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☆ CFTC Chair Russ Behnam on U.S. election betting: We don't want to commoditize elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFTC Chair Russ Behnam on U.S. election betting: We don't want to commoditize electionsCommodities Future Trading Commission (CFTC) chairman Rostin Behnam joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the agency's scrutiny of polymarket and other offshore crypto betting platforms, betting on U.S. elections, and more.

Persons: Russ Behnam, Rostin Behnam Organizations: Trading Commission

☆ Citigroup says both candidates are negative for stocks, so hope for a split Congress
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors may be better off if November's election ends with neither candidate having enough wiggle room to enact their economic policies, according to Citigroup. "We maintain our ongoing view that either candidate's policy platforms are U.S. equity negative, but notably in a 'sweep' context. We mark the Harris platform as incrementally more negative (-4% to -6%) vs the Trump platform (0% to -4%). A split congress with either candidate mitigates most of the nearer term risk to fair values," the note said. … We continue to reiterate our ongoing concern that the deficit circumstance will move more front and center with investors post election," the Citigroup said.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, mitigates, Trump Organizations: Citigroup, Trump, White Locations: Montana , Nevada , Arizona, Pennsylvania

☆ Crypto spending on 2024 election hits $190 million, led by Winklevoss twins
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The Winklevoss twins, Coinbase and Ripple didn't immediately respond to requests for comment. Huge jump from 2020Delmore, who has been assembling reports on crypto donations in the 2024 election for blockchain analytics platform Breadcrumbs, told CNBC that industry spending is nearly double where it was in the mid-terms — more than $190 million in the 2024 election versus $98 million in the 2022 election. It's nearly 13 times spending in 2020 of $15 million — a figure based on a mix of data from FEC and OpenSecrets filings. Unlike the past two election cycles, which featured spending from the now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX and founder Sam Bankman-Fried, this year's contributor list is more robust and diverse. "Most of the crypto donations in 2022 were from FTX and SBF and almost all of them went to Democrats or PACs that support Democrats," Delmore said.

Persons: Tyler Winklevoss, Cameron Winklevoss, Joe Raedle, Cameron, James Delmore, Donald Trump, Chris Larsen, Brad Garlinghouse, Ro Khanna, John Deaton, Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Stuart Alderoty, Alderoty, Ripple, David Sacks, Trump, Gary Gensler, Gensler, Harris, Biden, Delmore, It's, Sam Bankman, Fried, Andreessen Horowitz, Coinbase, Coinbase's Organizations: Gemini, Mana Convention, Getty, CNBC, Trump, Republican, Trump America PAC, Fairshake PAC, Labs, Democratic, SEC, San, FEC, Citizen, Fairshake, Bloomberg, Crypto Alliance, DC Locations: Wynwood, Miami , Florida, bitcoin, Massachusetts, San Francisco, FTX

☆ Federal judge allows prediction market Kalshi to offer betting on upcoming US elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Piper Hudspethblackburn | Piper Hudspeth Blackburn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —A federal judge made way on Thursday for legal political gambling in the United States, rejecting a federal watchdog’s last-minute effort to delay a prediction market from offering bets on the November elections. She also denied a request by the government during Thursday’s hearing to block Kalshi from offering contracts pending its appeal. The CFTC has argued that the contracts count as illegal gambling and that it doesn’t have the resources to monitor them. Its chairman, Rostin Behnam, has also warned that election contracts would “ultimately commoditize and degrade the integrity” the electoral process. Luana Lopes Lara, a co-founder of Kalshi, celebrated the decision on Thursday, writing on X, “WE’RE LIVE.” The CFTC declined to comment.

Persons: Jia Cobb, “, ” Cobb, Kalshi, Rostin Behnam, Luana Lopes Lara, ” Organizations: CNN, Senate, Futures Trading Commission, DC, Kalshi, CFTC Locations: United States, Washington ,, Kalshi, New York

☆ All the signs Trump lost the debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

By Wednesday morning, there were abundant signs that, frankly, Trump lost his debate against Harris. Our newest ad just dropped pic.twitter.com/DfM044iZ8s — Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) September 11, 2024Despite the reputation he forged in GOP primary debates, Trump has struggled in general election faceoffs. Here are the signs that Trump added to his debate loss total. Heading into the debate, Trump held a narrow lead on PolyMarket, a crypto-based betting market that counts election forecaster Nate Silver as one of its advisors. Amid a back and forth with Harris over debates, Trump declared that he wanted three face-offs with her.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, DfM044iZ8s — Kamala, faceoffs, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Clinton, Nate Silver, Vox, PredictIt, Rupert Murdoch, Brit Hume, prepped Harris, 7gnMmIVupt, Ms, goading Trump, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Jason Miller, Donald Trump Jr, Trump's, Kamala, Taylor Swift, Biden, Rocky, Creed Organizations: Service, Business, Democratic, Trump, White House, Futures Trading Commission, Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth, Traders, Murdoch Media, Fox News, ABC, York, Street, GOP, ABC News, Boxing, UFC, Fighter Locations: York, Philadelphia

