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☆ A veteran chartmaster shares 7 investments to make ahead of a rare buying opportunity as US stocks stagnate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewUS equities are trading near record highs after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, but a long-time chartmaster doesn't believe the euphoria is warranted. Add in an unclear path forward for interest rates and geopolitical risks, and Keller said stocks will struggle to break past today's levels. Homebuilders such as DR Horton (DHI) can be a prime beneficiary of lower interest rates, Keller pointed out. "And when you think about what that means, that usually means: really good setup for homebuilders. Utilities also stand out, not only due to their defensive qualities, but because their yields look more attractive as falling interest rates weigh on bond yields.

Persons: —, doesn't, David Keller, Keller, Whoever's, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Muhlenkamp Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Business, Sierra Alpha Research, Republican, Enphase, Trump, Utilities Locations: StockCharts.com

☆ A market and tech hedge ahead of an uncertain Fed decision next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve has telegraphed the kickoff of their interest rate cutting campaign to begin next week. I believe a quarter-point interest rate cut is their first step but, a half-point interest rate cut (which has the ability to roil markets) has recently been floated strongly. The Nasdaq-100 dropped 6% last week and is now up nearly 5% this week, these are not normal market conditions. QQQ YTD mountain Invesco QQQ Trust, YTD The Cboe Volatility Index , yet elevated, is not showing current signs of panic. The trade The CME Fedwatch tool is narrowly favoring a 25 basis point interest rate cut but, it is oddly closer to a coin toss than it was last week.

Persons: pont, QQQ Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Small caps are outperforming large caps. How to use charts to find buy candidates in the group
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.

Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials

☆ 3 reasons why Truist's CIO says it's time to plow money into the tech sector again despite its worst one-month underperformance in 20 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The secular megatrend of AI remains strong as Big Tech companies continue to invest billions into developing the technology. Forward earnings estimates for the tech sector are rising to all-time highs, indicating continued optimism. Investor expectations have now become recalibrated after the correction, providing tech stocks with more room to grow, in Lerner's opinion. AdvertisementTruistA cooling macroeconomic environment will also provide a boost to tech stocks as investors flock back to Big Tech, according to Lerner. With the Fed likely to begin cutting rates in September, many of the Big Tech companies are poised to benefit.

Persons: —, Keith Lerner, Lerner, that's, shouldn't, Truist, outperformance, He's Organizations: Service, Business, Semiconductor, Big Tech, Tech, Vanguard Information Technology, VanEck Semiconductor

☆ How to determine if this comeback rally is for real, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks have made a nice comeback after testing support last week in the wake of a violent summer swoon tied to the yen carry trade. I run four equity portfolios at Inside Edge Capital, the most actively managed is appropriately named "Active Opps." In this article I'll cover the technical formation of the resistance zone as well as the option hedge we're using. If this is an ill-fated rally, or a so-called bear market rally, my bet is it will fail around this zone. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Nvidia's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Edge, Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A 'tail hedge' trade that profits if this week's CPI is very hot and another one for a benign reading
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

On Monday, stocks struggled ahead of this week's inflation data, which will likely set the tone for short term market action. The S & P 500 was little changed, the Nasdaq Composite made a small advance while the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back about a third of a percent. The first trade is a so-called tail hedge against a hotter-than-expected CPI print, i.e. buying S & P 500 put options. The value of the put contracts will increase if the S & P 500 falls on a surprising resurgence of inflation.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: JPMorgan, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Federal Reserve

☆ Levels to watch on the yen, bond yields and Nvidia to know when this volatile market spell is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

S & P down 5.50% here, headlines of a Nikkei crash, and another great Yen carry unwind happening. I traded for a hedge fund and served as senior technical analyst for an foreign exchange company during the great financial crisis of 2008 that saw a severe yen carry unwind. If the line is headed south the dollar is weakening relative to the yen, and the yen is strengthening relative to the dollar. I believe that the July 11th CPI print that came 0.1% below expectations was the culprit to this whole yen carry unwind. Could this yen carry unwind move further?

