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☆ CNN debate stage set with Trump and Biden going head-to-head
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are set for a historic showdown, with the stage now set for CNN’s June 27 presidential debate. The showdown will make history as the first debate between a sitting president and a former president. ET on Thursday, with Biden and Trump meeting the constitutional, ballot qualification and polling thresholds set by the network. Biden and Trump were the only candidates to meet those requirements. Debate rulesThe debate will include two commercial breaks, according to the network, and campaign staff may not interact with their candidate during that time.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Jake Tapper, Dana Bash Organizations: CNN, CNN’s, Democratic, Republican, Biden, Trump, Federal, ABC News, CBS News, Fox News, Marquette University Law School, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, Siena College, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Quinnipiac University, The, Street, The Washington Post Locations: Atlanta

☆ Biden and Trump campaigns agreed to mic muting, podiums among rules for upcoming CNN debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —With less than two weeks until the first presidential debate of the 2024 election cycle, CNN has released additional details on the parameters agreed upon by the Trump and Biden campaigns. Both candidates agreed to appear at a uniform podium, and their podium positions will be determined by a coin flip. In order to meet CNN’s qualifications for the debate, candidates must satisfy the requirements outlined in Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution to serve as president. Both Biden and Trump meet those requirements, as do Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West and Jill Stein, who are running on non-major-party tickets. Though not impossible in Kennedy’s case, it is less likely that candidates other than Biden and Trump will meet those requirements.

Persons: CNN’s Jake Tapper, Dana Bash, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, Jill Stein, Trump, Kennedy Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Federal, Commission, ABC News, CBS News, Fox News, Marquette University Law School, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, Siena College, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Quinnipiac University, The, Street, The Washington Post, Electoral Locations: Atlanta

☆ An unexpected generational realignment is scrambling the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —A truism of American politics is that older voters prefer the Republican and younger voters prefer the Democrat. In 2012, Republican Mitt Romney lost the election, but he did better than Democrat Barack Obama among voters 45 and older. Older voters are gravitating to Biden, and younger voters are taking a look at Trump. But older voters have gone in the opposite direction, and instead of favoring Trump, are nearly split in the Marist poll. Despite the shift of older voters in the direction of Biden (and younger voters away from him), I was surprised to see older voters still have reservations about Biden’s age.

Persons: Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, —, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Republican Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, haven’t, George H.W, Bush, Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, Republican George W, gravitating, Biden, “ Joe isn’t, ”, Jill Biden, CNN’s Jeff Zeleny, Eric Bradner, Bradner, Linda Van, “, I’d, Ronald Brownstein Organizations: CNN, Democrat, Republican, Electoral, Voters, Trump, Marist, Quinnipiac University, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, ”

☆ Biden is lagging in key swing states. But white non-college voters are keeping him afloat in Wisconsin.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

And it's Biden's support among white voters without a college degree — a huge voting bloc in these areas — that's currently keeping him afloat in Wisconsin. And it's the backing of many white working-class voters that has been critical for the president. Related storiesIn the Quinnipiac poll, Wisconsin voters gave Biden positive marks on issues like abortion rights and the preservation of democracy. AdvertisementAmong white voters in Wisconsin, Biden actually led Trump by four points (50% to 46%) in the Quinnipiac poll. Advertisement"In order to win, Democrats have to overperform — by a lot — with white working-class voters in the state, because most voters in Wisconsin are white working-class voters," Wisconsin Democratic Party Chairman Ben Wikler recently told The Washington Post.

Persons: —, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, he's, Ben Wikler Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Quinnipiac University, Wisconsin, Quinnipiac, Biden, GOP, White, Democratic, Wisconsin Democratic, Washington Post Locations: Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Madison, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac, Arizona, Omaha

☆ South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem says Trump choosing a woman VP would help him win
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem speaks at the NRA-ILA Leadership Forum during the National Rifle Association (NRA) annual convention in Houston, Texas, U.S. May 27, 2022. South Dakota Gov. "But I'm in Wisconsin because I believe President Trump needs to win." Doug Burgum, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and Ohio Sen. JD Vance. I love my job in South Dakota," Noem said Sunday about those reports.

