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ET, the 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than two basis points to 4.4453%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury rose by more than three basis points to 4.3307%. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday as investors digested Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's latest comments, and awaited further economic data. The remarks come after the Fed cut interest rates by a quarter point last week. Investors will turn their attention to further economic data due to be published on Friday, including retail sales, industrial production, and import prices.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Powell's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Fed
Gold traded little changed on Friday, but was set for its worst week in more than three years, hurt by a stronger U.S. dollar amid expectations of fewer Federal Reserve rate cuts. Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,569.69 per ounce by 0308 GMT after a five-session slide. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday steady economic growth, a strong job market, and persistent inflation justify caution in cutting rates quickly. With a quiet U.S. calendar next week, gold could rebound, potentially retesting $2,600 level, Simpson said. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $30.52 per ounce, platinum edged up 0.1% to $940.68 and palladium added 0.5% to $946.00.
Persons: Gold, Donald Trump's, Fawad, Jerome Powell, Trump, Matt Simpson, Simpson Organizations: U.S ., Trump, Forex.com
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer BOE member on what Trump's reelection could mean for the UKJohn Gieve, former deputy governor at the Bank of England, speaks to CNBC's Silvia Amaro about monetary policy and Trump tariff implications.
Persons: Former BOE, John Gieve, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: Former, Bank of England
Fed Chair Powell: Generative AI is in its early stages
  + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: Generative AI is in its early stagesFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks to business leaders in the Dallas-Fort Worth area on monetary policy. Powell delivered a speech followed by a Q-and-A session.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Locations: Dallas, Fort Worth
Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above at that time.] Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks Thursday to business leaders in the Dallas-Fort Worth area on monetary policy. That followed a half-point cut in September and left the federal funds rate in a range between 4.5% and 4.75%. Economic readings this week, however, showed that inflation has proven sticky, with consumer price inflation at 2.6% and prices at the wholesale level at 2.4%. Markets expect the Fed to cut again in December then likely skip the January meeting as officials assess the effect of the policy-easing moves so far.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Trump Organizations: CNBC, YouTube Locations: Dallas, Fort Worth
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Powell: It will take time for the labor market to stabilizeFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks to business leaders in the Dallas-Fort Worth area on monetary policy. Powell delivered a speech followed by a Q&A session.
Persons: Fed's Powell, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Locations: Dallas, Fort Worth
Powell noted that the unemployment rate has been rising but has flattened out in recent months and remains low by historical standards. Specifically, he said the labor market is holding up well despite disappointing job growth in October largely that he attributed to storm damage in the Southeast and labor strikes. "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," Powell said in remarks for a speech to business leaders in Dallas. Powell added that the calculus of getting the move to neutral rate will be tricky. The Fed also has been allowing proceeds from its bond holdings to roll off its mammoth balance sheet each month.
Persons: Powell, Nonfarm, Jerome Powell Organizations: Traders, Federal, Committee Locations: Dallas
Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during an event at the Peterson Institute of Economics (PIIE) during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 25, 2024. Central banks have managed to engineer a soft landing through a period of "continual and unprecedented shocks," but there is still a risk of global inflation returning and of economic growth slowing down, according to India's central bank chief. Speaking Thursday in Mumbai, India, at CNBC-TV18's Global Leadership Summit, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said monetary policy from global central banks had largely "performed well" in recent years despite conflicts, geopolitical tensions and higher volatility. "A soft landing has been ensured but risks of inflation — as I speak to you here today — risks of inflation coming back and growth slowing down do remain," Das said. Das pointed to several contradictions in global markets to underline his view, including the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, even as the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Peterson Institute of Economics, International Monetary Fund, Bank, CNBC, Leadership, U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Central, Mumbai, India, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed has room to continue to cut as monetary policy is still restrictive, says Annex's Brian JacobsonBrian Jacobson, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss reactions to the latest CPI data, expectations for the Federal Reserve, and more.
