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"I think the message that's coming through is that they have no idea what's going on," Howard said on CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Wednesday. Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Tuesday said that he needed to see further data evidence that inflation was softening before supporting rate cuts. Waller's comments were echoed by other Fed officials on Tuesday, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins. 'A credibility problem'But Fed officials have not come out with a clear message about their expectations or to address why inflation remains elevated, GAM's Howard said. "And now [policymakers] think inflation is coming down but its not coming down fast enough," he said.
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Julian Howard, Howard, Christopher Waller, Waller's, Susan Collins, GAM's Howard, They've Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal, GAM, Fed, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Boston Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve Locations: Washington , DC, U.S, Washington
One Club stock standout Wednesday was off-price retailer TJX after the T.J. Maxx, Marshalls and HomeGoods owner's solid quarter. The recent action in the Club stock has us wondering if a big buyer is lurking out there. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Ralph Lauren, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Club, Marshalls, Nvidia, Moderna, Tech, Enphase Energy, Corp, BJ's Wholesale, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Maxx
Fed officials aren’t easing Wall Street’s nerves
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Optimism spurred by the latest inflation data pushed all three major stock indexes to new record highs. But now Wall Street, eager for rate cuts, is on edge again. But some financial leaders remain doubtful that the Fed is feeling confident enough to cut rates soon. “I think we’re set up for stickier inflation.”Some Fed officials say another rate hike isn’t likelyFed officials have mostly sounded a little more optimistic about inflation recently, after the Consumer Price Index for April finally provided some welcome news. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Bloomberg on Monday that she also thinks interest rates are high enough to deal with inflation.
Persons: they’re, Dow, Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, “ I’m, , , Philip Jefferson, Mary Daly, Axios, Jerome Powell, Klaas Knot, Loretta Mester, Chris Larkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, CNBC, , Peterson Institute for International Economics, Boston College, Mortgage, Association, ” San Francisco Fed, European Central Bank Governing, Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, Locations: ” San
So far in May, 30-year mortgage rates have averaged around 6.75%, which is 10 basis points lower than the previous month's average. If the next few months continue to show that inflation is decelerating, mortgage rates could go down further this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Down (-0.09%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.00%, nine basis points lower than last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.
Persons: they'll, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Andrew Slimmon has been consistently bullish on stocks — even during periods of volatility. Given the "sky high" inflation numbers in 2022 and 2023, Slimmon said, it's "only natural" that inflation would be on a downward trajectory as the year-on-year comparisons were "relatively easy." Last week, the April consumer price index report in the U.S. showed that inflation eased slightly for the month. "The problem is, as we get into May number, June numbers, July numbers of last year, those CPI numbers really came down quite a bit," Slimmon told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia. " "When you think about Netflix, Amazon, you're talking about two [companies] that give a lot of value to their customers for a relatively reasonable price," Slimmon said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Andrew Slimmon, it's, Slimmon, CNBC's, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Netflix, United Rentals, Waste Management Locations: U.S
CNBC's Jim Cramer said inflation may be abating more quickly than some think, suggesting that comments from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting three weeks ago may not hold much weight. The major averages declined as Wall Street fretted about the Fed minutes, which were released on Wednesday. He said data that's been released since the meeting could make the policymakers change their tune. Cramer admitted that during policymakers' last meeting, the economy was seeing "nascent commodity inflation." Cramer also mentioned that copper prices slumped on Wednesday, and shares from the U.S.'s largest copper producer, Freeport-McMoRan , sank.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, that's Organizations: Federal, Fed, U.S Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., May 1, 2024. Federal Reserve officials grew more concerned at their most recent meeting about inflation, with members indicating that they lacked the confidence to move forward on interest rate reductions. Minutes from the April 30-May 1 policy meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee released Wednesday indicated apprehension from policymakers about when it would be time to ease. The meeting followed a slew of readings that showed inflation was more stubborn than officials had expected to start 2024. The Fed targets a 2% inflation rate, and all of the indicators showed price increases running well ahead of that mark.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, FOMC, Stocks Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, University of Michigan, New York Fed Locations: Washington , U.S
Target on Wednesday posted a year-over-year sales decline and missed Wall Street's earnings estimates, as consumers fatigued from high prices bought both fewer discretionary items and groceries. On a call with reporters, CEO Brian Cornell said the company's results reflect "continued soft trends in discretionary categories." Target also announced Monday it was cutting prices on thousands of everyday items, including milk, bread, paper towels and diapers. Like other retailers, Target has tried to win over consumers who are not spending as freely on clothing, home goods or other discretionary items. Walmart, for example, has gained market share from higher-income shoppers and recently introduced a premium food brand with most items under $5.
