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The tech slide has many investors anxious to buy the dip, but now is the time for caution, some say. Communication services and information technology stocks are the two worst-performing S & P 500 sectors this quarter, after having fallen into a correction from their peaks in July. Communication services is more than 11% off its 52-week high, while information technology is more than 12% off its recent high. For much of this year, any dips in the high-flying tech stocks have proven to be a buying opportunity for investors, as the promise of artificial intelligence has traders unable to stay away from these names for long. Investors were buying the dip again midday through the trading session Tuesday.
Persons: Ken Mahoney, We've, Rob Williams, Williams, Savita Subramanian, Jason Draho, CNBC's, Tesla Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asset Management, Sage Advisory, Bank of America, UBS Global Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia
Wall Street is sticking with semiconductor stocks after its hot start to the year. SMH YTD mountain Share performance in 2024 That said, many investors and analysts expect another strong glide path for the industry in the second half. "The AI theme continues to remain very strong," said CFRA Research analyst Angelo Zino, who holds a buy rating on Nvidia. Many on Wall Street view this upcycle as a significant tail wind for Micron Technology as the industry edges out of its trough. But many on Wall Street viewed the sell-off as a buying opportunity , with Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari expecting market share gains in high-bandwidth memory.
Persons: frothiness, Angelo Zino, you've, Ken Mahoney, John Belton, we're, Management's Paul Meeks, that's, Harlan Sur, Baird, Ted Mortonson, Jeff deGraaf, CNBC's, Gabelli's Belton, Belton, Meeks, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, CFRA, Zino, Baird's Mortonson Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Nvidia, Devices, CFRA, Gabelli Funds, Broadcom, JPMorgan, KLA Corp, Cadence Design Systems, Micron Technology, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple Locations: unchartered
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
Semiconductor stocks are off to another hot start to the year. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is up 28.5% in the first three months of 2024. That puts the SMH on pace for its biggest quarterly gain since the first quarter of 2023, when it jumped 30%. The stock is up more than 30% to start 2024. Shares have skyrocketed more than 39% to start 2024, helped by strong sales in high bandwidth memory necessary in AI infrastructure.
Persons: Ken Mahoney, Nvidia, Hendi, Management's Paul Meeks, Andrew Garthwaite cautioning Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Asset, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Apple, Devices, JPMorgan, PHLX Semiconductor, Intel, Micron Technology, Micron, UBS, Universal Locations: Taiwan
Apple's bad quarter and what history says will happen next
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Apple is wrapping up a rough quarter, but history and Wall Street analysis show there is reason to expect a bounce ahead. Apple shares have typically risen following a quarter that ends down at least 10%, according to CNBC Pro data. 'Best bought on weakness' Despite the tough period, Wall Street sees reason for optimism ahead. Apple "is a stock best bought on weakness in general as they probably have the best, or one of the best management teams in the world," Mahoney said. In the median quarter following the losing one, shares jumped more than 14%.
Persons: jitters, Ken Mahoney, Apple, Mahoney, Ben Reitzes, Reitzes, Nicolas Cote, Colisson, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, CNBC Pro, U.S . Department of Justice, Research, Vision, Mahoney Asset, Justice Department, HSBC Locations: China, C1H24
The chipmaker surged 16% on Thursday after posting robust earnings and guidance , contributing to the stock's 59% year-to-date run as investors feast on artificial intelligence stocks. NVDA 1Y mountain Nvidia shares over the last year Nvidia's impressive stock run brings its valuation to elevated levels. That's left some analysts questioning whether earnings upside is already priced in to shares as others wonder how long this astonishing growth cycle can last. Those worries eased after the chipmaker offered its first set of blockbuster earnings numbers, cementing its formidable AI position. NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia shares this past week "It gives me confidence that this story lasts much longer," Harvest's Meeks said.
Persons: That's, Hua Cheng, heightening, Paul Meeks, Ken Mahoney, Greg Bassuk, Nvidia's, Goldman Sachs, Hari, Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon, Jensen Huang, Harvest's Meeks, Tim Arcuri, Cheng of Mirova, Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Portfolio Management, AXS Investments, UBS Locations: Mirova, Charleston , South Carolina
The company's stunning progress garnered the love of Wall Street, with analysts upping their price targets on the stock to account for future growth and naming it among their top AI picks. Nvidia's 'iPhone moment' Few could have predicted the frenzy ChatGPT would create when it debuted in late 2022, but no company could have been better prepared for the excitement than Nvidia. What to expect in 2024 Many on Wall Street don't foresee Nvidia hype dying down in the new year. In fact, many investors expect shares to keep rising as long as the company can smash expectations and guide higher. That's a feat many on Wall Street expect the company to accomplish, with the consensus price target implying another 35% upside for shares, according to FactSet.
