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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRabobank: China starting to get "more serious" about supporting marketsBenjamin Picton of Rabobank reacts to the raft of new support measures unveiled by China's financial regulators aimed at supporting the world's second-largest economy. He also weighs in on the U.S. economy and the potential risks from data due out this week.
Persons: Benjamin Picton Organizations: Rabobank, China Locations: U.S
Sterling breached $1.33 against the greenback for the first time since March 2022 on Thursday, and was trading at $1.3315 early London time Monday. The pound's rally was tied to the BOE communication and "looks fully justified," Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING, said in a Friday note. Higher rates are traditionally a positive for a domestic currency as the higher yield can attract more foreign capital. watch nowGabriella Dickens, G7 economist at AXA Investment Managers, also cautioned on the pound's outlook in a note Thursday. If the government is more stringent on fiscal policy, we think the Bank will be forced to increase the pace of the cutting cycle to offset the hit on both households' and businesses' finances."
Persons: Keir Starmer, BOE, Chris Turner, Turner, Jane Foley, Gabriella Dickens, Dickens Organizations: Bank of England, Labour, Sterling, greenback, London, ING, Fed, U.K, European Union, Rabobank London, CNBC, AXA Investment, Bank, quicken Locations: Britain,
In a recent research note, experts at Goldman Sachs were upbeat on the pound, commenting that sterling "tops the list" in the G-10 basket of major currency crosses. The analysts are sticking with their bet that sterling will rise against the dollar , with a target of 1.31. "Combined with still-high rates [this] could attract capital flows into GBP after many years of being a structural sell," the UBS analysts added. She added, "The tone of many of the policies announced by the new Labour government in recent days are market friendly ... The appearance of order in the U.K. government coupled with an expectation of a warmer relationship with the EU should provide for some optimism."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Keir Starmer's, Jane Foley Organizations: Bank of, UBS, Labour Party, FX, Labour Locations: Bank of England
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fell 0.18% to $0.6771, while the New Zealand dollar slid 0.35% to $0.6097. Under a Trump presidency, market analysts expect a more hawkish trade policy, less regulation and looser climate change regulations. Against the dollar, the yen was last 0.3% lower at 158.36, having strengthened to a roughly one-month high of 157.30 per dollar on Friday. "The confirmed FX intervention undertaken by the MOF in April and May proved that policymakers are prepared to be canny about choosing the timing of their moves," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank. "In order to make more 'bang for their buck', FX intervention in quiet conditions or after the release of softer U.S. economic data seems like a sensible move.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jack Ablin, It's, Trump, Rong Ren Goh, Jane Foley Organizations: Trump, Cresset, New Zealand, Eastspring Investments, Cash U.S, Investors, . Bank of Japan, Finance, Analysts, Rabobank Locations: Asia, Japan, U.S, Tokyo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvesting under these geopolitical conditions requires a 'very different skillset': StrategistMichael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, says "we live in a very fluid political environment, and for the longest time, most businesses and markets didn't really have to worry about geopolitics too much," apart from the "odd surprise, the odd difficult government, where there might be the odd difficult regulation."
Persons: Michael Every Organizations: Rabobank
London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right Sunday, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield, or return sought by investors, on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.22% by 8.09 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. The value of the currency, which is shared by 19 other countries in the EU, has swung wildly since June 9.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, , , Holger Schmieding, “ unaffordable, Schmieding, Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Rabobank, EU Locations: gridlock, Europe’s, , France, Paris,
London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.21% by 6.37 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. France’s left-wing alliance came in first after the vote Sunday, while the far right trailed in third place in a shocking reversal of first-round results.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, , Organizations: London CNN, Rabobank, European Union Locations: gridlock, France, Paris
New York CNN —Shoppers in the meat aisle may have noticed something weird last month: Bacon prices are sizzling, but ham’s not so hot. But ham prices were lower, falling 5.4% overall and dropping 6.3% when you exclude canned varieties. It’s all relativeGlynn Tonsor, a professor in the department of agriculture economics at Kansas State University suggests that if you zoom out, pork prices are indeed going up across the board. But prices for ham actually went up higher than the prices of bacon and pork chops. Scott Olson/Getty Images/FilePeople love baconAnother reason for high bacon prices: Strong demand, even when it’s expensive.
