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☆ Joseph Stiglitz on why America's appetite for Trump endures
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

If Trump is elected again, Stiglitz said, he could well pull support for Ukraine, sending grain prices soaring. For Stiglitz, the 2001 winner of the Nobel Prize in economics, America's appetite for Trump can be traced back a little more than four decades ago to the election of Ronald Reagan. "We've had 40 years of a neoliberal experiment: Strip away the regulations and lower the taxes — taxes are much lower than they used to be. But Komlos and Stiglitz don't place blame solely on Reagan for the growing economic inequality. Every European country that's had a wealth tax has walked away from it, by and large."

Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump, Stiglitz, Joe Biden, Ronald Reagan, —, that's, Reagan, We've, Dina Litovsky, Friedrich Hayek, Milton Friedman, That's, Stiglitz doesn't, John Komlos, Komlos, Joe, Bill Clinton, Clinton, Barack Obama, insurrectionists, Desmond Lachman, Carter, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, George W, John McCain's, Holtz, America Stiglitz, Hayek, Friedman, Claudia Sahm, you've, what's Organizations: Columbia Business School, Business, Capitol, Biden, Trump, :, Good Society, America's, Federal Reserve, Budget, Bank, University of Munich, Duke University, University of North, Democratic, North American Free Trade, World Trade Organization, American Enterprise Institute, Bush's, Economic Advisers Locations: Manhattan, Ukraine, Russia, China, Beijing, Taiwan, University of North Carolina, Spain, America

☆ Opinion: Biden gave the speech of his life
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Opinion Cnn Contributors | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +29 min

CNN —CNN Opinion asked political and policy contributors to weigh in on President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address. David Gergen: Biden just rewrote the presidential racePresident Joe Biden not only delivered perhaps the best speech of his life last night; he may have also changed the race itself. Roxanne Jones: Biden finally sounds like he’s ready to fightPresident Joe Biden finally has my attention. At the end of his speech, Biden reminded voters that he “grew up among working people” in Scranton. In his State of the Union speech, Biden had to answer the mail on all of these.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, David Gergen, Biden, Joe Biden, —, Carrie Sheffield, Carrie Sheffield Barry Morgenstein, Donald Trump’s, pandered, Sophia A, Nelson, Trump, Sen, Andrew, ”, Donald Trump, Harris, Daniel McCarthy, Trump President Joe Biden, Daniel McCarthy Biden, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, wasn’t, he’s, haven’t, Cori Bush, Rashida Tlaib, Bernie Sanders, Nikki Haley, Trump couldn’t, Reagan, Roxanne Jones, ” Biden, Smart, Jill Filipovic, Mike Johnson, David A, Vladimir Putin, Putin, ” David A, Benjamin Netanyahu, “, SubStack’s, Paul Sracic, It’s, White, Paul Sracic Arne Hoel It’s, Hillary Clinton, Joe, ” Paul Sracic, Raul A, Reyes, ” Raul A, Marjorie Taylor Greene’s, Laken Riley, Mark Zandi, Mark Zandi Moody's, Ana Marie Cox, Ana Marie Cox Faith Fonseca, Biden’s, Dobbs, Roe, Wade, Peter Bergen, George W, Bush, Vladimir Putin’s, –, beefed, Gazans Organizations: CNN, David Gergen CNN, Union, Harvard Kennedy School, Gallup, NATO, Democratic, Republicans, Trump, Independent Women’s, United States Senate, Biden, Congressional, Trump President, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Republican, Conservative, The Spectator, Syndicate, Big Pharma, Companies, American, Democrats, Twitter, NATO —, Israel, New York Times, CBS News, Democratic Party, United Auto Workers, Youngstown State University, Hudson Institute, Reyes CNN, Border Patrol, Georgia, ” Progressives, Pew Research Center, White, USA, Moody’s Analytics, Ana Marie Cox Faith, Jackson, Peter Bergen CNN, US Senate, New, Arizona State University Locations: Joe Biden’s State, America, United States, State, Gaza, Israel, New York, Ukraine, ”, American, China, Iran, Europe, Asia, Chicago, Scranton , Pennsylvania, Belvidere , Illinois, Scranton, Claymont , Delaware, Delaware, Ohio, Washington , DC, Georgia, Alabama, Austin, Iraq, New America

