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☆ 'Chaotic era' for Asian currencies: Bank of America is not bullish on any of them
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The onshore CNY is currently trading at 7.24 per U.S. dollar. The South Korean won recently slipped to an 18-month low of 1,389.5 against the dollar. The Bank of Korea chief called the won volatility "excessive" and said the central bank would intervene if needed. Taiwan dollarBofA also remains negative on the Taiwan dollar given strong equity outflows and life insurance companies' additional unwinding of non-deliverable forward hedges. The Taiwan dollar is currently trading at 32.6 per U.S. dollar.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho Organizations: Korean, Woori, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, South Korean, Fed, Bank of Korea, U.S ., Taiwan Locations: Seoul, South Korea

☆ LSEG chief Schwimmer: IPOs to return 'when the environment stabilises'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Vidya Ranganathan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LSEG (London Stock Exchange Group) CEO David Schwimmer speaks during the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker event in New York City, New York, U.S., December 1, 2022. "IPOs will come back, when the environment stabilises and improves," Schwimmer told Reuters in an interview in Singapore. "The reforms that the FCA is putting through, they're moving relatively quickly, but the markets move quickly too. LSEG bought Refinitiv for $27 billion in early 2021, turning the exchange into a major market data company overnight to challenge rival Bloomberg. Schwimmer said the roll0out of the new partnership product in 2024 will make it easy for customers to use LSEG data in a cloud environment.

Persons: David Schwimmer, Brendan McDermid, Schwimmer, LSEG, Vidya Ranganathan, Lawrence White, Sharon Singleton, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, Reuters, REUTERS, Rights, European Union, Amsterdam, London, EU, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Reuters News, Investors, Microsoft, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Rights SINGAPORE, London, New York, Singapore, Ukraine, Gaza, LSEG

A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee, hovering near a record low, is expected to remain under pressure amid focus on crude oil prices and the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate rupee will open at around 83.25-83.29 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2675 in the previous session. The Fed on Wednesday is widely expected to keep the policy rate unchanged with futures assigning a near zero percent probability of a rate hike. "We expect the 2023 median policy rate forecast to show one more 25bps hike, for a terminal rate of 5.5-5.75%," BofA Global Research said in a note.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Asia

☆ With Indian rupee near record low, cenbank steps up NDF intervention
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"The RBI intervened on NDF in the morning (before local over-the-counter, OTC, markets opened) and it did the same yesterday," the head of treasury at a private sector bank said. The banker said the RBI has been intervening in the NDF market via the BIS (Bank of International Settlements) and a large U.S.-based bank. At times, we see (Indian) public sector bank names," the head of proprietary trading at a foreign bank said. By the time local OTC markets opened on Thursday, the contract had retreated to 83.20 and the spot opened at 83.12. Apart from NDF, the central bank has been likely supplying dollars via public sector banks in the local OTC market, traders said.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Nimesh Vora, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, U.S, BIS, Bank of International, New, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, U.S, Asia, New York

MUMBAI, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed on Monday after a soft U.S. jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will not hike interest rates anymore, but the dollar still managed to rally. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate rupee will open at around Friday's level of 82.7150. Following the report, futures indicated almost no chance of a September rate hike and about a 35% chance of a hike in November. The dollar and U.S. yields initially dropped following the report but recovered later. The dollar index reached a high of 104.26 on Friday and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yields reached 4.17%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Nimesh, Eileen Soreng Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, ING Bank, Treasury, Labor, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, U.S

☆ Rupee at risk of falling to record low on surging US yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee on Thursday is expected to open just shy of its record low in the wake of a further rise in U.S yields on bets that interest rates are likely to say higher for longer. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.20-83.22 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.95 in the previous session. The rupee's record low is 83.29, reached in October 2022. A decline below 83.30 for the rupee "would trigger a new round" of dollar buying and "you can expect a sizeable move", he said. Resilient U.S. economic data and worries over supply have been among the reasons cited by analysts for the jump in U.S. yields.

Persons: Nimesh Vora, Nivedita Organizations: U.S, NDF, Reserve Bank of, U.S . Federal, Fed, DBS Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, India, Reserve Bank of India, Asia

☆ Rupee to fall on bets Fed to remain restrictive despite moderating inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Aug 11 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee will likely weaken on Friday on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates high despite signs that price pressures are moderating. U.S. equities rallied, the dollar index dropped and U.S. yields declined after data showed that headline and core inflation rose less than expected. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said that while recent inflation data is moving in the right direction, more progress is needed before she would feel comfortable that the Fed has done enough. The dollar index , which dropped to 101.76 post the inflation data, was back near 102.50. Investors are cautious that while the Fed will pause in September, rates "will remain restrictive for some time", ANZ said in note.

Persons: it's, Mary Daly, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., NDF, San Francisco Fed, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai, U.S, San

U.N. investigators in 2012 concluded there were reasonable grounds to believe shabbiha militias committed crimes against humanity, including murder and torture, and war crimes such as arbitrary arrest and detention, sexual violence and pillaging. PAPER TRAILSome human rights scholars who have studied the role of the shabbiha in the Syrian war say the Assad regime initially used the groups to distance itself from violence on the ground. CIJA is a nonprofit founded by a veteran war crimes investigator and staffed by international criminal lawyers who have worked in Bosnia, Rwanda and Cambodia. While there is no international war crimes court with jurisdiction over Syria's conflict, there are a number of so-called universal jurisdiction cases in countries like the Netherlands, Sweden, France and Germany which have laws allowing them to prosecute war crimes even if they are committed elsewhere. Ghany said the documents were "necessary" pieces of evidence linking the shabbiha to the state in international justice cases.