Persons: Kristi Noem, Donald Trump's, Noem, Trump, Joe Biden, Jean Carroll, Stormy Daniels, Noem's, Doug Burgum, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Marco Rubio , South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Ohio Sen, JD Vance Organizations: NRA, ILA, National Rifle Association, South Dakota Gov, Quinnipiac University, GOP, Trump, NBC News, North Dakota Gov, Ohio, Cricket Locations: Houston , Texas, U.S, Wisconsin, New York, Florida, Marco Rubio , South Carolina, South Dakota

☆ RFK Jr. may have already peaked in the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is perhaps the biggest X factor remaining in the presidential race. That’s better than any third-party or independent candidate has polled in an individual survey at this stage in the cycle since Ross Perot in 1996. Biden is likely aware that Kennedy voters tend to skew younger – a demographic that traditionally leans Democratic. Perhaps more concerning for the independent candidate is what’s going on under the hood. He’d previously never had a net negative favorable rating in the double digits.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy –, Republicans –, Kennedy, Ross Perot, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Jill Stein, isn’t, He’d, Marquette, Kevin Mohatt, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Perot, Johnson, Kennedy aren’t Organizations: CNN — Independent, Republicans, White House, Quinnipiac University, Marquette University Law School, Democratic, Fox News, Quinnipiac, Reuters, Green Party, Democrat, Republican, May’s, Biden, Trump, Marquette, Libertarian, Electoral Locations: Marquette, May’s Quinnipiac, Quinnipiac, he’s, Aurora , Colorado, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada

political memoThe outcome of Donald Trump’s Manhattan trial on Thursday had seemed almost unthinkable to the Trump team as recently as last summer. Guilty.”When Mr. Trump got up to leave court, his face looked as if he’d been punched in the solar plexus. Mr. Trump and his allies on Capitol Hill and in conservative media assiduously prepared their audiences to be outraged, whatever the outcome. “There’s a sense of personal resentment,” added the senator, who is on a shortlist to be Mr. Trump’s running mate. He got MAGA’d yesterday,” Mr. Trump said in the hallway outside the courtroom.

Persons: Donald Trump’s Manhattan, Donald J, Trump’s, Trump, Mr, Eric, Eric Trump’s, Steve Witkoff, ” Mr, Witkoff, Adam Gray, Jack Smith, Washington, Tanya Chutkan, Manhattan, Mark Pomerantz, Alvin L, Bragg, Michael D, Cohen, “, President Biden, Stephen K, Bannon, Alvin Bragg, Emil Salman, Biden, ” Neil Newhouse, Republican pollster, ”, Newhouse, —, J.D, Vance, MAGA, Robert De Niro, De Niro, ” Ruth Igielnik Organizations: Trump, Republican National Convention, Credit, The New York Times, Democratic, Capitol, Republican, Senate, Republicans, Trump . Credit, Mr, New York Times, Quinnipiac University, “ Voters, Fox, stoke, Biden Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Georgia, New York, U.S, Trump ., Siena, Ohio, Lower Manhattan

☆ Trump has been convicted — but that may not weigh down his White House bid. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Recent polls suggest that the guilty verdict could affect how key voting blocs view Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee. Nearly three-fourths of registered independents said that a guilty verdict against Trump would make no difference to their vote, according to the survey from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist released Thursday morning. However, 23% of independent registered voters in that poll said a Trump conviction would make them less likely to back him. Most people on either side of the political spectrum have already made up their minds about Trump, the professor explained. Quinnipiac polled 1,374 registered U.S. voters from May 16 to May 20, with a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Erik Gordon, Biden Organizations: Democratic, Trump, NPR, PBS, Marist, Quinnipiac University, University of Michigan's Ross School of Business, Politico, House, Quinnipiac Locations: American, New York, —

