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☆ Trump offers darkness, Harris offers optimism on election eve in America
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —The tumultuous 2024 election is ending with a contrast that encapsulates America’s fateful choice on election eve. The vice president also proposes reforms to improve the lives of working Americans — but hers are less revolutionary than Trump’s. If she loses Pennsylvania, Harris would need a combination of other swing states, including Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, where poll averages also show no clear leader. But the findings, which suggested a shift toward Harris from the previous Iowa Poll in September, also showed the vice president with a strong advantage among women. If such a pattern is repeated nationwide, the vice president could be headed to victory if she can limit her deficit to Trump among White males especially.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, He’ll, Lady Gaga, Oprah Winfrey, Trump, shouldn’t, ”, “, Joe Biden’s, Roe, Wade, Biden, He’s, She’s, —, ” David Plouffe, Mediacom, “ We’ve, we’ve Organizations: CNN, Trump, ”, Michigan, White House, “, Republican, Democratic Party, Trump -, Democratic, Capitol, Justice Department, GOP, Republican Party, CNN’s, Keystone State, Pennsylvania —, Democrats, Des Moines Register, Poll, Iowa, New York Times, Siena College Locations: America, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Philadelphia, Detroit, battlegrounds, Michigan , Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina , Nevada, Arizona, ”, Washington, autocrats, Russia, China, Keystone, Nevada, Siena

☆ CNBC Daily Open: One day more to elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets shrug off weak jobs reportStocks rallied Friday to kick off November, led by Amazon and as traders shrugged off a disappointing jobs report. Harris gains ground in IowaIowa is not a state that many pollsters predicted will break for Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris. That, instead of the sitting president, could hold the key to how stocks perform going forward.

Persons: Blythe Andrews , Jr, Dow Jones, Stocks, shrugged, Warren Buffett, Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Public, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Amazon, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Berkshire, Bank of America, Democratic, Des Moines Register, Iowa Locations: Tampa , Florida, U.S, Berkshire, Omaha, Apple, Iowa Iowa, Iowa

☆ Final polls show Harris and Trump headed for a photo finish
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

They show that neither Harris nor Trump have broken out in the swing states. Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin will likely determine whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump wins. The final set of New York Times/Siena College surveys of each state showed Harris narrowly leading among likely voters in Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, while Harris and Trump are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Biden in 2020 won Georgia by a razor-thin margin, while Trump narrowly won North Carolina that year. Harris is winning female voters by 16 points (57% to 41%), according to the final NBC News poll.

Persons: Harris, Trump, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Barack Obama's, — there's, hasn't, George W, Bush, Arizonans, There's Organizations: Service, New York Times, Siena College, Democratic, Trump, Times, Georgia, North, Republican, Des Moines Register, NBC Locations: Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Siena, Georgia , Nevada , North Carolina, Pennsylvania, In Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, North Carolina —, Charlotte, Raleigh, Wisconsin , Michigan, Midwest, Iowa, Arizona

☆ Why these are the five (or six) states to watch on election night
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The only thing that matters is getting to 270 electoral votes through the Electoral College. Meanwhile, 219 electoral votes seem to be leaning in the former president’s direction. Closing off the ‘blue wall’Looking at those battleground states, Harris has the easier path than Trump to getting to 270 electoral votes. She could win by corralling Michigan (15 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes) and Wisconsin (10 electoral votes). But the bottom line is this election is most likely going to come down to five states … or maybe six.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Al Gore, Harris, there’s, Ann Selzer’s, corralling Michigan, Jacquelyn Martin, Clinton, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Trump’s, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: CNN, Electoral, Congressional District, Trump, Ann Selzer’s Des Moines Register, corralling, Southern Sun, State, North, Georgia, Democratic, North Carolina, Silver State Locations: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Washington, Ann Selzer’s Des, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Madison , Wisconsin, North Carolina, Trump, Southern, Greensboro , North Carolina, Nevada, , Arizona, Arizona . Arizona, Silver

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Eve of Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Voters cast their votes during early voting in the U.S. presidential election at a polling station in Detroit, Michigan, U.S. November 3, 2024. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia markets climb ahead of China's parliament meetingU.S. stocks rallied Friday to kick off November, as traders shrugged off a disappointing jobs report. Asia-Pacific markets rose Monday as investors watch the U.S. election, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and China's monetary policy meeting starting Monday.