Persons: it's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Nikkei, Markets, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A bullish options trade on a tech recovery after the latest sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We saw another EMA crossover in May, signaling the end of the pullback and the start of a new bull run. July 2023 : Although the majority of the current correction unfolded in August, the EMA crossover signal had already appeared in July. For example, in May 2023, waiting for the EMA crossover would have meant missing out on 4.6% of the move. The trade setup: QQQ bull call spread To take a bullish trade on QQQ, I will be using a trade structure called a "bull call spread." For example, if QQQ is trading at $440 at the time of the EMA crossover, one could consider buying a 440-441 call spread.

Persons: bullish, Nishant Pant Organizations: Nasdaq, Corrections, Trust, EMA, ITM, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: QQQ

☆ Here's how options traders are bullishly betting on a small-cap index as it overtakes mega-cap tech
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The put is OTM because the strike price is below the spot price. Related storiesIf you have a bullish outlook on the IWM, you expect the share price to continue rising or at least not drop below the strike price. Picking the appropriate strike price is subjective and based on a trader's risk tolerance and the premium they're looking for. Tastylive, options chainSince options contracts are purchased in lots of 100, it could seem nerve-racking to think you may need to accept delivery of those shares. Worst-case scenario, you end up owning IWM shares at a cost below what you would have bought them for on the spot market, Dierking said.

Persons: Russell, Liz Dierking, Dierking, IWM, That's Organizations: Service, Nasdaq Locations: IWM

☆ The tech sell-off may not be over. Here's an options trade to capitalize on the trend—with protection
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Nasdaq-100 has seen significant profit taking as many investors have trimmed their exposure to the Mag 7. Volatility and carnage in the Nasdaq should persist causing more sellers to sell tech stocks. Here is an options strategy to profit on this additional plunge in Tech. However, the move ran out of gas into the closing bell, and the QQQ finished back in the red. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Russell, Tesla Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Dow, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Tech

☆ Stocks are being routed as tech undergoes a re-rating. Here are the key drivers behind the shakeup
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.

Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas

☆ A bullish options bet that will pay off if Tesla and Alphabet rally after earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Earnings season is heating up, as Tesla and Google-parent Alphabet are set to report their latest results after the bell Tuesday. I'm considering a bullish trade in QQQ for Wednesday — contingent on a positive market reaction to GOOG and TSLA earnings. This allows you to construct a $1 wide bull call spread and risk as little as $50 to make $50 per winning trade. I've suggested a 482-483 call spread because QQQ is trading at 482 as of writing this. If earnings are strong, QQQ will likely gap up and open at a higher price tomorrow.

Persons: QQQ, I've, Nishant Pant Organizations: Google, Nasdaq, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: QQQ

☆ Millennials will inherit $90 trillion by 2034. 3 reasons they'll supercharge the ETF market, according to $4.3 trillion State Street.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Namely, millennials invest in exchange-traded funds more than any generation before them, according to State Street Global Advisors' 2024 ETF Impact Survey. AdvertisementOverall, State Street, which manages $4.3 trillion in assets, found that boomers are doomers when it comes to the overall economic outlook. State Street Global AdvisorsMillennials across the world are also more likely than any other generation to hold ETFs in their portfolios. AdvertisementETFs also offer easy liquidity, especially when compared to the mutual funds that are popular with older demographics. Investors can't trade mutual funds intraday because trades are executed once a day after the 4 p.m. market close.

Persons: —, aren't, Scott Chronert, Chronert, millennials, Michael Arone, Vanguard Russell, Russell, That's Organizations: Service, Street Global Advisors, Business, State Street Global Advisors, Mutual, Citigroup, Bank of America, State, Trust, Vanguard, Nasdaq, Boomers, Bond, Bond Market, State Street, Galaxy Asset Management, Street Locations: Australia, Singapore, Japan

☆ A chief strategist at a $1.4 trillion firm warns a stock-market 'pullback is overdue' and investors should wait to buy the dip. Here are the 4 investments he recommends making for the time being.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Jeffrey Buchbinder, the chief equity strategist at LPL Financial, doesn't think the rally is sustainable. Although stocks will likely continue rising for a while longer this earnings season, Buchbinder advises investors to prepare for a pullback later this year. Given his uninspired view on how stocks will perform, Buchbinder recommends waiting and buying the dip when the market eventually corrects. For investors' existing equity allocations, Buchbinder recommends leaning toward domestic equities, with a focus on growth stocks. ETFs like the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG), iShares Morningstar Growth ETF (ILCG), and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) all provide exposure to growth stocks.