☆ How Trump could turn a guilty verdict into a win
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Twelve New Yorkers will then weigh the possibility of a historic verdict: finding the first-ever former president guilty in a criminal trial. Polling shows that a guilty verdict has some potential peril. AdvertisementIn a recent Quinnipiac University nationwide poll, 62% of voters said a guilty verdict would not affect their vote in November. It's not hard to imagine that in responding to a potential guilty verdict Trump lashes out in a way that causes him more problems. During the Manhattan criminal trial, Trump has sent repeated fundraising appeals, including when Justice Juan Merchan found Trump in contempt for violating his gag order.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Jean Carroll, Cook, Mike Johnson, Donald Trump's, Justin Lane, It's, Paul Ryan, couldn't, Kevin McCarthy, Mike Pence, Ron DeSantis, Tish James, Justice Juan Merchan Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Quinnipiac University, Republicans, GOP, Yahoo, New York Times, Siena College, Justice Department, Florida Gov, Politico, New York, Save Locations: Manhattan, Quinnipiac, Donald Trump's Manhattan, weaponized, Florida

☆ After Libertarians reject RFK Jr., what does success look like for third-party candidates?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

But the idea of simply placing Kennedy atop the Libertarian Party ticket to marry his momentum with their organization left Kennedy with an embarrassing loss at the Libertarian Party convention in Washington. About half – 51% – said they would support Trump in a two-way matchup, compared with 37% who said they would pick Biden. The last third-party candidate to win a state and get Electoral Votes was George Wallace, who won Southern states in 1968. The only third-party candidate to outperform a major party candidate was former President Teddy Roosevelt, who outpolled Republicans after he failed to get their nomination in 1912 and then ran as a third-party candidate. But rather than focus on the relatively few people who turn out for a third-party candidate, why not look at the large number of people who don’t take part in elections at all?

Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Chase Oliver, Kennedy, Trump, Nicole Shanahan, Shanahan, – Kennedy, Biden, CNN’s Harry Enten, –, RFK, Ross Perot, George Wallace, Teddy Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, Oliver, Jo Jorgensen, Gary Johnson’s, CNN’s Aaron Pellish, Pellish, Kennedy don’t, Bob Barr, Bill Weld, Gary Johnson, Barr, Weld, Ron Paul, Paul, Jill Stein, Ralph Nader, Al Gore, George W, Karl Rove, Stein, Hillary Clinton, Rove, Libertarian’s Jorgensen, Johnson Organizations: CNN, Republican, Libertarian Party, Trump, Google, Biden, SSRS, Quinnipiac University, RFK Jr, Electoral, Southern, Democrat, Libertarian, Federal Reserve, GOP, Republican Massachusetts gov, Green Party, Street Journal, Democratic, Pew Research Center Locations: Washington, Republican Massachusetts, Florida, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia

☆ Trump will try to spin his Manhattan trial verdict in his favor, no matter what happens
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-26 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Twelve New Yorkers will then weigh the possibility of a historic verdict: finding the first-ever former president guilty in a criminal trial. Polling shows that a guilty verdict has some potential peril. It's not hard to imagine that in responding to a potential guilty verdict Trump lashes out in a way that causes him more problems. The easiest prediction is that Trump's verdict will likely spawn a wave of donations. During the Manhattan criminal trial, Trump has sent repeated fundraising appeals, including when Justice Juan Merchan found Trump in contempt for violating his gag order.

☆ RFK Jr. might make the debate stage, worms aside: CNN analysis
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Trump’s lead jumped to 9 points over Biden when Kennedy, Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornel West were included in the ballot test. (To make the debate stage, candidates must also appear on state ballots totaling at least 270 electoral votes. I should point out that third party and independent candidates tend to see their polling decline over the course of the campaign. Now, it’s quite possible that Kennedy voters will stick by him the more they hear about his positions. National polling for the most part has, after all, shown Kennedy voters prefer Trump to Biden, though not uniformly.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Ross Perot, Perot, Biden, Trump’s, Jill Stein, Cornel West, Ralph Nader, Gary Johnson, I’m, “, Trump, Kennedy –, Kennedy “, Kennedy’s, we’ve, they’re, Don’t Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Green Party, Cornel, Green, Libertarian Party, NBC, NBC News, Monmouth University, Quinnipiac University Locations: Monmouth