Persons: Brian Cornell, John David Rainey Organizations: Target, LSEG, Walmart, Aldi Locations: Miami , Florida, Minneapolis
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation could be about to hit a major milestone, with some forecasting that a sharp fall in the April print will take the headline rate below the Bank of England's 2% target. That would represent a plunge from the current level of 3.2% and could "make or break" a June interest rate cut, economists say. Ashley Webb, U.K. economist at Capital Economics, said that if the headline rate does fall below 2% in April, as he expects, it would be "momentous." "This will be crucial in determining whether the first interest rate cut from 5.25% will happen in June (as we expect) or in August. We think inflation will fall further, perhaps even to 1.0% later this year," Webb said in a Friday note.
Persons: Ashley Webb, What's, Webb, , BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Ben Broadbent, James Smith, ING's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of England's, Capital Economics, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ING Locations: Kingston, London, U.K
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 4.4335%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.8371% after rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors considered the path ahead for inflation and interest rates following a series of remarks from Federal Reserve speakers. Investors assessed the state of the economy, especially regarding inflation, and how this may affect interest rates. On the data front, existing as well as new home sales figures and durable goods orders data are due this week.
Persons: Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Barr Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed
The era of hiding out in cash is coming to an end, according to UBS. While investors have been earning yields of more than 5% on instruments like money market funds and certificates of deposit, those rates aren't expected to stick around much longer. "We believe investors should limit their overall cash balances as falling interest rates this year and beyond will diminish returns on cash," Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Monday. Investors flooded into money market funds as the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022. UBS also moved out on the curve on TIPS earlier this month after initially buying 5-year inflation-protected securities in August.
Persons: Marcelli, Leslie Falconio, Falconio Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Investors, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, AAA, AAA CMBS Locations: UBS Americas
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, citing a string of data showing that inflation appears to be easing, said Tuesday that he does not think further interest rate increases will be necessary. Yet Waller said he's not ready to back interest rate cuts. Markets have had to recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy this year. In the early months, futures markets traders priced in at least six rate cuts this year starting in March.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, he's Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Market, Labor Department Locations: Washington ,, Washington
The S&P 500 came close to breaching a new high, as investors gear up for Nvidia earnings on Wednesday. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday, as investors gear up for Nvidia's highly-anticipated earnings report. By now, the semiconductor manufacturer has a reputation for leading broader stock market upside and traders are eyeing the release as the next big catalyst as the market heads toward summer.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Crypto, , cryptocurrency Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, ethereum, Here's
"Consumers continue to be even more discriminating with every dollar that they spend as they faced elevated prices in their day-to-day spending," McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski said on the company's conference call in late April. Paul Weaver | SOPA Images | Getty ImagesFor more than two years, consumers have dealt with sharply rising prices. But that doesn't mean the actual prices seen on grocery store shelves or restaurant menus will fall, and shoppers are feeling that pinch. While some CEOs have said that consumers are growing more cautious, others — like those in the airline industry — have celebrated strong and persistent spending. Corporate misfires can also lead to disappointing sales, even if their shoppers aren't necessarily pulling back on their spending.
