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As inflation lingers at a generational high, some stocks stand out for their ability to help investors hedge against the effect of high interest rates better than others. "What ensued was a massive negative correlation between the perception about interest rates and the valuation of growth companies from late in 2021." While a basket of high-quality growth stocks used to be negatively correlated to inflation, meaning their stock prices suffered as inflation turned higher, Trivariate says the relationship has since changed. "Today, the correlation of the high-quality growth basket to our inflation basket is zero," the firm said. In the same report, Trivariate Research shared its basket of high-quality names in the technology sector that have a near-zero correlation to its inflation basket.
Persons: Adam Parker, Morgan Stanley, Trivariate, Morgan Stanley —, Meta Marshall, Raymond James, there's, Simon Leopold, Michael Bloom Organizations: Research, Trivariate, Keysight Technologies, Technologies, JPMorgan, VMware, Broadcom Locations: United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Zentner: Still have strong conviction that the Fed will cut three times this yearEllen Zentner, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss signs Zentner is seeing that reinforce their economic view, the struggle with survey work that takes a long time to work its way through the economy, and more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Zentner, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Jim Grant and Morgan Stanley's Seth CarpenterSeth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley chief economist, and Jim Grant, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer founder and editor, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting, interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Jim Grant, Morgan Stanley's Seth Carpenter Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Grant: There's as much a chance of a rate hike as there is of two rate cutsSeth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley chief economist, and Jim Grant, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer founder and editor, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting, interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Jim Grant, There's, Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will likely end up with a three cut median this week, says Morgan Stanley's Ellen ZentnerEllen Zentner, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss this week's Fed policy meeting, what to expect from Fed Chair Powell, state of the economy, interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley, Powell Organizations: Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect temporary inflation acceleration, says Morgan Stanley's Ellen ZentnerEllen Zentner, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. economist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the Fed's rate timeline, the likelihood of a soft landing and more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley
Just days after delivering a stellar quarter, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella was on a whirlwind speaking tour throughout India. The Indian market also represents a largely untapped market that will diversify revenue streams. Over the summer, India became Amazon's first market in Asia to launch its dedicated virtual cargo airline , dubbed Amazon Air. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Satya Nadella, Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Bernstein, Nadella, Zev Fima, Fima, Tim Cook, Amazon, Sundar Pichai, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, country's Ministry, Skill Development, Entrepreneurship, Club, Foxconn Technology, Media, Amazon, Walmart, Web Services, Google, CNBC Locations: India, Mumbai, Bengaluru, New Delhi, China, Asia, United States, Chennai, Puna, Hyderabad, Tamil Nadu, India's, Gujarat
As China's property market and deflation woes continue to rattle investors, India's growth outlook appears all the more impressive. Last year's annual report attributed strong revenue growth partially to expansion in the Middle East, India, and Asia, Krishna wrote. "More than revenue, India is an important area for sourcing talent" as well, Krishna wrote. Growth potential For investors looking to gain exposure to the domestic stock market, Indian equities themselves aren't especially cheap though. "You're paying for the growth potential in India, certainly.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Bernstein, , Narendra Modi, Bill Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, Quincy Krosby, Venu Krishna, Aecom, Krishna, Tim Long, Long, Simon Coles, Krosby, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment, Logan Capital Management, Modi, Infrastructure Pipeline, Aecom, Barclays, Cisco Systems, Juniper Networks, India —, Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Qualcomm, Logan Capital Locations: India, China, Asia, Philadelphia, South Carolina . U.S, Dallas, East, Asia Pacific, Japan, Coles , U.S, U.S, IShares
Traders have moved out the probability of a March easing from around 90% in recent weeks to a coin-flip in the days leading up to this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting to about a 1-in-3 chance Thursday. That's not to say the market still doesn't think the committee will cut rates sharply this year, but any dialing back now probably won't come quite as soon as expected. For the most part, Wall Street commentary showed an expectation that the Fed will cut at least four times this year, likely beginning in either May or June. "As inflation falls, real rates become more restrictive, and we think gaining consensus to cut will be easier." Most of Wall Street expects the FOMC to skip November, as the meeting falls the same week as the U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Jerome Powell, That's, Matthew Luzzetti, FOMC, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Powell, David Mericle, Michael Gapen, Marc Giannoni, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Traders, Deutsche Bank, Dow Jones, Fed, Wall, U.S, Bank of America, Barclays
Nov 30 (Reuters) - Activist investor Nelson Peltz is pushing ahead with plans to seek at least three board seats at Disney (DIS.N) as the firm is not satisfied with Disney CEO Bob Iger's changes, several people familiar with the matter said. During a conversation on Thursday morning with Iger, Disney extended an offer for Trian to meet with the company's board but rejected the activist shareholder's request for seats on a board that will soon have 12 members, Trian said in a statement. He wanted the company to come up with a better succession plan, overhaul the streaming business and cut costs. Early this year, Peltz aborted a board challenge to give Iger time to "right the ship." "If they’ve made significant progress," Gadson said of Disney, proxy advisers "are more likely to allow for time to complete the transformation."
