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☆ FedEx creates a hurdle for stock market bulls with the Dow at record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

That rally may not be sustainable, based on the venerable " Dow Theory ." The century-old Dow Theory looks at the relationship between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports , and argues that market trends must be confirmed by both groups. In other words, if the Dow Industrials are going lower, then Transports most also be falling to confirm a prolonged negative run. Right now, investors are presented with the Dow Industrials at all-time highs and Transports barely positive for the year. FDX 5D mountain FDX year to date To be sure, other market trends paint a more positive picture.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Dow Transports, Transports, FedEx, UPS, Tech, Energy, NBA

☆ Forget funds like SPY and VOO — buy this alternative S&P 500 index that's trading near its cheapest levels since the dot-com bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But there's another lesser-known S&P 500 index that you might not have heard of: the SPW. In contrast, the conventional S&P 500 allocates more weight to the biggest companies based on market capitalization. Big Tech names carry very little debt on their balance sheets, meaning that they are less affected by elevated interest rates. Bank of AmericaIn contrast, the cap-weight S&P 500 is approaching overvalued territory. Examples of SPW index funds include the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW).

Persons: —, that's, Jack Ablin, LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Savita Subramanian, Buchbinder, Ablin, haven't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Big Tech, Business, Bank of America, Cresset, Healthcare, financials, Bank of America's, Equity, RSP

☆ This volatility-resistant area of the stock market is ripe for outperformance after two decades of decline, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.

Persons: —, Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's

☆ September's poor history is hard to ignore, but market has many things on its side including the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-03 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The good news outweighs the bad Seasonality aside, the market is riding a wave of momentum, and with good reason: 1) The market "broadening" trend is very real. At Jackson Hole, chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the Fed had shifted its attention from fighting inflation to the job market. S&P 500 in September: It's been ugly recently (rounded) 2023: down 5%2022: down 9%2021: down 5%2020: down 4% The elections are another wildcard. Two-thirds of the S&P 500 was up in August. Most importantly, the Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) modestly outperformed the S&P 500 in August and closed Friday at an historic high.

Persons: Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Robert Hum, It's, Consumer Staples, Jerome Powell, David Smith, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Dow, NASDAQ, Russell, NYSE, Megacap Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Consumer, Estate, Technology, American Association of, Bulls, PCE, Fed, Rockland Trust, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wellington, Meta, Rockland, New York City, U.S

☆ Wall Street still loves the ‘Magnificent Seven’
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Don't get it twisted: Wall Street's love affair with the "Magnificent Seven" is alive and well. That's a greater gain than what strategists forecast for the S & P 500 as a whole — a gain of 11.9%. This dynamic is seen through the relative outperformance of the equal weighted S & P 500 versus its market cap weighted counterpart. .SPX RSP 1M mountain SPX vs RSP in past month Despite this rotation, Wall Street analysts still believe staying with megacap technology stocks are the better bet. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Stifel upgraded Starbucks to buy from hold after naming Brian Niccol its new CEO.

Persons: Jessica Rabe, DataTrek, Rabe, Stifel, Brian Niccol Organizations: Research, Big Tech, RSP, Wall Street Locations: That's

☆ This equal weight ETF is on a five-day winning streak and outperforming its peers in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Astoria US Equal Weight Quality Kings ETF (ROE) , which launched in 2023, is up 17.6% year to date through Tuesday's close, according to FactSet. By comparison, the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and iShares MSCI USA Equal Weighted ETF (EUSA) are up 9.7% and 10.1%, respectively. ROE YTD mountain This equal weighted ETF is outperforming some of its rivals in 2024. The Astoria fund is underperforming some other funds that focus on quality, like the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) . The Astoria fund also has a higher expense ratio than some of its rivals at 0.49%.

Persons: John Davi, ROE, Davi, Frank Tedesco, Todd Sohn Organizations: Astoria, RSP, EUSA, Nvidia, Big Tech Locations: ROE

☆ Final Trade: GM, RSP, SLV, VIX
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trade: GM, RSP, SLV, VIXThe final trades of the day with the Fast Money traders.

Organizations: GM, RSP, SLV, Fast Money

☆ Final Trades: Pfizer, L3Harris Tech, the RSP and GDX
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Pfizer, L3Harris Tech, the RSP and GDXThe Investment Committee give you their top stocks to watch for the second half.