☆ Biden faces widening partisan split over Israel
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

CNN —President Joe Biden is facing more critical moments this week that will test his fraught relationship with his base over Israel’s war in Gaza and potentially widen the partisan split about the Jewish state that has been building for years. Against this backdrop, partisan polarization about Israel among American voters was already widening years before the brutal Hamas attack last October and the devastating Israeli response it triggered. An array of polls this spring show how the war in Gaza has hardened this partisan split. Nearly half of Democrats, but only a little over one-fifth of Republicans in the CBS poll, said the US should pressure Israel to stop the fighting. “Biden has a Democratic caucus that is putting a lot of faith in this process,” she said.

Persons: Joe Biden, Long, Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu, “, ”, Aaron David Miller, Biden, Harry Truman, Lyndon B, Johnson, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H.W, Bush, Reagan, George W, Donald Trump, Clinton, Barack Obama, Republicans —, Obama, Israel, Biden —, Gallup, Trump, That’s, Chuck Schumer, Mike Johnson, Biden’s, Jamaal Bowman, Cori Bush, Waleed Shahid, Shahid, David, it’s Goliath, David ”, Miller, “ Biden, ’ ”, Ben Rhodes, ” Biden, “ We’re, Saudi Arabia — “, Mark Mellman, Schumer, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Israel’s, Chris Murphy of, Chris Van Hollen, Chris Coons, Tim Kaine, Virginia, Van Hollen, Amanda Klasing, — Organizations: CNN, Israel, Republican, Democratic, Gallup Organization, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Holocaust Memorial, GOP, Whites, Republican Party, Republicans, Gallup, Trump, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, Quinnipiac University, CBS, Liberal, American Israel Public Affairs Committee, AIPAC, National Security Council, Amnesty International, Amnesty Locations: Gaza, Israel, United States, Iran, Quinnipiac, Washington, New York, Missouri, Yom Kippur, Saudi Arabia, Sens, Chris Murphy of Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, Rafah

☆ CNN Analysis: No, Trump’s legal woes aren’t helping him
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Trump’s success might make you believe that he has turned the conventional wisdom on its head – that somehow, his legal troubles are helping him politically. There isn’t much of a sign that Trump’s legal woes are helping him among the wider electorate, even if they aren’t hurting him necessarily. Consider Trump’s polling against President Joe Biden. You might think that Trump would be gaining against Biden, if the cases against Trump were helping him. It’s not clear whether the money Trump’s raising because of appeals to his base during his legal troubles is offsetting the amount his committees are spending.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, pollster, pollsters, don’t, Trump’s, isn’t, he’s, I’m Organizations: CNN, Republican, Biden, Trump, Marist College, Reuters, New York Times, Siena College, NBC, Quinnipiac University, Marquette University Law School, Times, Financial Times Locations: York, Quinnipiac, New York

☆ Trump can insult Haley's supporters all he wants, but he'll need them in November
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

He did include a brief plea for Haley voters to back him, but he also insulted some of them. But the reality is simple: The former president will need Haley's voters come November. The Washington Post cited Quinnipiac University, which found that while a large portion of Republican and Republican-leaning Haley voters would back Trump, 37% would vote for Biden. Regardless, the GOP primary showed how Trump continues to struggle in suburban areas that often have more educated voters. Haley might have had key policy differences with Trump on foreign policy, such as supporting Ukraine and reassuring North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies.