Persons: Bacon, Glynn Tonsor, ” Tonsor, Scott Olson, , Christine McCracken, They’re, you’ll, It’s, McCracken, “ You’ll Organizations: New, New York CNN, Shoppers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Kansas State University, Federal Reserve, St, RaboBank, Retailers, KFC, Starbucks Locations: New York, Louis, Mexico, , Chicago , Illinois, Burger King
Prices of cocoa have more than tripled over the last year, creating a big headache for candy makers and other food companies that use the ingredient to make chocolate. The price surge has since eased off slightly, but the crop is still commanding well above what food companies are used to paying. This season's cocoa crop is expected to experience the largest deficit in at least six decades, according to a Rabobank report from May. A YouGov survey conducted in October found that 72% of U.S. respondents had noticed shrinkflation in food products. J&J Snack Foods CEO Daniel Fachner has been keeping an eye on cocoa and chocolate prices.
Persons: Ferley Ospina, Hershey, Kinder, Ferrero, they'll, Steve Rosenstock, Mondelez, shrinkflation, Daniel Fachner, Fachner, Justin Sullivan, Nik Modi, Modi, shea, Rosenstock Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Cadbury, Clarkston Consulting, Rabobank, Reuters, Mondelez, Consumers, Snack, CNBC, RBC Capital, Jumbo Locations: Ragonvalia, Norte de Santader, Colombia, . West Africa, Ghana, U.S, Novato , California, West
Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was trading around 4.211% at 6:29 a.m. The 2-year Treasury note yield was down 1 basis point at 4.679%. U.S. Treasury yields fell again on Friday as data released this week pointed to easing inflation. Correction: A previous version misstated the magnitude of a decline in the 10-year Treasury note yield.
Persons: Henry Allen, — Jeff Cox Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Rabobank, Deutsche Bank, U.S . Federal, US, University of Michigan
Yen on guard ahead of BOJ; euro stutters with weekly loss in sight
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was a touch weaker at 157.08 per dollar and on track for a marginal weekly loss of about 0.2%, though moves were largely subdued ahead of the conclusion of the BOJ's two-day monetary policy meeting later on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.0737, and was poised for a weekly loss of roughly 0.6%. Against the British pound, the euro was last languishing near a 22-month low and staring at a weekly decline of 0.9%.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Wall, Powell, Jean Boivin, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, France's, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Bank of, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Fed, Aussie, Rabobank Locations: Bank of Japan, BlackRock
Dollar finds footing as traders turn to U.S. services data
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
US Dollar notes and euro coins are arranged for a photograph on Sept. 11, 2017. The dollar steadied on Wednesday as traders pared back on riskier bets in emerging markets while waiting on an interest rate decision in Canada and on U.S. services data. Japanese real wages fell for a 25th straight month in April, data on Wednesday showed, as inflation outpaces nominal pay rises. The Swiss franc rose for a fourth straight session on the dollar overnight and at 0.8902 per dollar is close to breaking through its 200-day moving average. The New Zealand dollar was steady at $0.6173, while the Canadian dollar held the middle of a months-long range at C$1.3678 per dollar.
Persons: Jane Foley, Ryozo Himino, Narendra Modi, Chris Weston Organizations: Swiss, Bloomberg News, Bank of, Rabobank, BOJ, Westpac, New Zealand, African National Congress, Morena Locations: Canada, U.S, Bank of Japan, Asia, Japan, Morena
Chocolate's key ingredient has soared in commodities markets throughout 2024. Factors such as crop disease, El Niño, farm-gate prices and market speculation all played big roles in cocoa's historic price run-up. As the chocolate industry grapples with higher input costs, consumers are feeling the pinch, and chocolate providers are beginning to consider alternatives. The food and beverage company partnered with Voyage Foods in April to produce the alternatives. Watch the video above to learn more about the causes of this prolonged price rise, and what's next for the industry.
Persons: El, Paul, Cargill, Adam Maxwell, what's Organizations: Rabobank, Voyage Foods, Foods
The Rubyglow pineapple –— bred for its distinctive red exterior and its sweetness — costs $395.99 at Melissa’s Produce, a California-based seller of specialty fruit and veggies. It took Del Monte, a wholesaler which sells a variety of produce but specializes in pineapple, a decade and a half to develop the red-hued fruit. And yet, there’s interest in premium fruit — enough to convince Del Monte to bring the Rubyglow, which is grown in Costa Rica, stateside. Courtesy Fresh Del MonteThe Pinkglow was never supposed to be a grocery list staple, said Melissa Mackay, VP of marketing in North America at Del Monte. Melissa’s started with 50 pineapples, according to Robert Schueller, director of public relations at Melissa’s Produce.
