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Traders and floor officials react to technical issues on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 3, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed Sunday night after a winning week, as traders looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and May inflation data. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Markets are now pricing in just one rate cut this year, coming in November, according to the CME FedWatch tool. ... On the hawkish side is that the firm NFP and associated details suggest labor demand growth remains solid."
Persons: Macquarie's David Doyle Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Apple's Worldwide
The funding bonanza over AI could add lots of hype and "maybe some grifting," says Demis Hassabis. "In a way, AI's not hyped enough but in some senses it's too hyped," the Google DeepMind chief said. "In a way, AI's not hyped enough but in some senses it's too hyped," Hassabis the Financial Times in a story published Sunday. The fervor amongst investors for AI, Hassabis told the Financial Times, reminded him of "other hyped-up areas" like crypto. "Some of that has now spilled over into AI, which I think is a bit unfortunate," Hassabis told the outlet.
Persons: Demis Hassabis, AI's, , Hassabis, Fred Havemeyer, Havemeyer, We've, Gary Gensler, Gensler Organizations: Google, Investors, Service, Financial Times, Financial, Amazon, CNBC, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Business Insider
Oil to grind higher, says Macquarie's Vikas Dwivedi
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil to grind higher, says Macquarie's Vikas DwivediVikas Dwivedi, Macquarie Global Energy Strategist, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the state of energy and where investors can find opportunity.
Persons: Macquarie's Vikas Dwivedi Vikas Dwivedi Organizations: Macquarie Global Energy
Gold prices rallied to hit new records on Thursday, on track for their seventh consecutive daily rise, led by weak U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's indications of potential rate cuts in the coming months if inflation eases. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,159.79 per ounce, as of 0432 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,161.09 earlier in the session. Gold got a boost on Wednesday after Powell indicated that interest rate cuts were likely in the coming months "if the economy evolves broadly as expected," along with further evidence of falling inflation. Hence, in an uncertain financial environment, gold will remain safe investment for banks," said Jigar Pandit, head of commodity and currency business at BNP Paribas' Sharekhan. Spot silver rose 0.4% to $24.25, while platinum fell 0.1% to $906.82 per ounce, and palladium slipped 0.8% to $1,033.44.
Persons: Jerome, Marcus Garvey, Gold, Powell, Powell's, Macquarie's Garvey, Jigar Pandit Organizations: Federal, Macquarie, Treasury, BNP Locations: U.S, China, Turkey, Russia, Poland
Macquarie economist Danny Doyle said he now expects just two interest rate cuts this year and no recession in 2024 or 2025. Doyle had previously expected as many as nine interest rate cuts just two months ago. One such economist is Danny Doyle, Macquarie's head of economics, who pulled a U-turn on Thursday when he slashed his 2024 interest rate forecast to just two rate cuts of 25 basis points a piece. That's fewer than the Federal Reserve's own forecast of three interest rate cuts this year. Doyle expects the Fed's first interest rate cut to happen at the July FOMC meeting, while the market expects the first interest rate cut to happen in May, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Danny Doyle, Doyle, Macquarie's Organizations: Macquarie, Federal, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed's
"Netflix won the streaming wars in 2009 when they started streaming," said Tim Nollen, a media analyst at Macquarie. "I think it's a little bit ridiculous, to be honest," Bazinet said when asked if Netflix has won the streaming wars. AdvertisementHow Hollywood can beat Netflix at its own gameHollywood stalwarts can compete in streaming, Bazinet argued — provided the media industry first consolidates even further. The two biggest threats right now are Disney — which has about 220 million subscribers across Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+ — and Amazon. Nollen said Amazon would flood the market with cheap ads and crush its competition like it did in e-commerce.
Persons: , That's, Jason Bazinet, Tim Nollen, They've, Bazinet, overreacted, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Reif Ehrlich, Nielsen Bazinet, Joe Bonner, Bonner, John Hodulik, Hodulik, I'm, Macquarie's, Nollen, it's Organizations: Service, Netflix, Business, Citigroup, Disney, Paramount, Macquarie, Hollywood, Bank of America, Nielsen, ESPN, Argus Research, Hulu, UBS, Amazon Locations: Hulu
Dollar poised for weekly decline; US jobs data up next
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index was last at 103.02 and on track for its first weekly decline for the year. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.07% to $0.6149 and was on track for a weekly rise of nearly 1%, its best performance in over a month. It was poised for a weekly gain of nearly 1.3%, its best week in over a month. That highlighted a growing view within the board that conditions were falling in place to soon pull short-term interest rates out of negative territory, which would be Japan's first interest rate hike since 2007. Data on Thursday showed euro zone inflation eased as expected last month but underlying price pressures fell less than forecast, likely boosting the European Central Bank's argument that rate cuts should not be rushed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, Raf Choudhury, BoE, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Federal Reserve, New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Friday's, Analysts, Bank of Japan's, Bank of England, Monetary, European Locations: Abrdn, U.S
Supply is forecast to grow by 1.5 million barrels per day to a new high of 103.5 million barrels per day, according to the IEA. Demand will grow by 1.2 million barrels daily, down from 2.3 million in 2023, with the post-pandemic recovery over and major economies set to slow. WTI and Brent closed out 2023 down more than 10% and OPEC+ production cuts have so far failed to lift prices. Goldman Sachs, for example, says oil prices could double if there is a prolonged disruption to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. 'Golden era' Stronger U.S. oil production in 2023 surprised even oil industry CEOs such as Chevron's Wirth and Occidental's Vicki Hollub, they told CNBC in recent interviews.
