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There are currently some "micro pockets" of deflation in the U.S. economy, said Joe Seydl, a senior markets economist at J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Why prices are deflating for goodsConsumers have largely seen prices deflate for physical goods, such as cars, furniture and appliances, economists said. For example, households have seen prices for furniture and bedding fall by 3.7% since May 2023, according to the consumer price index. watch nowThe U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for goods, economists said. Travelers have also seen deflation for airline fares (-5.9%), hotels (-1.7%) and car rentals (-8.8%) since May 2023.
Persons: Joe Seydl, Seydl, Michael Pugliese, they've, Hayley Berg, Hopper, Olivia Cross Organizations: Getty, Morgan Private Bank, Consumers, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, Finance, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, U.S, Canadian, Capital Economics Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect first Fed cut in December, JPMorgan Private Bank strategist saysMadison Faller, global market strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, discusses U.S. data, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and the trajectory of interest rates.
Persons: Madison Faller Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank, Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA Fed rate cut 'increasingly looks like a 2025 event' to me, says Stifel's Lindsey PiegzaLindsey Piegza, Stifel chief economist, and Stephen Parker, JPMorgan Private Bank head of specialized strategies, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, state of the economy, interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Lindsey Piegza Lindsey Piegza, Stephen Parker Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank
The 10 books the rich will be reading this summer
  + stars: | 2024-05-26 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +11 min
That's why J.P. Morgan Private Bank, every May, releases its summer reading list, often serving as a book club for billionaires. This year marks the 25th anniversary of the list, now called the J.P. Morgan Summer Reading List. The 10 books are carefully curated to match the tastes and preoccupations of J.P. Morgan's wealthy clients. It also helps with client events, since authors on the list often agree to do special dinners or speaking events for J.P. Morgan clients. Authors love being on the list as well since J.P. Morgan buys thousands of books to hand out and since clients often refer the books to others.
Persons: Robert Frank, Today's, Alicia Keys, Swizz Beatz, J.P, Morgan, Darin Oduyoye, Oduyoye, Gary White, Matt Damon, Charles Duhigg, Jonathan Haidt, Haidt, Kasseem Dean, , Gordon Parks, Michel Basquiat, Lorna Simpson, Odili Donald Odita, Kennedy Yanko, Kimberli Gant, Salman Khan Salman Khan, Jack Daniel, Fawn Weaver, Daniel's, Daniels, Weaver, Joshua Robinson, Jonathan Clegg, Robinson, Clegg, Melinda Stevens, Issy von Simson, Tabitha Joyce, Fortunato, Adam Pearson, Fortunato Chocolate, Laura Mae Martin, Laura Mae Martin —, Martin, Jake Gyllenhaal, Greta Caruso, Tony, Damon Organizations: Morgan Private Bank, Morgan, Reading, Wealth Management, J.P, Giants, Art, Phaidon, Brooklyn Museum, Education, Khan Academy, Wall, Mercedes, Nacional, Google, Solutions, JPMorgan, Manhattan Company Locations: Water, Lynchburg , Tennessee, America, United States, Croatian
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's macro backdrop still points to an overall 'rangebound' market, says JPMorganJulia Wang, executive director and global market strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, says the "stability from the manufacturing side hasn't really found its way into the rest of the economy."
Persons: Julia Wang Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank
"There's a real war for talent within family offices," said William Sinclair, U.S. head of J.P. Morgan Private Bank's Family Office Practice. According to the report, which surveyed 190 family offices with average assets of $1.4 billion, family offices that manage less than $500 million spend an average of $1.5 million a year for operating costs. Family offices between $500 million and $1 billion spend an average of $2.7 million, and those above $1 billion average $6.1 million. The biggest cost is staffing, which has become more expensive as family offices have tripled in number over the past five years. "If you look back 15 years ago, family offices were where people went to retire and have work-life balance," he said.
Persons: Robert Frank, William Sinclair, Morgan, We've, Trish Botoff, Botoff, Carlyle, Paul Westall, Westall, that's Organizations: Morgan Private Bank Global, Botoff Consulting, KKR, Blackstone, Agreus Locations: U.S
The family offices covered by the survey had 26% of their assets invested in publicly traded stocks. The study surveyed 190 single family offices around the world, with an average of $1.4 billion in assets. In the U.S., only 49% of family offices have a long-term target return for their portfolio. Still, family offices use various benchmarks for their investment portfolios, with more than three-quarters of those surveyed using some benchmark to evaluate performance. Increasingly, family offices are looking to outsource more functions to reduce costs, especially among smaller family offices of under $500 million.
