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☆ Inflation report Thursday expected to show the Fed is getting closer to its goal
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While the cumulative effect of inflation has had a pronounced influence on the U.S. economy, the view in relative terms is getting progressively better. Judging by the personal consumption expenditures price index, inflation was expected to run at just a 0.2% rate in September and 2.1% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones estimates. "Another strong quarter of GDP growth and close-to-target quarterly inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed stuck between balancing the risks of inflation and the labor market," Citigroup economist Alice Zheng said in a note Wednesday. Within the GDP report, the PCE rate for the quarter was just 1.5%, suggesting that the battle has been won. While the market is still betting heavily on more rate cuts this year, the Fed likely will be cautious.

Persons: Dow Jones, Alice Zheng, Shruti Mishra Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: U.S

☆ Markets will be looking for any surprises out of Thursday's big inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Federal Reserve policymakers have been breathing easier lately regarding inflation, and that faith that they're closer to achieving their goal will get a key test Thursday. Specifically, the Labor Department's reading is expected to show an annual inflation rate of 2.2% and a monthly gain of just 0.1%, according to the Dow Jones consensus. However, following a much better than expected jobs report for September, Fed officials in recent days have indicated a likely more measured approach to cuts ahead. Details in Thursday's report will matter: Housing inflation has proven to be stubborn, though policymakers still expect lower rent renewals to feed into the data the months progress. The report hits just after the S & P 500 rose to a new record on Wednesday.

Persons: Dow Jones, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Dallas

☆ CNBC Daily Open: September’s shockingly good jobs report changes everything
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Angus Mordant | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineOh, to be a fly on the wall when the U.S. Labor Department arrived at the final tally for September's jobs number. That's perhaps why stocks rose only tentatively on its release. For the week, S&P rose 0.22%, the Dow ticked up 0.09% and the Nasdaq increased 0.1% — a huge jump, considering it was down more than 1% at Thursday's close.

Persons: Angus Mordant, payrolls, David Royal, –, Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: HK UBI, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Locations: Albany, Latham , New York, —, Thursday's

☆ CNBC Daily Open: September’s blockbuster jobs report changes the calculus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Paul Bersebach | Medianews Group | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineOh, to be a fly on the wall when the U.S. Labor Department arrived at the final tally for September's jobs number. That's perhaps why stocks rose only tentatively on its release. For the week, S&P rose 0.22%, the Dow ticked up 0.09% and the Nasdaq increased 0.1% — a huge jump, considering it was down more than 1% at Thursday's close.

Persons: SPX, Paul Bersebach, payrolls, David Royal, –, Jeff Cox, Alex Harring, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Medianews, Getty, CNBC, U.S . Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Labor Locations: Lake Forest , CA, —, Thursday's

☆ Treasury yields rise as attention shifts to jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over two basis points to 3.8056%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.6539% after rising by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Thursday as investors looked to the latest labor market insights and considered the state of the economy. Investors assessed the state of the economy as attention turned to the latest jobs data. Figures from ADP on Wednesday showed that private payrolls grew by more than expected in September, with private companies adding 143,000 jobs.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Investors, U.S . Labor, Federal Reserve

☆ Private payrolls show better-than-expected growth of 143,000 in September, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private sector hiring picked up in September, indicating the labor market is holding its ground despite some signs of weakness, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. While hiring increased, the rate of pay growth took another step down. The ADP count comes two days ahead of the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show growth of 150,000, following August's disappointing showing of 142,000, of which 118,000 came from private sector hiring. While the ADP report serves as a precursor to the official count, the two can differ, sometimes by wide margins. In a speech Monday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized the labor market as "solid" while noting that it has "clearly cooled" over the past year.

