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Read previewWhen you cover one topic for many years — such as money, in my case — you start to notice patterns. You start to hear the same advice (invest early), strategies (use index funds), and even book recommendations. His portfolio consists of two index mutual funds (VTSAX and VBTLX) and a money market or bank account to keep cash. AdvertisementFor younger investors in what he calls the "wealth accumulation" phase, the strategy is even simpler: Buy stocks via Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index Fund. Collins is a fan of the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund.
Persons: , JL Collins, Collins, Jack Bogle's, He's, he's, Kathleen Elkins, I'm, you'll Organizations: Service, Business, Vanguard, Vanguard's, Market Index Fund, Market Index
Nvidia is the key to how stocks will perform in the next few months as investors head into a seasonally weak period for markets, with the macroeconomic picture once again a center of attention. Stocks capped a winning month in May after a strong earnings season and signs of easing inflation buoyed investor optimism. .VIX YTD mountain CBOE Volatility Index In fact, the CBOE Volatility Index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, is currently at 14. The broad market index was last around 5,220. Traders will have to rely on macroeconomic data for the next several weeks, including the May jobs report that's on deck next Friday.
Persons: Stocks, what's, Olivier Sarfati, Sarfati, Jensen Huang's, Josh Brown, Jonathan Krinsky, Jeff deGraff, CNBC's, deGraff, Rob Ginsberg, JC O'Hara, Roth, Dow Jones, Thomas Urano, Jobs, Cook Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Ritholtz Wealth, Semiconductors, VanEck Semiconductor, Macro, Wolfe Research, Advisory, PMI, Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, Services PMI, Labor, Girls Global, University of, District of Columbia, Consumer Credit Locations: Smucker, Washington
Institutional options traders frequently refer to "buying" or "selling" volatility, but what does this mean? These allow investors to trade future realized volatility against current implied volatility. A buyer of a variance swap pays the "implied volatility" - consider this to be the market's current expectation for future volatility over some predetermined period, in return for receiving the "realized volatility". A variance swap buyer will profit if realized volatility exceeds implied volatility, and a seller will profit if implied volatility exceeds realized. The first is that a VIX future is not as reactive to changes in the VIX Index as one might expect.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, I'm, I've Organizations: Snowflake Inc, Cloud Locations: Snowflake, The Bozeman , Montana, San Francisco
Here are 5 stocks that are buys right here, right now
  + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Let's say you just joined the Club, and you are trying to figure out which stocks we think are buyable right now, right here. The question is: Which stocks would I buy right now? In fact, we added some more shares to the Club portfolio Wednesday. WYNN YTD mountain Wynn Resorts YTD I would most certainly buy the stock of Wynn Resorts . (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long GEHC, HON, WYNN, SWK, F. See here for a full list of the stocks.)
Persons: WYNN, Boston —, Wynn, Decker, That's, Neil Kashkari, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jim Cramer Rob Kim Organizations: Club, GE Healthcare, Honeywell, DuPont, Raytheon, United Technologies, Electric, Wynn, Wynn Resorts, Vegas, Stanley, Ford, CNBC Locations: Boston, Macao, Asia, SWK
Hedge funds are still leaning into the "Magnificent Seven" trade even with the broader stock market indexes recently hitting record highs. A May 24 note from the Goldman Sachs prime brokerage said that the Big Tech exposure at hedge funds reached a new high last week. The rising exposure is caused by both trading activity and higher share prices for the Big Tech stocks, particularly Nvidia . Net flows into the Magnificent Seven stocks have been positive in May, according to the Goldman prime brokerage data, though last week was more neutral. The five biggest stocks in the S & P 500 — all of which are members of the Magnificient 7 — account for roughly 27% of the S & P 500, according to Strategas Research Partners.
