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☆ Stock futures inch up as all eyes are on key inflation reading: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures rose slightly in overnight trading Monday as investors await a key inflation report that could inform the path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both inched up 0.2%. All eyes are on the February reading of the consumer price index, which is set to be released on Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. "The CPI index likely ran hot in February on higher gasoline prices, but core inflation likely slowed further as car prices fell and rent increases moderated," said Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank. The technology-led market rally has lost momentum as of late as some of the biggest winners this year continued to retreat.

Persons: Dow Jones, Bill Adams, Tesla, Mark Hackett, Nationwide's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, CPI, Fed, Comerica Bank, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft

☆ Investing veterans break down their outlook for the year ahead as markets return to pre-2008 conditions
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs said the S&P 500 can climb 8% in 2024 as pre-2008 conditions return. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The major indexes are up in 2023, with the S&P 500 notching a healthy gain of more than 17% year-to-date. Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management, said he expects about a 10% gain for the S&P 500 in 2024. Meanwhile, Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist for LPL Financial, expects "high single-digit returns" in 2024.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Russell, Russell, boomers, Millennials, Steve Wyett, Wyett, Mark Hackett, Hackett, Gene Goldman, Brian Price, Jeff Buchbinder, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal, Fed, BOK Financial, Nationwide, Business, Cetera Investment Management, LPL Financial

Political Cartoons View All 1211 ImagesThe futures for the S&P 500 and Dow industrials were up less than 0.1%. On Monday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 climbed 1.1% for its best day since the Oct. 7 surprise attack on Israel by Hamas. Financial markets have a history of weakening initially after a geopolitical shock, such as a war, only to revert to longer-term fundamentals. FactSet estimates that earnings per share at S&P 500 companies likely rose 0.4% in the last quarter from a year earlier. Shares of Lululemon jumped 10.3% in their first trading session after S&P Dow Jones Indices said the apparel company will join its widely tracked S&P 500 index.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Dow industrials, Antony, Blinken, ” Robert Carnell, Nicholas Mapa, Brent, ”, Mark Hackett, Johnson, Tesla, Charles Schwab, Dow Organizations: CAC, Nikkei, Hamas, Dow, Nasdaq, ING Economics, New York Mercantile Exchange, Treasury, Financial, Nationwide, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Activision Blizzard, Microsoft, U.S Locations: BANGKOK, East, Paris, Asia, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Australia, Thailand, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Iran

☆ September is historically the worst month for stocks. That might not be the case this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —US stocks typically see their worst performance of the year in September, but there are signs the market could avoid a steep downturn this time around. This month has been the worst for stocks on average since 1928, according to Yardeni Research. That’s partly because, much like August, there is a lull in economic data that could catalyze a stock rally. While stocks fell roughly 2% in August, they still outperformed their 4% loss during the same month last year. It’s the latest example of how extreme weather, exacerbated by climate change, impacted major North American attractions this summer, reports my colleague Nathaniel Meyersohn.

Persons: Mark Hackett, Hackett, “, ”, Stocks, he’s, Nathaniel Meyersohn, Red Bull, Jessie Yeung, Junko Ogura, Nissin, Nissin Curry, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Research, Labor, Nationwide, Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Walt Disney World, Universal Orlando Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Nevada, SeaWorld, Southwest, California, Canada, Florida, Asia, Japan

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), June 29, 2023. U.S. stock futures were little changed Sunday night, as traders prepared for the second half of what's already been a stellar year on Wall Street. Tesla shares were little changed in overnight trading after the electric vehicle maker reported delivery and production numbers that beat analysts' expectations. Recent data showing a resilient U.S. economy despite higher rates also lifted investor sentiment, easing some fears on Wall Street of a long-awaited downturn. Investors will pore over the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global manufacturing PMI data for June Monday morning ahead of Friday's keynote jobs report.

Persons: Stocks, Mark Hackett, Nationwide's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Independence, Manufacturing PMI, P Global Locations: technicals

☆ Stocks are set for more volatility as the 'unlucky 13' months of strong job growth complicates the Fed's mission to cool the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-06 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A blowout jobs report and could make the Fed's job of tamping down inflation harder. The April US jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls grew by of 253,000 and a fall in the unemployment rate to 3.4%. Wages are key to the Fed's inflation outlook, and April brought a 0.5% rise in average hourly pay – the biggest monthly increase in a year. "This is a market that's really going to struggle. "It's too early to assess the likelihood of an additional Fed rate hike in mid-June, but this latest jobs report will push the excessively data-dependent Fed towards further tightening – a mistake in our view."