Persons: Dow Jones, shrugged, Harris, Ting Lu, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: U.S, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, National People's, Trump, Nomura, Democratic, Des Moines Register, Iowa Locations: Detroit , Michigan, U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, Beijing, Iowa Iowa, Iowa

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are making their closing arguments to voters in battleground states during the final two days before Election Day. Trump was in Pennsylvania earlier today, is rallying in North Carolina this afternoon, and will stop in Georgia this evening. Harris is focusing her day in Michigan, with a series of stops in the Detroit area before a rally in East Lansing. Harris:• The vice president made her first stop in Detroit where she addressed the congregation at Greater Emmanuel Institutional Church of God in Christ. • Later, Harris confirmed to reporters that she has cast her mail-in ballot in the 2024 election, sending it to California, where she is registered.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Here’s what’s, shouldn’t, •, ” • Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, ” Trump, Kennedy, ” Harris, • Harris Organizations: Trump, Des Moines Register, NBC News, Greater Emmanuel Institutional Church of God, Arab, voters, Biden Locations: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Detroit, East Lansing, Lititz , Pennsylvania, Iowa, California, Gaza, Pontiac

☆ Election betting odds tighten as polls show Harris has momentum
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Mikhaila Friel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A new poll showed Kamala Harris had a surprise 3-point lead over Trump in Iowa. A Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll by Selzer & Co. published on Saturday showed Harris with a three-point lead in the state. On Kalshi, the popular US-based prediction platform, Harris' odds of winning the election have soared from 35% on October 29 to 51% at the time of writing. The Iowa poll surveyed 808 likely voters between October 28 and October 31, with a 3.4-point margin of error. The results marked a sharp swing from September when the same poll showed Trump ahead by four points.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Kalshi, —, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Polymarket Organizations: Trump, Iowa, Service, Des Moines Register, Selzer Locations: Iowa

☆ Kamala Harris' new lead in top Iowa poll could bode well for her in some key swing states
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Lloyd Lee | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points in the state. Political experts told Business Insider that the Iowa poll is significant for the Harris campaign given that the demographic makeup of Iowa — rural, older, and largely white voters — is similar to some key swing states. AdvertisementThe Iowa Poll has scrambled the conventional wisdom that former President Donald Trump will easily win the state. And notably, 69% of female respondents in the Selzer poll opposed the law, while only 27% of Iowa women backed the new restrictions. In the Selzer poll taken in September, Reynolds' job approval rating sat at 45%, while 50% of Iowans disapproved of her performance.

Persons: Harris, Trump, bode, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, they're, John Conway, Christian Grose, J, Ann Selzer —, Selzer, FiveThirtyEight, Patricia Crouse, it's, Joe Biden, Chip Somodevilla, Crouse, Al Gore, George W, Bush, Barack Obama's, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds, Reynolds, Iowans Organizations: Des Moines Register, Trump, Service, Republicans Voters Against Trump, University of Southern, Harris, Selzer, University of New, Hawkeye State, Getty, Democratic, Texas Gov, GOP, Republicans, Republican Gov Locations: Iowa, It's, Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin, University of Southern California, Wisconsin , Michigan, Kansas, University of New Haven

