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☆ China officials are reportedly pushing banks to rush loans to cash-strapped real estate developers
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Officials in China are pushing banks to rush loans for property developers, Reuters reported. The real estate sector is in a downturn, and many lenders are strapped for cash. The move could boost homebuyer sentiment, though it may also decrease lenders' asset quality, per Reuters. AdvertisementOfficials in Beijing are pushing Chinese banks to rush loan approvals for property developers stuck in a prolonged downturn, according to Reuters. China's real estate woes over the last year have spurred concerns of an impending "Lehman moment" amid slumping property values, declining homebuyer sentiment, and a backlog of unfinished construction projects.

Persons: —, Lehman Organizations: Reuters, Service, Business Locations: China, Beijing

☆ New Yorkers who make six figures won't save as much moving to Texas and Florida anymore
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Jordan Pandy | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

New Yorkers have historically moved to Florida and Texas to save money on taxes and other expenses. AdvertisementIn December, Rahul Sen Sharma told Business Insider that he was moving from New York to Miami — and bringing his company with him. New Yorkers moving to Texas for many of the same reasons will also face sticker shock. The savings gained by moving to Florida and Texas are dwindlingUtilities, gas, and housing are just a few expenses that have gotten pricier in Florida and Texas since 2019. "The property-tax percentage rate is higher," Marie Bailey, a Texas real-estate agent who moved from California, told Business Insider's Alcynna Lloyd.

Persons: —, Rahul Sen Sharma, Sen Sharma, BI's Phil Rosen, Jeff Bezos, Ken Griffin, SmartAsset, Dallas, Alexander Spatari, Realtor.com, Jaclyn DeJohn, SmartAsset's, Wager, Robert Walsh, Marie Bailey, Insider's Alcynna Lloyd Organizations: Service, Miami —, Bloomberg ., New, Miami, relocators, Miami . Miami Beach, Bloomberg, Business, Sunshine State, CBS, Fort Locations: Florida, Texas, New York, Miami, NYC, Austin, Florida and Texas, Dallas, Miami ., Manhattan, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, Fort Lauderdale, California

☆ 'Act like you're dead': What Anthony Scaramucci tells clients nervous about bitcoin's big swings
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin investors shouldn't sell amid high volatility, Anthony Scaramucci said. He said clients have been dismayed by the crypto's big price swings. He said at the Bitcoin Investor Day conference that his advice to clients is to "act like you're dead." "So act like you're dead with your bitcoin and don't sell your bitcoin. That occurrence, industry experts say, could create a supply shock and ultimately push the price of bitcoin higher.

Persons: Anthony Scaramucci, —, Anthony Pompliano, Scaramucci, Donald Trump, Charles Schwab, Bitcoin, Cathie Wood Organizations: Service, SkyBridge, Wall Street, White, Communications, Securities and Exchange, BlackRock, Fidelity, SEC

☆ Google and Apple's rumored partnership could upend the AI industry
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're looking at what a potential partnership between Google and Apple over AI features would mean for both companies and the wider industry. The big storyGoogle, Apple, AIRebecca Zisser/BITwo of the world's biggest tech companies are reportedly discussing a partnership that would upend the AI industry. Apple is considering integrating Google's AI model, Gemini, into the iPhone . The company has been noticeably quiet around its AI plans compared to peers like Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon. So even if Apple and Google come to an agreement, they could still face some serious regulatory pushback.

Persons: —, hasn't, Rebecca Zisser, Mark Gurman, Sundar Pichai, Apple, it's, Tim Cook, Google's Gemini, Insider's Hasan Chowdhury, BI's Phil Rosen, Mike Coppola, Jerod Harris, Grzegorz Wajda, Chelsea Jia Feng, It's, OpenAI, Stephanie Cohen, Goldman Sach's, Goldman Sachs, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman, Josh Edelson, Chip Somodevilla, TikTok, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Alyssa Powell, elbowed, Manoj Bhargava, Steve Huffman, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Service, Google, Apple, Business, Gemini, Microsoft, Meta, Google's, Getty, Vox Media, Getty Images, Department of, Big Tech, Wall, Cloudflare, Bank of Japan, SXSW, Nvidia, Sports Illustrated, Arena Group Locations: AFP, Woodstock, Arizona , Florida , Illinois , Kansas, Ohio, New York, London

☆ Apple and Alphabet stocks rally on report Google's Gemini could power next-gen iPhones
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bloomberg reported Monday Apple and Google are in talks for iPhones to integrate Gemini AI. "The potential deal is a validation moment for Google's generative AI positioning," Wedbush said. AdvertisementBloomberg reported Monday that Google and Apple are in talks to potentially integrate Gemini's generative AI technology with iPhones, and shares of both companies soared on the news. "The potential deal is a validation moment for Google's generative AI positioning," Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt said in a note Monday. AdvertisementSources told Bloomberg that Apple could license Gemini to support new software coming to iPhones this year, adding that Apple has held similar discussions with OpenAI.