Persons: Michael Wirth, Wirth, CNBC's Brian Sullivan, Goldman Sachs, Walt Chancellor, Daniel Yergin, Brent, Adi Imsirovic, Imsirovic, Yergin, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Matt Smith, Smith, Chevron's Wirth, Occidental's Vicki Hollub, I'm, Macquarie, Chancellor, Hollub, Organizations: P, Energy Information Agency, Chevron, P Global, CNBC, Economic, West Texas, Center for Strategic, International Studies, OPEC, Bank of America, Oil, International Energy Agency, IEA, Brent, Mizuho, Gulf, Americas, Western Hemisphere Locations: East, U.S, Macquarie, Davos, Switzerland, Canada, United States, United Kingdom, OPEC, Brazil, Guyana, Americas, Europe, Red, Kpler, Iran, Hormuz
Aly Song | ReutersBEIJING — China's annual exports fell for the first time in seven years in 2023, even as shipments in December beat expectations, customs data showed Friday. But for 2023, exports fell 4.6%, the first such annual drop since a 7.7% decline in 2016, according to Wind Information. By country, the U.S. remained China's largest trading partner. Russia was a rare bright spot, with China's exports to the country climbing nearly 47% in 2023, and imports rising almost 13%. China's exports in most product categories fell in 2023, with machinery, boats and home appliances among the few exceptions.
Persons: Aly Song, Caixin, Larry Hu, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Reuters, Information, of Southeast, Nations, European Union, U.S ., China, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Yangshan, Shanghai, China, Reuters BEIJING, U.S, Russia
Dollar stems decline after heavy November selloff
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in Chicago on October 18, 2022. The dollar regained some ground on Tuesday and hovered near a one-week high against major peers, while bitcoin extended its momentum on optimism that U.S. regulators could soon approve exchange-traded spot bitcoin funds. The euro , meanwhile, languished near a three-week low hit on Monday and last traded $1.0840, while the dollar index stood near a more than one-week high and was last at 103.59. Analysts say the greenback's move higher was in part due to a reversal of its heavy selloff in recent weeks, which saw the dollar index falling some 3% in November, its steepest monthly decline in a year. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin last stood at $41,873, not far from the previous session's peak of $42,404, its highest level since April 2022.
Persons: bitcoin, Sean Callow, Thierry Wizman, Bitcoin, Nexo, Antoni Trenchev Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Traders, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Locations: Chicago, Asia, Tokyo, Reserve Bank of Australia
Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. That sent the yen sliding nearly 0.7% against the dollar , past the 150 per dollar threshold to hit an intraday low of 150.12, before steadying to 149.93 per dollar. The euro similarly jumped roughly 0.5% against the yen following the decision . Spain's 12-month inflation in October was unchanged from the previous month at 3.5%, preliminary data also out on Monday showed. The figures come ahead of euro zone inflation data due later on Tuesday.
Persons: Yen, Dado Ruvic, Thierry Wizman, Sterling, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Bank of England, Australian, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, steadying, U.S, Germany
A 1000 yen note on a tray at a souvenir shop in Hakone, Japan, on Tuesday, Nov. 22, 2022. The yen hovered near a two-week high on Tuesday, boosted by a report that the Bank of Japan, or BOJ, could further tweak a key bond yield policy tool when it announces its monetary decision later in the day. The dollar looked set to end the month largely unchanged against a basket of currencies, having lost some steam after a roughly 2.5% gain in September. Against the euro, the yen last stood at 158.24, having similarly risen to an over one-week high of 157.70 per euro on Monday. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar shed 0.09% to $0.6368 and was headed for a monthly loss of more than 1%.
