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Lumber prices are down 24% from their mid-March peak amid subdued home-building activity. The combination of oversupply and falling demand for lumber are driving prices down, say industry experts. AdvertisementLumber prices have plunged this year as the peak home-building season falls flat amid subdued demand. Putting added pressure on lumber prices is that the commodity is experiencing a period of oversupply. And falling demand combined with rising supply can be a powerful dynamic that puts downward pressure on prices.
Persons: , Josh Goodman, Goodman, Kyle Little, Little Organizations: Service, Sherwood Lumber, Product
Natural-gas prices in Texas have dropped into negative territory. AdvertisementNatural-gas prices in Texas have slipped into negative territory even amid a heat advisory for parts of the state, Reuters reported. AdvertisementTaking this infrastructure offline can lead to trapped natural gas, momentarily boosting supply. According to traders that spoke with Reuters, other reasons may have contributed to the negative price slide as well. This is the 18th time this year that Texas natural gas price have entered negative territory, the outlet said.
Persons: , it's, Kinder Morgan, Fortune Organizations: Service, Reuters, Natural Gas Pipeline, West South Central, Energy Information Administration Locations: Texas, America
When consumer sentiment falters or the economy starts to teeter, RV sales follow suit, said Michael Hicks, an economics professor at Ball State University and director of Indiana University’s Center for Business and Economic Research. “People don’t make these large, luxury purchases unless they’re actually feeling better about the economy,” said Hicks, who follows the RV industry closely. “It’s so sensitive to interest rate changes, which often precede a downturn.”A Winnebago travel trailer at Motor Sportsland RV dealership in Salt Lake City on April 6, 2020. Nika Shneyder and her father and business partner, Alex Shneyder, standing by a Chill RV in Malibu RV Park, California, in 2019. They moved down to a historically strong, but noticeably smaller, 493,000 the next year, according to data from the RV Industry Association.
Persons: That’s, Nika Shneyder, “ We’re, ” Shneyder, , Michael Hicks, , Hicks, George Frey, bode, ” Michael J, Happe, hasn’t, We’ve, we’ve, Covid, Alex Shneyder, Nika, they’d, Monika Geraci, David Titus, Ty Wright, there’s, Ball State’s Hicks, ’ Titus, they’re, we’ll, Titus, ” Titus Organizations: CNN, Ball State University, Indiana University’s Center for Business, Economic Research, Bloomberg, Getty, Winnebago Industries, RV Industry, Dealers, RVs, Consumers, HL Enterprise, Manufacturing, of Labor Statistics Locations: Los Angeles, teeter, Salt Lake City, YOLO, Malibu, , California, Elkhart , Indiana, The Northern Indiana, South Bend, Elkhart, , Elkhart .
AdvertisementTariffs are finally in play on cheap solar imports from Asia after a two-year moratorium on the restrictions expired on Thursday. In 2023, the Department of Commerce determined that Chinese solar was making its way into the US duty-free, despite tariffs on imports from the country. But this gave way to a flood of cheap imports, causing solar prices to crater last year. Meanwhile, solar shipments from Southeast Asian producers have not slowed, and accounted for 87.5% of US module imports in the first quarter, S&P Global said. The tariffs could eventually bring upside for US producers, and Carr indicates that a 25%-30% price correction for solar modules could materialize.
Persons: , Mike Carr, Carr, David Feldman Organizations: Service, Solar Energy Manufacturers of America, Department of Commerce, P Global, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Reuters, Commerce Department Locations: Southeast Asia, Asia, China
Hong Kong CNN —As profit margins get squeezed, temperatures are rising in the world’s biggest car market. A tense exchange between two major Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers in recent days highlights the pressures they face as a price war in the industry intensifies. While top executives from the EV industry often post on social media about a range of topics, including technology and advertising, they rarely name rival companies, especially when criticizing them. In recent months, a price war has escalated in China’s hyper-competitive EV industry, with manufacturers battling for consumer attention with deep discounts or newer, cheaper models. The country has more than 200 EV manufacturers who are grappling with huge oversupply and slowing consumer demand.