Persons: Goldman, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Goldman, Bloomberg News, Strategas Research Partners
Berkshire Hathaway looks like an attractive investment, according to Argus. "On valuation, the stock is trading at 21-times our 2024 operating EPS forecast, below the current S & P 500 multiple of 24-times," Heal wrote. This discounted valuation comes even as Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares are up 12% for the year, outpacing the broad market index. Heal pointed out that Berkshire has consistently shown strong performance, with its stock returns doubling those of the S & P 500 since 1965. To be sure, Heal pointed to several risks Berkshire faces, including the cyclicality of many of its fully-owned businesses.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett, Kevin Heal, Heal, Chubb Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire Locations: Argus, Berkshire
The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.
Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia
The S & P 500 's strong first 100 trading days of 2024 is a good omen for the rest of the year, according to Bank of America technical research strategist Stephen Suttmeier. As of May 23, the 100th trading day of 2024, the S & P 500 rallied more than 10% for the year. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 year to date Historically, when the S & P 500 rises 10% or more in the first 100 days of any year, the index is higher the rest of the year 76% of the time, the strategist said. In this case, the average return comes in at 7.1%, with a higher median return of 9.3%. If 2024 followed that pattern, the S & P 500 would stand at 5650 shortly before Labor Day, based on the May 23 close, Bank of America said.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Labor
How to begin investingA simple way to get started is by purchasing low-cost index funds, Sethi says. Index funds track market indexes like the S&P 500, which follows the stock performance of around 500 large U.S. publicly traded companies, such as Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia. To get started, you'll need to open a brokerage account, traditional IRA, Roth IRA or other investment account. But don't let your funds simply sit in your brokerage account. You'll need to go one step further and decide which funds you'd like to invest in.
Persons: Ramit Sethi, Rich, You've, Sethi, Roth, you've Organizations: CNBC, U.S, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Roth IRA
Whether today's activist investors contribute any genuine economic value is open for debate. As this year's proxy season draws to a close, defeat after defeat for activist investors in proxy fights this year – most prominently at Disney and Norfolk Southern – raises the question: Are activist investors increasingly getting de-activated, losing their credibility and power? These self-styled "activist investors" are distinct from the original activists who helped catalyze needed governance reforms two decades back. Many of today's activist investors are a far cry from the original, heroic crusaders for shareholder value who pioneered the activism space decades ago. However, given the failing financial performance of many of today's activist investors, their losing streak in proxy fights and increasing public rejection of their bullying tactics, the credibility and value of activist investors writ large is increasingly imperiled.
Persons: Nelson Peltz's, Ed Garden, Ralph Whitworth, John Biggs of TIAA, John Bogle of, Ira Millstein, Weil, Nell Minow, Bob Monks, Harvard's Stephen Davis, Carl Icahn's, Aubrey McClendon, , Bill Cohan, Jamie Dimon, Glass Lewis, resoundingly, Mason Morfit's ValueAct, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Lester, Steven Tian Organizations: CNBC, Salesforce, Dow Jones, Disney, Norfolk Southern, Relational Investors, John Bogle of Vanguard, Services, Chesapeake, Norfolk, JetBlue, Elanco, of Institutional Investors, United Shareholders Association, Responsibility Research, ISS, Lester Crown, Management, Yale University, Yale's, Institute Locations: Norfolk Southern, greenmailers, America
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 11, 2023. Stock futures were little changed on Thursday evening, following the worst session in more than a year for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. S&P 500 futures ticked up by 0.04%, while Nasdaq 100 futures pulled back 0.02%. The Dow suffered a 1.53% decline for its worst session since March 2023, weighed down by a 7.6% drop in Boeing. To that end, the S&P 500 is tracking for a weekly loss of 0.7%, while the Dow is on pace to drop about 2.4%.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Cox, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Intuit, Ross Stores, Nvidia, Boeing, Harris Financial, Federal Reserve, University of Locations: New York City, U.S
The 30-stock Dow slid 605.78 points, or 1.53%, and closed at 39,065.26 for its worst session of the year. The S&P 500 dropped 0.74%, closing at 5,267.84, and the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 0.39% to end at 16,736.03. Stocks fell Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average registering its worst day of 2024, as a post-earnings rally in Nvidia failed to lift the broader market. With its market cap of more than $2.5 trillion, Nvidia also has considerable sway over the broad S&P 500 . More than 400 names in the S&P 500 were lower, and information technology was the only positive sector for the day.