Persons: Wedbush, —, Scott Devitt, Elon Musk, Apple, Devitt Organizations: Bloomberg, Apple, Google, iPhones, Gemini, Service, Bank of America, Al Locations: New York, Cupertino

☆ The cocoa market is so hot that the commodity has crushed bitcoin's 150% gain in the last year
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Cocoa prices are hovering near historic highs around $8,000 per metric ton. The chocolate commodity has outperformed bitcoin in the last year, gaining more than 200%. A bad harvest and lack of investment have sent cocoa prices higher over recent months. Related storiesRoughly three-fourths of the world's cocoa, per Bloomberg, comes from four countries in West Africa: Ivory Coast, Ghana, Cameroon, and Nigeria. Last month, chocolate giants Hershey and Cadbury both warned of potential price hikes for consumers in light of the cocoa supply shortage.

Persons: —, that's Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Processors, Reuters, International Cocoa Organization, Hershey, Cadbury Locations: West Africa, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Cameroon, Nigeria

☆ Bitcoin's halving is unlike others before it: A supply shock colliding with a demand tidal wave
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A bitcoin halving — when the number of tokens rewarded to miners gets cut by 50% — happens reliably every four years. This time, however, supply will slow within months of an unprecedented demand shock, fueled by the approval of 11 spot bitcoin ETFs from asset management titans including BlackRock and Fidelity. AdvertisementAnd what's new this year is the wave of demand from bitcoin ETFs. Recent weeks have seen single-day inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs topping $1 billion, BitMex data shows. "We've never had both a supply shock and a demand shock at the same time."

Persons: —, Sandy Kaul, Franklin Templeton's, bitcoin, it's, Greg Magadini, Magadini, Kaul, We've, Samir Kerbage, doesn't, Kerbage, Brian Rudick, Rudick Organizations: Service, BlackRock, Fidelity, Business

☆ Trump 2.0 would threaten Mexico's new status as America's top trade partner
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A second Trump presidential term poses a risk to Mexico's status as the US's top trade partner. According to Capital Economics, Trump 2.0 threatens Mexico's newly gained status. In a Tuesday note, Capital Economics strategists said much of the impact would hinge on whether the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) deal remains intact. To Capital Economics, Mexico is one of the most vulnerable emerging markets as far as repercussions to this potential move. Mexico's trade with the US accounts for about one-third of its GDP.

Persons: Trump, —, Donald Trump, USMCA Organizations: Trump, Capital Economics, Service, Capital, North America Free Trade, US Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers Locations: Mexico, China, Canada, US, shoring

☆ Real estate stocks plunge as NAR agrees to landmark settlement that rewrites rules on commissions
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The National Association of Realtors announced a $418 million settlement to end antitrust lawsuits. Real estate stocks including Zillow and Redfin fell Friday after the announcement. AdvertisementShares of real estate companies plunged on Friday following an announcement from the National Association of Realtors that resolves a lawsuit with home-selling groups and effectively nixes the standard 6% commission for home purchases. As part of the settlement, the NAR has agreed to prevent sellers' brokers from determining the compensation for buyers' agents. AdvertisementTaken together the changes will rewrite the longstanding real estate business model which had sellers pay their broker and the buyer's broker.

Persons: Redfin, —, Nykia Wright, Kevin Sears Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Service, NAR

☆ Why weight-loss drugs like Ozempic are a game-changer for the global economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Capital Economics said weight-loss drugs could be game-changers for the world economy. Eventually, AI could supercharge the healthcare sector, so weight-loss drugs could be just the beginning. Capital Economics noted that share prices fell in 2023 for many fast-food companies as weight-loss drugs gained popularity, though some of those losses have since been pared. Weight-loss drugs and AIGLP-1 drugs' emergence, meanwhile, has happened alongside the explosion of artificial intelligence technology and hype. If so, the economic gains heralded by weight-loss drugs might be just the beginning."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Eli Lilly Organizations: Service, Capital Economics, Nordisk, Organization, Economic Cooperation, Development Locations: Mexico, America, Denmark, Korea

☆ A huge wave of housing inventory hit the market in February as the 'lock-in' effect eases
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Zillow reported that a wave of new inventory hit the market in February. New listings of existing homes on Zillow jumped 21% year-over-year last month. The data suggest the "lock-in" effect and frozen housing market are softening. AdvertisementHigh mortgage rates, elevated home prices, and tight inventory have kept many Americans sidelined from the housing market since the pandemic. Zillow data out Thursday showed new listings of existing homes jumped 20.8% in February compared to the same time in 2023, and climbed 20.3% month-over-month.