Persons: Yu Chengdong, , Elon Musk, Tesla, ” Yu, Joe Biden, Mr Yu, ” Li Yunfei, Huawei's, Li, Wang Chuanfu, BYD, Wang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, BYD, European Union, Huawei Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shenzhen, BYD, Weibo, Shanghai
The decision by OPEC+ to increase oil production will cast a "bearish shadow" over oil prices for the next two years, creating a level of uncertainty not seen since the pandemic severely disrupted demand, according to Deutsche Bank. It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.2 million bpd, Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh told clients in a note Wednesday. The supply increase is similar in magnitude to the 2.3 million bpd oversupply during the first year of the pandemic in 2020, Hsueh wrote. The policy shift by OPEC+ "marks the end of the tightening cycle that began in October 2022," Hsueh said. The supply deficit of 500,000 bpd this quarter will rise to 1 million bpd in the third quarter before the OPEC+ production increases start, according to Deutsche.
Persons: Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: OPEC, Deutsche Bank ., Deutsche Bank, TD Securities, Deutsche, Brent Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Mexico, U.S
The OPEC logo on the building of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. Crude oil futures were little change on Monday as investors tried to parse what impact OPEC's weekend decision on production policy will have on the market. OPEC+ agreed to extend 3.6 million barrels per day in production cuts through the end of 2025. But JPMorgan analysts said the decision by OPEC+ Sunday is largely neutral for global oil prices in 2024. The production cuts combined with summer driving should increase Brent prices by $10 to the $90-per-barrel range by September, according to the investment bank.
Persons: Wells, Roger Read, Brent Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, JPMorgan, OPEC Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Q4'24
Stocks fell on Wednesday ahead of fresh economic data on growth and inflation. A $44 billion auction of seven-year Treasury notes was met with tepid demand. Bond yields spiked for a second day, with the 10-year bond climbing by seven basis points to 4.61%. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . On Tuesday, a sale of two and five-year notes was priced to weaker demand from investors.
Persons: Stocks, , Price Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury, Nasdaq, Nvidia
The global semiconductor industry is set to experience "groundbreaking changes," Citi said, naming stocks to play the theme. Here are six stocks from Citi's list, which stand out for having substantial upside potential, according to FactSet's consensus price targets. Nvidia Among Citi's list of top stocks is investor darling Nvidia . Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix South Korean tech giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix also made Citi's list. Citi also noted that SK Hynix is looking forward to stronger supplies of HBM3E chips through to 2025, "in line with the customer's roadmap."
Persons: Atif Malik, ASMPT, Kevin Chen, Takayuki Naito, Ibiden, Hynix, Peter Lee, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Nvidia, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF, BlackRock Future Tech ETF, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix South, SK Hynix, Korea ETF, Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF Locations: Hong Kong, Franklin FTSE Hong, SK Hynix South Korean, Korea, Franklin FTSE South
China has made a lot of solar panels, dramatically lowering prices and helping the country's clean-energy transition. The problem is that Chinese manufacturers seem to have made too many solar panels, according to the US, the European Union, and their allies. China's facing its own overproduction problem at home following a breakneck pace of growth in solar energy — one key pillar of the country's "new three" economic drivers. Germany's energy prices are under pressure from too much solar energyIt's not just China getting hit by an excess of solar energy. Germany, too, has been producing so much solar energy that energy prices have fallen into negative territory when output peaks.
Persons: They're, Joe Biden, David Fishman Organizations: Service, European Union, Business, Reuters, Bloomberg, West, Longi Green Energy Technology, China Photovoltaic Industry Association, Lantau Group Locations: China, Beijing, overcapacity, Germany, that's
“The policymakers recognize the urgency to prevent an outright property crisis,” said Zhaopeng Xing, senior China strategist at ANZ Research. According to Goldman Sachs, the total value of unsold homes, unfinished projects and unused land in China is about 30 trillion yuan ($4.1 trillion). On Friday, Tao Ling, deputy governor of the PBOC, said the relending program could eventually underpin 500 billion yuan ($69 billion) worth of bank loans to support the buying. The Housing Ministry said Friday that local governments can instruct local state-owned enterprises to help purchase some unsold homes from developers. Just the beginningAddressing the oversupply of unsold homes is only the first step, experts say.