☆ Woman Could Have Prevented Great Recession; Ignored by Wall Street Men
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Josie Cox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +21 min

The story of Brooksley Born is not only the tale of a remarkable regulator whose Cassandra-like warnings — if heeded — could've prevented the great financial crisis from exploding into raging, ruinous enormity. Not long after she assumed chairmanship of the CFTC, Born started to feel a lingering unease with the rapidly expanding derivatives market. So to Rubin, Born was more of an inconvenience than anything, and she certainly wasn't in his club. Not long after, Treasury officials lobbied Congress to pass legislation preventing the CFTC from being able to regulate the OTC derivatives market. In the months and years that followed, it became increasingly hard to deny that the multi-trillion-dollar OTC derivatives market was the root cause of the great financial crisis.

Persons: Lehman Brothers, jolting, — could've, It's, Potter Stewart, Henry Edgerton, Porter, she'd, Bill Clinton, Clinton, Janet Reno, Brooksley, Michael Greenberger, Born, Gibson, weren't, Robert Rubin, Goldman Sachs, Rubin, Michael Hirsh, Alan Greenspan, Greenspan, Ayn Rand, Hirsh ., Hirsh, Greenspan didn't, braggadocian machismo, lauding Rubin, Lawrence Summers, Arthur Levitt, Josie Cox, Levitt, Summers, Jim Leach, Richard Lugar, —, Bethany McLean, Joe Nocera, Bob Rubin, Born's Cassandra, George W, Bush, Lauren Rivera, Christine Lagarde, Lehman, ABRAMS Organizations: Stanford University, Stanford Law School, Stanford, Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, Arnold, Futures Trading Commission, American, CFTC, Bankers Trust, Procter, Gamble, Sumitomo, Federal Reserve, Fed, Securities and Exchange Commission, Financial Markets, Abrams, Term Capital Management, Enron, SEC, Born, Northwestern's Kellogg School of Management, Financial, International Monetary Fund, Lehman Brothers, Reuters, Street, The Washington Post, Guardian, Abrams Press Locations: California, Vietnam, United States, Washington, America, ABRAMS , New York

☆ Big government will drive the next market cycle
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Growth picked up while quiescent inflation permitted interest rates to fall. Bereft of government support, central banks tried to stimulate their economies by pushing interest rates to new lows. That means interest rates will struggle to return to the ultra-low levels seen after 2008. The first takeaway is that higher debt levels, inflation and interest rates should be bad for bonds. Vincent Deluard of StoneX has proposed a division between intangible and tangible companies.

Persons: Kevin Lamarque, ” Ronald Reagan’s, Milton Friedman –, Britain’s Margaret Thatcher –, Reaganomics ”, Réka Juhász, Nathan J, Lane, Dani Rodrik, government’s, Vincent Deluard, StoneX, Lockheed Martin, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum Organizations: Republicans, Capitol, REUTERS, Reuters, Bank, Asset, Monetary Fund, Treasury, Capital Economics, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Capital, Facebook, Meta, Lockheed, Micron Technology, U.S, Congress, Nasdaq, Energy, Exxon Mobil, Labour Party, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, “, Ukraine, Covid, Europe, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan

☆ Universal basic income is working — even in red states
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-29 | by ( Michael Venutolo-Mantovani | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

He encourages skeptical taxpayers to look at universal basic income from the same "selfish point of view." Among those who received a basic income in Stockton, California, the unemployment rate dropped by nearly 50%. With more data at hand than theoretical projection, the evidence is overwhelming: Universal basic income is working nearly universally. Promising as these pilot programs are, the chances of a truly universal basic income in America remain remote. As for Tydricka Lewis, basic income afforded her the latitude to start her own nonprofit.

