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☆ With Big Tech’s runaway 2024, it just might be time to part with a few winners. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Those highly appreciated positions can change the risk profile of your portfolio, particularly if it's been a long time since you last rebalanced. Managing the tax hit Trimming heavily appreciated positions in a portfolio that's held in a taxable account may come with a capital gains hit. One potential way to mitigate the tax is to use realized losses to offset those capital gains. In a year when losses exceed capital gains, investors can apply up to $3,000 of those losses to offset ordinary income and then carry over the remainder. Normally, these holdings would be the ones subject to the heftiest capital gains taxes if they were sold.

Persons: Blair duQuesnay, it's, Morningstar, Amy Arnott, Arnott, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, We've, Aliaga, Russell Organizations: Nvidia, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC's, Vanguard, Investors, Federal Reserve, Bond Market, SEC, Aggregate Bond, U.S, Taxpayers Locations: New Orleans

☆ With interest rates expected to be higher for longer, here's what to do with your cash
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

That means those saving cash in money market funds and Treasury bills can expect to see their rates stay higher for longer. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 5.13%. The appetite for money market funds is evident in the record amount of cash pouring into the products. Last week, there was $6.11 trillion sitting in money market funds, according to the Investment Company Institute , up from $5.87 trillion in mid-December. Then there are moderate risk investors with longer time horizons, which Vanguard surveys show are the majority of investors, he said.

Persons: They've, Peter Crane, Shelly Antoniewicz, Marguerita Cheng, you'll, Cheng, Roth, Barry Glassman, Glassman, he's, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Vanguard's, Cash, Aliaga Organizations: Federal, Crane, Investment Company Institute, Blue, Global, CNBC, Wealth, Treasury, Vanguard

"The risk of the Fed is asymmetric: the risk of cutting too early and inflation flaring up is much worse than the risk of staying higher and going into a mild recession," he said. Traders are betting that the Fed will hold interest rates steady for three more meetings before starting to cut interest rates in May - earlier than previously expected. Vanguard, which manages $7.6 trillion in assets, expects gross domestic product growth next year to be 0.5%, with one or two quarters of negative growth. The Fed will likely cut rates by 100 to 150 basis points next year, said Aliaga-Diaz. In coming meetings, the central bank will likely keep interest rates on hold but it will keep open the possibility of additional hikes, he said.

Persons: Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Davide Barbuscia Organizations: Federal Reserve, Vanguard, Reuters, Traders, Thomson Locations: U.S

☆ Capitalize on once-in-a-generation opportunities in the bond market by making these 5 moves now, according to 6 leading fixed income strategists
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Yahoo FinanceHowever, six leading fixed income investors are confident that the pain won't last much longer. Michele continued: "I've been doing this since 1981, so I've seen a decade of double-digit bond yields with disinflation. Alex Petrone, the director of fixed income at Rockefeller Asset Management, agreed that it's too soon to write off a recession. Nailing timing helps maximize returns, though fixed income experts said that's difficult because the Fed's policy decisions are unpredictable. Buying Treasuries and municipal coupons on both the long and short ends of the curve are how she recommends playing fixed income.

Persons: Jonathan Mondillo, you've, Bob Michele, Michele, I've, we'll, Federal Reserve —, Robert Robis, Robis, Alex Petrone, it's, Petrone, Mary Daly, David Schiffman, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Mondillo, Schiffman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, isn't, Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Rockefeller Asset Management, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Aquila Investment Management, Vanguard's Investment, Investment Locations: Scotland, bottoming, Abrdn, Aquila, Treasuries, CCC

☆ Bonds are selling off as stocks tumble. Here’s what it means for 60/40 portfolios
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The 60/40 portfolio wasn't spared, either: The iShares Core Growth Allocation ETF (AOR) , which has a 60/40 split, is facing declines from both asset classes. AOR YTD line AOR's performance year to date The slump harkened back to 2022, when equities fell alongside bonds. "We don't see rates going back to the pre-Covid levels," he said. "[I]nvestors still hate bonds at these levels — rates we would've dreamed of two years ago," said duQuesnay. Vanguard's Aliaga-Diaz noted that the 60/40 portfolio will average 6% on a 10-year forward-looking basis, so there are bound to be tumultuous times and periods of strong performance.