Persons: Paul Meeks, Karl Freund, Freund, They've, Kim Forrest, Meeks, there'll, Ken Mahoney, Forrest, they've Organizations: Nvidia, Devices, Research, Bokeh Capital Partners, Intel Locations: Nvidia's
After 2023's blowout run, it's hard to recall the once gloomy investing setup for technology stocks last December. As the calendar year turns, don't expect technology stocks to match 2023's blowout gains, but the year's performance is no fluke. AI stocks may dominate tech-focused investing, but don't sleep on the other emerging themes. GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet shares in 2023 Both companies have rolled out new initiatives in the months since. Arm Holdings made headlines this year as one of the first major companies to go public , reviving the IPO market after a roughly two-year drought.
Persons: behemoths, Jay Woods, Mark Zuckerberg, didn't, chipmakers, David Waddell, Everybody's, Copilot, Paul Meeks, Gene Munster, Alphabet's, Meeks, Morgan Stanley, Andrew Slimmon, They're, Slimmon, CNBC's, Wall, Nvidia's, He's, Mahoney, Ken Mahoney, it's, Brent Fredberg, Munster's, Management's Albert Tsuei, Tsuei, William Blair's Jonathan Vo, Keith Weiss Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Freedom, Microsoft, Waddell & Associates, Oracle, Arista Networks, Morgan, Morgan Stanley Investment, Meta, Nvidia, Devices, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprises, Broadcom, Holdings, Micron Technology, Brandes Investment Partners, Micron, Samsung, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, MGM Resorts, Johnson, Okta, UBS, Management's, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto Locations: British, Clorox
Megacap technology stocks reascended the throne in 2023 after a debilitating 2022 left some investors sour on the outlook for the industry. The stocks are really going to have to show what the next big thing is." Even as it outperformed the market, the e-commerce giant's gains were overshadowed by other large megacaps flaunting their latest AI innovations, with some worrying Amazon may be falling behind on AI technology . Semiconductor companies Intel , Broadcom and Lam Research also look attractive even if Mag 7 stocks maintain their leadership position as AI proliferates, Woods said. "It's a story that is just starting to play out and we're just going to build on it going forward," he said.
Persons: Tesla, Jay Woods, hasn't, Capital's, Woods, aren't, DoorDash, Uber, Neuberger, Dan Flax, Bard, missteps, Gene Munster, Ken Mahoney, Richard Bernstein, wouldn't, Brent Fredberg, we're Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Freedom Capital, Asset Management, Richard Bernstein Advisors, Brandes Investment Partners, outperformance, Micron Technology, Semiconductor, Intel, Broadcom, Lam Research Locations: GOOGL
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 02, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures were flat on Tuesday night after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched their longest winning streaks in about two years. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures oscillated near the flat line. Earlier in the day, the S&P 500 added 0.3% to clinch its seventh straight positive session. These gains come after about 80% of S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings estimates this season, while slowing demand means that only 59% have also topped revenue expectations.
Persons: Dow, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Walt Disney, , Robert Hum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Asset Management, Apple, Microsoft, Google, MGM Resorts, Walt Locations: New York City . U.S
Big technology stocks may surprise to the upside when they report results in coming days. But even a better-than-expected quarter and companies' improved earnings and revenue forecasts may not be enough to save the market from its recent reversal, according to some professional investors. That continues Tuesday with results from Alphabet and Microsoft , followed by Meta Platforms on Wednesday and Amazon Thursday, all after the market closes. The earnings setup Heading into the earnings, many companies face easier comparisons over last year. Of the largest tech stocks, Meta Platforms is expected to show rapid revenue growth acceleration, at 21%.