Persons: William Sinclair, Sinclair, cybersecurity, Robert Frank Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank Global, Family, JPMorgan Private Bank, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur base case remains that we'll still see a soft landing in the U.S.: JPMorgan's Elyse AusenbaughElyse Ausenbaugh, JPMorgan Private Bank global investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from today's March PCE inflation, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: we'll, Ausenbaugh Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailImmigration surge is keeping job growth high, says JPMorgan's Thomas KennedyThomas Kennedy, JPMorgan Private Banks chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the U.S. economy, broadening in the markets, the impact of geopolitics and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Thomas Kennedy Thomas Kennedy Organizations: JPMorgan Private Banks
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's a big opportunity to see a broadening in this market rally, says JPMorgan's Tom KennedyTom Kennedy, JPMorgan Private Bank chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, whether a soft landing scenario is still achievable, latest market trends, state of the labor market, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Tom Kennedy Tom Kennedy Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank
The U.S. dollar is expected to remain resilient despite possible Fed rate cuts this year. Asian currencies could be on the "back foot" this year despite signals that the U.S. Federal Reserve could cut interest rates soon, according to Julia Wang, executive director and global market strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank. Emerging market currencies often stand to gain when the Fed cuts interest rates and the U.S. dollar weakens. "The dollar probably could remain somewhat resilient," Wang told CNBC's Squawk Box Asia on Wednesday. However, Supaat, pointed out that Asian currencies did rally last year when there where expectations that the Fed was going to cut rates.
Persons: Julia Wang, Wang, CNBC's, Saktiandi Supaat, it's, Supaat Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, JPMorgan Private Bank, U.S ., Asia Locations: U.S, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAsian currencies could stay on the 'back foot' despite U.S. rate cuts: JPMorganJulia Wang of JPMorgan Private Bank shares its "slightly more contrarian" view on the U.S. dollar.
Persons: JPMorgan Julia Wang Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Private Bank, U.S .
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur base case is for the Fed to deliver its first rate cut in June, says JPMorgan's Elyse AusenbaughElyse Ausenbaugh, JP Morgan Private Bank global investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to expect from this month's CPI data, impact on the Fed's interest rate decision, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's, Ausenbaugh, JP Organizations: Fed, JP Morgan Private Bank
In today’s big story, we’re looking at the chances of there being no rate cuts this year, and how the markets would react. What's on deck:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The big storyCuts are canceledAaron Schwartz/Xinhua via Getty ImagesDon't count your chickens before they hatch and don't price in your rate cuts before they materialize. Last December, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that three cuts were on the table for 2024, which he reiterated earlier this month. AdvertisementBonds could struggle, though, with further delays on rate cuts raising the risk that debt markets suffer another meltdown like they did last fall.
Persons: , Mark Zuckerberg, Aaron Schwartz, , won’t, Jerome Powell, Phil Rosen, There's, BI’s Yuheng Zhan, NYCB’s, Ark's Cathie Wood, Paul Judge, Tessa Flippin, Claude Grunitzky, Gayle Jennings O'Byrne, Black VCs, Masayoshi Son, OpenAI’s, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, UFC, Business, Xinhua, Getty, Federal, Paramount, Fed, Big Tech, JPMorgan Private Bank, Discover, Discover Financial, Nvidia, Opportunity, Equity Alliance, Wocstar Fund, Opportunity Fund, Equity Alliance Wocstar, Google, Walmart, Pandora, Home Locations: Japan, Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Fox, New York, London, Chicago
Yet Jerome Powell and his central bank colleagues have rebuffed those forecasts, and markets have pushed their rate cut predictions further into 2024. And the producer price index for January came in at 0.3% on Friday, higher than the expected 0.1% increase. Jimmy Chang, the chief investment officer for Rockefeller Global Family Office, told Business Insider that it would be difficult for the Fed to cut rates in the current landscape. AdvertisementThe Fed's next moveThe case for keeping rates unchanged has gained momentum over recent weeks, but both markets and the Fed ultimately expect easing interest rates in 2024. Bank of America forecasts that the first cut likely won't happen until June, and policymakers could opt to cut rates "later and faster."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Nonfarm payrolls, Mary Daly, agilely, Joe Seydl, Seydl, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jay Woods, We're, Woods, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan Private Bank, Rockefeller Global Family Office, Fed, Chicago Fed, Council, Foreign Relations, Freedom Capital Markets, Bank of America
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementMeanwhile, on Monday, a Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of China Evergrande, the world's most indebted real estate developer. "I expect that the Chinese market will bounce around, but that the bias is towards more pain since the problems are systemic in my opinion," Laffer Jr. said. "The US on the other hand should do well for the 2024 period — strong economy, strong employment, strong earnings, strong dollar."