☆ Why did people think Beyoncé would play at the DNC? Because TMZ said so.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Peter Kafka | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

ET on Friday, TMZ fessed up: BEYONCE NOT AT DNC AFTER ALL, it acknowledged. "To quote the great Beyoncé: We gotta lay our cards down, down, down ... we got this one wrong." It's that in 2024, for much of the modern media world, a TMZ report is pretty close to accepted fact. To me, TMZ's big breakthrough as a Real News Source was when it broke the news of Michael Jackson's death in 2009. And if you still aren't convinced, see this tweet from CNN's Abby Phillip, who declared that "TMZ lost a lot of credibility tonight."

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Harris, Oprah Winfrey, Beyoncé, TMZ, I'd, I've, Time Warner, Harvey Levin, Michael Jackson's, doesn't, TMZ's, Donald Trump, Abby Phillip Organizations: Service, Democratic, Convention, Business, DNC, TMZ, Reuters, Street, Hollywood, United, National Enquirer, Rupert Murdoch's News Corp, Time, Facebook, Twitter, Washington Post, Trump Locations: Chicago

☆ Ethereum surges 22% on speculation ETFs could be approved as soon as this week — and a new bitcoin record might not be far behind
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ethereum has jumped over the past 24 hours as odds of an imminent ETF approval have soared. AdvertisementAccording to Standard Chartered Head of FX Research Geoff Kendrick, ETF approvals would cement ether's chances of reaching $8,000 by this year's end. AdvertisementSecondly, big outflows are also less likely to be an issue for ether, Kendrick pointed out. Once ether funds are established, the price highs that it can achieve bode well for bitcoin, Kendrick added. "An ETH ETF approval will further legitimise the sector and therefore be BTC positive as well.

Persons: Ethereum, —, That's, Eric Balchunas, Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, bode Organizations: SEC, Chartered, Service, bitcoin, Securities and Exchange Commission, Bloomberg, Bloomberg Intelligence, Standard Chartered, FX, BTC Locations: VanEck

☆ Reddit users are questioning if it's really Keith Gill behind the memes that sparked the latest GameStop rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Reddit users this week have been questioning whether Keith Gill was behind Roaring Kitty's recent social media posts. The Roaring Kitty X account started tweeting for the first time in three years on Sunday, sparking a revival in GameStop stock. Reddit users have been speculating and debating the question since Gill's @TheRoaringKitty X account made its first post in three years on Sunday. AdvertisementGill did not reply to a request for comment sent by Business Insider via his other social media accounts. I'm sure we'll the the truth of the matter of who's running the account soon enough," another Reddit user said.

Persons: Keith Gill, Kitty, —, Gill, wasn't, @SCHL0MS, Polymarket, It's, Steve Sosnick Organizations: GameStop, YouTube, Service, Lamborghini, Google, Business, Polymarket, Remilia Corporation, Remilia, Interactive Locations: @TheRoaringKitty

☆ Trump or Biden? The Stock Market Doesn’t Care.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The markets assume that former President Donald J. Trump has an even chance of winning the November election. After trailing for months, President Biden has moved slightly ahead of Mr. Trump in the betting on Predictit, the longest-running commercial prediction market in the United States. On Betfair, a robust British prediction market that is officially closed to U.S. residents, Mr. Biden has moved within one percentage point of Mr. Trump. Polymarket, an offshore market that accepts only cryptocurrency, shows Mr. Trump slightly ahead. “The prediction markets right now are telling us that the presidential election is basically a tossup,” said Eric Zitzewitz, a Dartmouth economist.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden, ”, Eric Zitzewitz, “ Organizations: Dartmouth Locations: United States

☆ Crypto investors are bracing for a busy quarter with the Bitcoin halving, ether ETF updates and potential rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The most important driver in second quarter for bitcoin and crypto, however, could be the Federal Reserve decision on interest rate cuts. Traders are now pricing in a roughly 61% chance of a first Fed rate cut taking place in June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool . Demand has increased from 40,000 bitcoin at the start of the year to 213,000 bitcoin currently, largely driven by ETF buying ahead of the late April Bitcoin halving, according to CryptoQuant. However, the SEC's decision on whether or not to allow spot ether ETFs to trade, due in May, will "very likely" be market moving, he added. "If it's not priced in today, then it very likely will be a market moving event if it happens," he said.

Persons: Bitcoin, Zach Pandl, Pandl, –, bitcoin, Julio Moreno, Chris Kuiper, — CNBC's Ganesh Rao Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal, Metrics, Fidelity Digital Assets, CNBC, Fidelity, SEC Locations: U.S, BlackRock

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