Persons: Adam Sarhan, there's, Ken Mahoney, bode, Gene Munster, Bernstein's Mark Shmulik, Nvidia, Munster, Sarhan Organizations: Investments, Big Tech, Netflix, Microsoft, Meta, Federal, Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: what's, East, Europe
The results boosted shares of Nvidia as much as 8%. Justifying the valuation After a more than 232% jump in 2023, Nvidia shares are on pace for their third best year on record and best yearly stretch since 2001. Opening and building positions Despite the blowout report, Nvidia gave up some of its gains, while its beneficiaries and competitors slumped into negative territory. Even so, the moves boosted his case for beefing up his position in Nvidia and other AI plays. Cerity Partners' Jim Lebenthal revealed to CNBC's "Halftime Report" on Thursday that he initiated a position in Nvidia earlier this week to get a "toehold before earnings."
Persons: Josh Brown, CNBC's, Nancy Tengler, Paul Meeks, Ken Mahoney, Jerome Powell's, Meeks, Cerity, Jim Lebenthal Organizations: Nvidia, Devices, Marvell Technology, Micro Computer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Laffer, Investments, Independent Solutions Wealth Management, Asset Management, Apple, Federal, Computer, AMD, Cerity Partners Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Pretty much everyone believes that generative AI is going to be a critical place to be in the coming decades, and I think Microsoft is far ahead of everyone else." At its steep multiple and price appreciation, she is refraining from buying shares that look "due for a breather." MSFT 5D mountain Microsoft shares this week Most analysts and investors agree that Copilot represents a big opportunity for Microsoft, but some remain skeptical of how much it will be able to monetize and how many users it can attract. Earnings next week could offer the next big catalyst for Microsoft. Microsoft is so well known that any kind of growth investor would have that philosophy."
Persons: Nancy Tengler, Tengler, Paul Meeks, Meeks, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Citi's Tyler Radke, Guggenheim's John DiFucci, You've, Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Laffer, Investments, Mahoney Asset Management Locations: overbought
Six months later, the promise of generative AI has boosted the Nasdaq Composite 31.7%, notching its best first half since 1983 . Betting on Nvidia Nvidia took Wall Street by storm this year. No matter how AI evolves, Nvidia was seen by many investors as a main beneficiary. Even with the stock's stellar performance, and recent entrance into the $1 trillion market cap club, investors aren't shying away just yet. "There will be an opportunity to get into some of these stocks at probably better levels than you're at now," Szilagyi said.
Persons: ChatGPT, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Jan Szilagyi, aren't shying, Sylvia Jablonski, Paul Meeks, Meeks, it's, Jordan Stuart, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Stuart, Szilagyi Organizations: Microsoft, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Mahoney Asset Management, Nvidia Nvidia, Nvidia —, Independent Solutions, Management, Investors, Big Tech, Federated Hermes, Novo Nordisk's Ozempic Locations: Hong Kong
The 15% year-to-date rally in the S&P 500 (.SPX) is pulling once doubtful investors back into the market. Meanwhile, options investors are buying calls - bets on upside in stocks - at levels not seen in years. A record 1.8 million S&P 500 calls traded on Thursday, helping lift the one-month moving average of calls-to-puts to the highest in at least four years, Trade Alert data showed. The S&P 500 has posted a median gain of 18% in the 12 months after clearing the 20% threshold, LPL Financial data showed. One encouraging signal is that a greater number of S&P 500 stocks are heading higher, in addition to the handful of megacap growth names such as Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) that led gains this year.
Persons: you've, Emily Roland, Goldman Sachs, Willie Delwiche, we're, Delwiche, Brent Kochuba, Matt Stucky, Ken Mahoney, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, National Association of Active Investment, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Trade, John Hancock Asset Management, Mount Research, American Association of, Investors, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Microsoft, Nvidia, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: U.S
Tesla stock "gets boring," Bespoke Investment Group said after the EV maker's update. Wall Street's expectations for Tesla look more like those for a traditional carmaker and less like a disruptor, it said. Bespoke spotted the highest correlation between Tesla stock and other automakers since 2016. Despite the latest sell-off, Tesla stock is still up more than 50% so far this year, while GM is up 16% and Ford is up 6%. About Tesla's update: "Some key takeaways, in general, are that [Tesla is] still in the rapid growth phase, in our opinion," Mahoney said.
A US recession is coming - here are 5 reasons why
  + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Bank of America's strategists said the US could fall into a recession over the next 10 to 12 weeks. Bank stocks have tumbled in recent days. Frankly, a broad recession won't be a surprise to anyone at this point (especially Opening Bell readers). In other news:Whether or not the US is in a recession is a politically charged debate. These nine funds offer strong positioning through a recession and into the next bull market, in Bank of America's view.
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