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In today's big story, we're looking at Chipotle's newest pitch in the big business that is winning your lunch break. Market research firm Future Markets Insights pegged the lunch takeout market at $215.3 billion in 2022 . Chipotle's latest marketing campaign shows how creative restaurants are getting to nab your lunch order. Bitcoin's cooldown might be a warning for the stock market. A Stifel strategist predicted a late-summer stock market decline based on bitcoin's 10% sell-off in the past few weeks.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Keith Lee, Alyssa Powell, haven't, Taco Bell, Tim Hortons, Burger King, sarayut Thaneerat, Tyler Le, Ken Griffin, Bitcoin's, isn't, That's, Jensen Huang's, Satya Nadella's, Marc Piasecki, Elon Musk, They're, Alfie, Alfie Health, Donald Trump, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, nab, bros, Chipotle, Getty, Brands, KFC, Taco, BI Citadel, Sunshine State, Congressional, Nasdaq, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Elon Locations: Cava, Illinois, Florida, China, New York, London
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in July to prevent a recession. Markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementMarkets may think it's a long-shot, but the Federal Reserve could make its first interest rate cut in July as recessionary cracks start to form in the economy. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut at the July policy meeting, with most market participants expecting the first interest rate cut to happen in either September of November. And with recent data showing cracks forming in the housing and labor markets, that means a rate cut will happen sooner than most expect.
Persons: , Steven Blitz, Jerome Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, GlobalData, Fed
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at why the rise of "quiet vacationing" shows the depressing state of America's work culture . If you're unfamiliar with the distinction, let me introduce you to a new workplace phrase: quiet vacationing . But Business Insider's Emily Stewart argues workers feeling too stressed to fully take time off is a sad example of America's work culture. The irony is that quiet vacationing could arguably put you in a worse position for your job these days.
Persons: , Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Slack, Emily Stewart, Martin Barraud, Wally Pipp, Pipp, Lou Gehrig, Wally Pipped, Alyssa Powell, Steve German, Arizona's, Mohamed El, Erian, China's, Brooks Kraft, They've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, New York Yankees, American League, Yankees, Getty, Partners, Alfa Bank, YouTube, Foo Fighters, BI, Amazon, Bain & Company, Brooks Kraft LLC, Harvard, Hollywood . Media, Dell Locations: Arizona, Miami, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Russia, Hollywood, New York, London
Nvidia continued to rally after recently claiming the title as the world's most valuable company. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stock averages rose on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on track for another record. These easier conditions have at least partly neutralized the effects of the Fed hikes, paving the way for a reacceleration in both economic growth and inflation." Sløk said that easier financial conditions should help continue to offset the effects of tighter Fed policy for at least the next three quarters.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Torsten Sløk, Sløk Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Nasdaq, Traders, Microsoft, Federal Reserve Locations: Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSen. Warren: It's not the job of Jay Powell to carry water for the biggest banks in this countrySen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss her letter to Fed Chair Jerome Powell questioning the Fed about closed door conversations with JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon advocating for slashing bank capital requirements in half, why she's accusing Powell of doing the financial industry’s bidding in considering changes to Basel III Endgame regulations, and more.
Persons: Email Sen, Warren, It's, Jay Powell, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Jerome Powell, Jamie Dimon, Powell Organizations: Email Locations: Basel
By no means am I interested in tackling any impact policy differences may have upon non-market related subjects. Monetary policy So let's begin with monetary policy. Fiscal policy Now let's turn to fiscal policy. Trade policy Trade policy is easy. Regulatory policy Finally, the big kahuna, regulatory policy.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Clinton, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman —, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Powell, Biden, Lisa Cook, Philip Jefferson, Bill Dudley's, Covid, Trump, Cato, Stocks Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, Fed, Trump Fed, Bloomberg, Democratic, Heritage, AEI, Biden Locations: China
Weak retail sales data on Tuesday sent bond yields lowersMonth-to-month sales rose 0.1%, below estimates. Stocks rose as investors assessed the data's impact on rate cut forecasts. AdvertisementUS stocks edged up on Tuesday after retail sales data for May came in weaker than expected, sending Treasury yields lower. US consumers appeared to cut back last month, with month-over-month sales rising 0.1% in May, below estimates. AdvertisementHere's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Tuesday:Here's what else happened today:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: Stocks, , Quincy Krosby, Powell Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal, LPL, Fed, Here's
"I am disappointed by press reports indicating that you are personally intervening—after numerous meetings with big bank CEOs—to delay and water down the Basel III capital rules," said Warren. Last year, three U.S. banking regulators including the Federal Reserve unveiled the proposed rules, a long-expected regime shift around bank capital and risky activities such as trading and lending. The regulations incorporate new international standards created as a response to the 2008 global financial crisis. In March, Powell told lawmakers that he expected "broad and material changes" to the proposal in the wake of the industry's campaign against the rules. Warren urged Powell to allow a Federal Reserve Board vote on the original, tougher Basel proposal by the end of this month.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Jerome Powell, Warren, Powell, , JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Donald Trump Organizations: Senate Armed Services, Washington , D.C, Federal, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Bank, JPMorgan, Street, Fed Locations: Afghanistan, South, Central Asia, Washington ,, Basel, Basel III, U.S
Economist Claudia Sahm has shown that when the unemployment rate's three-month average is half a percentage point higher than its 12-month low, the economy is in recession. "My baseline is not recession," Sahm said. "The worst possible outcome at this point is for the Fed to cause an unnecessary recession," she added. That's the highest the Sahm reading has been on an ascending basis since the early days of the Covid pandemic. The value essentially represents the percentage point difference from the three-month unemployment rate average compared to its 12-month low, which in this case is 3.5%.
Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, I'm, Jerome Powell Organizations: Exchange, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Committee
With shelter inflation "sticky" at a 5.4% year over level, Gapen said it could be months before "greater confidence" is achieved. "We think the Fed is unlikely to achieve the confidence it needs to begin rate cuts until shelter inflation takes a step lower," he said. Monthly housing inflation readings in the PCE measure have been running at either 0.5% or 0.4% since March 2023. We don't target housing prices, for example," Powell said. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, a nonvoter on the FOMC this year, on Tuesday singled out the "long-term stubbornness of shelter inflation."
Persons: Michael Gapen, Gapen, Jerome Powell, Powell, Patrick Harker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Commerce, Philadelphia Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Governor Tarullo: Fed Chair Powell did his best to preserve some optionality for the FOMCDaniel Tarullo, Harvard Law School professor and former Federal Reserve Governor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, state of the economy, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Tarullo, Powell, Daniel Tarullo Organizations: Former, Harvard Law School, Federal Reserve
The market has been on a tear in 2024, driven higher by robust corporate earnings and the artificial intelligence boom. Traders expect the Fed to begin easing rates in September at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. If inflation is cooling down but the Fed is still expected to keep its key lending rate higher for longer, what does that mean for the stock market? The data will tell us that, but I think the big takeaway for us is [inflation] going in the right direction. Do you expect some of the cash that’s on the sidelines to enter the stock market?
Persons: Price, Wall, Bell, Jack Janasiewicz, Jerome, Powell, we’re, it’s, wouldn’t, you’re, Hilary Whiteman, Read, Sam Altman, Steve Wozniak, OpenAI, Altman, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Tim Cook, , Ben Wood, “ Apple, Siri Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Nasdaq, Fed, Traders, Solutions, You’re, Apple, Insight, CNN, Apple Intelligence Locations: New York, United States, West Coast, Hawaii, California, San Jose , Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Honolulu, Australia, Sydney, Melbourne, Victoria, Adelaide, South Australia
Kevin Lamarque | ReutersImmigration — both authorized and unauthorized — has helped the U.S. job market sustain a fiery run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a heating job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. Typically, a hot labor market walks a tightrope that could easily collapse into reheated inflation. But the Brookings researchers recalculated the government's estimates — this time, factoring the impact of immigrants on the labor pool. They found that with immigration, the 2024 U.S. job market could safely absorb between 160,000 and 200,000 monthly job gains.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Reuters Immigration —, , Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Michael M, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Zandi, Mandel Ngan, Biden, Donald Trump, Brendan McDermid Organizations: U.S . Border Patrol, Reuters Immigration, of Labor Statistics, FedEx, Broadway, Santiago, Getty, CNBC, Brookings Institution, Brookings, U.S, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Afp, White, Republican Locations: U.S, Mexico, Brownsville , Texas, New York City, United, Lanham , Maryland, United States, Las Vegas , Nevada
Insider Today: Meta's manager squeeze
  + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Apple announced Apple Intelligence at WWDC 2024. CEO Tim Cook unveiled Apple Intelligence, a generative AI system partly powered by ChatGPT (for now). Assuming Apple Intelligence works as intended, there will be even more reason to switch to or stay with Apple. Add it all together, and, as Linette Lopez writes, Apple may be the one Big Tech company getting AI right.