Persons: Donald Trump, MAGA, Nikki Haley, Trump, Haley, Biden, Nikki Haley's, Grover Cleveland, It's, Trump's, she's, it's, Margaret Thatcher Organizations: Service, Republican, ABC News, Trump, GOP, Washington Post, Quinnipiac University, Republicans, CBS, Treaty Organization, Trump Cabinet Locations: Vermont, Republican, Ukraine

Washington CNN —President Joe Biden is fit for duty, his doctor reported Wednesday following the president’s annual physical, in what is expected to be the last update on Biden’s health before November’s election. Dr. Kevin O’Connor said in a memo there are “no new concerns” with the president’s health revealed by this year’s physical. The White House said earlier Wednesday that no cognitive test was administered as O’Connor did not find it necessary. The procedure was “successfully completed” at the White House by a team from Walter Reed, O’Connor said. Reports from the White House physician over the last several decades have consistently described the office-holder as fit to serve.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin O’Connor, ” O’Connor, Biden, ”, SSRS, Karine Jean, Pierre, “ doesn’t, Donald Trump, Jonathan Reiner, ” Reiner, that’s, O’Connor, “, Biden’s, ” Biden, Lou Gehrig’s, Robert Hur, I’ve, –, seething Biden, “ I’ve, NBC’s, Seth Meyers, ” Wednesday’s Walter Reed, Walter Reed, CNN’s Kevin Liptak, Mira Cheng Organizations: Washington CNN, O’Connor, “, State, CNN, Quinnipiac University, White, US Preventive Services, Force, Medical Unit, American Medical Association, National Institutes of Health, White House Locations: Beverly Hills , California, United States

☆ How the GOP’s rightward shift on immigration helps explain Trump’s primary success
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Amid widespread discontent over President Joe Biden’s management of the border, the overall electorate is moving rightward on immigration too, polls show. For now, there’s no question that hardening GOP attitudes on immigration have been critical to Trump’s strong performance through the early primaries. Then, 56% of GOP primary voters said undocumented immigrants should be offered legal status; in last month’s primary, 55% said they should be deported. Immigration ranked as the most important issue for most GOP primary voters in South Carolina, and finished close behind the economy in both Iowa and New Hampshire. McLaughlin said Trump’s dominance among the GOP primary voters most concerned about immigration encapsulates a broader reason for his early success: widespread satisfaction among Republicans about his record in office.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden’s, Trump, What’s, “, Donald Trump, ”, Jim McLaughlin, Joe Biden, ’, Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Haley, Leah Askarinam, McLaughlin, Robert P, Jones, Charles Franklin, Adolf Hitler, ” Biden, Biden, Stephen Miller, Charlie Kirk, Miller, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Matt Barreto, Barreto, Democratic pollster, ” Barreto, Maria Cardona, Tom Suozzi, George Santos, Suozzi, Bill Clinton Organizations: CNN, GOP, Republican, Trump, Biden, Edison Research, Immigration, Former South Carolina Gov, Quinnipiac University, Survey, Religion Research Institute, Marquette Law School, Marquette, Gallup, Republicans, CBS, National Guard, Democratic, UCLA, New, Republican Rep, White, House Republicans Locations: Alabama, Mississippi, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, New York, Wisconsin, Mexico, United States, American, Trump, Marquette, America, Texas, Celinda, Arizona, Nevada, Mexico ”, week’s State, Brownsville

☆ How Trump will seek to pit federal judges against each other to avoid trial
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Katelyn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

“Meaning, ice her,” said a person familiar with Trump’s trial schedule strategy. That would create a hole in Trump’s court schedule after the New York trial that no other case is positioned to fill. The special counsel’s office has repeatedly argued that the public, too, deserves to have Trump’s federal election case before a jury quickly, potentially even before the next presidential election. While Trump couldn’t be on trial simultaneously in two different courts, judges could have overlapping schedules initially because trial dates can often move. He’s not going to be in more than one criminal trial at the same time.”CNN’s Hannah Rabinowitz and Holmes Lybrand contributed to this report.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Tanya Chutkan, ”, Aileen Cannon, Trump’s, Cannon, Aileen Canon, Obama, Chutkan, Trump, Stormy Daniels, “, ” Trump, Todd Blanche, –, it’s, applicant’s, Juan Merchan, ” Merchan, Blanche, ” Blanche, Merchan, Mr, He’s, ” CNN’s Hannah Rabinowitz, Holmes Lybrand Organizations: CNN, Trump, Quinnipiac University, New, Justice Department, Supreme Locations: Florida, Georgia, Washington, DC, Manhattan, York, Fort Pierce , Florida, New York