Organizations: Pfizer, L3Harris Tech, RSP, Investment

☆ These parts of the stock market are already priced for recession, Northwestern CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"The world has been talking about a recession for the better part of two years, and people have been investing that way," Schutte said. Schutte said that the price-to-cash flow ratio for the S & P Small Cap 600 index already looks like it typically does at the end of recessions. The S & P 500 is up 14.5% year to date, while the Russell 2000 small cap index is higher by just 1%. The S & P 600 Small Cap index is actually down by almost 2% on the year. .RUT YTD mountain Small cap stocks are lagging behind their larger counterparts.

Persons: Brent Schutte, Schutte, Russell Organizations: Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, CNBC, Northwestern, University of Chicago Booth School, Businesss, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Microsoft Locations: U.S

☆ Chart analysts say 'something is not right' with stock market, grow increasingly worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have rallied during the second quarter and are currently within 1% of their record highs. "It's great to see S & P and Nasdaq make new highs, but clearly something is not right if key barometers for risk are rolling over," Ginsberg wrote. There doesn't even seem to be a consensus among the biggest names in the stock market. These latest signs of weakness are part of the long-standing worry about the lack of market breadth . RSP YTD mountain The equal-weight S & P 500 is headed for a losing second quarter.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Russell, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Wolfe Research, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, RSP, Bears

☆ 3 ETF investing strategies to use to protect your portfolio from potential downside as big indexes like the S&P 500 become riskier, according to an ETF expert
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewMajor stock market indexes look virtually unstoppable. 3 alternatives to market cap-weighted indexesTo combat growing concentration risk for the S&P 500, Geraci laid out three alternative investing approaches to consider. In a downside scenario for a stock like Nvidia, this could help minimize the damage it would do to the cap-weighted S&P 500. And third, consider international stocks, which have dramatically lagged US stocks, Geraci said. Core Equity 2 ETF (DFAX), and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) offer exposure to international stocks.

Persons: —, Nate Geraci, Geraci, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, There's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, RSP, First Trust NASDAQ, Schwab, FTSE, Core Equity

☆ The stock market has never been this divided before, by one measure
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The divergence between the broader stock market and a handful of massive technology companies continues to hit new milestones. Excitement around artificial intelligence has led to several tech stocks becoming dominant weights in the S & P 500. In the equal-weighted S & P 500, each company has the same influence on the index. Over the last 12 months, the SPDR S & P 500 Trust (SPY) is up 23.5%, while the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) is higher by just 10%. RSP 1Y mountain Equal weighted measures of the S & P 500, like the RSP, are underperforming the index itself.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, that's, Krinsky Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, RSP, Bulls

☆ Here's why investors should stop worrying so much about concentration risk in the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The World(MSCI All Country World Index weighting)Entire U.S. stock market: 63%Japan, UK, Canada, France, Hong Kong/China combined: 17.5%Magnificent 7: 17%Source: Dimensional FundsThat seems crazy, no? For example, in the mid-1960s the concentration of the top 10 was over 40% of the S&P 500. Investors who own the S&P 500 don't have to pick those winners; they just go along for the ride. Second, U.S. stocks are global market leaders, and when a small group becomes market leaders it almost always means the U.S. stock market outperforms the world. The U.S. stock market, which was roughly 40% of the global market capitalization a short while ago, is now roughly 50% of global market capitalization.

Persons: Gregory Rowe, Berkshire Hathaway, Lilly, It's, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Berkshire, Broadcom, Nvidia, Eck Semiconductor, Dimensional Fund Advisors, FS Investments, IBM, American Express, General Electric, Polaroid, Xerox, U.S, Baidu, SAP, Siemens, United, Shell, AstraZeneca, HSBC Locations: New York City, Miami Beach, Japan, UK, Canada, France, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Germany, United Kingdom

☆ As S&P approaches 5,000, this one trend has been unwavering
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's been a bumpy road from 4,000 to 5,000, but the overall trend stays with big cap tech. Talk about timing: It launched just as the S & P 500 was recovering from the banking crisis, and MAGS has been one of the star ETF performers of the last year. A bumpy road from 4,000 to 5,000 The S & P 500 had been comfortably over 4,000 from mid-2021 into mid-2022, when rising rates pushed the broad index below 4,000. This is true not just this year, but since the S & P went over 4,000 at the end of March, as has international investing. If you own the S & P 500, which has become tech-dominant, you are happy.