Persons: Del, , Cindy van Rijswick, “ there’s, Cotton Candy, McIntosh, Jim Luby, Patrick T, Fallon, Luby, Lane Turner, Oishii, Hiroki Koga, Jerod Harris, Melissa Mackay, , It’s, Melanie Zanoza Bartelme, pricey, Hailey, Strawberry, it’s, Melissa’s, Robert Schueller, ” Schueller, Bo Corley, ” Corley, Corley Organizations: New, New York CNN, , University of Minnesota, Getty, Rabobank, Citrus, Boston Globe, Vox Media, Del, Mintel, Melissa’s Locations: New York, California, Del Monte, China, United States, America, Costa Rica, AFP, Minnesota, Beverly Hills , California, North America, Erewhon, Angeles, Las Vegas, Southern California
Extreme hot weather and persistent drought conditions have dealt a severe blow to olive oil production in southern Europe, resulting in a significant surge in prices. Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty ImagesA shortage of olive oil, sometimes referred to as "liquid gold," has driven prices to record highs, fueled a crime surge and pushed the industry into crisis mode. The decline extends a downward trend, after olive oil prices reached an unprecedented peak of 9.2 euros in January. But analysts said that dwindling olive oil reserves would likely keep markets on edge for sudden price spikes over the coming months. Olive oil thefts
Persons: Kyle Holland, Holland, De Rust, Rodger Bosch, Vito Martielli, Martielli, Helena Bennett, Bennett, Xylella, Mintec's Holland Organizations: European Union, Anadolu, Getty, Centre, Market, Mintec, CNBC, Afp, Rabobank, Green Alliance UK, European Environment Agency, Nurphoto Locations: Europe, Anadolu, Spain, Italy, Greece, Spain's Andalusia, Olive Estate, De, Cape Town, Netherlands, Olive, Lecce, Puglia
Price rises in the euro area held steady at 2.4% in April, while the economy returned to growth in the first quarter, according to flash figures published Tuesday. Headline inflation of 2.4% was in line with the forecast of economists polled by Reuters. It is the seventh straight month the headline rate has been below 3%, despite a slight rebound in the rate in December due to energy prices. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, dipped to 2.7% from 2.9% in March. However, Martinez noted the slightly lower-than-expected fall in core inflation and volatility in some areas of services that had increased the inflation rates in France and Italy.
Persons: Price, Gerardo Martinez, Martinez, Jane Foley, Foley Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, Gross, ECB, CNBC, BNP, Rabobank Locations: Europe, France, Italy
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email$60 billion U.S. war aid for Ukraine would have a 'huge number' of implications, Rabobank saysMichael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, discusses the U.S. House's decision to pass more than $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, saying it's an "enormous amount" of money and military equipment.
Persons: Michael Every Organizations: Rabobank Locations: Ukraine
As Gatorade approaches its 60th birthday, the brand is staying spry, branching out into new categories from unflavored water to energy drink mixes. It accounted for 63.5% of the U.S. sports drink market in 2023, according to Euromonitor International data. Gatorade President Mike Del Pozzo told CNBC that the competition is good for the category overall – and shows his brand's own strength. "There's plenty of loud voices right now, trying to make a name for themselves," said Del Pozzo. And Propel's annual sales are projected to cross $1 billion for the first time this year, Del Pozzo said.
Persons: spry, There's, Jim Watson, Coke, Watson, Ramon Laguarta, influencer Logan, Mike Del Pozzo, Del Pozzo, we're, Rabobank's Watson Organizations: Gatorade, Euromonitor, Cola, Pepsi, Rabobank, Unilever, Nestle Health Science, PepsiCo, Energy, Citi Research, CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's economy is sustainable, provided it never turns the corner and recovers: StrategistMichael Every of Rabobank says Japan is a "test case for how far you can push silly policy" and that in the long run, an unconventional policy approach would be needed for Japan to get out of its current situation.