Persons: Annex's Brian Jacobson Brian Jacobson Organizations: Fed, Wealth Management, Federal Reserve
The core CPI accelerated 0.3% for the month and was at 3.3% annually, also meeting forecasts. The consumer price index , which measures costs across a spectrum of goods and services, increased 0.2% for the month. That took the 12-month inflation rate to 2.6%, up 0.2 percentage point from September. Inflation perked up in October though pretty much in line with Wall Street expectations, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Energy costs, which had been declining in recent months, were flat in October while the food index increased 0.2%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Trump, Ellen Zentner Organizations: Dow, of Labor Statistics, Stock, Federal Reserve, Energy, BLS, White, CPI, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
The U.S. Federal Reserve could carry out fewer interest rate cuts than previously expected next year should President-elect Donald Trump's proposed global tariffs take hold, former Fed policymaker Loretta Mester said Tuesday. Markets trimmed their forecasts for rate cuts following Trump's election victory last week, with speculation growing around his tariff proposals and their implications for the world economy. It comes as concern is growing among global policymakers about the implications of Trump's fiscal plans, particularly on tariffs. "A trade war is the last thing we need," he continued. "If a trade war is to start, the European Union must not be unprepared as it was in 2018."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Loretta Mester, Mester, they're, Trump, It's, there's, , Olli Rehn, Rehn Organizations: U.S . Federal, UBS European Conference, Cleveland Federal Reserve, Reuters, Trump, Bank of Finland, European Central Bank policymaker, UBS, European Union Locations: London, U.S, Europe, European
“The Federal Reserve is one of many examples of how we’ve deviated from the Constitution in that regard,” Lee added. Challenging the Fed’s independence“The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail. That’s empowered Fed officials to make interest rate decisions that aren’t necessarily popular but could help the nation’s economy in the long run. But on the campaign trail, Trump floated requiring Fed officials to consult with him on interest rate decisions. That could lead to pressure on Fed officials to keep rates lower to satisfy Trump’s wishes, which in turn could reignite inflation.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, it’ll, Elon Musk, Republican Sen, Mike Lee, ” Lee, Jerome Powell, Trump, , Vance, Karoline Leavitt, Ron Paul, Thomas Massie of, Lee, ” Leavitt, it’s, That’s, Powell, , briskly, hasn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, Republican, Fed, Federal, CNN, Treasury Department, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, Consumer Financial, Product Safety, Fed’s, of Governors, Consumer, Safety Locations: New York, Thomas Massie of Kentucky
The 10-year Treasury yield fell by less than one basis point to 4.3062%. The October CPI is expected to rise 0.2% on a monthly basis and to have risen 2.5% on a yearly basis, according to economists polled by FactSet. Core inflation is expected to remain steady at 0.3% and 3.3% on a monthly and yearly basis, respectively. Meanwhile, the October PPI is expected to have risen by 0.3% last month and 2.3% on a yearly basis. Last week, Fed officials lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Thomas Barkin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, FactSet, Federal Reserve, Richmond Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S
Oppenheimer sees more upside ahead for the S & P 500 now that the presidential election is over. The firm lifted its price target on the broad index to 6,200 from 5,900, reflecting 3.5% upside from Friday's close. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500's year-to-date performance According to Stoltzfus, the election helped rid the market of lingering uncertainties and ushered in a "sigh of relief rally." The S & P 500 surged more than 4% last week, marking its biggest weekly advance in over a year. Oppenheimer retained its earnings estimates for the year, noting that the S & P 500 companies reporting so far have signaled "robust" quarters.
Persons: Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Donald Trump's Organizations: CNBC Pro's, Fed Monetary
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump admin will lead to more stabilized relationship with China, says MSA Capital's Ben HarburgBen Harburg, MSA Capital managing partner, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what'll ultimately happen between the U.S. and China under Trump's administration, how monetary policy will play out in China, and much more.
Persons: Ben Harburg Ben Organizations: Capital, U.S Locations: China, Ben Harburg Ben Harburg
Recession risk has jumped to 75% due to the potential for a trade ware under Trump, BCA Research said. Trump's proposed tariffs could lower household income and depress corporate investments. In a Friday note, Berezin increased the probability of an economic recession to 75% from 65%, citing the risk of a new trade war under Trump. On the campaign trail, Trump proposed implementing universal tariffs of 10%-20% on goods imported into the country and a 60% tariff on goods from China. Berezin cited a study from the Budget Lab at Yale that estimates Trump's proposed tariffs could reduce real disposable income for the median US household by $1,900-$7,600.