Persons: , That's, Arthur Laffer Jr, Laffer, Xi Jinping, Joseph Seydl, you've, Seydl, didn't, Alfredo Montufar, Helu, China Evergrande Organizations: Service, Real, Business, International Monetary Fund, Investments, JPMorgan Private Bank, Conference Board's China Center, CSI, Bloomberg Locations: China, US, Beijing, backtrack, deleverage, Hong Kong
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBuying at all-time highs historically has been a very good strategy, says JPMorgan’s Stephen ParkerStephen Parker, JPMorgan Private Bank head of specialized strategies, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he sees more room for markets to rally from here, the Fed's rate path decision, inflation outlook, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan’s Stephen Parker Stephen Parker Organizations: JPMorgan Private Bank
One client, a law firm partner, refused to consider Oyesanya's suggestion of alternative investments. AdvertisementBanking to wealthy law firm partners is a desirable niche. Law firm partners averaged $1.12 million in compensation in 2022 according to a survey by recruiter Major, Lindsey & Africa, and top partners in Big Law can make more than $10 million a year. Now global head of JPMorgan's law firm and professional services group, Oyesanya is up against a formidable rival: her former employer. AdvertisementShe plans to strengthen JPMorgan's law firm group with the same ethos: serving customers well to earn their loyalty and their referrals.
Persons: Bola Oyesanya, Oyesanya, Wells, , We're, Major, Jamie Dimon, Bola, Philip Waxelbaum, Waxelbaum, She, I've, what's Organizations: Citi, JPMorgan, Service, Banking, Big, Financial Times, Wells, Lagos Law School, Ogun University, City Trust Merchant Bank, Partners Locations: Nigeria, Wells Fargo, Lindsey, Africa, York
A New Zealand dollar coin sits atop a United States one dollar bill in this photo illustration taken on March 11, 2016. Consumer price growth in the 20 nations that share the euro currency dropped to 2.4% in November from 2.9% in October, well below expectations for a fall to 2.7%. The euro dropped as much as 0.5% against the dollar to $1.0910. The Japanese currency has firmed almost 3% against the dollar in November and is on course for its strongest month this year. Sterling was last at $1.2646, down 0.39% on the day, while the Australian dollar fell 0.1% to $0.6610.
Persons: David Gray, Matthew Landon, disinflation, Landon, ECB policymaker Fabio Panetta, Mohamad Al, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Christopher Wong, Toyoaki Nakamura, Sterling, It's, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill, Miral Fahmy, Susan Fenton Organizations: New Zealand, REUTERS, European Central Bank, Morgan Private Bank, ECB, ECB policymaker, Danske Bank, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: States, Europe, U.S, London, Singapore
The dollar tumbled after the data, which showed that the U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 150,000 in October, lower than the 180,000 predicted and September's downwardly revised 297,000 figure. MSCI's index of world stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) was last up 0.45%, having traded roughly 0.26% higher before the data. It was on track to finish the week 4.5% higher, which would be the largest weekly rise since November 2022. It traded 0.29% lower at 105.89 before the data. Reuters Graphics"Investors will interpret today’s jobs weak jobs report as a sign that demand is slowing in the labour market," said Richard Flynn, managing director at Charles Schwab UK, in emailed comments.
Persons: Androniki, nonfarm, September's downwardly, Richard Flynn, Charles Schwab, BoE, Samuel Zief, Brent, Harry Robertson, Jacqueline Wong, Miral Fahmy, Mark Heinrich, Alison Williams Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Companies, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, JPMorgan Private Bank, U.S . Treasury, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Israel
Electronic boards showing stock information are pictured at the stock market, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, November 5, 2020. "Such an escalation could lead to increased oil prices, concerns about oil supply, and the potential for a global economic downturn." In the unlikely event the United States sends troops into the Middle East, Belote expected a $20 jump in oil prices, "if not more". "Israel has better relations with other Arab countries compared to then," JP Morgan private bank strategist Madison Faller said in a note, "and global oil supply is not as concentrated." Reuters Graphics5/ TECH JITTERSWhat's good for oil stocks can be bad for big tech.