Persons: Dow Jones, switchers, Job, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Companies, Labor, Federal Reserve

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors weigh economic, geopolitical outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was last up by 2 basis points at 3.766%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last less than 1 basis point higher at 3.625%. Treasury yields were last higher on Wednesday as investors weighed the state of the U.S. economy and considered the latest developments in the Middle East. Powell also said that the recent 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed should not be taken as a signal that the central bank will continue cutting rates aggressively. Treasury yields had pulled back Tuesday as investors looked to them for safety among the developments in the region.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S . Labor, Federal Reserve, Investors, Tuesday Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Lebanon

☆ 4 reasons for the tech selling Tuesday — and why we're not changing our view on the group
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Ultimately, the slow starts to August and September did not stand in the way of Wall Street recording a strong third quarter . Tech woes : The S & P 500 tech sector is having a rough day on several different fronts. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, There's, Elliott Hill, John Donahoe, Lamb Weston, we'll, Slim Jim, Hunt's, Orville Redenbacher's, We're, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Federal Reserve, Coterra Energy, Tech, Apple, Citigroup, HP Inc, CDW Corp, Citi, Samsung Electronics, Nvidia, Broadcom, Energy, Nike, Maine Foods, Labor, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: East, Iran, Israel, China

☆ Two key inflation reports this week will help decide the size of the Fed's interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve gets its last look this week at inflation readings before it will determine the size of a widely expected interest rate cut soon. On Wednesday, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its consumer price index report for August. With the issue virtually settled over whether the Fed is going to cut rates when it wraps up the next policy meeting Sept. 18, the only question is by how much. "Inflation data has taken a backseat to labor market data in terms of influence on Fed policy," Citigroup economist Veronica Clark said in a note. "But with markets — and likely Fed officials themselves – split on the appropriate size of the first rate cut on September 18, August CPI data could remain an important factor in the upcoming decision."

Persons: Veronica Clark, Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, CPI, Citigroup, Fed, PPI

☆ August payrolls grew by a less-than-expected 142,000, but unemployment rate ticked down to 4.2%
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At the same time, the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.2%, as expected. The labor force expanded by 120,000 for the month, helping push the jobless level down by 0.1 percentage point, though the labor force participation rate held at 62.7%. The household survey, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate and is often more volatile than the survey of establishments, showed employment growth of 168,000. Markets showed little initial reaction to the data, with stock futures holding negative and Treasury yields also lower. While the August numbers were close to expectations, the previous two months saw substantial downward revisions.

Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Dan North Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, North America, Allianz Trade, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Dow

☆ The Fed's preferred inflation indicator is out Friday. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-29 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While the Fed uses a whole dashboard of indicators to measure inflation, the PCE index is its go-to data point and its sole forecasting tool when members release their quarterly projections. Policymakers especially hone in on the core PCE measure, which excludes food and energy, when making interest rate decisions. "To me, it's going to be just one more piece of evidence to confirm that the Fed is seeing sustainable inflation readings at a sustainable pace," said Beth Ann Bovino, chief economist at U.S. Bank. Any slight upticks are "really just base-effect kinds of things that aren't going to change the Fed's view." Fed officials aren't declaring victory over inflation yet, though recent statements indicate a more positive outlook.

Persons: Dow Jones, Beth Ann Bovino, aren't Organizations: Federal, Commerce Department, Fed, Labor, Dow, U.S . Bank

☆ Wholesale inflation measure rose 0.1% in July, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A key measure of wholesale inflation rose less than expected in July, opening the door further for the Federal Reserve to start lowering interest rates. Excluding volatile food and energy components, core PPI was flat. A further core measure that also excludes trade services showed an increase of 0.3%. Trade services prices fell 1.3% while margins for machinery and vehicles wholesaling tumbled 4.1%. An increase of 2.3% in portfolio management offset some of the decline in services prices.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, BLS, Trade Locations: Brooklyn, New York City

☆ The unemployment insurance program is unprepared for a recession, experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

However, the system that workers rely on to collect unemployment benefits is at risk of buckling — as it did during the Covid-19 pandemic — if there's another economic downturn, experts say. Unemployment insurance provides temporary income support to laid-off workers, thereby helping prop up consumer spending and the broader U.S. economy during downturns. There's also wide variation among states — which administer the programs — relative to factors like benefit amount, duration and eligibility, according to the report, authored by more than two dozen unemployment insurance experts. Why the unemployment insurance program buckledJoblessness ballooned in the pandemic's early days. Claims for unemployment benefits peaked at more than 6 million in early April 2020, up from roughly 200,000 a week before the pandemic.