Persons: , there's, Jimmy Donaldson, Justin Sullivan, Apple, Tim Cook, Katie Notopoulos, OpenAI, Linette Lopez, Alyssa Powell, Fitch, it's, Abercrombie, Mark Zuckerberg, Michel Shvo Patrick McMullan, Chelsea Jia Feng, Michael Shvo, Shvo, he's, Grace J, Kim, Gen Zers, There's, isn't, Z Organizations: Service, Business, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Google, Microsoft, Big Tech, Getty, Abercrombie, Fitch, GameStop Locations: cologne, New York City
Washington CNN —America’s top central banker recently said the job market now looks the way it did before the Covid-19 pandemic drastically upended society. Before the Bell spoke with Julia Pollak, chief economist at jobs site ZipRecruiter, about her views of the job market. Before the Bell: Do you agree with Chair Powell’s view that today’s job market is back to a pre-pandemic normal? Why is the job market slower now? The number of job openings is higher than it was by around 15% or so, but online job postings are actually lower by ZipRecruiter’s count.
Persons: Washington CNN —, , Jerome Powell, Powell, it’s, Bell, Julia Pollak, they’re, They’re, Olesya Dmitracova, Emmanuel Macron, Read, Patrick Harker, Lisa Cook, Tom Barkin, Susan Collins, Adriana Kugler, Lorie Logan, Alberto Musalem, Goolsbee Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Fed, Labor, EU, National, New York Fed, Manufacturing Index, Reserve Bank of Australia, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, Accenture, Kroger, Darden, Bank of England, US Labor Department, Philadelphia Fed, Richmond Fed, Global, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, France, Wells Fargo
Also helping was the 8.5% rally in portfolio heavyweight Nvidia following its 10-for-1 stock split on Monday. Within the Club this week, we heard from Broadcom , which reported strong quarterly results and announced its own 10-for-1 stock split. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Economists, Jerome Powell, financials, That's, Here's, FactSet, Lennar, LEN, Jabil, Smith, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wednesday, PPI, Apple, Broadcom, Oracle, Adobe, Nvidia, Investors, Housing, Monday, Darden, Olive Garden, Longhorn, U.S, Accenture, Kroger, KR, Wesson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Olive, New York City
The S & P 500 has made an all-time high on nearly thirty days this year, four of them this past week. The main S & P is up more than 3% in the second quarter while its median stock is off 5% quarter to date. .SPX mountain 2024-03-29 S & P 500 quarter to date The S & P 500 has added $5.5 trillion in market capitalization in 2024, with roughly half kicked in by the Big Three. Wall Street strategists as a group project no upside for the S & P 500 in the second half , their average and median targets both below Friday's closing level. The weekly American Association of Individual Investors survey shows the spread between bulls and bears narrowing lately even with the S & P grinding higher.
Persons: we've, FANG, That's, It's, Jerome Powell's, Chris Verrone, I've Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Investment, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Citi U.S, CPI, Fed, American Association of
At the turn of the year, the market was banking on six rate cuts beginning in March. Advertisement"The valuation ratio from small caps to large caps right now is at a 24-year low. This is probably one of the best entry points into small and mid-cap stocks," Ewing said. He added that when the Fed starts cutting rates, small caps have historically outperformed. Morningstar holds steady to its expectation of two rate cuts of 25 basis points each for 2024.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James St . Aubin, Brett Ewing, you've, we're, Ewing, haven't, David Sekera, Russell, Sekera Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Sierra Funds, Fed, Morningstar
Read previewThe Federal Reserve's path of rate cuts could be what ends up causing a US recession, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. Elevated interest rates could cut into economic activity and employment, Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday. At this point, the economy faces a bigger risk of recession than rampant inflation, El-Erian suggested. The recession outlook remains mixed, given the cocktail of tight financial conditions and resilient economic growth so far. According to New York Fed economists, the US has a 52% chance of slipping into recession by May next year.