☆ Trump and Harris' frantic final 2024 campaign stops show why North Carolina matters
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Trump spent Friday in Michigan and Wisconsin, Saturday in North Carolina, and today will be in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. If Harris won Michigan and Wisconsin, she would still need to add Georgia or North Carolina to her column. "Donald Trump is worried about losing North Carolina," Harris spokesperson Ammar Moussa wrote on X under two siren emojis. AdvertisementDoug Sosnik, a longtime advisor to Bill Clinton and a North Carolina native, doesn't see Harris' path there. North Carolina is "not a level playing field" for Democrats, Sosnik said, pointing to Democrats' struggles there except for Obama.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, —, Harris, Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Obama, Biden, Trump's, Ammar Moussa, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, it's, Sosnik, she's, he's, Karoline Leavitt, Susan Roberts, Hurricane Helene, Roberts Organizations: North, Service, Republican, Des Moines Register, Trump, Congressional, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Democratic, Davidson College, Census Bureau, State Management Locations: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Arizona, New Mexico, Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa, Michigan , Wisconsin , Nevada, Arizona, Charlotte, New York, Black, Florida, Texas, Hurricane, Carolina, Western North Carolina

☆ Shock poll shows Harris leading Trump in Iowa
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Democratic presidential nominee and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a "When We Vote We Win" campaign rally at Craig Ranch Amphitheater on October 31, 2024 in North Las Vegas, Nevada. Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa by 47% to 44% among likely voters, according to a shocking new poll released Saturday night, just three days before Election Day. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll's results came as a complete surprise to political observers, as no serious analyst has predicted that the Democratic nominee will defeat Trump in the state. "It's hard for anybody to say they saw this coming," pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co told the Des Moines Register. Harris' lead in the poll was powered by strong support from female voters, particularly older and politically independent ones.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, J, Ann Selzer, pollsters Organizations: Democratic, U.S, Craig, Des Moines Register, Trump, Selzer Locations: North Las Vegas , Nevada, Iowa

(The poll was conducted last week, before Sunday’s apparent assassination attempt against Trump.) What makes the Selzer survey so important is that it’s been accurate in an era when other pollsters have struggled. This Selzer poll could also be an outlier, and much could change between now and Election Day. But the current poll is a far better result than the previous Selzer survey from June – when Biden was still in the race. The bottom line: You’d much rather have the Selzer poll in your corner than not.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sunday’s, Selzer, Harris, Selzer’s, –, Biden, Trump, Clinton, Read Organizations: Des Moines Register, Selzer, Trump, Hawkeye, Biden Locations: America, Iowa, Wisconsin

☆ Kamala Harris just got one of her best polls of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —One of the best pollsters in America recently came out with its latest survey, and it’s good news for Kamala Harris. That result fell well short of the lead he had in preelection state polling. The fact that the Selzer poll is indicating a similar shift in Harris’ favor in Iowa makes me think the Wisconsin polls may be on to something. This Selzer poll could also be an outlier, and much could change between now and Election Day. The bottom line: You’d much rather have the Selzer poll in your corner than not.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sunday’s, Selzer, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, underestimating Trump, SSRS, Clinton, Harris ’, That’s, Selzer’s, –, Biden Organizations: CNN, Des Moines Register, Selzer, Trump, Hawkeye, Iowa, Wisconsin –, Selzer’s, Badger State, Marquette University Law School, CBS, Badger, Wisconsin, Biden Locations: America, Iowa, Wisconsin, Marquette, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina, Pennsylvania

☆ Where the race stands with 50 days to go: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

In today’s edition, senior political editor Mark Murray breaks down where the polling stands 50 days out from Election Day. Plus, we look at how Donald Trump is dispensing with unity in his response to the apparent second assassination attempt against him. Where the 2024 race stands with 50 days to goBy Mark MurrayJust 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election, Democrats are in a stronger place than they’ve been in this entire year because of their switch in candidates, but the contest remains close. In turning so fast to Biden and Harris, Trump skipped past appeals for sympathy and even a perfunctory call for calm or unity. Some Trump allies believe that the campaign squandered an opportunity for unity following the first assassination attempt.