Persons: Trump's, , Peter Berezin, Donald Trump's, Berezin, Trump Organizations: Trump, BCA Research, Service, Yale Locations: China
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks at the Milken Conference 2024 Global Conference Sessions at The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 7, 2024. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Sunday that President-elect Donald Trump's tariff proposals could worsen long-term inflation if global trade partners were to strike back. One-time tariffs, Kashkari said on CBS' "Face the Nation," "shouldn't have an effect long run on inflation." "The challenge becomes, if there's a tit for tat and it's one country imposing tariffs and then responses and it's escalating. Trump and his backers like billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk have also been outspoken about their desire to give the president input on Fed policy decisions.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Donald Trump's, Kashkari, Trump, We've, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, Minneapolis Federal, Sunday, CBS, U.S, Wall Street Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Minneapolis, China
Many Americans have been holding back from jumping into the housing market in the hopes that mortgage rates will decline. The average 30-year mortgage rate has been above 6% for two years — and is likely to stay above that level for the foreseeable future, experts say. “Sixes are the new normal,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a mortgage listing services group, referring to 6% mortgage rates. It’s really not going to be impacting mortgage rates at all.”Mortgage rates work differently. When demand for those increases, mortgage rates tend to fall.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , Lisa Sturtevant, Brian Rehling, Trump, Mike Fratantoni, ” Fratantoni, Helene, ” Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Sturtevant, “ It’s Organizations: Federal, Bright MLS, Federal Reserve, Wells, Investment Institute, , U.S, Mortgage, Association, , National Association of Realtors, Pantheon, NBC
Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, the billionaire backer of newly minted President-elect Donald Trump, endorsed the idea of allowing presidents to intervene on Federal Reserve policy. Though brief, Musk's comment reflects a broader pressure campaign on Fed independence that could take shape in the next Trump administration. On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he would not resign from his post if Trump asked him to do so. But during his first term in office, Trump was not shy about breaking from tradition and publicly disparaging Powell and his policy decisions. Over the course of the 2024 presidential campaign, Trump also often flirted with the idea of giving himself a say in Fed policy if he were to win the White House again.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Tesla, Sen, Mike Lee, Musk, Lee, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Republican, SpaceX, Fed, White, Federal Reserve Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Utah, U.S, Lago, Florida
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher budget deficit isn't a top concern given strong U.S. economy and dollar's central roleTodd Jablonski from Principal Global Investors says while Trump's economic policies may push up inflation, the Fed can counter balance that with monetary policy.
Persons: Todd Jablonski Organizations: Global Investors
China has announced a local government debt rescue program days after Trump won the US election. Trump has threatened tariffs of 60% on Chinese goods, complicating China's economic gloom. AdvertisementChina announced a debt rescue program to the tune of $1.4 trillion to save heavily indebted local governments and boost its economy. The plan also allows local governments to tap 4 trillion yuan in special local bonds over five years. China's local governments have been struggling to repay their LGFV debt, which the International Monetary Fund estimated to be around 60 trillion as of last year.
Persons: Trump, , Li Kiang, Donald Trump's, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's Organizations: Trump, Service, China, China's, National People's Congress, International Monetary Fund, Reuters Locations: China, Xinhua, Beijing, Washington, Asia, Japan
Powell to Trump: Go ahead, make my day
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
That’s essentially what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is experiencing with President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House. When a reporter asked the Fed chair if he’d resign if Trump asked him to, Powell didn’t miss a beat. Removing a Fed chair isn’t so simpleIf Trump, or any president for that matter, were to try to remove a Fed chair, they would encounter a steep uphill battle. Ultimately, the Supreme Court could have the final say on what merits a “for cause” firing of a Fed chair. Trump has tried testing the limits anywayNevertheless, Trump threatened to fire Powell on several occasions when he was first president.
Persons: That’s, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump’s, Trump, he’d, Powell didn’t, , , curtly, ” Powell, Powell, won’t, Powell doesn’t, Joe Biden, ” Trump Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Trump, Republican, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMester: The Fed may have some time to adjust monetary policy to fiscal policy changesFormer Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester discusses the path forward for the Fed, both on determing how far to cut rates, and respond to potentially reflationary policies by the incoming Trump administration.
Persons: Loretta Mester, Trump Organizations: Cleveland Fed, Fed
The news on Home Depot Telsey Advisory Group, a leader in retail industry analysis, upgraded Home Depot stock to a buy-equivalent outperform on Friday. The news on Best Buy Citi lowered its Best Buy price target to $109 per share from $115 on Friday while maintaining its buy-rating on the stock. BBY YTD mountain Best Buy stock performance year-to-date. Bottom line Despite Citi's concerns, we're sticking with Best Buy. Best Buy should be well-positioned to benefit from falling interest rates if home sales pick up again.
Persons: , Telsey, Jim Cramer, Jim, they're, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's, Ting Shen Organizations: Advisory, Depot, Federal, Home Depot, Home, Citi, Trump, CNBC, Home Depot Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, Washington , DC
Trump took a dim view of the Powell Fed during his first term in office, calling policymakers "boneheads" and once compared Powell to a golfer who couldn't putt. Powell, who was nominated by Trump in November 2017 and took office the following February, largely shrugged off the criticism then, and he again deflected Thursday. However, dealing with the ramifications of a Trump presidency will be almost unavoidable for the Fed leader. LaVorgna has a unique perspective on the situation, having served as chief economist for the National Economic Council under Trump. Trump historically has favored lower rates, though that too could change if the Fed cuts and inflation rises.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Donald Trump, Trump, Powell, I'm, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Lavorgna Organizations: Federal, Getty, firebrand Republican, Powell Fed, Trump, Fed, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council Locations: Washington, Washington , DC, stoke
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