Persons: Stocks, Dow Jones, it's, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow, Boeing, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Nvidia, . Services, Global, Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: New York City
Stocks are riding high heading into Nvidia's earnings results after the market close Wednesday. U.S. stock market benchmarks have been hovering near all-time highs. But Nvidia will test the sustainability of recent market highs given its huge size in broad market indexes, as well as its influence over investor psychology. Consider that the Jensen Huang-led company is in more than 6,000 long-only institutional funds, and in just 21 short-only funds, according to data from S & P Capital IQ. Beat and raise Many investors expect a strong showing from Nvidia will keep markets on their recent upward ascent.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, , Blackwell, Huang, Zachary Hill, Hill, We've, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, CFRA, Microsoft, Investments, Independent
U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday night as investors looked ahead to the widely-anticipated release of Nvidia 's latest earnings report. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures hovered near the flatline, as did futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 . The moves followed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite 's new record-setting closes on Tuesday afternoon. The stock has rallied nearly 93% so far in 2024 and added 0.6% during Tuesday's trading session. Traders will also watch out for minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting, alongside April's existing home sales.
Persons: Charles Schwab's, Liz Ann Sonders, Raymond James Financial Organizations: Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Urban Outfitters, Dow Jones, Devices, Wednesday, Traders
Investing can be intimidating, but financial planners recommend index funds to make things easier. Index funds are generally low-cost, but make sure you understand what fees are involved. Instead, experts have a suggestion to reduce the overwhelm for new and experienced investors alike: total stock market index funds, which give you exposure to the stock market more broadly. AdvertisementWhen you're picking your total market index fund, keep in mind that many of the funds are tracking the same indexes. Susan Dziubinski, an investment specialist at investment research firm Morningstar, identified total market funds as one of the five best ways to invest money.
Persons: Bryan Hasling, Hasling, there's, Charles Schwab, Susan Dziubinski, Morningstar, Dziubinski, doesn't Organizations: Apple, Financial, Fidelity Investments, Wall Street Locations: U.S
It aligned with the life-changing money advice he received from a boss in his early 20s. The stock market: from tech stocks to low-cost index fundsCooper's investment strategy has evolved over the years. AdvertisementTo lower his risk, "I am in the process of transitioning my portfolio to mostly low-cost index funds, which are very popular among the FI community." "They're all paid off and bring in about $65,000 a year in rent," he said, adding that they played an important role in his early retirement. Advertisement"I think the easier route is to invest in low-cost index funds," he said, noting that the playbook is much simpler.
Persons: , Eric Cooper, I'd, Cooper, Cooper's, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Roth IRA, FI Locations: Louisville, Egypt
Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie
Stock futures were little changed as Wall Street braced for April's consumer price index. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 17 points, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.32%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect the consumer price index to show a 0.4% monthly gain, or a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy. Tuesday's producer price index for April contributed to that narrative, showing a 0.5% gain in wholesale prices, above the 0.3% estimate from Dow Jones.
Persons: Nextracker, Dow Jones, Tom Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Federal, Dow, Fundstrat Global, Cisco Systems Locations: New York City
Skynesher | E+ | Getty ImagesFewer homeowners have been taking on remodeling projects, reports show. The Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity, an outlook measuring home improvement and repair spending on owner-occupied homes, peaked at 17.3% in the third quarter of 2022. The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index by the National Association of Home Builders reflects a similar decline. In a release for the group's first quarter report, NAHB Remodelers Chair Mike Pressgrove noted that "demand for remodeling remains solid, especially among customers who don't need to finance theirprojects at current interest rates." The increase in home improvement spending, along the decrease in projects, suggests inflation corroded household budgets, according to the home services website.