Persons: Chris Weston, Thierry Wizman, Sterling Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Australian, Bank of England, European Central Bank, New Zealand Locations: Hakone, Japan, Gaza, Germany, Wells Fargo
Kim Kyung-Hoon | ReutersBEIJING — Chinese authorities late Tuesday announced one of the biggest changes to the national budget in years, along with the issuance of 1 trillion yuan in ($137 billion) in government bonds. Chinese state media said the 1 trillion yuan in central government issuance is set to be transferred to local governments in two parts, half for this year and half for next year. "It is roughly around 5% of transfer revenues or 2% of total revenues for the local governments," Yin said. "Note a special program has already been started since October, allowing local governments to issue special refinancing bonds to swap their outstanding hidden debt. Goldman Sachs analysts estimated the early issuance could be as much as 2.7 trillion yuan, based on prior government practice.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Hoon, Larry Hu, it's, Ting Lu, Yin, Nomura's Lu, Ricky Tsang, they're, Tsang, , Goldman Sachs, Macquarie's Hu, It's Organizations: Reuters, Macquarie, Monetary Fund, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, Reuters BEIJING, China, Hong Kong, People's Bank of China
NEW YORK, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The dollar rose sharply on Thursday after U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in September, lifted by an elevated cost of rent that raised the prospect of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates high for some time. The consumer price index increased 0.4% last month, with a 0.6% jump in the cost of shelter accounting for more than half of the rise. The dollar rose more than 1% against sterling, and the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Owners' equivalent rent, a measure of the amount homeowners would pay to rent or would earn from renting their property, rose even though non-official sources show a decline in rental prices. Thursday's CPI release came after Wednesday's mixed report on U.S. producer prices, and minutes from the Fed's September meeting.
Persons: Douglas Porter, Bipan Rai, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, BoE, Wednesday's, Herbert Lash, Alun John, Ankur Banerjee, Emelia Sithole, Mark Potter, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters, New, CIBC Capital Markets, Fed, Bank of England, CPI, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Oakville, Canada, New Zealand, North America, Toronto, New York, London, Bengaluru, Singapore
Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. A slew of Fed officials have signalled in recent days that the U.S. central bank may not need to tighten monetary policy much further than initially thought. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday the central bank did not need to raise borrowing costs any further, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari followed with similar remarks later in the day. U.S. Treasury yields have similarly tracked lower following the dovish Fed comments, with the two-year yield , which typically reflects near-term rate expectations, hitting a one-month low of 4.9260% on Tuesday. The offshore yuan , which touched a roughly one-month high of 7.2700 per dollar on Tuesday, last bought 7.2839.
Persons: Rick Wilking, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Sterling, Thierry Wizman, Carol Kong, CBA's, Rae Wee, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, dovish, Atlanta Fed Bank, Minneapolis Fed, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, CHINA, China
Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday the central bank did not need to raise borrowing costs any further, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari followed with similar remarks later in the day. U.S. Treasury yields have similarly tracked lower following the dovish Fed comments, with the two-year yield, which typically reflects near-term rate expectations, hitting a one-month low of 4.9260% on Tuesday. The focus now turns to minutes of the Fed's September policy meeting out later on Wednesday, which could offer further clues on its interest rate outlook. So I think markets are a little bit unsure whether that report is real," said CBA's Kong. The offshore yuan, which touched a roughly one-month high of 7.2700 per dollar on Tuesday, last bought 7.2839.
Persons: Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Sterling, Thierry Wizman, Carol Kong, CBA's Organizations: Treasury, dovish, Atlanta Fed Bank, Minneapolis Fed, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Bloomberg Locations: U.S, Asia, China
The dollar dipped on Friday but traders were largely keeping to the sidelines in both the currency and U.S. Treasury markets as they looked to U.S. nonfarm payrolls data later in the day for potential catalysts. The dollar index , which earlier in the week hit a roughly 11-month high of 107.34, last settled at 106.37, but remained on track for 12 straight weeks of gains. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield last stood at 4.7269%, while the two-year yield settled at 5.0267%. The pause in the dollar's rally has also provided a much-needed reprieve for the yen , which last bought 148.48 per dollar. Sterling edged 0.03% lower to $1.2188 and was likewise headed for five straight weeks of losses, struggling against a dominant dollar.
Persons: Rodrigo Catril, We've, Vishnu Varathan, Thierry Wizman Organizations: . Treasury, greenback, U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Mizuho Bank ., Sterling, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. The dollar index , which earlier in the week hit a roughly 11-month high of 107.34, last settled at 106.37, but remained on track for 12 straight weeks of gains. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield last stood at 4.7269%, while the two-year yield settled at 5.0267%. The pause in the dollar's rally has also provided a much-needed reprieve for the yen , which last bought 148.48 per dollar. Sterling edged 0.03% lower to $1.2188 and was likewise headed for five straight weeks of losses, struggling against a dominant dollar.