Persons: Chris Kempczinski, Burger, Paul Weaver, Jerome Powell, Aurelia Concepcion, Concepcion, it's, Joe Raedle, Brett House, John David Rainey, Ramon Laguarta, Ed Bastian, We're, Daniel Slim, Brian Niccol, Calvin McDonald, Laxman Narasimhan, Sara Senatore, Spencer Platt Organizations: DAL, Washington Post, Home, Delta Air Lines, Consumers, of Labor, CPI, KFC, Starbucks, Columbia Business School, Walmart, Finance, CNBC, PepsiCo, Gatorade, Pepsi, United, Delta Airlines Boeing, Owen Roberts International, AFP, Getty, Delta, Target, Bank of America Locations: Manhattan, Bloomsburg , Pennsylvania, New York, Georgia, Ohio, Miami , Florida, U.S, Delta, Europe, Asia, Japan, George Town, Cayman Islands, New York City
Gold reached a new record of $2,454.20 per ounce on Monday as markets price in Fed rate cuts. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementGold set another record high on Monday as Wall Street readies for monetary policy to ease this year. Given that gold is a safe haven asset, rising international face-offs have prompted more investors to buy the bullion. Meanwhile, US sanctions on Russian reserves sparked central banks to snap up the metal at record pace.
Persons: Gold, , Grzegorz Drozdz, David Miarrions Organizations: Service, P, Trade
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.4179% after falling by less than one basis point. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by less than one basis point to 4.8180%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Monday as investors looked ahead to fresh economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials slated for the week. Investors awaited the latest economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials as they weighed the state of the economy and the outlook for interest rates. The Fed left interest rates unchanged at its last meeting, and indicated that interest rates would not be cut until policymakers were more confident about inflation easing to its 2% target.
Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, CPI
Dollar calm as traders await clues on U.S. rate path
  + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, a person seen holding a 100 US dollar bill in his hand. The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as investors awaited further clues to help chart the U.S. interest rate path in the wake of cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials, even as inflation shows signs of cooling. The Japanese yen was flat at 155.74 per dollar, with traders on alert for any signs of government intervention. That has prompted traders to trim the amount of easing expected this year to about 46 bps, with only a rate cut in November fully priced in. In other currencies, sterling touched a two-month high of $1.2711 ahead of the crucial UK inflation report due on Wednesday.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Powell, Jackson, Flash PMIs, Paul Mackel, BoE, Charu Chanana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, ANZ, European Central Bank, Bank of England, HSBC, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Saxo Locations: Tokyo, Germany, U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Mortgage rates dropped last week following the release of April's Consumer Price Index data, which showed that inflation slowed last month. Mortgage rates are expected to go down as inflation decelerates toward the Fed's 2% target level. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: Freddie Mac Organizations: April's, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Zillow, Fed Locations: Chevron
Bearing that in mind, here are three attractive dividend stocks, according to Wall Street's top pros on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. On May 1, the company announced its first-quarter results and declared a quarterly dividend of 48 cents per share, payable on June 28. Following the results, RBC Capital analyst Kenneth Lee reaffirmed a buy rating on ARCC stock with a price target of $22. The company recently announced its first-quarter results and declared a quarterly distribution of $0.405 per unit. Overall, based on the annualized dividend amount of $3.08 per share, the stock's dividend yield stands at 5.6%.
Persons: Wall, Capital, Kenneth Lee, Lee, TipRanks, Devin Dodge, Dodge, Income's, Brad Heffern, Heffern Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Ares, RBC Capital, Ares Credit, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Brookfield Infrastructure, BMO Capital, Triton, Dodge, Brookfield Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, North America, Europe, U.S, TipRanks
All three major averages closed higher for the week, driven by softer retail sales and consumer price data for April. And the data has been mostly good, with 78% reporting a positive earnings surprise and 60% delivering a positive sales surprise. But we will get earnings from three portfolio companies, including one of our two "own, don't trade" stocks. In the week ahead, three portfolio companies will report results, while it will be fairly slow for economic data, except for a couple of housing reports. Earnings : After a week without earnings from any Club stocks, we'll get three this coming week.
