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The Fed is going to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December, Citi economist Veronica Clark said. Labor market weakness is showing across a number of data points, she said. According to Veronica Clark, deteriorating labor dynamics will force the central bank to cut rates by 50 basis points in December. Her point has grown more evident after October's jobs report underwhelmed expectations with only 12,000 jobs added. AdvertisementThough October's unemployment rate stayed unchanged on a rounded basis, Clark noted that it was it nearly rounded to 4.2%.
Persons: Veronica Clark, It's, Clark, , Reserve isn't Organizations: Citi, Labor, Service, Reserve, Bloomberg
The Federal Reserve is expected to once again hold interest rates steady on Wednesday. Some predictions also do not forecast any interest rate cuts until the second half of the year. AdvertisementIt's probably still not time for the nation's central bank to cut interest rates just yet. AdvertisementGiven that inflation is still above the Fed's 2% target, it's looking like rate cuts might not come until the second half of 2024. "Inflation has continued to run hot and there is no compelling need for the Fed to cut interest rates until they're comfortable with where inflation is headed."
Persons: Powell, , It's, Julia Pollak, Jerome Powell, Gregory Daco, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, Fed Locations: Washington
In today's big story, we're looking at a Wall Street billionaire's prediction that the four-day workweek is coming . Billionaire hedge fund manager and New York Mets owner Steve Cohen said a four-day workweek is inevitable , Business Insider's Matthew Fox writes. Cohen put his money where his mouth is regarding the four-day workweek. As the newest four-day workweek fan club member, Cohen must be interested in implementing it at his hedge fund, Point72. Maybe the four-day workweek represents the olive branch companies can extend to get people back to their desks.
Persons: , Jack, Dave Kotinsky, Rebecca Zisser, Steve Cohen, Matthew Fox, I'd, Cohen, Tech.co, Yuki Iwamura, Jerome Powell, Powell, Tesla, Brooks Kraft, OpenAI's, Logan Kilpatrick, Kilpatrick, Carl Godfrey, Bob Iger, Nelson Peltz, Iger, he's, he'll, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Joe Lewis, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, United Airlines, Boeing, Business, Lincoln Center, Billionaire, New York Mets, CNBC, Mets, Technologies, Workers, Federal, JPMorgan, Brooks, Brooks Kraft LLC, Getty, Services, Google, Bloomberg, BI, Reuters Locations: York, New York, London
In today's big story, we're looking at why the economy has most consumers feeling like they are stuck in place . A "trapped in place" economy is in full swing. Bad buying conditions coupled with everyday high prices means consumers can't make any major life changes , writes Business Insider's Emily Stewart. But it's not the only area of the economy that's stuck, Emily writes. So, while consumers lament being stuck in place, they should also avoid getting stuck looking to the past.
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, Emily Stewart, it's, Emily, gunning, It's, Jerome Powell's, Tyler Le, Steve Mnuchin, Brian Moynihan, Instagram, Jensen Huang, Chelsea Jia Feng, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Tech, Federal, Wall Street, Investors, Blackstone, JPMorgan, MLB, Bank of America, mojo, Nvidia, Astera Labs, NASDAQ Locations: It's, Chelsea, New York, London
Market reversal : The stock market on Thursday initially shrugged off the before-the-bell release of a stronger-than-expected increase in February producer prices. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, WTI, Coterra, Estee Lauder, Stanley Black, Dick's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: CNBC, Reserve, West Texas, Lone, Coterra, Nvidia, FedEx, Dow, Nike, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S
For investors looking for high-quality income with the potential for significant total return, agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) may be the answer. Fitting MBS into your portfolio In fact, Atluri believes agency MBS are more attractive than investment-grade corporate right now. In addition, agency mortgage-backed securities also trade defensively if the economic outlook were to worsen, he added. About 25% of core bond fund holdings are in mortgage-backed securities, according to Morningstar. "Mortgage-backed securities didn't do as well [as investment grade] last year," said Wei Li, BlackRock's global chief investment strategist.