Persons: Nelson Peltz, Bob Iger's, Trian, Iger, Peltz, Disney, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Jeremy Darroch, Francis deSouza, Patrick Gadson, Vinson, they’ve, Gadson, Samrhitha, Dawn Chmielewski, Bayliss, Mark Porter, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: Disney, Trian, ESPN, Sky, Companies, Exxon, Svea Herbst, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru, Dawn, New York, Providence
The two appointments would temporarily expand Disney’s board of directors from 11 to 13 members. Photo: fred prouser/ReutersWalt Disney ’s board appointed Morgan Stanley Chief Executive James Gorman and former Sky CEO Jeremy Darroch as new directors as it faces the prospect of two separate shareholder challenges. Disney said the appointments reflect its commitment to a strong board focused on long-term performance, strategic growth initiatives, succession planning and increasing shareholder value. Chief Executive Bob Iger in recent weeks has told investors and employees that the company has begun building its future after a period of fixing problems.
Persons: fred prouser, Reuters Walt, Morgan, James Gorman, Jeremy Darroch, Disney, Bob Iger Organizations: Reuters, Reuters Walt Disney ’, Morgan Stanley, Sky
Morgan Stanley chief investment officer Michael Wilson is all too aware of these many problems the market is facing. But broadly, Wilson and his peers are hopeful that the economy will continue to grow next year, spurring earnings growth along with it, pushing stocks higher. Wilson believes that margin expansion will underpin earnings growth next year. "Once that happens, however, and demand begins to recover, positive operating leverage resumes and drives margin expansion and earnings growth." He narrowed his search to stocks in the top 20% of earnings stability, stocks in the top 20% of earnings quality, and stocks that were rated overweight by Morgan Stanley analysts.
Persons: bode, Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, that's, Wilson Organizations: Business, Companies
Here's how Morgan Stanley thinks the stock market will move in 2024, the economic warning signs investors should watch for, and which stocks are best positioned to outperform next year. A stronger stock market in 2024You'd think with the myriad problems stocks are facing right now that the market is in for a difficult year ahead. Wilson believes that earnings growth will accelerate as the year progresses. Morgan StanleyBeyond strong earnings growth for individual companies, Wilson expects that increased spending in a variety of industries will provide fiscal support across the market. Guided by the themes above, Wilson polled Morgan Stanley analysts for their top stock picks heading into 2024.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Morgan Stanley Wilson, Wilson, Jerome Powell Organizations: Business, Reserve, Walmart, Target, Fed, White House Locations: headwinds, bailouts
But Morgan Stanley chief investment officer Michael Wilson says the real opportunity lies in how AI will be used by companies, not by individuals. "Further our analysis suggests Generative AI technologies can impact the $2.1 trillion of labor costs attached to those jobs today, expanding to $4.1 trillion in three years in the US alone." But the slow and steady nature of business investments provides the enterprise AI longer staying power. That's why finding the best enterprise AI stocks now will pay dividends for the long-run: companies will stick with what they know, providing investors with strong returns for years to come. To that end, the 16 stocks below are Morgan Stanley's top enterprise AI picks right now.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Organizations: Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Recent stock market strength may be short-lived, according to Morgan Stanley chief investment officer and U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson. Before last week, stocks had tumbled more than 10% from their July high to an October low. "While we will keep an open mind, the move thus far looks more like a bear market rally rather than the start of a sustained upswing, particularly in light of weaker earnings revisions and macro data," Wilson said. Wilson remains cautious on corporate earnings despite a stronger-than-expected earnings season, and said that he still doesn't see market support coming from either technical or fundamental factors. "Over the past 2 months, both earnings revisions breadth and performance breadth have deteriorated significantly," Wilson said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Stocks, November's bullishness, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Google Locations: Treasurys
CNBC Daily Open: Markets’ bounce may be short-lived
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. But Goldman Sachs' chief equity strategist thinks such negative sentiment gives rise to a "buying opportunity," especially for a certain type of stock that boasts a healthy balance sheet . But not for Tesla Tesla shares sank nearly 5% after Panasonic said it was reducing production of electric batteries because of flagging demand for Tesla's vehicles. The spread in opinions may make the picture ahead murky, but, ironically, it does make one thing clear: markets are increasingly volatile.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Tesla, Elon Musk, Europe's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Hogan, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Wald, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson —, Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Consumers, U.S, Panasonic, Dow, Industrial, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Technology, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Riley, Federal Reserve, Lower Treasury Locations: New York City, Lower
The likelihood of a fourth-quarter rally has "fallen considerably" over the past month, according to Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson. Wilson has been forecasting the S & P 500 ending the year at 3,900, making him among the most bearish strategists on Wall Street according to CNBC's Market Strategist Survey. This is one reason why market breadth continues to exhibit notable weakness," Wilson said. Further support for that view can be seen in earnings revision breadth, which is breaking sharply lower again into negative territory," Wilson continued. Conversely, several defensive sectors have begun to outperform alongside energy, which Wilson said supports his "late cycle" view and defensive growth strategy.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Survey, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner believes the Fed's appetite for further hikes has wanedEllen Zentner, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. economist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed's stance on inflation and the economy.