Persons: Joe Raedle, Michele Evermore, There's, Andrew Stettner, NASI, Stettner, haven't, Indivar Dutta, Gupta Organizations: Getty, The Century Foundation, U.S . Labor Department's, National Academy of Social Insurance, Labor, Labor Department, Roosevelt Institute Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida, U.S

☆ Treasury yields slide ahead of July jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was down by over 4 basis points at 3.933%, remaining below the 4%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last around 5 basis points lower at 4.116%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Friday as investors looked ahead to the July jobs report and digested the interest rate outlook. The U.S. Labor Department's jobs report for July is slated for Friday, and will provide investors with insights into the state of the U.S. economy. The Federal Reserve earlier in the week kept rates unchanged at their latest meeting but hinted that a September rate cut was on the table, sending Treasury yields lower.

Persons: Dow, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Labor, Federal Locations: U.S

☆ Here's everything you need to know about Friday's big jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. labor market may have cooled some in July, as a gradual slowdown in the economy and Hurricane Beryl are expected to have taken some of the steam out of hiring. Still, even if the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report for July, to be released Friday at 8:30 a.m. "You're seeing just modest on-the-margin weakness in the labor market that [isn't likely to] spiral out of control into a negative feedback loop." Citigroup projects an even lower number — 150,000 on payrolls and a tick higher in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Should the unemployment rate keep climbing, it could raise fears that the so-called Sahm Rule is in danger of being triggered.

Persons: Hurricane Beryl, nonfarm, Mike Reynolds, Dow Jones, Goldman Sachs, Beryl Organizations: Amerant, Hurricane, Labor, Federal, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Citigroup Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida, The U.S, department's, Texas, Houston

☆ Private payroll growth slowed to 122,000 in July, less than expected, ADP says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private job growth slowed further in July while the pace of wage gains hit a three-year low, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added just 122,000 jobs on the month, the slowest pace since January and below the upwardly revised 155,000 in June. Several sectors reported net losses on the month. The ADP report comes two days before the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services releases its nonfarm payrolls count, which, unlike the ADP tally, includes government jobs. The two reports can differ substantially, with ADP overshooting the BLS estimate of 136,000 for private payrolls in June.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Companies, ADP, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Services Locations: New York City, Midwest

☆ Treasury yields hold steady ahead of Fed rate decision, policy guidance
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by less than one basis point to 4.1316%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.3584% after dipping by less than one basis point. With the Fed meeting set to end on Wednesday, investors looked to the central bank's monetary policy announcement and the post-meeting press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Questions also remain over how many rate cuts could be implemented by the Fed this year. After this month's meeting, three more are in the calendar for the central bank in 2024.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Fed, Labor, Survey

☆ Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in June, slightly hotter than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A measure of wholesale prices rose more than expected in June as Wall Street assesses when the Federal Reserve will feel comfortable cutting interest rates. The producer price index rose 0.2% last month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. The PPI is a gauge of prices that producers can get for their goods and services in the open market. Friday's report comes shortly after the June consumer price index came in cooler than expected on Thursday. The Fed's preferred inflation reading is the personal consumption expenditure price index.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Port, Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Traders Locations: Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Tesla powers S&P 500, Nasdaq to record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record highsThe S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at record highs in a shortened session ahead of the July 4 Independence Day holiday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell as the latest economic data indicated the jobs market was cooling. Despite some officials advocating for potential rate hikes, the Federal Open Market Committee ultimately decided to hold rates steady. [PRO] Tesla bull caseWedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his Tesla price target to $300 from $275, with a bull case of $400 by 2025.

