian economy to be more resilient than expected, raising questions about the effectiveness of the coordinated sanctions campaign employed by the G7.
Persons: Biden Organizations: Energy Locations: States, United States, Ukraine, Russia
In more than two years of war against Ukraine, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia has found that the technocrats he assembled to manage the Russian economy have turned out to be his most reliable foot soldiers. The Russian leader has now tapped one of them, Andrei R. Belousov, who has no military experience, to become his next defense minister. Mr. Belousov, however, has been a true believer. His rise shows how Mr. Putin is fully redirecting Russia’s economy toward the war effort and suggests that the Kremlin may grow even more deeply involved in mobilizing industry for the fight. Mr. Putin cast his new defense chief, who joined him on a trip to China in recent days, as a much-needed coordinator for a rapidly changing Russian military industrial complex that is critical to success in the war.
Persons: Vladimir V, Putin, Andrei R, Belousov, Rembrandt, Fyodor Dostoyevsky, Carl Jung, Mr Organizations: Ukraine Locations: Russia, China
Read previewRussia's economy is fragile and policymakers won't be able to stave off a crisis for very long, a think tank researcher argued in a post on Tuesday. AdvertisementRussia's economy has flashed key signs of weaknesses since the West first began imposing sanctions on the nation in 2022. And high interest rates, necessitated by all that inflation, stifle investment in productivity and further distort the economy," Kolyandr said. AdvertisementOther experts have noted that Russia faces a dilemma as it juggles managing its economy and prolonging its war against Ukraine. According to one European economist, the nation has become dependent on war for economic growth, and it can't afford to win or lose the war.
Persons: , Alexander Kolyandr, Kolyandr, Putin Organizations: Service, Centre for, Kremlin, Business Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Central, Russia, West, Europe
But Putin's replacement of Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu was unexpected — and his choice of successor, civilian economist Andrei Belousov, was even more of a surprise. Russia's incoming Defense Minister Andrey Belousov. "Belousov's main goal is to secure [Russia's] military needs in terms of arms. The Kremlin announced on Sunday that Shoigu, Russia's defense minister since 2012, had been relieved of his post and would become secretary of Russia's influential Security Council. Prigozhin died last August in a plane crash after a short-lived and ill-fated rebellion against Russia's military leadership.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Miguel Diaz, Maxim Shemetov, Sergei Shoigu, Andrei Belousov, Belousov, Putin, Andrey Belousov, Shoigu, Belousov's, Dmitry Peskov, Peskov, Uralvagonzavod, Ramil Sitdikov, Staff Valery Gerasimov, Tatiana Stanovaya, Stanovaya, Nikolai Patrushev, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Ukraine —, Prigozhin, Valery Gerasimov, Mikhail Klimentyev Organizations: Cuban, Canel, Reuters, NATO, Institute for, Anadolu, Getty, Kremlin, Russian MoD, Defense Ministry, Sputnik, Afp, Staff, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, CNBC, Nazi, Security, Wagner Group, Russian Armed Forces, Russian Defence, Defence Ministry Board, National Defence Control Centre Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine, Washington, Kharkiv, Russian, Urals, Nizhny Tagil, Nazi Germany, Kremlin
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