Persons: , Mohamed El, Erian, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Fed, Yahoo Finance, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: El
Yen on guard ahead of BOJ; euro stutters with weekly loss in sight
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was a touch weaker at 157.08 per dollar and on track for a marginal weekly loss of about 0.2%, though moves were largely subdued ahead of the conclusion of the BOJ's two-day monetary policy meeting later on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.0737, and was poised for a weekly loss of roughly 0.6%. Against the British pound, the euro was last languishing near a 22-month low and staring at a weekly decline of 0.9%.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Wall, Powell, Jean Boivin, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, France's, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Bank of, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Fed, Aussie, Rabobank Locations: Bank of Japan, BlackRock
It began, seemingly, with a few innocuous social media posts comparing Mike Faist, co-star of the titillating tennis throuple film “Challengers,” to a dormouse. No, he’s Stuart Little, if Stuart Little was hot. “How ‘hot rodent’ men became Hollywood’s sexiest heartthrobs: Gen Z fans are going wild for actors with unusual features including Barry Keoghan, Kieran Culkin and Jeremy Allen White,” read the headline. How do these men — heartthrobs of the moment, even — feel about being categorized as “hot rodents”? “It was clearly not meant as an insult and even though some people would take it as an insult, I mostly felt it was a way of saying that I was cute.”While by no means exhaustive, these responses suggest men feel mostly fine with the “hot rodent” trend.
Persons: Mike Faist, , he’s Despereaux, he’s Stuart Little, Stuart Little, Lucy Ford, Faist’s, Josh O’Connor, Barry Keoghan, Timothée Chalamet, Jeremy Allen White, Glen Powell, Kieran Culkin, , Powell, Jimmy Fallon, , ” stewart, dooney, “ She’s, Gustav Organizations: CNN, Daily Mail, New York Times, Guardian, London Times, NBC Locations: capybaras
4:35Americans Love to Shop Online. 0:59‘Lack of Further Progress’ on Inflation Keeps Interest Rates High0:59Fed Wants More ‘Good Data’ Before Cutting Interest Rates, Powell Says0:26Boeing Cargo Plane Makes Emergency Landing in Miami1:00PGA Tour Boss Describes What Led to His Medical Leave of Absence1:55Elon Musk Apologizes for Endorsing Antisemitic Conspiracy Theory1:51Disney C.E.O. Denies Plan to Sell TV Business1:20David Zaslav Defends Unpopular Decisions at Warner Bros. Discovery1:37Harris Not Worried About Biden Trailing Trump in Key Polls0:53U.S. Will Take Years to Reach Chip Independence, Nvidia C.E.O. Says1:06McCarthy Says He Is Undecided on Whether to Seek Re-Election0:40
Persons: Powell, Elon Musk, David Zaslav, Harris, McCarthy Organizations: Boeing Cargo, Disney, Sell, Warner Bros, Biden, Trump, Chip Independence, Nvidia C.E.O Locations: Miami, Chip
Dividend-paying companies might feel compelled to cut their dividends if they're grappling with a lot of debt, as higher rates raise the cost of leverage for companies. He added dividend cuts can also serve as a "clearing event" for a stock, ironically spurring a period of outperformance. See below for a few of the potential contenders for dividend cuts. The stock is down more than 15% in 2024, and it offers a dividend yield of nearly 5%. Shares are up about 17% in 2024, and the stock has a dividend yield of 3.5%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Chris Senyek, Wolfe, Matthew Boss, Vail, Goldman Sachs, Christine Cho, Nordstrom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Federal, Vail Resorts, JPMorgan, Vail, Nordstrom, Whirlpool, Owl Locations: Wednesday's
A shortage of 2.2 million homes suggest the US housing market will remain unaffordable. The research firm said a shortage of 2.2 million homes is compounding the US housing market's affordability issues. Related stories"Since 2015, we have been warning about a chronic housing shortage, leading to a supply/demand imbalance. Rising development prices across the board suggest to NDR that housing supply will remain constrained for years to come. "The wave of immigrants has not seemed to impact the supply/demand balance for workers, a traditional area for Latino immigrants," NDR said.
Persons: , Ned Davis, Joseph Kalish, Veneta Dimitrova, Powell Organizations: Service, Ned Davis Research, NDR, Federal Reserve
Despite all the good news, there’s one giant, inescapable reason why people don’t feel like the economy is as good as it actually is. Shelter costs — which include rent and an estimated cost of homeownership — were up 5.4% from a year ago. There are some early signs that the housing market is becoming a bit less stuck. At the same time, the one-two punch of inflation and high borrowing costs have discouraged first-time buyers, reducing competition for houses. Of course, as Powell noted in his speech Wednesday, it may take “years” for housing inflation to normalize.
Persons: CNN Business ’, We’re, supercore, doesn’t, , , , Jay Parsons, Jerome Powell, It’s, Orphe Divounguy, Zillow, ” Divounguy, Powell, There’s, Douglas Duncan, Fannie Mae Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Locations: New York, Madera, Texas
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