☆ Russia is landing new buyers for its sanctioned diesel all over the world and Brazil's taking advantage of the steep discounts.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-22 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Today we're talking energy — and I'm sharing a conversation with a leading expert on Russian diesel flows. Phil Rosen: You shared some data on how Brazil is seeing a dramatic uptick in Russian diesel imports, and a decrease in diesel imports from other sources, including the US. It really does appear that Russian diesel is muscling in on US market share in Brazil. How does this data on Brazil's diesel imports fit into the broader picture with China and India? Russian diesel is displacing traditional suppliers to these countries, while trade flows are changing to backfill the loss of Russian diesel into Europe.

☆ Wall Street warns the banking turmoil is coming for the commercial real estate sector
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

JPMorgan Asset Management's Jonathan Liang said Wednesday on Bloomberg that smaller banks now face an increased risk of credit losses because of their heightened exposure to the commercial real estate debt. And Goldman Sachs' global head of real estate client solutions, Jeffery Fine, recently said the commercial real estate market is in the middle of a "perfect storm" of higher rates, tight credit, and fast-maturing debt. The Goldman strategist said securing commercial real estate loans now is "almost impossible" since financing has just about shut down. What's your outlook for the commercial real estate sector in the next 6 months? This real estate investor commands a 311-unit portfolio.

☆ The rest of 2023 is the 'best period' for stocks in a 12-month span, Nationwide's research chief says. Here's why history shows investors have a brief window of opportunity, and what to snap up while
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Nationwide Chief of Investment Research Mark Hackett says it's a good time to buy stocks. Few experts were surprised when stocks got off to a good start this year, rebounding from a difficult 2022. Hackett is more bullish on almost anything else, especially small cap stocks, value stocks, and non-US names. And eventually, the calm period ahead will inevitably give way to presidential election season, where politics tends to intrude on market performance. "The best period for equity market returns is the period we're in.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead US inflation data to test market’s bets on future Fed easing
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Following last month’s banking crisis, investors have become more convinced the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the second half to ward off an economic downturn. That view could gain support if next week’s inflation reading shows a strong rise in consumer prices even after aggressive Fed rate hikes over the past year. The firm is recommending clients slightly underweight equities, expecting interest rate hikes to hit consumer spending and corporate profits. Bets on a more dovish Fed have boosted tech and growth stocks, whose future profits are discounted less when interest rates fall. “If the Fed was trying to protect investors, one way would be to cut rates," Hackett said.

☆ Markets and the economy survived a tough first quarter, but it's not going to get any easier
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Despite peaks and valleys, stocks closed the first quarter on an up note, with the S & P 500 rallying more than 7% and the tech-fueled Nasdaq soaring about 16%. .SPX .DJI YTD line S & P 500 gains so far in 2023 Indeed, the market has lived through a lifetime of scary headlines in the first three months of 2023. Despite repeated protestations from Fed officials that they are taking the higher-for-longer approach on interest rates, markets still expect cuts. AAPL .SPX YTD mountain Apple compared to the S & P 500 Only five of the 11 S & P 500 sectors are positive for the year, despite the substantial rally for the index. The net profit margin for the S & P 500 also is expected to edge lower to 11.2%.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: First Republic Bank is trying to save itself
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets might face a Minsky moment soon, warned Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan Chase's chief market strategist and co-head of global research. With that in mind, investors might want to heed Kolanovic's warning that a Minsky moment could be on the horizon. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Not everyone’s happy about UBS buying Credit Suisse
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

☆ GOLDMAN SACHS: Here are the 12 best growth stocks among financials as the turmoil surrounding Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate rocks the sector
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-12 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are fleeing bank stocks after the quick failure of Silicon Valley lender SVB Financial. Goldman Sachs is pointing traders to the highest-growth stocks in the new-look financial sector. US financial stocks were walloped this week after the back-to-back failures of Silicon Valley startup lender SVB Financial and crypto lender Silvergate. The stock fell 60% in a day. The KBW Nasdaq Bank Index fell 7.7% Thursday, its worst single-day loss in almost three years.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Defensives may not be safe place to hide as stock market stumbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Last year it was really easy to hide out in defensives," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. When compounded by the fact that some defensive stocks carry relatively expensive valuations, investors may avoid them even if the broader market sours. The S&P 500 was last up 3.7% in 2023, but had pulled back since posting its best January performance since 2019. However the sector's financial prospects this year are relatively weak; S&P 500 healthcare earnings are expected to fall 8.3% against a 1.7% increase for the overall S&P 500, according to Refinitiv IBES. Should concerns about recession spike, as they did last year, defensives could outperform again on a relative basis, according to investors.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead: Defensives may not be safe place to hide as stock market stumbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