Persons: Dow Jones, Dow, we'll, TJX, Blackwell, Li Auto, James Hardie, Ralph Lauren Corporation, Booz Allen, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jensen Huang, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Wall, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, CPI, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, TJX Companies, Nvidia, Nexxen, Alto Networks, Video Communications, Trip.com, James Hardie Industries N.V, Nordson Corp, Keysight Technologies, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, Lowe's Companies, Eagle Materials, Toll, ViaSat, Urban Outfitters, Target Corp, Devices, Dorian LPG, Dycom, Golden Ocean Group, Petco, Wellness Company, Sonoma, WSM, VF Corp, Star Bulk Carriers Corp, LiveRamp Holdings, Chemical & Mining Co, Grupo Supervielle S.A, BJ's Wholesale, Technologies, TD Bank Group, Intuit, Ross Stores, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Mesa Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Intelligence, SAP Center Locations: Palo Alto, Williams, Chile, San Jose , California
Various labor market indicators are also showing growing weakness in the economy, he said. Societe GeneraleNational Federation of Independent Business data shows further labor market weakness is likely to come, as small business hiring plans continue to fall. Both stats would suggest a rising unemployment rate going forward. In the meantime, the labor market has consistently proven resilient despite high interest rates, and stocks have enjoyed an eye-popping rally to new highs. Some also argue that labor market data points like the rising unemployment rate have to be shown with context.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, didn't, Edwards, aren't, we'll, Societe Generale Edwards, Bob Elliott, groupthink Edwards, Alan Greenspan Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Wall, Business, Societe Generale National Federation of Independent Business, ING, Generale, Unlimited Partners, Bridgewater Associates, of Labor Statistics, Tech
Beaten-down clean energy stocks have rallied this week. The iShares Global Clean Energy exchange-traded fund, which tracks sectors from renewable electricity to semiconductors to solar energy, has gained roughly 3%. Plug Power shares have climbed 33%, Enphase Energy shares have gained 8% and NextEra Energy shares have added 4%. Some investors warn that though the tariffs could continue boosting clean energy stocks, the recent rally isn’t driven by just improving fundamentals. Damaging hacks expose the weak underbelly of America’s health care systemA pair of recent ransomware attacks crippled computer systems at two major American health care firms, disrupting patient care and exposing fundamental weaknesses in the US health care system’s defenses against hackers, reports my colleague Sean Lyngaas.
Persons: New York CNN — It’s, Joe Biden, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, , Steve Sosnick, Roaring Kitty, Keith Gill, Dow, Nicole Goodkind, stoking, Gary Pzegeo, ” Read, Sean Lyngaas, cybersecurity, ” Joshua Corman, Sen, Ron Wyden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Clean Energy, Enphase Energy, NextEra Energy, Biden, Federal Reserve, Interactive Brokers, CNN, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Roaring, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Markets, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CIBC Private Wealth, “ Industry, Oregon Democrat Locations: New York, China
Gold prices set for second weekly gain on Fed rate-cut optimism
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices appeared set for a second consecutive weekly gain on Friday, after recent U.S. inflation data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates this year. The dollar index was down 0.6% for the week so far, against its rivals, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. "The upward bias for gold prices may remain, with the recent run in U.S. economic data offering room for the Fed to consider earlier rate cuts in 2024 while geopolitical tensions rock on. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. "Gold prices may correct lower as markets look to re‑establish the historical relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, haven't, Bullion Organizations: Co, Federal, Fed, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Bangkok, Thailand
However, as R.J. O'Brien's Tom Fitzpatrick points out, Dow theory signals this run may be short lived. While the Dow Industrials reached a fresh record high, Transports have not been as fortunate. Dow Transports in April suffered their worst month since September 2022, losing 8%. What's more, the actual 40,000 level is more symbolic than meaningful, he said. The Dow Industrials also have a history of pulling back after a 1,000-point increase .
Persons: O'Brien's Tom Fitzpatrick, Dow, Charles Dow, that's, Fitzpatrick, we're, Dow Industrials Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, CNBC, Transports, Dow Transports, Southwest, FedEx Locations: United
A cool April CPI report buoyed hopes of Fed interest rate cuts later this year. Investors will look to see if the gains can spill over into next week, which is set to be a busy one for AI developments. AdvertisementThe Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 40,000 for the first time on Friday, closing out a strong week of gains fueled by upbeat inflation data midweek. The S&P 500 rose about 1.5% for the week, buoyed by solid earnings results from consumer giant Walmart and an April CPI report that showed cooling inflation. That CPI report boosted investor hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year.
Persons: , Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Walmart, Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Nvidia, Technology Locations: Here's
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