Persons: Mark Murray, Donald Trump, Mark Murray Just, they’ve, Kamala Harris, Sunday’s, Harris, it’s, We’ve, There’s, Trump, Harris ’, Jonathan Allen, Matt Dixon, Katherine Doyle, Joe Biden, ”, Sunday . Billionaire Elon Musk, ” Biden, Mike Johnson, Ronald Rowe, Johnson, —, Biden, hat’s Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Trump, ABC News, Reuters, Democrats, Des Moines Register, Hawkeye State, Des, ABC, New York Times, Siena College, Sunday . Billionaire, Biden, Fox News Digital Locations: Pennsylvania, Iowa, Hawkeye, Des Moines

☆ A top poll showing Trump narrowly ahead in Iowa is a warning sign for his campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( John L. Dorman | Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Iowa shifted from being a swing state to one where Republicans are firmly in the driver's seat. In Iowa, the gender gap is as pronounced as it is in many swing states. AdvertisementIn the latest Iowa poll, state voters gave Harris an 11-point point edge over Trump (53% to 42%) on the issue of abortion. AdvertisementStill, the poll shows why the intense focus on the seven swing states can sometimes be detrimental. The Iowa poll found that six percent of voters still back Kennedy, a decrease from June but still a number that could cause headaches.

Persons: —, Donald Trump's, Trump, Barack Obama —, Joe Biden, Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Roe, Wade, It's, That's, Win McNamee, J, Ann Selzer, Nate Silver's, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Mary Peltola, Lyndon B, Johnson, he's, Hillary Clinton Organizations: Service, Republicans, GOP, Business, Iowa, Trump, Democratic, Des Moines Register, Biden . Iowa Democrats, Biden, Des, Register, Republican, Iowa Republicans, White Locations: Iowa, Midwest, . Iowa, Illinois, Des, —, Hawkeye, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Alaska, Alaska's, Trump, Michigan , Wisconsin

Views of former President Donald Trump’s “Make America Great Again” movement — or MAGA — reveal a lot about likely Iowa Republican caucusgoers’ candidate preferences ahead of Monday’s GOP caucuses. Overall, the new NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll finds a combined 40% of likely caucusgoers identifying themselves as either “Ultra MAGA” (18%) or “Regular MAGA” (22%) when asked how they view the phrase. Among the likely caucusgoers who say Trump is their first choice, a combined 60% describe themselves as either Ultra MAGA (31%) or Regular MAGA (29%). And DeSantis’ supporters are in the middle: 24% are either Ultra or Regular MAGA; 57% are neutral; and 17% are anti-MAGA. The NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of Iowa was conducted Jan. 7-12 of 705 likely Republican caucusgoers, and it has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.7 percentage points.

Persons: Donald Trump’s “, MAGA, Iowa Republican caucusgoers, MAGA ”, Trump, DeSantis, caucusgoers Organizations: Iowa Republican, Monday’s GOP, NBC, Des Moines Register, Republican Locations: Monday’s, Iowa

☆ Majority of Iowa caucusgoers say Trump conviction wouldn’t affect their support
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

By comparison, 19% of likely Iowa caucusgoers say a Trump conviction would make it more likely that they’d back Trump, while 18% say it would make them less likely to support the former president in the general election. As with the other findings from the Iowa poll, the likely caucusgoers backing former U.N. Among Haley’s supporters, 56% say a possible conviction of Trump doesn’t matter to their Nov. 2024 vote choice, but 41% say it would make them less likely to back Trump. By comparison, 70% of DeSantis supporters say it wouldn’t matter to them if Trump was convicted, versus 26% who say it will make them less likely to support the former president. And among Trump’s supporters, 58% say a conviction wouldn’t matter — and an additional 35% say a conviction would make them more likely to support their favored candidate.

Persons: caucusgoers, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley — Organizations: caucusgoers —, NBC, Des Moines, Trump, GOP, Des Moines Register Locations: Iowa

☆ Analysis: How Iowa became a chaotic curtain-raiser for a fateful political year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Des Moines, Iowa CNN —The storied history of the Iowa caucuses has never seen anything like this. Haley: ‘The fellas are scared’Unlike DeSantis, Haley isn’t wagering her campaign on Iowa. Icicles hang from the roof as people arrive for a Haley campaign event at the Thunder Bay Grille on January 13, 2024, in Davenport, Iowa. Chip Somodevilla/Getty ImagesYet Iowa has has raised existential questions for the DeSantis campaign. And time is short, because the Iowa campaign is ending just as it began — with the former president on top.