Persons: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Jason Smith, Neuberger Berman, Smith, Michael Kessler, Kessler, Pramod, Atluri, Morningstar, Wei Li, Albion's Kessler Organizations: Agency MBS, U.S ., MBS, Mortgage News, Albion Financial Group, Federal Reserve, Capital Group, Fund of America, BlackRock
These are some of the forecasts for 2024 from Goldman Sachs chief US equity strategist David Kostin and his team. But that doesn't mean it's time to expect a full-on bull market or rapid economic growth anytime soon. So, to leave room for alternative outcomes, Kostin envisioned an even more optimistic scenario that would see rate cuts and stronger economic growth. The second strategy is to not shy away from growth stocks, but rather, be discerning. Yet, their forecasted sales growth is below their 2023 numbers.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman isn't, Sherwin, Williams, Stocks, Eli Lilly, Russell, John Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business, O'Reilly Automotive, Dwight, Marathon Petroleum, Intercontinental Exchange, Truist Financial, Rollins Inc, Power Systems, Water, Enphase Energy, Co, NVIDIA, EQT Corp, Toro Company, John Bean Technologies Corporation, Delta Air Lines, DAL, Alaska Air Group Locations: Goldman's, ORLY, Albemarle, ALB
Halfway through 2023, mortgage rates are still elevated compared to the last decade. It's not likely that interest rates will come down this year; Selma Hepp, the chief economist at CoreLogic, expects the year to end with mortgage rates at 6.7%. That's up from her forecast in April that saw the year ending with mortgage rates near 5.8%. "And I think with lower mortgage rates, we will see a lot of pent-up demand coming in." This year, appreciation has largely been a function of low inventory, though elevated mortgage rates are helping to mute that increase.
Persons: It's, Selma Hepp, Hepp Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. Federal Reserve isn't trying to get ahead of itself anymore, KPMG saysDiane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG, says there's unlikely to be another "mic drop" moment — like U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's 8-minute speech last year — at the next Jackson Hole meeting.
Persons: Diane Swonk, Jerome Powell's, Jackson Organizations: . Federal, KPMG, Federal
On an annual basis, services inflation was up 7.2%, the worst year-over-year increase since 1982, he noted. "To get services inflation down, you really actually need to create demand destruction. But Johnson believes central bank policies will further impact the stock market heading into the rest of the year. This will put more pressure on the stock market throughout the year, creating a steeper-than-anticipated decline. He believes the stock market will repeat the pattern witnessed in 2000 and 2001.
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Watch Bausch A welcome leadership change at eye-care firm Bausch + Lomb (BLCO) is causing shares of Club holding Bausch Health (BHC) to surge 13% Wednesday, to roughly $8.52 apiece. Bausch Health owns nearly 89% of Bausch + Lomb, so what's good news at BLCO is good news for BHC, too. Saunders is a solid pick to lead Bausch + Lomb, which had been a division of Bausch Health up until May 2022. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Stocks still have at least 7% more to fall before hitting a bottom, according to JPMorgan's chief stock strategist Dubravko Lakos. He told CNBC that earnings estimates for 2023 are still too high, and the Fed would likely stay restrictive on monetary policy. "I don't think the Fed is going to make it easy for the market. He predicted the S&P 500 will dip at least to 3,600, representing a 7% decline from current levels, particularly since central bankers are expected to keep interest rates restrictive. The Fed hiked interest rates by 425 basis points last year to rein in inflation, leading the S&P 500 to sink 20% for its worst losses since 2008.
The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates again today, but not at the same fast pace as past months. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced it would be increasing interest rates yet again, raising them 0.5 percentage points. "He's pushing hard to get more people fired because he thinks that is one way to help bring down inflation," Warren told HuffPost's Arthur Delaney, referencing Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell. This isn't the first time Warren has sounded the alarm on continued interest rate hikes. The Federal Reserve isn't the only body that could take action: Congress could step in with legislation aimed at lowering prices.
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