Persons: , Zhaopeng Xing, Goldman Sachs, it’s, Tao Ling, Ting Lu, Nomura, Helen Qiao, It’s, Tao, ” Jing Liu, Taylor Wang, Xing, Goldman, Donald Trump, Michelle Lam, Wei Yao, Société Générale Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, ANZ Research, Goldman, People’s Bank of China, Greater China, Bank of America, Housing Ministry, HSBC, European Union Locations: China, Hong Kong, Hong Kong CNN — Beijing, Beijing, Greater, Société, Japan
Read previewChesterfield Mall, set to shut down in October, has become an unexpected parking lot for hundreds of Tesla vehicles over the last few months. The Teslas, including Cybertrucks, parked outside of the Chesterfield, Missouri, shopping spot puzzled people passing by, especially as the number of EVs seemed to increase over time. According to the report, Tesla is storing unsold vehicles at the mall until it shuts down. Staenberg said Tesla has occupied the space for about six or seven months and can stay until the mall closes in October. Inventory lots aren't uncommonTesla isn't the only car brand to store its unsold vehicles outside a dealership.
Persons: , Michael Staenberg, Tesla, Staenberg, Tim Lowe, KTVI, General Motors, ramping Organizations: Service, Business, Chesterfield Mall, Ford's, Plant, General, oversupply, Cox Automotive, EV Locations: Chesterfield , Missouri, Chesterfield, Ford's Michigan, Wayne, Grand Blanc , Michigan, Berlin
There's been so much love for one global chip stock that as many as 14 analysts upgraded it in the past two weeks. Based on a CNBC Pro FactSet screen, 14 analysts upgraded the stock in the past two weeks, and none downgraded it. Those covering the stock say they are optimistic in light of AI demand, among other factors. This "inefficiency" has been estimated to likely create an additional ~10% in equipment demand over time," Kim added. When it comes to AI, Kim also said that each large language model upgrade cycle requires roughly 100 times more in compute capacity upgrades.
Persons: There's, That's Taiwan's, Phelix Lee, Lee, Dan Kim, Kim, FactSet, TSMC Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, CNBC, Morningstar, Saturna Locations: U.S, China, Taiwan
The proposal covers a range of issues, including minimum technical standards and ecological guidelines for battery production. AdvertisementChina's battery production in 2023 alone was already big enough to fill global demand, according to an analysis from BloombergNEF. China's global share of battery manufacturing capacity is expected to fallDespite the West's consternation, there is an upside for the bloc. China's global share of battery manufacturing is expected to decline in the years ahead, according to a report from the International Energy Agency, or IEA, published on Monday. AdvertisementChina now accounts for more than 80% of battery manufacturing capacity, followed by the US and the EU with around 5% each, per the IEA.
Persons: China's, , Xi Jinping's, Louise Loo, Loo, Chim Lee, Lee Organizations: Service, China's Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, European Union, Oxford Economics, Economist Intelligence, International Energy Agency, US, EU Locations: China, Beijing, Canada, Europe, India
Thailand’s prime minister, Srettha Thavisin, said on Wednesday that he wanted cannabis to be re-listed as a narcotic by the end of the year, a reversal two years after the country became one of the first in Asia to decriminalize marijuana. All marijuana sales in Thailand are technically for medical purposes, but lax regulations mean that many businesses openly sell dried marijuana flowers and illegal imports. Thailand decriminalized marijuana in June 2022, giving rise to a domestic industry that has recently been challenged by competition and oversupply. There are thousands of registered dispensaries in the country, and cannabis is prescribed at hundreds of traditional medicine clinics. Foreign investors have also backed the construction of high-tech indoor cannabis farms.
Persons: Thailand’s, Srettha Thavisin, Srettha Organizations: Ministry of Health Locations: Asia, Thailand
Xi is spending two days in France, meeting French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday before heading to Serbia and Hungary. "I'm calling for an 'aggiornamento' because China is now in excess capacity in many areas and exports massively to Europe," Macron told La Tribune Dimanche, per a Bloomberg translation. She said China's trade practices are leading to unfair trade that are "market-distorting" and "could lead to deindustrialization in Europe." China has pushed back on the West's claims of overcapacity, accusing the bloc of being protectionist and of trying to curb China's economic development. However, Europe — like China — isn't quite the same anymore, following years of economic malaise punctuated by the pandemic and the war in Ukraine.