☆ Analysis: How South Carolina could help Trump make GOP history
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —The South Carolina Republican presidential primary is usually the most important contest of the nominating season. Since 1980, the only Republican to win the nomination without winning South Carolina was Mitt Romney in 2012. While Haley is unlikely to take South Carolina, she is definitely outperforming her national baseline. Both counties have relatively high levels of college graduates, who have been most hostile to the former president in GOP primaries historically. Trump winning college graduates in the South Carolina primary would match what we’re seeing in national polling of the Republican electorate.

Persons: Mitt Romney, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Haley, Bernie Sanders ’, Trump, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, didn’t, Will Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Republican, GOP, Republican, South Carolina, Trump, Republicans, Marquette University Law School, Quinnipiac University, South Carolina Republicans, Iowa GOP, Marquette, Quinnipiac, White Locations: Michigan, Florida, South Carolina, Ted Cruz ( Texas, John Kasich ( Ohio, Sanders, Vermont, Charleston, Richland, Columbia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Quinnipiac, Utah, Washington

☆ Trump’s silver lining in the New York hush money case going to trial first
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The trial date in his New York hush money case was confirmed to be March 25. Trump’s lawyers are hoping to get the Georgia case thrown out or at least delayed over Willis’ conduct. That well could be the case if the New York case finishes first, which looks most likely given that it will probably start first. Of course, the Georgia case is currently on an uncertain timeline with a lead prosecutor who may not end up being the prosecutor who brings the case to trial. The bottom line is that no one wants to be on trial, but if Trump had to pick, he’d much rather go first with the New York case.

Persons: Donald Trump, Fani Willis, Willis ’, Trump, Stormy Daniels, Alvin Bragg’s, Joe Biden, he’s, Willis Organizations: CNN, Quinnipiac University, Quinnipiac, Capitol, White, AP, Georgia, Trump, Biden Locations: New York, Fulton County, Georgia, York

South Carolina's primary was the first official nominating contest for Democrats, who – egged on by Biden – moved the state up in the primary schedule. But buoyed by Black voters – especially Black women – Biden earned nearly half of the primary vote in South Carolina in a five-way race, propelling him ultimately to the Democratic nomination. Despite the expected primary victory in South Carolina, Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris made a concerted effort to campaign there, visiting the Palmetto State the last two weekends. Harris also visited South Carolina three times since the beginning of the year, speaking at college campuses about student debt relief and abortion rights. Further, 76.5% of the early vote was made up of Black voters, 13% higher than in 2020, he added.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Biden, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, Biden –, – Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Mother Emanuel, Harris, Jay Parmley, Parmley, “, ” Parmley, Carolinians, Nikki Haley, Phillips, Trump, ” Organizations: South Carolina Democrats, Associated Press, Biden, Dean Phillips of Minnesota, Democrats, Democratic, Black, Palmetto State, Mother, Mother Emanuel AME, South Carolina Democratic Party, GOP, South, New, Granite State, New Hampshire bucked Democratic, Committee, Democratic National Convention, Quinnipiac University, Trump, Keystone State Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Granite, New, Carolina, Delaware, Keystone

☆ Palestinians share their lives in war-torn Gaza via TikTok, X, and Instagram
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Harmeet Kaur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

Palestinians on social media are a window into the warLike millions of others around the world, Noor is witnessing the war in Gaza through the eyes of Palestinians who are sharing their daily realities on social media. Eyewitness accounts on social media are critical in understanding global conflicts, including past flare-ups between Israelis and Palestinians. Before October 2023, Azaiza had about 25,000 Instagram followers, according to the social media analytics firm Social Blade. Now watching from afar in Melbourne, she’s the one refreshing her social media feeds and anxiously texting relatives, friends and colleagues to make sure they’re safe. Mark Kerrison/In Pictures/Getty ImagesEven as people flock to learn from and support these Palestinians on social media, Noor says the exchange is overshadowed by feelings of powerlessness.