Persons: —, Jeffrey Buchbinder, doesn't, Buchbinder, LPL, iShares Organizations: Service, LPL, Business, Wall Street, Bloomberg, ISM, Investors, Buchbinder, Vanguard, Franklin FTSE Locations: Japan, Franklin FTSE Japan

The next round of filings for spot ether ETFs with the SEC is due today, part of the ongoing regulatory process required before spot ether ETFs can be launched. One thing's for sure: the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs this year has been a success. That's still true for this year, but two of the top 10 ETF inflows year to date have been into spot bitcoin ETFs: iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) at number four, and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust (FBTC) at number eight. Would 50% of the inflows of the spot bitcoin ETF be a win? We'll talk about this with Matt Hougan from Bitwise Asset Management, one of the applicants for a spot ether ETF.

Persons: That's, iShares, Matt Hougan, Matt, Nate Geraci Organizations: SEC, Nasdaq, Fidelity, Bitcoin, Stock, Aggregate, Blackrock US, Bitwise Asset Management, Edge

☆ A bearish options trade that wins if Nvidia and the QQQs continue to cool off
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia (NVDA) is finally showing signs of profit-taking, suggesting that the entire technology sector might be ready for a breather. This could present many bearish trading setups in various stocks because of the influence Nvidia has had leading the AI bubble. For now, let's focus on making a bearish trade in the Invesco QQQ Trust , an ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100 index. The Trade The trade structure I have chosen here is called a Bear Call Spread also known as a Call Credit Spread. As long as QQQ stays below $483 in the next 17 days, this trade will return a 38% ROI on the money risked.

Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Nvidia, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Worried about a frothy market? Here's how to start building a long-term stake anyways
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Here's our Club Mailbag email investingclubmailbag@cnbc.com — so you send your questions directly to Jim Cramer and his team of analysts. I realize since joining the Club I need to buy the S & P 500 to provide proper diversification. Kelly (Toronto) Several factors need to be considered to chart an appropriate course of action to get money to work. In this kind of situation, the old investment adage by Ken Fisher is applicable: "Time in the market beats timing the market." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Jeff, Kelly, Ken Fisher, It's, Vanguard's, it's, Cash, Jim Cramer's, Brendan McDermid Organizations: CNBC, Club, Vanguard's, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Toronto, New York City, U.S

☆ Vanishing short-sellers have helped push stocks to record highs. But beware a sharp negative reversal, JPMorgan says.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Short bets against funds that track major US indexes have declined to record lows, JPMorgan said. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have hit a streak of record highs this year, short interest in funds that track the indexes has dropped, the bank said. AdvertisementFirst, short bets are expensive to maintain when a stock or fund is climbing, a risk that's especially relevant in today's bull run. Second, regulators have added restraints to short selling, by mandating transparency and adding costs to short sellers that target equities, JPMorgan said. According to JPMorgan, short positions are also disappearing from individual stocks, with a clear decline in the top seven leading equities.

Persons: —, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Jim Chanos Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Nasdaq

☆ A short seller with a more-than-90% win ratio shares the only 4 investments he buys and holds long term
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

It's a more aggressive approach than many investors employ, because being a short seller is infinitely more risky than buying shares. But when you short, the potential loss is unlimited because there's no guarantee a stock's price will fall; it could instead rally to extreme highs. These variables include low institutional ownership, low cash reserves, and market caps smaller than $250 million, among other characteristics that could signal a vulnerable stock. Uber (UBER) is another stock he really likes, although he allocates less toward it because it's a newer company. But everywhere I go, there's Uber.