Persons: Tydricka Lewis, she'd, Lewis, North Carolina's, Jack Dorsey, Durham, Dorsey, Mark, Anthony Middleton, Middleton's, it's, Thomas Paine, Huey Long, George McGovern, Andrew Yang, Anna Jefferson, Nick Otto, Jefferson, Middleton, StepUp, UBI, we've, Michael Venutolo, Condé Organizations: North Carolina Central University , Durham, Abt Associates, University of Pennsylvania, Durham's, Excel, KFC, Generation Movement, Durham Bulls, The New York Times, National Geographic, Wired Locations: Durham, North, America, Black, New York City, Denver, Stockton , California, Los Angeles, Baltimore, Columbia, South Carolina, Birmingham , Alabama, Gainesville , Florida, Florida, Gainesville, AFP, Durham County, Washington, Chapel Hill , North Carolina

☆ High bond yields and a strong dollar could be here for longer, as policy conditions mirror the 1980s, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The mix of loose fiscal policy and tight monetary policy looks similar to the 1980s, BofA said. In that decade, those circumstances led to high yields and a strong dollar, similar to what's occurring today. As high yields have generally corresponded with a strong dollar, the greenback will remain historically strong, even if inflation is tamed and interest rates reverse course. AdvertisementAdvertisementBofA continues to forecast a non-landing scenario for the economy, which would support both high yields and a strong dollar. This is a case of markets getting concerned about US debt sustainability, both weakening the USD and increasing yields," Bofa added.

Persons: BofA, —, Reaganomics, Volcker, Bofa Organizations: Service, Bank of America, FX

☆ Ex-UK PM Liz Truss renews calls for Reagan-style tax cuts one year after mini-budget blowup
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Britain's former Prime Minister, Liz Truss speaks at the 'Great British Growth Rally' event on day two of the annual Conservative Party conference on October 2., 2023 in Manchester, England. Carl Court | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesMANCHESTER, ENGLAND — Liz Truss, the Reaganomics enthusiast who lasted just 44 days as U.K. prime minister, staged somewhat of a comeback Monday, drawing fans from breakaway Conservative Party factions as she renewed calls for business tax cuts. A year after Truss' chaotic mini-budget of tax cuts roiled financial markets and led to her ultimate resignation, crowds gathered in their droves on the fringes of the Conservative Party Conference in Manchester to hear the ex-leader deliver her economic vision for Britain. Truss was voted into power last year by Conservative Party members, whose number is estimated around 160,000 — or 0.3% of the U.K. population. She beat out Rishi Sunak, who later replaced her as prime minister following her resignation in October 2022.

Persons: Liz Truss, Carl Court, Jeremy Hunt —, Ronald Reagan's, Donald Trump, Truss, Rishi Sunak Organizations: Conservative Party, Getty, Getty Images, Conservative Party Conference, Britain, Finance, AstraZeneca Locations: Manchester, England, Getty Images MANCHESTER, ENGLAND

☆ Opinion | A Performance Review for President Biden
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

To the Editor:Re “Why So Many Americans Are So Down on Biden,” by Bret Stephens (column, Sept. 6):Sure, the president is old, but, boy, has the country improved. Foundations for the country’s future have been established (Inflation Reduction Act, Chips Act, etc.). C’mon, forget an occasional stumble, or less than polished speech — it’s action and leadership that should be noted, and applauded. To the Editor:All things considered, I believe that Joe Biden has done a fantastic job as president. And because we project our national identity onto our president, he does not sate our desire for a robust, optimistic leader.

Persons: Biden, ”, Bret Stephens, Tim Neale Amherst, Joe Biden Organizations: America, Foundations Locations: Mass

☆ The Fed is secretly stress testing the US economy against nightmare scenarios
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

When asked how the Fed plans for the worst case scenarios on the geopolitical front, he first responded in Fedspeak. At every Fed policy meeting, he said, “our staff works up six or seven or eight alternative simulations,” he said. The market impact: The policy scenarios considered by the Fed are quite sensitive. That’s likely why when Powell was asked about the scenarios the Fed had most recently considered, he stayed mum. They’re posting elaborate TikToks where they pretend that the McDonald’s Grimace shake has killed them, of course.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell didn’t, ”, they’re, Joe Brusuelas, Stacey Tevlin, Ben Bernanke, Philippa Dunne, “, Danielle DiMartino Booth, That’s, Powell, “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, “ Bidenomics, Elisabeth Buchwald, Bryan Mena, Read, McDonald’s, Scottie Andrew, Grimace’s, Ronald McDonald, Andrews, it’s, Matthew Prince, “ It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, European Central Bank, Federal, RSM, “, Fed, Bloomberg, TLR, QI Research, Federal Reserve, Chapman University, CNN Locations: New York, Portugal, Fedspeak, China, Chicago, America, California, ”