Persons: Motaz Azaiza, Azaiza, “, ” Noor, she’s, Noor, He’s, ”, It’s, ‘, ’, Leyla Hamed, Kanwal Ahmed, They’ve, Bisan Owda, hasn’t, Ahmed, Young, Hind Khoudary haven’t, “ Everyone’s, ” Ahmed, Zaina Arafat, Mark Kerrison, Marwa Fatafta, Clarissa Ward, Mohammed el, Sheikh Jarrah, Owda, Hind Khoudary, Plestia Alaqad, ” Alaqad, Alaqad, “ It’s, Sheikh Zayed Al, Hind, Syed Faizan Raza, Wael Al, Hamza Al, Mustafa Thuraya, Ahmad Hasaballah, Ismail al Dahdouh, ” Owda, Fatafta, ” Fatafta, She’s Organizations: CNN, Images Israel, European, Palestinian Ministry of Health, Reuters, Agence France, Presse, Israel Defense Forces, Getty, Gaza’s, Committee, Protect Journalists, Reporters, Palestinian, Israel, Quinnipiac University Locations: Gazan, Deir, Gaza, Israel, California, Noor isn’t, Iraq, London, Toronto, Palestinian American, Brooklyn, Instagram, European Union, Ramallah, East, North Africa, Egypt, Palestinian, East Jerusalem, Palestine, Australia, Melbourne, Sheikh Zayed Al Nahyan, Al, Gaza City, Anadolu, Gaza’s Old City, Islamabad, “, Jazeera, Rafah

☆ Polling shows a huge age gap divides the Democratic Party on Israel
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Younger Democrats are far more likely than older Democrats to view Israel skeptically when it comes to this war as well as the larger geopolitical context. It’s the inverse among older Democrats. Perhaps not surprisingly, these younger Democrats don’t think we should be supplying military aid to Israel in its war with Hamas. He won voters younger than 35 by more than 20 points in 2020. It’s not clear that Biden’s handling of the war is causing his decreased backing from younger voters, but it can’t be helping him.

Persons: Joe Biden, It’s, Israel, Biden, don’t, Quinnipiac, Donald Trump, – Trump Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Quinnipiac University, Democrats, Hamas, Health, Israel, Republicans Locations: Israel, Gaza, America

The NBC News poll isn’t the only one showing Biden struggling with young voters. The latest national NBC News poll finds President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump among young voters ages 18 to 34 — with Trump getting support from 46% of these young voters and Biden getting 42%. That means Trump's advantage among young voters in the poll is well within the margin of error — but the shift against Biden is not. The NBC News poll isn’t the only recent poll showing President Biden struggling with young voters, especially after the start of the Israel-Hamas war. CNN’s recent national poll had Trump ahead of Biden by 1 point among voters ages 18 to 34.

Persons: Biden, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: NBC, NBC News, Trump, Biden, Quinnipiac University, Fox News, New York Times, Siena College, CBS Locations: Israel, Siena

☆ Analysis: Joe Biden is facing a near-historic deficit for an incumbent
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

All five give Trump an advantage of 2 to 4 points over Biden among registered or likely voters. Consider the New York Times/Siena College polls released earlier this month from the six closest states Biden won: Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan. A massive 71% of registered voters in those states said Biden was too old to be an effective president. Back in 2020, half that percentage of registered voters (36%) said Biden was too old to be an effective president. The fact that so many voters feel Biden is too old makes sense given that he is the oldest president ever.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Franklin Roosevelt, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Obama, I’m, don’t, Grover Cleveland Organizations: CNN, Electoral, Biden, CBS News, Fox News, Marquette University Law School, Quinnipiac University ., Trump, eventual, Democratic, Quinnipiac, Pew Research, Fox, New York Times Locations: Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Israel, Siena, Georgia, Arizona , Wisconsin , Pennsylvania

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