Persons: Robert Dietz, NAHB, Mike Pressgrove, remodelers, That's, It's, Redfin Organizations: Getty, Westlake Royal, National Association of Home Builders, RMI, NAHB, Homeowners, State, Angi Locations: U.S
Gen Z is getting hit hard by inflation
  + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
For Gen Z, it was the Covid-19 pandemic. Why are we seeing that Gen Z is tapping into their credit more than their Millennial counterparts 10 years ago? Most Gen Z consumers are not homeowners. And so I think that’s been a big cause of what’s been driving a lot of that financial strain that Gen Z consumers have seen. The key is to not use the personal loans to pay off credit card debt and then run your credit card bills right back up after you do that.
Persons: TransUnion, Zers, Millennials, Gen Zers, Bell, Charlie Wise, we’ve, haven’t, You’re, Rishi Sunak, Hanna Ziady, Anna Cooban, Philip Jefferson, Loretta Mester, Jack, Neel Kashkari Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Gross, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, P, Federal, Cleveland Fed, Depot, US Labor Department, Cisco Systems, US Commerce Department, National Association of Home Builders, Index, Minneapolis, Walmart, Applied, Co, Baidu, Board Locations: New York, Kingdom, Wells Fargo
Citigroup analysts upgraded India to "overweight" from "neutral" in their emerging markets allocation on Friday, citing strong earnings and economic growth momentum. It also attributed India's one-year forward price-to-earnings (P/E) of 20x, which is slightly higher than the long-term averages, to a stable earnings trajectory. The brokerage remains "overweight" on India's banks, insurers, public sector enterprises, autos and capital goods companies among others. Citi downgraded China to "neutral" from "overweight", saying the recent rally in its stock markets occurred despite weakening fundamentals. Citi reiterated its "overweight" rating on Taiwan and Korea, maintaining "underweight" on Latin American countries.
Persons: Surendra Goyal Organizations: Hong, Citigroup, Citi, Jefferies, Asia Locations: India, China, Asia Pacific, Japan, Taiwan, Korea
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
Bank of America says do not sell in May and go away
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors should ignore the adage about selling off equities in May as a big preelection summer rally could be coming, according to Bank of America. "Do not sell in May and go away," Stephen Suttmeier, the firm's technical research strategist, told clients in a Tuesday note. He pointed to the fact that June through August has been the second strongest three-month stretch for the S & P 500 for all years since 1928. In those three months alone, the broad market index has gained 65% of the time with an average return of 3.2%, according to Bank of America data. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD And there's a key factor Suttmeier sees changing the narrative for the better this year: the presidential election.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, It's, Jerome Powell, Suttmeier, Williams Organizations: Bank of America, Dow Jones, Federal
"This relief rally in equities is questionable at best," wrote chief market technician Craig Johnson. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 this year Year to date, the S & P 500 is up more than 8%, with the low end of the firm's range suggesting the benchmark could fall 10% from Friday's close. When an asset breaks above its 50-day moving average, it is seen as a sign of strong momentum. The S & P 500 on Monday rose, breaking above its 50-day moving average. The Nasdaq is also trading above its 50-day average.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Stocks Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's, U.S
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 66 points, or around 0.2%. Last week, the Dow and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 1.4% each, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. But the April jobs report helps clear a path to that destination," said Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams. While the peak of the first-quarter earnings season has passed, investors are still watching key companies set to report this week, including Dow member Disney on Tuesday and Uber on Wednesday. On the economic front, Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin and New York Fed president John Williams are both scheduled to speak on Monday.
Persons: Dow, Bill Adams, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Uber, Emmanuel Cau, Tom Barkin, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Traders, Comerica Bank, Apple, Disney, Barclays, Richmond Fed, New York Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, U.S . U.S
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