Persons: Abdel Hadi Ramahi, Hamza Meddeb, Malcolm H, Brent Belote, Belote, JP, Madison Faller, Nadia Martin Wiggen, Alessia Berardi, Amundi's Berardi, Trevor Greetham, Morgan Stanley, Jeff, London's Greetham, Naomi Rovnick, Nell Mackenzie, Marc Jones, Dhara Ranasinghe, Sharon Singleton Organizations: United Arab Emirates, REUTERS, Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center, Oil, JP Morgan, Svelland, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Reuters, Swiss, Royal, Aegon, Deutsche Bank, Aerospace, Thomson Locations: Dubai, United Arab, Israel, Gaza, Beirut, IRAN, Iran, U.S, United States, Arab, Turkey, Ukraine, Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, Suez, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe'll reach new highs in equity markets by middle of next year, says JPMorgan's Stephen ParkerMary Ann Bartels, Sanctuary Wealth chief investment strategist, and Stephen Parker, JPMorgan Private Bank head of specialized strategies, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the reasons behind a recent drop in Treasury yields, the impact of the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Stephen Parker Mary Ann Bartels, Stephen Parker Organizations: Sanctuary Wealth, JPMorgan Private Bank
Oil prices continued to push higher, with the international benchmark Brent crude price moving past $95 to its highest since November 2022. Reuters GraphicsInvestors and central bankers are contending with a sharp rise in oil prices as demand has picked up but Saudi Arabia and Russia have limited supply. Samuel Zief, head of global FX strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank, said central banks should not be overly concerned by the run-up in oil prices, which he said should fade as economies slow. "What the central banks are really, really focused on, it's not really the supply-side energy shocks anymore, it's really the sticky services part of the inflation basket," he said. "Pick whatever central bank you want, they're talking about either they're done already or they'll do one more hike and they'll go on pause."
Persons: Germany's DAX, Duncan MacInnes, Jerome Powell's, Samuel Zief, it's, Kazuo Ueda, Harry Robertson, Kevin Buckland, Lewis Jackson, Stephen Coates, Bernadette Baum, Chizu Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Brent, FTSE, Nasdaq, Reuters Graphics Investors, . West Texas, JPMorgan Private Bank, of England, Bank of, Japan's Nikkei, Tokyo, Reuters, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Asia, Japan, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Bank of Japan, London, Tokyo
Global stocks notched their second-worst month of the year in August, with the MSCI broad aggregate of world indexes dropping 2.96%, according to LSEG data. This has carried into a tepid start to September trade, but Madison Faller, global investment strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, said in a research note on Friday that 2023 can still finish strong. "While there are still things we don't know, the read from the key players — central banks, Wall Street, Main Street and the C-suite — suggests that the outlook feels brighter today than it did a year ago," Faller said. "With less worry about the near term, more firms are starting to focus on how they can continue growing in the long term. Technology stocks, particularly those with a heavy focus on AI, have driven a huge portion of the market's gains so far this year.
Persons: Madison Faller, Faller, haven't, Jerome Powell, Powell didn't, Goldman Sachs, it's, Peter Oppenheimer, we're, Tesla Organizations: NYSE, NYSE Stock, JPMorgan Private Bank, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Global Equity, CNBC, Nvidia, Facebook Locations: Wall, China, U.S
Global shares were stuck around two-month lows and Wall Street indexes closed nearly flat and narrowly mixed. Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries stepped back after flirting with 16-year highs earlier in the week. Investors expected the Fed may hold interest rates higher for longer as the U.S. economy continued to show strength. Attention now turns to the Fed and other top central banks' annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Investors will scrutinise a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell next Friday for clues about the interest rate outlook.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jackson Hole WASHINGTON, Treasuries, Blake Emerson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Brent, Toby Chopra, Mark Potter, Nick Macfie, Diane Craft, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Jackson, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Global, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JP Morgan Private Bank, Federal, Securities, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Jackson Hole, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Japan
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