Chicago CNN —President Joe Biden’s top economic advisers believe the worst effects of inflation are in the rear-view mirror. “I didn’t come up with a name,” he said, crediting the news media for inventing the term Bidenomics. The debt ceiling impasse also needed to be resolved and Biden’s key economic legislation needed to begin to be implemented. Now, officials see Bidenomics as an opportunity to tie together the president’s economic accomplishments, the vision behind those policies and a growing economy under one term. But it’s working.”But when faced with the question of whether “Bidenomics” can be the answer to changing public perception of the president’s record, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre offered a frank reply: “We’re going to try.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, There’s, “, Bidenomics ”, ” Biden, ”, Biden, he’d, he’s, Anita Dunn, Mike Donilon, Dunn, Donilon, Lael Brainard, ” Brainard, It’s, “ It’s, ” Dunn, we’re, Richard Nixon, it’s, Ronald Reagan, Bidenomics, ’ ”, Karine Jean, Pierre Organizations: Chicago CNN, Old, Old Chicago Main Post, CNN, SSRS, “, MSNBC, British, Wall Street, White Locations: Chicago, Old Chicago, America, Ukraine, Philadelphia

☆ Biden tries to flip skeptical Americans on his economic plan
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Trevor Hunnicutt | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. president will attempt to re-introduce his vision of middle-class American prosperity during a speech in Chicago. The philosophy includes taxing the wealthy to invest in areas critical to national security, including semiconductors; educating workers; and improving economic competition, according to aides who previewed the speech for reporters. Trump has made inflation a key element of his attacks on Biden in the early months of the race. "Americans are worse off under Biden," said Republican National Committee chairwoman Ronna McDaniel in a statement. Biden, 80, is also expected to attend a fundraising event while he is in the Chicago area ahead of a deadline for federal fundraising records.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Ronald Reagan, Lael Brainard, Donald Trump, Trump, Ronna McDaniel, Trevor Hunnicutt, Jamie Freed Organizations: U.S, Reuters, Biden, Federal Reserve, Democratic, Republican, Biden's, Economic, Nielsen, Republican National, Thomson Locations: Chicago, U.S

☆ Inflation hurts. But White House economists find that it’s even worse in every other G7 nation
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN Business —The United States is recovering faster than its peers from the historic bout of inflation squeezing families and souring the mood of the nation, according to a new analysis from White House economists. To address that, the White House economists built an apples-to-apples inflation metric that makes certain adjustments to how shelter costs factor into overall inflation. But we are very heartened and happy to see the trend going where it is,” a CEA official told CNN in a phone interview. And here’s the thing about inflation: It is undeniably down in the United States.”Two independent economists that CNN shared the CEA report with support the logic powering the analysis. That is absolutely a painful thing,” the CEA official said.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, “, “ I’m, Mark Zandi, Republican John McCain, Zandi, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, Joe Biden, Ronald Reagan, Biden, Brian Moynihan, CNN’s Poppy Harlow, George W, Bush, Piper Sandler, Trump, ” Piper Sandler Organizations: New York CNN Business —, White House, of Economic Advisers, CNN, CEA, White, Republican, RSM, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Federal, Gallup Locations: United States, Ukraine, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, America, Europe, Wall, Middle America

☆ The UK's abrupt tax cuts are sowing market chaos — and putting policymakers in a no-win situation that threatens economic crisis
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The UK government's plan to slash taxes and stimulate economic growth has backfired spectacularly. The episode risks lifting inflation higher still and levying new economic pain on all Britons. What was introduced as an effort to boost the UK's economic growth is backfiring to an extraordinary degree. The blowback could range from a weaker British pound to a government default, even higher inflation, higher unemployment, a bigger wealth gap, and a crippling recession. According to Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng, the aim was to lift the struggling UK economy and cut the risk of a near-term downturn.