Persons: It's, Dave Mazza, MAGS, Mazza, ETFEdge.cnbc.com Organizations: Exchange ETF, Technology, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, AMD, Communication Services, Banks, Care, Staples, Energy, Edge, Miami Beach Locations: Miami Beach, Roundhill

☆ Investors can't get enough of tech stocks even as they dominate the S&P 500
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As megacap tech stocks continue to fuel the rally on Wall Street, investors appear to be betting even more heavily that the big run for those market leaders will continue. Between the start of December and Feb. 2, tech sector funds brought in about $5.2 billion — more than double the next closest sector — according to Strategas. In fact, cumulative flows into all other sector funds combined have been net negative over the past three months. Not all tech sector funds will include every member of the Magnificent 7. The biggest health care sector funds on the market include the Health Care Select SPDR Fund (XLV) and the Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) .

Persons: Todd Sohn, " Sohn, Sohn's, Chris Verrone, Verrone Organizations: Nvidia, Vanguard Information Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Vanguard Health Care

☆ Market leadership is getting even narrower as the 'Magnificent 4' takes over
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Meta's strong earnings has been a major factor in pushing up overall S & P 500 earnings estimates. The S & P 500 is up 4% for the year, but the equal-weight S & P 500 is up only 0.2%. Only about half the stocks in the S & P 500 are up this year. The two main small-cap indices, the Russell 2000 and the S & P SmallCap 600 , are both down 3% for the year. "If the S & P 500 was the Mag 7, it would be trading above 10k now."

Persons: Russell, we've Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, New York Stock Exchange, Software, NVIDIA, Apple

☆ The stock market has cooled off to start 2024, but it's still checking most of the bull market boxes
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The small-cap Russell 2000 has dropped close to 4% against a fractional gain in the S & P 500 year to date. In broad terms, the S & P 500 could retreat to 4600 or so – about 4% down from here – and still be in a routine technical check-back to its latest launch point in early December. Todd Sohn of Strategas notes that the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) saw inflows go vertical last year to $13.5 billion, 30% above its prior 12-month record. Betting on 'peacetime' Fed cuts Right or wrong, the market debate right now can never get far before turning into a Fed-policy-path discussion. Last week's CPI and PPI data added to the market's collective conviction that inflation's downside momentum is strong, opening the way for "peacetime" Fed rate cuts.

Persons: that's, Russell, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Henry McVey, KKR's, McVey, Morgan Stanley, Todd Sohn, Strategas, they're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Goldman, Nasdaq, Apple, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S

☆ Top money managers pick the stocks they like for 2024 that aren't the Magnificent Seven
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

There are plenty of stocks other than the so-called "Magnificent Seven" that are appealing right now, top money managers told CNBC on Thursday. The mega-cap tech stocks that make up the " Magnificent Seven " — Apple , Alphabet , Meta , Microsoft , Amazon , Nvidia and Tesla — each gained at least 48% last year. They make up about a quarter of the S & P 500's total market share. For one, software stocks such as Salesforce are adjacent to the Magnificent Seven, have done well and have a "very long trajectory," she said. The energy names Simpson owns are Chevron and ConocoPhillips .

Persons: Bryn Talkington, Bob Pisani, Talkington, Kevin Simpson, Simpson Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Capital Management, Wealth, Broadcom, Cisco, IBM, Diamondback Energy, Chevron, ConocoPhillips

☆ Some options trades for avoiding an asset bubble and other macroeconomic troubles
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

There are some trades for investors looking to avoid a possible asset bubble and other potholes that could be ahead. The standard 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose even further, a function of both the rising risk-free rate and the rising spread. Buying bonds has interest rate risk. Moreover, the spread between mortgage rates and Treasuries is unusually high. Risk-free rates stay static or even rise mildly, but if the spread narrows mortgage rates could fall, a tailwind for a mortgage portfolio.

Persons: There's, Murray Rothbard, Milton Friedman, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke's, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, Howard Marks, Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway, Marks, Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman, they've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Vanguard Value, Technology, MBS Locations: U.S, deflate, Berkshire

☆ A look back at a remarkable stock market year, and what should worry investors into 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-28 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

A few days ago, S & P noted that the S & P 500 total return of 25.85% would only be up 9.49% ex the Magnificent 7. If you own the S & P 500 long-term, you are participating in those gains. The S & P is up 1,200 points (25%) since then and is knocking on the door of an historic high. The S & P 500 is overbought and expensive on most metrics. The S & P 500 up almost 25% in a year is the kind of problem a lot of people would be happy to have.