Persons: shivers, Donald Trump, they’re, ”, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Iowans, ” Trump, Trump, –, DeSantis, Haley, Chris Christie’s, she’d, Vivek Ramaswamy, Xi Jinping, Nigel Farage, “, ” –, patriotically, we’re, caucusgoers, Ramaswamy, —, Haley slugged, admonitions, Judge Arthur Engoron, Sharon Mancero, ” Mancero, Mancero, Joe Biden, he’s, Clinton, ‘, Haley isn’t, She’s, ” Haley, Will Hurd —, Trump —, That’s, Win McNamee, that’s, George W, Bush, “ We’re, Mark Harris, Haley’s, Lovisa, Swede, ” Tedestedt, Chip Roy, Louis, Stanley, Chip Somodevilla, Joel Rudman, “ I’ve, ” Rudman, It’s, ” DeSantis, Biden, it’s, ” CNN’s Kit Maher, Veronica Stracqualursi Organizations: Des Moines , Iowa CNN, House, Former South Carolina Gov, Trump, Trump –, New, New Jersey Gov, “ Trump, Iowa Republicans, Capitol, Iowa, Des Moines Register, NBC, Republican, GOP, Republicans, Des Moines, Senate, CNN, New York Stock Exchange, Social Security, Jimmy Centers, Iowa Republican, South Carolina, Former Texas GOP, “, White House, Ankeny, Haley, America, South Carolina Republican, Texas, Florida Panhandle, Centers Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, Iowa, week’s, Hampshire, Florida, New York, Washington, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo, Sioux City, New Jersey, British, Indianola, Clinton , Iowa, DeSantis, Des, Fox, Wall, Manhattan, New Hampshire, Cedar Falls, Ankeny, South, Davenport , Iowa, Granite, St, Hubbard , Iowa

☆ Opinion: Trump dominates in Iowa, showing event strong rivals can’t touch him
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Opinion Daniel Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s easy win in Iowa on Monday confirms that there really is no race for the Republican nomination this year. Iowa is a solid red state that gives a good sense of where the Republican Party as a whole stands today. The DeSantis campaign and its outside allies spent $35 million in the state between January 1, 2023, and January 12 of this year. Even with an almost 2:1 spending advantage over Trump, DeSantis couldn’t mount an effective challenge — not even with the backing of Reynolds and Vander Plaats. DeSantis and Haley were not weak opponents — but as Iowa shows, even strong rivals can’t touch Trump.

Persons: Daniel McCarthy, ”, Donald Trump’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Charles Koch, Haley, Bob Vander Plaats, Kim Reynolds, Joe Biden, Chris Christie, Trump, Sen, Ted Cruz, Reynolds, Vander Plaats, Doug Burgum, Mike Lee, Marco Rubio, DeSantis, Haley’s, it’s Organizations: The, Syndicate, CNN, Republican, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Trump, Voters, Iowa Republicans, New, New Jersey Gov, Iowa’s Republicans, Republican Party, North Dakota Gov, Des Moines Register, NBC, Independents, Democrats, Iowa Locations: Iowa, New Jersey, Trump, Sens, New Hampshire, South Carolina

☆ Vivek Ramaswamy ends presidential campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Aaron Pellish | Kaitlan Collins | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —Biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy ended his campaign for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination Monday night after a disappointing finish in the Iowa caucuses. From Vivek Ramaswamy 2024 Presidential Campaign Ramaswamy appears in a sixth-grade musical performance at his school in Sharonville, Ohio, in 1997. From Vivek Ramaswamy 2024 Presidential Campaign Ramaswamy speaks at the Forbes Under 30 Summit in Philadelphia in 2015. Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post/Getty Images Ramaswamy and Nikki Haley participate in the first Republican presidential debate in August 2023. Win McNamee/Getty Images Ramaswamy talks to members of the media after the first Republican presidential debate.