Persons: Morgan, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley
Yet increasingly, euro area specific factors, particularly exposure to higher oil prices, risk further weakness in an already stagnating economy, and the single currency. The euro is especially vulnerable to rising oil prices, with net imports accounting for over 90% of oil products available in the European Union. "High oil prices are weighing on the euro area's terms of trade, and if oil prices move above $100 per barrel to $110 per barrel we think it will be difficult for the euro to avoid parity," said Nomura's G10 FX strategist Jordan Rochester. But it also lifts price pressures through higher import costs, compounding the impact from higher oil prices. "Definitely the euro zone is not in a good place right now," said Moec, adding that he did not rule out a euro move to parity.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jordan, Nomura, Morgan Stanley, Jens Eisenschmidt, Francesco Pesole, Athanasios, Gilles Moec, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alun John, Yoruk, Christina Fincher Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, European Union, OPEC, Barclays, European Central Bank, ECB, ING, Germany, Bank of America, AXA Investment, Thomson Locations: Jordan Rochester, United States, ITALY, Italy, U.S, London, Amsterdam
As volatility continues to punish the stock market, investors are forced to sit and watch their gains vanish. But there is one way for equity investors to stem the bleeding: dividend stocks. "Our economists are of the view that inflation will continue to slow from elevated levels over the next 12 months," Wilson wrote. "That backdrop is supportive of owning dividend-related factors and defensive dividend payers, in particular." Morgan Stanley26 best dividend stocks for big returnsAs this month's market downturn takes its toll on your portfolio, it may be time to turn to dividend stocks to prop up your profits.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, outperformance, Morgan Locations: outperformance
Fears of a recession this spring eventually gave way to confidence that the economy could stick a soft landing. How to invest for the rest of 2023Sentiment has been the driving force behind stock-market gains this year, Wilson wrote. The solution, Wilson wrote, is to gain exposure to both ends of the spectrum. To that end, Wilson compiled 37 stocks that Morgan Stanley analysts are overweight on. All the stocks are among the top 1,000 by market cap, are classified as growth stocks, and have low volatility, as measured by trailing 252-day volatility that is below the market median.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, homebuilding
Second-quarter earnings season is concluding, giving analysts new data to direct their investments. The second-quarter earnings season is quickly coming to an end, and it's time to tally the wins and losses. Here's what Wall Street is saying about second-quarter earnings, who the biggest winners and losers were, and what today's results mean for tomorrow's market. "Much of the stability in consumer stocks YTD is related to falling inflation and higher asset prices, in our view," Wilson wrote. Lori Calvasina, head of US equity strategy at RBC, also had some thoughts about the earnings season.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, didn't, you'd, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Price, BofA's, Subramanian, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Subramanian didn't Organizations: RBC, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Comm . Services, Energy, Real Estate Locations: Comm, Tech
The U.S. government is deploying trillions of dollars of stimulus money into infrastructure investments, boosting the prospects for a number of industrials in the Club portfolio. Club names Honeywell (HON) and Emerson Electric (EMR) might also grab some of the IRA's funding for green energy. Gains were linked to a boost in demand for construction equipment because of the "once in a generation" Infrastructure bill. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. The White House's infrastructure plan estimates to set aside approximately $35 billion for Texas projects.
Persons: Joe Biden, Emerson, Morgan Stanley, Economist Ellen Zentner, Zentner, Larry Fink, Jim Umpleby, Jim Cramer, Josh Pokrzywinski, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brandon Bell Organizations: Club, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Act, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Emerson Electric, Morgan Stanley Chief, Economist, CNBC, CAT, Inflation, Bank of America, National, Software, Control, Getty Locations: U.S, North America, Houston , Texas, Texas
Earnings season is underway, and so far results have beaten expectationsBut Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson worries there's weakness lying below the surface. He found 15 high-quality stocks with strong profits to invest in now. Investors are neck-deep in earnings as second quarter reports roll in, and so far the news has been good, but not great. In a note to clients from earlier in the week, Morgan Stanley chief US equity strategist Mike Wilson wrote that he anticipates earnings results will be better than Wall Street predicted. Then, they pared the stocks they found down to those with a bullish overweight rating from Morgan Stanley analysts.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Julian Emanuel, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Jerome Powell, Rather Organizations: Wall
Earnings season will reveal which companies will suffer a top line decline, Morgan Stanley says. At first glance, lower inflation seems like a boon for market watchers worried about a recession. While investors curse higher inflation, companies have come to see it as a blessing. He anticipates that disinflation will dig away at sales this earnings season, and is prepared for disappointment. The results are the 11 stocks below that Wilson believes will have strong FCF yields and healthy operating margins through the earnings season.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs, They've, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Wilson isn't Organizations: FX, Federal Reserve
Total: 25