Persons: Zillow, — Organizations: Service, Business

☆ Markets are eyeing a June rate cut. Here's what Fed officials have said on policy, jobs, and inflation that point to the next steps.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Fed officials have said rate cuts are coming soon, but inflation must still cool further. Markets are placing the greatest odds on a rate cut in June, fed fund futures show. AdvertisementFederal Reserve officials have said interest rate cuts are coming this year, but there's not an exact date in their outlook just yet. Those expectations were little changed after Tuesday's inflation report, which showed CPI came in hotter than expected in February. Reducing our policy rate too soon could result in requiring further future policy rate increases to return inflation to 2 percent in the longer run."

Persons: —, there's, CME's, Jerome Powell, " Neel Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, John Williams, Christopher Waller Organizations: Service, Federal, Bank of America, Capital, Capital Economics, Labor

☆ The dominance of the US economy and the stock market in 4 charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The US economy has grown dramatically and powered its stock market in recent decades. "The longer-term rise in the relative size of the US equity market has reflected the dominance of the US economy," strategists wrote. Similarly, the prolonged increase in the US markets' relative total size reflects the dominance of the US economy, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman SachsThe growth factorThe strength of the American stock market can be traced largely to its high volume of growth names. AdvertisementThe US stock market has more exposure to fast-growing companies than other countries.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, it's, Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Exxon, Mobil, Ford, General Electric, IBM, Novo Nordisk Locations: Switzerland, Denmark, Novo, Danish

☆ The housing market may finally be thawing as mortgage rates and housing inventory improve
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Mortgage rates eased for the first time in five weeks, Freddie Mac said Thursday. Easing affordability and improving inventory suggests a gradual thawing of the market. "It's important to remember that rates can vary widely between mortgage lenders so shopping around is essential." However, Capital Economics strategists wrote earlier in the week that easing mortgage rates won't be enough to spark a meaningful, lasting rebound in home demand. Advertisement"Even if mortgage rates fall to 6% as we expect, mortgage rate 'lock in' will continue to curb home moves," Capital Economics strategists wrote in a note.

Persons: Freddie Mac, —, — that's, Freddie Mac's, Sam Khater, Jerome Powell, Realtor.com, that's Organizations: Service, Capital

☆ America's CEOs are suddenly feeling a lot better about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Optimism about the economy spiked among US CEOs to start the yearBusiness Roundtable's quarterly CEO sentiment report jumped by 11 points in the first quarter. The report also showed CEOs expect hiring, capital investment, and sales to all increase in the coming six months. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment report showed Americans' mood improving to start the year, climbing to its highest mark since July 2021. AdvertisementA special question in the latest survey from the business group in this quarter's survey showed that CEOs are feeling downbeat about government policy and regulation. We urge policymakers to recommit themselves to promoting economic growth, creating more American jobs and increasing economic mobility," Business Roundtable CEO Joshua Bolten said.

Persons: —, Chuck Robbins, Joshua Bolten Organizations: Service, Business, Cisco, IMF, University of Michigan Locations: U.S

☆ China's real estate slump is about to get worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Capital Economics said the "unavoidable structural decline" in China's property sector has only just begun. AdvertisementSeveral years in and China's prolonged real estate slump has been well-documented, but the landscape may be about to deteriorate further as construction enters a deeper correction, Capital Economics said in a note Wednesday. AdvertisementResidential real estate activity in China Capital Economics, CEICSizable infrastructure support has prevented construction from falling as much as anticipated. As Capital Economics highlights, real estate construction remains an opaque measurement in China. In Capital Economics' view, Beijing will drag it out longer so that it doesn't fully materialize until 2030.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Economics, China Capital Economics, Capital Economics, Capital Locations: China's, Beijing, China

☆ The mortgage 'lock-in' effect is here to stay and home prices won't fall for years to come, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Easing mortgage rates won't fully unwind the "lock in" effect, Capital Economics said. Home moves and market activity will remain muted even if borrowing costs become more attractive. "Even if mortgage rates fall to 6% as we expect, mortgage rate 'lock in' will continue to curb home moves," Capital Economics strategists said. In the research group's view, housing market activity will remain muted as competition for homes stays tight and affordability remains historically low. The strategists expect mortgage rates, too, will continue to trend above pre-pandemic levels.

Persons: — Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Capital

☆ 'An overbought market is a healthy market': A technical indicator that's been flashing since November could hold the key to a bullish 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

A key long-term indicator of an overbought market has been flashing since November. When it flashes for 12 months, the S&P 500 is positive 100% of the time, Bank of America said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThree months into 2024 and the stock market is off to a stellar start. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: — Organizations: Bank of America, Markets, Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Business

☆ Bitcoin's back on top, but it's not a boon for everyone in the space
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're looking at bitcoin's latest rally and what's driving it so high this time around . The milestone comes amid a massive rally for bitcoin over the past month, where its price has surged almost 60%. Business Insider's Phil Rosen has a full rundown on what's pushing bitcoin's price so high this time . SOPA Images / GettyA boon for bitcoin doesn't mean everyone in the space wins. The insider I spoke to said there's no single, agreed-upon narrative for what's driving crypto toward a new peak.