Persons: shabbiha, Assad, CIJA, Bashar al, Ugur Ungor, Fadel Abdul Ghany, Nerma Jelacic, Ghany, Stephanie Van Den Berg, Maya Gebeily, Frank Jack Daniel Our Organizations: UN, Reuters, Commission, International Justice, Committees, Assad's Baath, Popular Committees, Crisis Management, Dutch NIOD Institute for, Studies, Syrian Network for Human Rights, National Defence Force, Thomson Locations: HAGUE, BEIRUT, U.S, CIJA, Bosnia, Rwanda, Cambodia, Syria, Germany, France, Sweden, Netherlands, Karm, Homs, al, Adawiya

☆ Indian rupee to nudge higher at open, avoiding losses in Asian peers
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, June 21 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open slightly higher to the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, shrugging off a decline in other Asian currencies. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate the rupee will open at 82.06-82.08, up slightly from 82.1175 in the previous session. The USD/INR NDF has not reacted to another round of losses for the Chinese yuan and the move higher on USD/Asia overall, a forex trader at a private bank said. The offshore Chinese yuan dropped below 7.20 to the dollar, the lowest since November 2022. The offshore Chinese yuan has lost 1% this month to add to the 3% decline in May.

Persons: shrugging, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, NDF, Korean, U.S . Federal, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Asia, U.S

☆ Rupee likely higher; awaits pivotal US inflation data, eyes yuan
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, June 13 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open slightly higher on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. inflation data, which analysts reckon may prove instrumental in the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 82.40 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.43 in the previous session. India's inflation was positive for the rupee "on the margins" and "now let's see how U.S. data plays out", the trader added. The U.S. inflation data is due later in the day, with economists polled by Reuters projecting a 0.4% on-month increase in the core inflation rate. The dollar index was barely changed at near 103.50 while the 2-year U.S. yield dropped to 4.55%.

Persons: Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: U.S, People's Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, People's Bank of China, U.S

☆ Analysis: Pressure builds on Egypt to devalue currency further
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Patrick Werr | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Egypt has sharply devalued the currency three times since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 exposed vulnerabilities in the country's finances. But with each devaluation the central bank aimed to keep the currency steady afterwards, only for the black market and non-deliverable forwards to quickly push beyond the new rate. "No time like the present to align foreign exchange rates with fundamentals," Urmossy said, adding that the March 30 policy announcement was "one of the most anticipated events in the African Frontier space." And the black market shows the hard currency shortage that has plagued Egypt for more than a year persists. "Demand for foreign exchange continues to outstrip supply, providing the conditions for the parallel market to grow," said Farouk Soussa of Goldman Sachs.

☆ Indian cenbank onshore, offshore intervention helps rupee outperform-traders
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/3] A security guard stands next to the logo of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) inside its headquarters in Mumbai, India, February 8, 2023. "Without the RBI, there is little doubt that the rupee would be significantly lower," a currency and rates trader at a Singapore-based hedge fund said. This trader and two others that Reuters spoke to did not want to be identified on account of their internal policies. "The RBI's offshore presence, alongside what it is doing onshore, is making speculators stay away from the rupee," a trader at a Mumbai-based private sector bank said. A trader at a second private sector bank said one of the largest public sector banks has been "on both sides" in the onshore market, making the rupee "fairly unresponsive".

☆ Indian rupee's rally powered by changing offshore view - traders
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Jan 11 (Reuters) - An unexpected rally in the Indian rupee to above 82 to the U.S. dollar was powered mostly by offshore market participants and helped the non-deliverable forward (NDF) and onshore rates to almost converge, traders said on Wednesday. The rupee's jump took market participants by surprise, considering that the USD/INR had been holding a narrow range over the past several sessions. The major reason for the USD/INR moving out of this range was dollar sales by offshore investors in NDF, said a trader at a large private sector bank. The NDF and onshore spreads have shrunk with the improvement in the rupee's outlook. "The above two factors is getting reflected in the NDF and onshore spreads."

☆ Egypt's currency weakens more in wake of latest devaluation
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( Patrick Werr | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The pound closed at 27.11 per dollar, according to the central bank, after fluctuating more than usual. Currency flexibility was a key component of the 46-month, $3 billion financial IMF package. After the central bank allowed the pound to depreciate sharply last March and October, it soon resumed trading within a band, moving only about 0.01 pounds per dollar per day. Egypt's pound and bondsHUGE BACKLOGDespite last year's devaluations a shortage of foreign currency has continued to hamper imports in recent months. Deutsche Bank said in a note that Wednesday's devaluation and an interest rate hike by the central bank last month "clearly show an approach to re-attract (structural) foreign inflows into local markets".

☆ Exclusive: India's RBI asks banks to stop building positions in offshore market
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The build-up of positions in this segment of the market is forcing the RBI to spend more reserves to defend the rupee, one of the bankers said. For instance, the USD/INR NDF 1-month rate is currently 7 paisa higher than the corresponding onshore rate and the 3-month forward rate is about 25 paisa higher. To take advantage of this arbitrage, eligible banks could buy spot dollars onshore and pay 1-month premium while selling USD/INR 1-month in the NDF market. Bankers argue that the RBI's curbs on the activity of banks on NDF will not ease pressure on the rupee. Instead, it would lead to offshore rates once again having more influence on the rupee exchange rate.

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