☆ Why the resilient US economy is making it difficult for stock investors to thrive
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The recent stock rally is crumbling as inflation data shows the Fed still has more work to do. But data also shows the economy is strong, and that could help the US avoid a recession. But investors aren't cheering for a strong economy. This follows data earlier in the month that showed the US economy has been resilient in the face of higher interest rates. And, ultimately, the Fed will have the last word for stocks, even if the economy holds up to its aggressive policy.

☆ Stock futures fall following the S&P 500's best week since June
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-13 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures dipped in overnight trading Sunday after the S&P 500 posted its biggest weekly gain in almost five months on the back of easing inflation data. S&P 500 futures declined 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures traded 0.6% lower. The S&P 500 rallied 5.9% last week for its best week since June. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 8.1% last week for its best week since March, while the blue-chip Dow advanced 4.2%. The VIX, which tracks the 30-day implied volatility of the S&P 500, had traded above the 30 point threshold for most of October.

☆ Experts are getting bullish on small caps. Here's the case for the surprise pre-recession call, and what to buy.
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Some leading strategists and experts are very positive on smaller companies right now. Heading into a recession, smaller companies usually look expensive compared to their bigger peers. Steven DeSanctis, a SMID-cap strategist for Jefferies, is another expert who is positive on smaller companies right now. But he notes that even though small caps have delivered better returns than large caps since June 30, investors are still pulling money out of small cap-themed ETFs. In fact, Fisher wrote that when small caps do this poorly, it can lead to powerful recoveries.

☆ Retail money market funds inflows are the highest in 30 years as investors seek safety. Best funds to buy
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

One fixture of overall money market funds is seeing the highest growth in decades this year – retail money market fund inflows hit $122.1 billion in the week ending Oct. 19, the most since 1992, according to data from Refinitiv Lipper. Overall, the market is seeing outflows driven by institutional investors, with $189.5 billion being withdrawn from U.S. money market funds through Oct. 19. Money market mutual funds offer investors safety, making them a solid place to park cash. He added that investors should also note that not all money market mutual funds are insured by the FDIC, unlike checking and savings accounts or money market deposit accounts. In the quarter ending Sept. 30, Charles Schwab reported $132 million in revenue from money market funds.

☆ Investors should buy these 3 sectors to get in ahead of overwhelming pessimism as signs of a powerful stock-market rally mount, according to the research chief at $74 billion Nationwide
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Mark Hackett is the investment research chief for Nationwide, which manages $74 billion in assets. But he thinks investors should allocate to small cap stocks and emerging markets, which he says have the best risk-reward balance of anything out there. "We much prefer S&P Small Cap relative to the Russell Small Cap," he said, because the larger Russell index includes larger proportions of companies that aren't consistently making money. In small caps he's bullish on healthcare, industrials, and business-oriented technology companies, rather than pricier tech stocks and higher-risk companies in biotech or energy. He also recommends high cash-flow value stocks, meaning companies with strong balance sheets and diversified revenue.

☆ Analysis: As U.S. stocks rip higher, investors hunt for signs of market bottom
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The current gain – which has seen the S&P 500 bounce about 6.5% last week's fresh intraday low for 2022 – comes on the heels of several rebounds throughout the year that eventually crumbled. However, the index has not been above that level since March even as the S&P 500 continued making new lows. The put/call ratio is yet to approach a 10-day average of at least 1.2 that has historically indicated that "you are more in the ballpark of panic and fear and close to a market low," he said. The current bear market has also been less severe than many past downturns. The S&P 500 slid as much as 25.4% this year, while bear markets since 1929 have seen an average decline of 35%, according to BofA.

☆ Wonder where the economy is heading? Pay close attention to earnings
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-20 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Economic bellwether FedEx (FDX) stunned Wall Street last week with a massive earnings warning and tepid outlook for the global economy. Still, investors remain nervous about the health of the railroad business, a sign of the jitters about the overall economy. Most of Corporate America operates on a calendar year schedule for earnings, which means they will report third quarter results in October. That would be the worst quarter for earnings since a 5.7% decrease in the third quarter of 2020, when the economy was reeling from Covid-imposed lockdowns. That adds to the risk that a global spike in rates will lead to a further slowdown in earnings, consumer spending and the overall economy.

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