Persons: David Capablanca, Capablanca, there's Uber Organizations: Service, Business, Trust, Nasdaq, Capablanca, Apple Locations: Argentina, Galapagos, Columbia, Italy, India

☆ Bank of America details the best hedge for a big stock-market move on Nvidia earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Its soaring revenue and profits have driven the bulk of the S&P 500's earnings growth over the past year. Bank of America shared how investors can hedge against the risk of Nvidia's earnings swinging the broader market. Over the past 12 months, Nvidia's earnings growth drove 37% of the S&P 500's earnings per share growth. But over the next 12 months, Nvidia's earnings growth is expected to drive just 9% of the S&P 500's earnings growth. "Don't mess with proxies; hedge with NVDA options," Bank of America said.

Persons: Nvidia's, — Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Nvidia, Nasdaq

☆ How to buy a put spread on the Nasdaq as a portfolio hedge
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

I want to focus on the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) tracking the Nasdaq 100 as the majority of this year's gains in the S & P 500 are derived from Magnificent 7 constituents. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 has more beta than the S & P 500 and has the potential to increase rewards if this downside protective trade pays off. This trade is looking for roughly a 5% pullback to cover the cost of owning this put spread. The Trade Bought the 6/28/24 $437 put for $3.50 Sold the 6/28/2024 $420 put for $1.45 Total cost of this debit spread is $2.05 or $205 per one lot spread In the event the Nasdaq 100 continues to make new all-time highs, this spread will expire worthless But hopefully the Nasdaq 100 exposure you have in your portfolio will more than cover the cost of this hedge. DISCLOSURES: (Kilburg owns this spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .

Persons: Kilburg Organizations: Nasdaq

☆ A trade that wins if too-high inflation knocks down this stock market again
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We'll review a trade that wins if the market pulls back again. Inflation has been stubbornly high for months, and today's hotter-than-expected producer price index report only reinforces that notion. It is prudent to wait for confirmation of the double-top pattern before considering a bearish trade though. The trade setup: SPY 513-512 Bear Put Spread The trade structure I am using here is called a "bear put spread". BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: SPDR Dow, Nishant Pant Organizations: PPI, CPI, SPDR Dow Jones, Average Trust

☆ Final Trades: Teradyne, 3M and QQQ
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Teradyne, 3M and QQQThe Investment Committee gives you their top stocks to watch for the second half.

Organizations: Investment

☆ A 26-year-old stock trader who made over $10.5 million in 4 years shares the strategy adjustment he made in 2024 that has allowed him to remain profitable
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In 2017, at 19 years old, Jack Kellogg became interested in stock trading. AdvertisementIn 2023, he took advantage of the AI hype by trading stocks within that theme. He then reviews these stocks' price movements over the previous three to two weeks. Where it's set depends on how much he's willing to risk on each position and varies based on the stock's price movements. While he's agnostic about the stock's cap size, he favors swing trading mid and sometimes small-cap stocks.

Persons: Jack Kellogg, Timothy Sykes, Kellogg, Kellogg wasn't Organizations: Business, BI, Trust, Nvidia, CXApp Inc

☆ Buy these 'AI revolutionaries' trading at a discount, Evercore ISI says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The artificial intelligence revolution is just getting started, and that means there are opportunities for investors to scoop up some names at a discount, according to Evercore ISI. Yet adoption is low, with less than 5% of U.S. firms reporting using AI, he said, citing U.S. Census Bureau data. To find "AI revolutionaries" that are trading at a discount, Evercore ISI looked for companies in the Russell 1000 with strongly trending AI mentions — either surpassing the index or the company's sector average. One of the names on the list is Uber Technologies , which mentioned AI 17 times last year. The company is also using AI to increase productivity.

Persons: OpenAI's ChatGPT, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, Russell, —, Uber's, Dara Khosrowshahi, they're, CNBC's, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Solomon, Goldman's, Penny, Glenn Fogel, Fogel Organizations: ISI, Census, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Uber Technologies, Holdings Locations: U.S

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