Persons: —, wasn't, They're, Blair duQuesnay, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, duQuesnay, DuQuesnay, Joe Kalish, Ned Davis Organizations: Treasury, Dow Jones, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Vanguard, Fed, Ned Davis Research

☆ Asia-Pacific stocks rise after U.S. Treasury yields pull back from 16-year highs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Tuesday's run-up in bond yields spooked investors, but the move is a side effect of markets transitioning to the new reality of higher interest rates, said Roger Aliaga-Diaz, global head of portfolio construction in Vanguard's investment strategy group. More than a year into the Federal Reserve's policy tightening campaign, interest rates are likely to settle at a higher point compared to the pre-pandemic era, he said. "The neutral policy rate is now higher on a permanent basis, perhaps 3.5% or 4%, and that gives you a higher floor for the 10-year bond compared to previous years," Aliaga-Diaz told CNBC. "One it's very painful on the front end because things are resetting to these higher rates," he said. "It could be because of uncertainty and volatility that you can see higher 4 and even 5%," he said, regarding the 10-year Treasury yield.

Persons: Tuesday's, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, there's, Darla Mercado Organizations: Federal, CNBC

☆ Vanguard's global head of portfolio construction explains why the 60/40 portfolio still offers investors the best chance of long-term success even after a dismal year — and lays out the key investment
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Despite abysmal returns in 2022 there's a reason the 60/40 portfolio is a classic, says Vanguard. Long hailed as the cornerstone investing strategy, the 60/40 portfolio swiftly fell out of favor with investors after its returns were annihilated last year. But as equity valuations collapsed in 2022 so too did the 60/40 strategy, with an illustrative portfolio plunging 12% from the beginning of the year to December. In 2023, he predicts that the equity market returns between 5% and 6% — not anywhere near the dizzying gains of 2021, but far from last year's collapse. Furthermore, last year's massive correction may actually spell a brighter future for the 60/40 portfolio over the longer term.

☆ Analysis: Investors count on bonds to rescue battered 60/40 portfolio in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-21 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A 60/40 portfolio, which typically allocates 60% of assets into stocks and 40% into bonds, counts on moves in the two asset classes to offset one another, with stocks strengthening amid economic optimism and bonds rising during uncertain times. So-called 60/40 portfolios, which mix stocks and bonds, are on place for their first down year since 2018. Though market participants tend to avoid bonds during inflationary times, they are a popular destination for haven-seeking investors when the economy wobbles. Consecutive annual declines in the 60/40 portfolio have been rare. Higher-than-expected borrowing costs or rebounding inflation could deal another blow to investors in both stocks and bonds.

☆ Vanguard says 60-40 investing strategy is not dead and will work out again for investors
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After ugly losses in both stocks and bonds, many investors have written off the 60/40 investing strategy. The 60/40 strategy is on track for its second worst year ever, down about 14.5% in 2022 as of Oct. 31, Vanguard found. They fear that 60/40 doesn't work anymore," said Roger Aliaga-Diaz, Vanguard chief economist, Americas and global head of portfolio construction. Brighter prospects ahead The beauty of the 60/40 strategy is that the two asset classes work as a hedge against the other. Vanguard has funds based on the 60/40 strategy.

☆ Another big rate hike is coming. Lather. Rinse. Repeat
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-18 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | Cnn Business | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

As such, experts' forecasts for the Fed's key short-term rate after the November meeting range from 3.5% to 4%. In other words, the Fed's rate hikes could ultimately lead to the economy cooling off more than the central bank would like. Too many big rate hikes risk "sending the economy into a mild recession," Chubb said. What's more, other central banks, mainly the European Central Bank, are likely to step up the pace and size of rate increases as well. "Major central banks still have work to do on inflation, including the Fed and the ECB.

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