Persons: Russell, YTD, General Mills, it's, Staples, Campbell, Mills Organizations: AMD, Arista Networks, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Nike, FedEx, General, NextEra, Utilities, Treasuries Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Wayfair, Devon, Chevron

☆ The ETF flowdown: 2023 is back on pace to be a solid year
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-15 | by ( Kirsten Chang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowDespite a sluggish start to the year, a record number of product launches and a red-hot November have put 2023 back on pace to be a solid year for ETFs. Roughly $1 trillion has gone into money market funds this year, but some are questioning whether the solid year-end stock rally will attract some of those flows back into equities. "You saw that enormous cash pileup going into money markets, and ETF flows were muted. "We talked about the money market funds," he said. He pointed to strong inflows into high-yield ETFs such as the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) and SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) and SPDR Bloomberg Short Term High Yield Bond ETF (SJNK) — along with dividend ETFs such as the Pacer U.S. Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ).

Persons: Ben Slavin, BNY Mellon, CNBC's, Andrew McOrmond, McOrmond, it'll, SPDR, Slavin Organizations: BNY, WallachBeth, SPDR Bloomberg, Pacer, Cash, Tech, RSP Locations: outflows

☆ It's been 2 years since the Nasdaq hit a record and it's gone nowhere since
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The loudest investor chatter for months has insisted the heavyweights of the Nasdaq have been everything to the market in 2023. Sunday is the second anniversary of the all-time closing high in both the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 indexes, which remain 12% and 4 % underwater even after their monster gains in recent months. It's relatively rare for the Nasdaq 100 – the most easily investable part of the Nasdaq and the one most reflective of the mega-cap dominance – to enter a two-year downturn. Only three of the Big Seven have outperformed the Nasdaq 100 over the past two years – Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft — while Meta Platforms has kept pace and Amazon, Alphabet and Tesla have lagged. Friday showed signs of outright rotation, the Russell 2000 up 1.3% versus a flat Nasdaq 100.

Persons: Invesco, Scott Chronert, we've, I've, –, Chronert, Apple's, What's, Berkshire Hathaway, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Russell, disinflation Organizations: Nasdaq, Sunday, QQQ, Citi, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire, Fed Locations: lockstep, Berkshire, Whereto

☆ Stocks one year after the bottom: Here's the good news, and the bad
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 bottomed out on October 12 last year with a close of 3,577. Lopsided gains While the S & P has seen healthy gains off the bottom, the gains have been lopsided. He counts 11 periods of notable non-recession declines in the S & P 500 since WWII. Money keeps pouring into short-term bonds and money market funds For the first time in decades, bonds and money markets are serious competitors for stocks. A lot of people seem very content to leave money in 5% money market funds, perceiving little risk/reward in owning stocks.

Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, Strategas, Covid, Sohn, Sam Stovall, Sam Organizations: Growth, CFRA Research, U.S .

☆ Why has the stock market been weak lately? It's not mysterious
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 1-month Since then, it's been one excuse after another. Everything Tuesday was down about 1.0-1.25% midday, including the equal-weight S & P 500 (RSP) the market-cap weighted S & P 500, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and the small-cap Russell 2000, but most ended down a fraction of a percent. At nearly 5% yield, money market funds are still sucking in money, even with the S & P 500 up 18% this year. I mentioned Monday that money market inflows reaccelerated last week: $21 billion worth of inflows were added, according to Goldman Sachs. "The pace of money market flows reflects a larger apathy towards stock," Todd Sohn from Strategas told clients.

Persons: it's, Moody's, Mike O'Rourke, Dow Jones, Sellers, Harry Whitton, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Todd Sohn, Strategas, David Kelly Organizations: Bank of Japan, Jones Trading, Regional Banking, Nasdaq, Chief Global, Morgan Asset Management Locations: Japan, China, U.S

☆ Test is underway to see how low markets can go
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Right now, the S & P 500 is only 2.4% off its closing high on July 31. You'd think the stock market run would kill the big inflows into money market funds that happened in the first half of the year, but you'd be wrong. Money market inflows reaccelerated last week: $21 billion worth of inflows were added, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. money market fund assets hit $6.7 trillion, the highest level in more than 13 years. There have been renewed inflows into energy, which is on a tear due to tighter oil supplies, and the equal-weight S & P 500 ( RSP ), all signs that the "broadening out" story is still alive.

Persons: Fitch, Sam Stovall, Jonathan Krinsky, Gold, You'd, Goldman Sachs, It's Organizations: Nasdaq

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