Persons: , Janet Yellen, Olaf Scholz, Xi Jinping's, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Matt Geraci, Geraci, Ursula von der Leyen, Von, Leyen, Léonie Allard, Allard, Xi Organizations: Service, State Authority, European Union, Business, La Tribune Dimanche, Atlantic, Associated Press, European, overcapacity, Council's Locations: China, France, Serbia, Hungary, European, Germany, Europe, Beijing, Washington, Russia, Ukraine
Hong Kong CNN —A “life and death race” has begun to unfold in the world’s largest market for electric vehicles (EV). More than a dozen passenger carmakers disappeared from the market last year, according to statistics from the China Passenger Car Association. Too many playersOvercrowding is another major issue plaguing China’s EV industry. Last month, Xiaomi, a Chinese smartphone brand, launched its electric car, the SU7 sedan. “China’s EV industry has entered a stage of cyclical adjustment after two decades of growth,” he said at a forum in Beijing.
Persons: , Tesla, Mark Rainford, Richard Yu, Li Auto, “ They’re, Huawei’s Aito, Lei Jun, BYD, Rainford, Gan Jiayue, Wang Chuanfu, Yin Tongyue Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Auto China, YouTube, China, , National Development, Reform Commission, China Passenger Car Association, WM, Mitsubishi Motors, Honda, Hyundai, Ford, Huawei, EV, China Association of Auto Manufacturers, China’s EV, Li, Tesla, Porsche, Geely Auto, Meizu, Chery Auto, International Energy Agency Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, oversupply, Meizu
London CNN —European Union officials have raided the offices of a Chinese company as part of a probe into subsidies, exposing rising tensions between the bloc and one of its biggest trading partners. The European Commission said Tuesday that it carried out “unannounced inspections” at the premises of a company making and selling security equipment in Europe, which it suspects may have benefited unduly from state subsidies. “The commission has indications that the inspected company may have received foreign subsidies that could distort the (EU’s) internal market,” the EU’s executive body said in a statement on its website. The China Chamber of Commerce to the EU said Wednesday that it had been informed that a Chinese company was the target of the investigation. The Foreign Subsidies Regulation, which came into force last July, is aimed at addressing market distortions caused by subsidies from foreign governments and ensuring that EU companies are competing on a level playing field.
Persons: , , ” Ursula von der Leyen, Janet Yellen Organizations: London CNN — European Union, European Commission, China Chamber of Commerce, EU, CNN Locations: Europe, Poland, Netherlands, Romania, China, Puglia, Italy, United States, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's important to see the positives in China's solar panel influx, environmentalist saysExplorer and environmentalist Bertrand Piccard said it is important to consider the benefits of the current oversupply of solar panels from China.
Persons: Bertrand Piccard Locations: China
Daniel Bosma | Moment | Getty ImagesExplorer and environmentalist Bertrand Piccard has called for a renewed focus on cutting energy waste, saying it's "hopeless" to shift to renewables without improving efficiency. "So if we try to replace fossil [fuel] energy with renewables without being efficient, without reducing the consumption, it's hopeless," he said. Another issue Piccard highlighted was that some countries only consider wind and solar as alternative renewable energy sources. Geothermal energy accounted for just 2.7% of renewable energy consumption, while wind power was 13.2% and solar energy was 7.2%. 'Paradox' of China's solar panel oversupplyPiccard also discussed the ongoing concerns about the potential oversupply of solar panels from China to the European market.