"Were dysfunction in this market to continue or worsen, there would be a material risk to UK financial stability," the BoE warned. One source at the Treasury said Kwarteng would not resign, and the government would not reverse its policy. A second person familiar with the situation said Truss still backed Kwarteng and they would announce further economic reforms soon. One source at the meeting said Kwarteng had asked the assembled finance bosses what they could do to calm markets. U.S. bond giant PIMCO said it would have less confidence in sterling than it did before last Friday's announcement.

"Were dysfunction in this market to continue or worsen, there would be a material risk to UK financial stability," the British central bank said. By 2:48pm (1348 GMT) it was trading down 0.5% at $1.0679, a fall of 12% in the last three months. The BoE said it would return to its plan to sell bonds and its launch was only postponed until the end of October. RESTORE ORDEROn Monday the BoE said it would not hesitate to raise interest rates and was monitoring markets "very closely". But the slide in bond prices continued unabated on Wednesday, prompting the BoE to make its move.

"Were dysfunction in this market to continue or worsen, there would be a material risk to UK financial stability," the central bank said in a statement that immediately eased pressures on soaring British government bond yields. The Bank of England said on Monday it would not hesitate to raise interest rates and was monitoring markets "very closely". Earlier on Wednesday 30-year British government bond yields rose above 5% for the first time since 2002. "An irresponsible, destructive fiscal policy." In his remarks on Tuesday, BoE Chief Economist Pill said financial market upheaval would have a big impact on the economy and would be factored into the Bank's next forecasts.

☆ Sterling plunges to all-time low in scathing appraisal of fiscal plan
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/TOKYO, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled nearly 5% to an all-time low on Monday as investors ran for the exits after the new government's fiscal plan threatened to stretch Britain's finances to their limits. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterSterling was last down 2.7% at $1.0560. In total, the plans will require an extra 72 billion pounds of government borrowing over the next six months alone. "In this environment, you either need to see much higher growth - which isn't happening at the moment - or you need to see significantly higher bond yields to incentivise capital inflows. To get bond yields up to those levels, you need to see the Bank of England coming out and doing an emergency hike."

☆ Britain's sudden lurch to 'Reaganomics' gets a thumbs down from the markets
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-24 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Truss has now put the country on an economic road completely at odds with most, if not all, major global economies. Hannah Mckay | Reuterswatch nowU.K. bond markets went into a tailspin Friday as investors shunned the country's assets. And with bonds tanking, sterling was also sent into freefall after hitting 37-year lows against the dollar in recent weeks. Left-leaning The Guardian newspaper called it "a budget for the rich" on its front page Saturday, while The Times called it a "great tax gamble." The right-wing Daily Mail newspaper called it a "true Tory budget" while Kwarteng himself said it was a "very good day for the U.K.," declining to comment on the currency moves.

☆ Markets Are Right to Be Shocked by Britain’s Version of Reaganomics
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( James Mackintosh | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Reaganomics, voodoo economics, trickle-down theory; whatever you call it, 1980s political economy is back in Britain, and the markets hate it. The new British government announced surprise tax cuts on Friday costing about 1.8% of GDP, with no explanation of how to pay for them other than some hand-waving at “growth.”

British Prime Minister Liz Truss and Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng visit Berkeley Modular, in Northfleet, Kent, Britain, September 23, 2022. The pound crashed below $1.09 for the first time since 1985 and British government bonds suffered the biggest daily fall in decades. "I've rarely seen an economic policy that is as uniformly panned by economic experts and financial markets," said Harvard professor Jason Furman, former chair of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisers during Barack Obama's presidency. Britain's Institute for Fiscal Studies compared Kwarteng's statement to a budget in 1972 that similarly sought to double Britain's rate of economic growth, but is widely remembered as a disaster for its inflationary effect. Furman said Truss might also have no choice but to undo some of her plans if Britain's debt problems start to spiral because of higher interest rates.

LONDON—Four decades after Ronald Reagan , new U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss is betting that a dose of tax cuts, new spending and deregulation will do for the British economy what a similar recipe did in the early 1980s for the U.S.: lead to an economic revival. On Friday, Ms. Truss’ government is expected to announce a series of tax cuts, including cutting taxes for new home purchases as well as reversing planned hikes in the corporate tax and cutting a recent increase in payroll taxes. It will also abolish limits on bonuses for bankers and allow fracking for shale gas across the U.K.

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