Persons: —, you've, Phil Rosen, BlackRock's, Jamie Dimon, there's, Tom Williams, Doom, Roubini, BofA, Li Qiang, headwinds, Mark Zuckerberg's, Andrew Bosworth, Sam Altman's, Altman, Hugo Herrera, Lachlan Murdoch, Nordstrom, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Bitcoin, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Beijing, Apple, Getty, European Commission, Employees, BI, Boomers, Fox, Target Locations: bitcoin, China, Chengdu, Southwest China's Sichuan, New York, London

☆ China is the only major economy dealing with deflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

China has been grappling with negative consumer prices for several months. No other major world economy faces deflation. China is the only major economy with negative consumer prices, dropping 0.8% year-over-year in January. China is the only major economy dealing with deflation. And China's ongoing real estate market slump has depressed the prices for household items and residences.

Persons: — Organizations: Service Locations: China, Beijing

☆ The housing market just saw its biggest inventory spike in nearly 3 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

New listings for homes for sale climbed 12.9% year-over-year in February, Redfin data shows. Total inventory also improved, as total homes for sale did not decline for the first time in nine months. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Mortgage-purchase applications have dropped for four consecutive weeks, and pending sales dipped 8%, the steepest drop in five months.

Persons: —, Redfin, Brynn Rea Organizations: Service, Mortgage Locations: Redfin, Spokane , Washington

☆ The office market is so bleak that Canada's largest pension fund sold its stake in an NYC building for $1
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Canada's largest pension fund sold a stake in a New York building for $1. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board did not immediately respond to Business Insider's request for comment. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board operates a $436.9 billion fund, with a global real estate portfolio worth roughly $30.6 billion. According to the Bloomberg report, the pension isn't backing out entirely from the office real estate sector, but it's also limiting its holdings in the space. Economists at Moody's, too, expect more pain ahead for commercial real estate.

Persons: —, it's, Goldman Sachs, Moody's Organizations: Service, Pension Plan Investment Board, Bloomberg, Pension Plan Investment, Boston Properties, Santa, Santa Monica Business Park, Bank, New York Community Bank Locations: New York, Canada, Santa Monica, Silicon, Moody's

☆ Empty office buildings won't be the solution to the US housing shortage
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US housing market faces an inventory shortage, but empty offices don't offer a solution. Goldman Sachs strategists say that offices can't be cheaply or easily converted into residential units. Goldman Sachs Investment Research, CoStar dataIn the same stretch, a combination of high mortgage rates and home prices with limited housing inventory has frozen the US housing market. Residential housing affordability has declined for the last 15 years and hit a historical low in 2022. "Our analysis implies that only 0.8% of US office inventory is currently priced at a level that makes conversion to multifamily housing financially feasible," the bank maintained.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, it's, Goldman, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Service, Goldman Sachs Investment Research, Goldman, San Locations: San Francisco, Los Angeles, Seattle

☆ The Fed engineered a miracle. Now comes the hard part.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Yet two months into 2024, Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues seems to have nearly pulled off what many would have called a miracle not long ago. Between a rock and a hard placeThe January Fed meeting minutes reinforced policymakers' careful approach for the months ahead. AdvertisementTo be sure, as far as policy expectations, markets have only recently arrived on the same page as the Fed. "The Fed doesn't want to be seen as having allowed inflation to reignite," he added. "The Fed doesn't want to undo all the good work they've done, and needlessly push the economy into a recession."

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, James McCann, Abrdn, Gene Goldman, CME's, Gregory Draco, Draco, Larry Summers, Summers, Cetera's Goldman, Goldman, Abrdn's McCann, McCann Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Co, Fed, Cetera Investment Management, Bloomberg

☆ Fed rate hikes are creeping back into the conversation
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementExperts maintain that any hikes this year are unlikely, but say it's notable how they have creeped back into the policy conversation once again. "You can't say zero probability for something to break in the event of another rate hike," Jason Draho, head of asset allocation in the Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, told Business Insider. "That last mile [of inflation] will be harder to obtain," Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise Financial's chief market strategist, told Business Insider. "The Fed's erring on the side of hawkishness," Hunter told Business Insider.

Persons: —, Larry Summers, Summers, Jason Draho, you'd, Goldman Sachs, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, Paul Mielczarski, Mielczarski, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, Andrew Hunter, Hunter Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, PPI, Fed, Former, Bloomberg, Traders, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics Locations: Americas, OER, Brandywine, hawkishness

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