Persons: Vivek Ramaswamy, we’ve, ”, Ramaswamy, Donald Trump, ” Ramaswamy, “, Anna Moneymaker, Tony Jones, Network Ramaswamy, Instagram Ramaswamy, Gilbert Carrasquillo, Karthik, Apoorva, Angelo Merendino, Anthony Anex, Shutterstock Ramaswamy, Mark Peterson, Alex Brandon, Maddie McGarvey, Jon Cherry, Walter Waligura, John Tully, Arjun, Apoorva Ramaswamy, Michael M, Ramaswamy's, Vek, Demetrius Freeman, Nikki Haley, Win McNamee, Scott Olson, Ramaswamy claps, Maansi Srivastava, Trump, Tucker Carlson’s, Ronna McDaniel, “ We’ve, Kim Reynolds, stagnating, caucusgoers, CNN’s Gregory Krieg, Kaitlan Collins Organizations: CNN — Biotech, Trump, “, Street Journal, Republican, Conservative Political, Conference, Cincinnati Enquirer, USA, Network, Jesuit, Xavier High School, Harvard University, Forbes, Swiss Economic, Ohio Republican, Washington Post, Rifle, Bloomberg, Getty, New York Times, Liberty National Summit, Ohio State University, Iowa State Fairgrounds, BMI, White, Inc, Fox News, Yale University, Roivant Sciences, Management, Republican Party, GOP, RNC, Fair, Gov, Des Moines Register, NBC, CNN New, South Carolina Gov Locations: Iowa, Des Moines , Iowa, New Hampshire, “ America, of, New York, Sharonville , Ohio, Philadelphia, Columbus , Ohio, Interlaken, Switzerland, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Windham , New Hampshire, Independence , Iowa, Clive , Iowa, “, Cincinnati , Ohio, Ohio, CNN New Hampshire, Indian, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, China, Taiwan, Iraq, Afghanistan

☆ What to watch for in the Iowa caucuses
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

CNN —Iowa Republicans who are willing to brave record-low temperatures are set to kick off the party’s 2024 presidential nominating process with Monday night’s caucuses. Now, Iowa voters will render the first verdict of the 2024 election, weighing in on which Republican should take on President Joe Biden in November. Here are five things to watch in the Iowa caucuses:Will Trump top 50%? The Iowa caucuses have a history of paring down both parties’ fields of presidential contenders. Iowa will once again test whether any other Republican can break Trump’s hold on those voters, who have historically been a crucial bloc in the caucuses.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Joe Biden, Will, Trump, Haley, DeSantis, who’s, who’d, It’s, ” DeSantis, ‘ Darling, ” Trump, he’s, —, ” Haley, “ Donald Trump’s, Nikki Haley’s, ”, she’s “, CNN’s Dana Bash, “, Michele Bachmann, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee —, Kentucky Sen, Rand Paul, Kim Reynolds, Vivek Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Bob Vander Plaats, Koch, Huckabee, Santorum, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, what’s, “ He’s, they’re, ” “ That’s, I’m Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republicans, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Republican, Will Trump, GOP, Des Moines Register, NBC, Trump, United Nations, Minnesota, Iowa, Arkansas Gov, Kentucky, South Carolina —, Prosperity, Texas, Democratic, New Hampshire —, Praetorian Guard, Fox News Locations: Florida, Iowa, Dubuque, “, Indianola, New Hampshire, South Carolina, DeSantis, Des, “ Iowa, Haley , Iowa, Pennsylvania, Waukee, , Iowa

Traditionally, Iowa caucuses are squeakers, so close that Democrats failed to produce definitive results in the chaotic 2020 contest. Ms. Haley had 20 percent and Mr. DeSantis 16 percent — a separation at the edge of the survey’s margin of error. Ms. Haley, in the Times/Siena poll, had the support of just 3 percent of those voters. (Mr. Burgum endorsed Mr. Trump at the Indianola rally.) But depending on their performance Monday, it remains to be seen whether they will drop out and pick a side: Mr. Trump, or anyone else.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Mr, Trump’s, Biden, Haiyun Jiang, Will, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Haley, Maansi Srivastava, Chris Christie, Haley’s, Charles, David Koch, Ted Cruz, “, Vivek Ramaswamy, There’s, Asa Hutchinson of, Ryan Binkley, Asa Hutchinson, Hilary Swift, Mike Pence, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Burgum, Ramaswamy, Hutchinson, Iowans Organizations: Gov, New, Republican, The New York, Iowa, PAC, Des Moines Register, NBC, New York Times, Mr, CBS, Iowa Republicans, Siena, Times, ., The New York Times, Republicans, Prosperity, Xavier University Locations: Florida, Grimes , Iowa, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, York, Iowans ., New Jersey, Washington, Siena, Ted Cruz of Texas, Indianola , Iowa, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas, Texas, Des Moines, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North Dakota, Indianola