Persons: Daniel Bosma, Bertrand Piccard, Piccard, CNBC's Silvia Amaro, bioenergy, Janet Yellen Organizations: CNBC, Solar Impulse, European Commission, Treasury Locations: Netherlands, Europe, China, U.S
President Joe Biden is calling on the U.S. Trade Representative to triple the China tariff rate on steel and aluminum imports as he makes the rounds in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania. Biden's demand to raise the current 7.5% average tariff on steel and aluminum is an effort to make clear that his administration's recent warnings about China's trade practices are not empty threats. In an interview with CNBC's Sara Eisen, Yellen said that tariffs were not off the table if those overcapacity qualms went unaddressed. As China shrugs off the overcapacity concerns, the Biden administration is doubling down on what it perceives as the threat to global trade. "China's policy-driven overcapacity poses a serious risk to the future of the American steel and aluminum industry," National Economic Council Director Lael Brainard said on a call with reporters on Tuesday.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Janet Yellen, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Yellen, China shrugs, Biden, Lael Brainard Organizations: Economic Cooperation, U.S . Trade, United Steelworkers, Economic Locations: Asia, San Francisco, China, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh
Department stores — which were historically the most important real estate in the nation's malls — are a different story. Department stores are struggling to compete against new online direct-to-consumer competitors and smaller brick-and-mortar retailers that have been able to keep up with the ever-changing demand of consumers. Top-tier malls, known as Class A malls, are pivoting toward an experiential model, replacing department stores with grocery stores, casinos, gyms, ice skating rinks and, in some cases, even residential apartments. Lower-tier malls are feeling the effects of department store closures more acutely as inflation and economic pressures increasingly split consumers into two categories: luxury shoppers and discount shoppers. Watch the video above to find out more about how malls survived the death of the department store.
Persons: Michael Guerin, That's, America's, Haendel St, Juste Organizations: . Department, JCPenney, Sears, Macy's, Mizuho Securities Locations: Macerich
Foreign-born workers are leading the increase in the US labor force, Fitch Ratings said. But a simple explanation could lie in US immigration trends, as a surge of foreign-born workers is propelling labor expansion, Fitch Ratings reported on Thursday. "The foreign-born labor participation rate is 66%, more than the native-born participation rate of 62%." AdvertisementBut while higher immigration flows should keep labor momentum going through this year, Fitch also cautioned that it risks an oversupply. Still, migrants' contribution to labor has significantly boosted economic growth, Fitch said, a point shared by previous research.
Persons: Fitch, , Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Olu Sonola Organizations: Service, Fitch, Wall Street, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, hirings
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's latest policy to boost demand will soon have a greater effect on growth, a top official at the economic planning agency told reporters Thursday. "We believe this work will achieve bigger and bigger results," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. He noted that equipment upgrades account for 9% to 10% of total GDP. 'Strong' central government fiscal supportIn terms of fiscal funding for those upgrades, Zhao said the central government would provide "strong support." Part of the equipment upgrade and consumer trade-in policy also focuses on improving standards for the kinds of products that can be used.
Persons: That's, Zhao Chenxin, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Zhao, Bruce Pang, Fu Jinling, Fu, Francoise Huang, We're, JLL's Pang, Shan Zhongde Organizations: Visual China, Getty, BEIJING, National Development, Reform Commission, CNBC, Analysts, People's Bank of, Allianz Trade, Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, Ministry of Housing, Ministry of Commerce, State Administration, Market, China's Ministry of Commerce, Industry, Global Locations: Qingzhou, Weifang City, Shandong Province, China, oversupply, Beijing, JLL, People's Bank of China
London CNN —The European Union has launched an investigation into China’s state support for its wind turbine companies, intensifying a push to protect Europe’s industry from a flood of cheap Chinese imports. Margrethe Vestager, the EU’s competition chief, said Tuesday that the probe would look into the development of wind farms in Spain, Greece, France, Romania and Bulgaria. The country’s global trade surplus in goods has soared in recent years and is now approaching $1 trillion. Vestager’s announcement as part of a speech in Princeton, New Jersey, comes just days after the European Commission, the EU’s executive arm, opened a separate subsidies probe into Chinese companies bidding for a solar farm contract in Romania. In October, the European Commission launched an investigation into China’s subsidies for electric vehicle makers, which it suspects may be enabling these firms to keep prices super-low, creating unfair competition with European rivals.
Persons: Margrethe Vestager, ” Vestager, Vestager Organizations: London CNN, European Union, European Commission Locations: Spain, Greece, France, Romania, Bulgaria, China, Princeton , New Jersey, Europe, Beijing, United States
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