Persons: Michael Every Organizations: Rabobank Locations: Japan
CNN —Cocoa prices are surging so high, the Easter Bunny might want to hoard its chocolate. Poor climate and crop diseases in West Africa – home to 70% of global cocoa production – have tightened supply and caused prices to skyrocket. As prices rise, some chocolatiers are exploring cost-cutting alternatives, like diversifying their products to depend less on cocoa. Yet mining often destroys farms and the possibility of a livelihood in cocoa production, Issaka said. “Given the persistently high cocoa prices, it may be necessary for us to make responsible adjustments to pricing in the future,” the spokesperson wrote in an email.
Persons: Hershey’s, Shaquille O’Neal, Michele Buck, Billy Roberts, Roberts, ” Roberts, Issaka, Will Kletter, Kletter, , Peng Xu, Christopher Taylor, Li, Taylor, , “ We’re, “ It’s, ” Taylor Organizations: CNN, Cadbury, NCA, “ Brands, Industries, International Cocoa Organization, Rabobank, US, , Euromonitor Locations: West Africa, North Region, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Silicon, Washington ,, Manhattan
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. India is one of the biggest markets for gold, which plays a key role in its culture. Scramble over port shutdownLogistics firms are left scrambling after the closure of the Port of Baltimore, one of the busiest ports in the U.S. Cocoa prices soarCocoa prices are surging and this could impact consumers as the world struggles with a supply deficit.
Persons: Yen tumbles, Dow, BlackRock's Larry Fink, Francis Scott Key, Richard Meade, Paul, Vahan Janjigian Organizations: CNBC, Nikkei, CSI, Nasdaq, Rabobank, Greenwich Wealth Management Locations: Seng, Blackrock, India, Port of Baltimore, U.S, Baltimore
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. consumers' optimism wanes
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Cocoa prices soarCocoa prices are surging and this could impact consumers as the world struggles with a supply deficit. The cocoa futures contract for May delivery rose to an all-time intraday high of $10,080 per metric ton Tuesday. [PRO] ETFs that stand outGiven the market volatility, investors are looking to exchange-traded funds to position their portfolios.
Persons: Dow, Francis Scott Key, Richard Meade, Paul, Tim Cook, Vahan Janjigian Organizations: CNBC, Street, U.S, Nasdaq, Rabobank, Apple, Greenwich Wealth Management Locations: Port of Baltimore, U.S, Baltimore
A farmers holds cocoa beans while he is drying them at a village in Sinfra, Ivory Coast, on April 29, 2023. Consumers could start to see the effect of surging cocoa prices as the world faces the worst supply deficit in decades, with farmers in West Africa struggling against bad weather, disease and failing trees. The world is facing the largest cocoa supply deficit in more than 60 years and consumers could start to see the effect at the end of this year or early 2025, Joules said. The International Cocoa Organization has forecast a supply deficit of 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season, a 405% increase from a deficit of 74,000 tons in the previous season. Cocoa prices will likely remain elevated for some time because there are no easy fixes to the systemic issues facing the market, he said.
Persons: Michele Buck, Paul Organizations: Hershey, CNBC, National Confectioners Association, Rabobank, International Cocoa Organization Locations: Sinfra, Ivory Coast, West Africa, Cocoa
Workers collect dry cocoa beans in front of the store of a cocoa cooperative in the village of Hermankono on Nov. 14, 2023. Analysts believe the cost of the core chocolate ingredient may have room to extend its record-breaking run, with no sign of significant demand destruction yet on the horizon. Concerns over the supply of cocoa in West Africa, home to around three quarters of the world's production, have driven the market higher in recent months. In New York, benchmark ICE cocoa futures stood at $6,549 per metric ton on Wednesday. Somewhat surprisingly, the historic price surge has not yet hampered global demand.
Persons: Paul, CNBC's Organizations: Analysts, Rabobank Locations: Hermankono, West Africa, New York
Dollar firms ahead of busy data week with U.S. inflation in focus
  + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The kiwi had risen 1.2% last week, helped by broad dollar weakness and the risk of a rate hike from the RBNZ on Wednesday. "If anything, the (data) may be stronger than markets currently expect, and that will likely give a modest boost to the dollar," said CBA's Kong. "But at the same time, any gains in the dollar will likely be pretty modest.
Persons: Carol Kong, Sterling, Jane Foley, CBA's Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, of Japan's, U.S, Rabobank, U.S . Commodity Futures, Fed Locations: Japan, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, China, Asia, U.S
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