☆ Election 2024 Frozen Iowa Is Set to Vote as G.O.P. Presidential Contest Gets Underway
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Adam Nagourney | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

Traditionally, Iowa caucuses are squeakers, so close that Democrats failed to produce definitive results in the chaotic 2020 contest. Ms. Haley had 20 percent and Mr. DeSantis 16 percent — a separation at the edge of the survey’s margin of error. Traditionally, the Iowa caucuses have winnowed out the also-rans. (Mr. Burgum endorsed Mr. Trump at the Indianola rally.) But depending on their performance Monday, it remains to be seen whether they will drop out and pick a side: Mr. Trump, or anyone else.

☆ Haley brushes off Trump calling her ‘not tough enough,’ says he ‘knows he’s in trouble’
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Jack Forrest | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

“He’s saying this because now he knows he’s in trouble. At a Sunday rally in Iowa, Trump told his supporters, “Nikki did a good job, she was okay, but she’s not right to be president. I know her very well, the wrong thought process, the wrong policy.”“And honestly she’s not tough enough. She’s not tough enough. Notably, Haley endorsed Rubio ahead of the South Carolina primary in 2016, which Trump won handily.

Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “, ”, that’s, ” Haley, CNN’s Dana Bash, Bash, Haley, Trump, Ron DeSantis, “ Nikki, she’s, ” Trump, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Trump’s, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Rubio, Larry Hogan, it’s, Treene, Kate Sullivan, Kylie Atwood Organizations: CNN, Former South Carolina Gov, Sunday, GOP, United Nations, UN, Trump –, Florida Gov, South, Des Moines Register, NBC, South Carolina, Trump, Maryland Gov Locations: Iowa, Florida, South Carolina, New Hampshire

☆ DeSantis vows to stay in presidential race ahead of Iowa caucuses
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Kit Maher | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Ron DeSantis on Sunday vowed to stay in the presidential race for the “long haul” despite a poor showing in the final Iowa poll before Monday’s caucuses. Overall, 48% of likely caucusgoers say Trump would be their first choice, 20% name former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, and 16% DeSantis, with the rest of the field below 10%. “Obviously, we want people to be safe, but we will be there to help people if they need. The day after the Iowa caucuses, DeSantis is scheduled to attend an event in South Carolina before heading to New Hampshire for another event and to participate in a CNN town hall.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, “ We’ve, ” DeSantis, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “, ”, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Florida Gov, Union, Des Moines Register, NBC, Republican, South Carolina Gov Locations: Iowa, “ State, Florida, , Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire

☆ Why is Trump almost certain to romp in Iowa? Compared to 2016, first-time caucusgoers and evangelicals are giving him huge leads over his GOP rivals.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The final pre-caucus NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Trump ahead of Haley 48%-20%. AdvertisementTrump is in the best position he's ever been in for a contested GOP caucus in Iowa. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz won the Iowa GOP caucuses in 2016. And polling showed that evangelicals comprised roughly 64% of the GOP caucus electorate that year. The former president won first-time GOP caucusgoers in 2016, earning 30% of their vote compared to Cruz's 23% support.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Haley, —, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Charlie Neibergall, Jeb Bush, Cruz, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Bush, Rubio, DeSantis, haven't Organizations: NBC, Des Moines Register, Service, GOP, Florida Gov, Trump, Iowa GOP, AP, Texas, Iowa Locations: Iowa, Florida, Texas

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