Persons: Rick Wilking, Rodrigo Catril, We've, Vishnu Varathan, Thierry Wizman, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, . Treasury, greenback, U.S, Treasury, National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Mizuho Bank ., Sterling, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Sliding yen raises intervention threat, dollar reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "I don't think the level matters that much and will be the trigger (for intervention). Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan "depends on the details" of the situation. Elsewhere, the euro gained 0.05% to $1.0649, after having fallen to a six-month low of $1.0615 on Friday against a stronger dollar. The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.58.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Governor Ueda, Carol Kong, Janet, Yellen, Sterling, Thierry Wizman, Rae Wee, Christopher Cushing Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Treasury, Bank, Fed, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Washington, Japan, U.S
Sliding yen stokes intervention threat; dollar reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "I don't think the level matters that much and will be the trigger (for intervention). Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan "depends on the details" of the situation. Elsewhere, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0649, after having fallen to a six-month low of $1.0615 on Friday against a stronger dollar. The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.57 in early Asia trade.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Governor Ueda, Carol Kong, Janet, Yellen, Sterling steadied, Thierry Wizman, Rae Wee Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Treasury, Bank, Fed, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Washington, Japan, U.S, Asia
Sliding yen stokes intervention threat, dollar reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
An employee counts Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes at the Birdy Exchange in Hong Kong, China. Several factors were supporting the recovery in the Japanese yen on Tuesday. Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan "depends on the details" of the situation. Elsewhere, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0649, after having fallen to a six-month low of $1.0615 on Friday against a stronger dollar. The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.57 in early Asia trade.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Governor Ueda, Carol Kong, Janet, Yellen, Sterling steadied, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Birdy, Bank of Japan, Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S, Treasury, Bank, Fed, New Zealand Locations: Hong Kong, China, Washington, Japan, U.S, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie's Fred Havemeyer says copyright should be core to regulating new AI toolsFred Havemeyer, Macquarie software analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the AI hearing on Capital Hill tomorrow.
Persons: Fred Havemeyer Organizations: Macquarie
Traditional TV usage drops below 50% for first time ever
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Lillian Rizzo | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The decline of traditional TV continues, even as the prices of streaming services rise. Total traditional TV usage — comprised of broadcast and pay-TV — dropped below 50% in July for the first time ever, according to Nielsen's monthly streaming report, The Gauge. Usage among pay-TV customers fell to 29.6% of TV, while broadcast dropped to a 20% share during the month. Many consumers left the traditional TV bundle due to its steep prices. Lackluster streaming subscriber growth hasn't helped much in their bid for profitability, Macquarie noted in its report.
Persons: , Nielsen's, Tim Nollen, Max, Comcast's Peacock, Macquarie Organizations: Comcast Corp, Charter Communications, Comcast, Charter, Macquarie, Macquarie ., Nielsen, Netflix, Disney, Hulu, ESPN, Warner Bros, Warner Bros . Discovery, Paramount Locations: Macquarie
Macquarie's Commodities and Global Markets (CGM) unit, its biggest earner, has for several years cashed in on increasing hedging activity amid volatility in oil and gas markets. That had driven the Sydney-based firm's annual earnings to a record A$5.18 billion ($3.53 billion) in fiscal 2023 ended March. While Macquarie did not disclose a profit figure in its quarterly update, Citi Research had expected first-quarter earnings of around A$1 billion ($680.90 million). The analysts noted, however, that Macquarie's earnings may have come in below that. At the end of the quarter, Macquarie's capital surplus stood at A$10.8 billion.
Persons: Shemara Wikramanayake, Macquarie, Harish Sridharan, Navya Mittal, Echha, Subhranshu Sahu, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Macquarie, Citi, Macquarie Group, Macquarie's Commodities, Global Markets, Citi Research, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Bengaluru
LONDON, July 10 (Reuters) - Thames Water has become the poster child for a British water industry under fire for its poor environmental record and financial mismanagement. After a period as a listed company, Thames Water was acquired by German utility RWE (RWEG.DE) in 2001. Thames Water said on Monday they would provide 750 million pounds, and added it had strong liquidity of 4.4 billion pounds. FINANCESNearly 60% of Thames Water's debt is index-linked, according to ratings agency Standard & Poor's, saddling it with higher repayments as inflation soars. Thames Water was fined 3.3 million pounds last week, while Southern Water was fined 90 million pounds in 2021.
Persons: Margaret Thatcher's, Australia's Macquarie, Abu, Hermes, Ofwat, Sarah Young, Chiara Elisei, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Margaret Thatcher's Conservative, Water, Thames, Ontario, BT, China Investment Corp, Thames Water, Macquarie, Yorkshire Water, Severn Trent, United Utilities, The Times, Environment Agency, Southern Water, Thomson Locations: Britain, Here's, Abu Dhabi, Thames, Southern Water, United, England
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