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A tactical shift by Ukraine will likely make it even harder for Russia to gain new territory in its invasion, an expert told Business Insider. Riley Bailey, a Russia analyst at the Institute for the Study of War, told BI that Ukraine's defenses will make it "harder for Russian forces to attack head on into entrenched fortified positions. Russia has already struggled to make progress, and these fortifications will likely make its goals even harder to reach. It frustrated advanced Ukrainian weaponry like tanks. 110th Separate Mechanized BrigadeThe extra fortifications will now make Russian decision-making harder, Bailey said.
Persons: Riley Bailey, Bailey, Thomas Peter TPX, Patrick Bury, William Alberque, Ukraine doesn't, Alberque, Jack Watling Organizations: New York Times, Institute for, Business, REUTERS, Patrick, UK's University of Bath, NATO, Mechanized, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Reuters Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Ukrainian, Kupiansk, Kyiv, Avdiivka
Tank assaults have gone poorly for both Russia and Ukraine because they can't surprise each other. Flat terrain and lots of drones mean defenders see the tanks coming, an expert told BI. AdvertisementNeither Russia nor Ukraine has been able to pull off successful tank assaults — and there is a clear reason. The flat terrain and number of drones in the sky make it too hard to surprise the other side, an expert told Business Insider. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Riley Bailey Organizations: Service, Institute for, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine
A Russian soldier said he received almost no training before being sent to the front to fight. AdvertisementA Russian soldier said he joined the army for the money but that his military training was made up of chores like picking up branches. AdvertisementSergei's training was mostly made up of tasks like picking up sticks and first aid lessons that were more theoretical than practical, he said. AdvertisementOther Russian POWs captured at Avdiivka described heavy losses of armored vehicles and troops to the Journal, while saying they got little training before being sent there. Soldiers, military experts, and Western intelligence have pointed out how little training many Russian troops have been given before being sent to Ukraine to fight.
Persons: , Sergei, hasn't, it's, Avdiivka, Riley Bailey Organizations: Service, Wall Street Journal, Ukrainian, for, Russian, UK Ministry of Defence Locations: Russian, Ukrainian, Avdiivka, Ukraine, Russia
Video shared by Ukraine shows the scale of Russian losses at Avdiivka. AdvertisementNew video shows the battered remains of Russian vehicles in an area where Russia has launched its biggest attack against Ukraine in recent months. Aerial footage shared by General Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, commander of Ukraine's Tavriia Operational Strategic Group, on Monday showed destroyed and smoking Russian vehicles in fields near Avdiivka, along with what appear to be dead Russian soldiers. Ukraine has claimed that Russia lost more than 6,000 soldiers and over 400 armored vehicles there in just one week last month. The 53rd Separate Mechanized Brigade on Sunday described it as a "mass suicide" action by Russia and said hundreds of Russian soldiers had been killed.
Persons: , Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, Ukraine's, Russia's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Riley Bailey Organizations: Service, Strategic, Ukraine's, Mechanized Brigade, UK Ministry of Defence, MOD, Institute for Locations: Ukraine, Avdiivka, Russia, Russian, Bakhmut
Ukraine has started using its US-donated ATACMS missiles to great effect. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe long-range ATACMS missiles that Ukraine got from the US are putting Russia on the back foot, rendering one of its tactics less effective, an expert told Insider. But now Ukraine can hit equipment that is spread further apart thanks to the ATACMS cluster munitions. Ukraine can hit "targets where you need to hit a wide range of targets in one location," said Bailey. Ukraine said at it expended at least four missiles in the ATACMS strike [which took out far more than four targets?].
Persons: , Riley Bailey, ATACMS, Bailey, Serhii Mykhalchuk, Mykhailo Podolyak, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: Service, Institute for, Getty Images, Storm, of Defense, HIMARS, Aircraft, US Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, France, Ukrainian, Bakhmut
Russia launched its first major offensive in months on the village of Avdiivka — but it's not going well. Western observers have remarked on large Russian losses around Avdiivka, where Russia has failed to make significant advances despite committing large numbers of troops and vehicles. AdvertisementAdvertisementBailey pointed to Russia's efforts in Vuhledar, another town nearby, where Russian attacks ended in defeat and huge tank losses earlier this year. Russia launched its assault on Avdiivka, in Ukraine's eastern Donetsk region, on October 10, Ukraine said. Ukrainian units have shared footage of intense fighting and destroyed Russian vehicles.
Persons: it's, Russia hasn't, , Riley Bailey, Avdiivka, Bailey, Vladimir Putin, ISW Organizations: Service, Institute for, Mechanized Brigade, Russia, Atlantic Council Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Avdiivka, Vuhledar, Avdiivka ., Ukraine's, Donetsk
These activities are a detriment to the Ukrainian counteroffensive, but Kyiv's forces appear to be adapting. In this situation, "Russian forces deployed aviation in a way they haven't recently, to front-line positions, and were able to use it more successfully than they have in the past," he said. Russian Air Force Mil Mi-8 and Kamov Ka-52 "Alligator" attack helicopter Leonid Faerberg/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images"We haven't seen Russian forces really use aviation super extensively on the front line," Bailey said, adding "they have been concerned about having aviation losses." "Ukrainian forces are having to adapt to how Russian forces are employing these in southern Ukraine," he said, noting that they are seeing signs of that as the Ukrainians set the stage for their main attack. Ukraine hasn't committed the bulk of its dedicated counteroffensive forces to a major assault operation, and, as ISW's George Barros said recently, "big fireworks are still to come."
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Riley Bailey, Bailey, Kamov, Leonid Faerberg, it's, VITALY TIMKIV, Wagner, Karolina Hird, It's, Ukraine hasn't, George Barros Organizations: Service, Senior Ukrainian, BBC Wednesday, Institute for, Russian Air Force, Getty, Operations, Ukraine, Bakhmut, CNN, Fox News Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Russia's Krasnodar, AFP, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Oblast
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