Persons: Nela Richardson, Elliott Management's, Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, JPMorgan's Kolanovic, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Dubravko, Dan Ives Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, ADP, Southwest Airlines Locations: U.S

☆ We're changing our rating and price target on a beauty stock tied to China
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Downgrade : We're dropping Estee Lauder to our 2 rating from a buy-equivalent 1 rating and lowering our price target to $140 per share from $162. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Estee Lauder, Nicolas Hieronimus, Hieronimus, Lauder YTD, Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Microsoft, Nike, Management, L'Oreal, JPMorgan, Labor, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China

☆ Amazon hit with $5.9 million fine for violating California labor law
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Annie Palmer | In Annierpalmer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

California's labor regulator on Tuesday said it fined Amazon nearly $6 million for violating a state law aimed at curtailing the use of onerous warehouse productivity quotas. The California Labor Commissioner's Office said it investigated two Amazon facilities in Moreno Valley and Redlands, both located east of Los Angeles, and found 59,017 violations of the state's Warehouse Quotas law, officials said. The Warehouse Quotas law went into effect in 2022 and requires employers to disclose productivity quotas to employees and government agencies, as well as any discipline workers may face for not meeting them. The law also prohibits employers from requiring warehouse employees to meet unsafe quotas preventing them from taking state-mandated meal and rest breaks or using the bathroom. The Labor Department's Occupational Safety and Health Administration has also cited Amazon numerous times for safety violations.

Persons: Lilia Garcia, Brower, Sen, Ed Markey, It's, Maureen Lynch Vogel, they're Organizations: Amazon, California Labor Commissioner's Office, Labor, Occupational Safety, Health Administration Locations: California, Moreno Valley, Redlands, Los Angeles, Washington, New York, Minnesota, U.S

☆ Welcome to the age of geriatric millionaires
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

While it makes sense that time is often a crucial ingredient to accruing savings and assets, the average age of millionaires in the US has been rising faster than the average age of the overall population over the last three decades. How millionaires are changingSince 1992, the average age of the country's millionaires has been going up. That means that younger millionaires aren't joining their ranks fast enough to keep the average age steady. Millionaires are overrepresented beginning around age 50, but track pretty cleanly with the cohort in their 40's. What does it mean to have so many older millionaires?

Persons: —, Chuck Collins, inequality.org, Collins, America's, aren't, Garrett Watson, that's, Watson, Xers, Gen Xers, they've, haven't, That's, It's, Ed Yardeni, They're, Redfin, King Charles, King Charles III of, it's, You've Organizations: Service, Business, Policy Studies, Forbes, Consumer, Millionaires, Tax, Security, Labor, Institute for Policy Studies Locations: United Kingdom

☆ Wholesale prices unexpectedly fell 0.2% in May
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A measure of wholesale prices unexpectedly decreased in May, adding another piece of evidence that inflation is pulling back. The producer price index, a gauge of prices that producers get for their goods and services in the open market, declined 0.2% for the month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. Excluding food, energy and trade services, the PPI was unchanged, compared with expectations for a 0.3% increase. From the wholesale perspective, the PPI was held back by a 0.8% decrease in final demand goods prices, which was the largest decline since October 2023. On the services side, fuels and lubricants retailing margins surged 12.2%, but that was offset in part by a 4.3% plunge in airline passenger services prices.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, Stock, BLS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department

☆ U.S. adds a much-better-than-expected 272,000 jobs in May, but unemployment rate edges up to 4%
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4%, the first time it has breached that level since January 2022. The increase came even though the labor force participation rate decreased to 62.5%, down 0.2 percentage point. The survey of households used to compute the unemployment rate showed that the level of people who reported holding jobs fell by 408,000. A more encompassing unemployment figure that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons held steady at 7.4%. The household survey also showed that full-time workers declined by 625,000, while those holding part-time positions increased by 286,000.

Persons: Dow Jones, you've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Joe Raedle Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Getty Locations: U.S, Miami , Florida

☆ Jim Cramer says the stock market is a 'work in progress' towards a rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Tuesday's market action, suggesting to investors the moves may be a good setup for rate cuts. "You get a day like today, it's a work in progress toward a rate cut, hence why we rebounded in the late afternoon," he said. "We have days like today that are good setups for a rate cut, but that doesn't give us enough evidence to truly move the needle." Cramer also stressed that market action can't be explained in purely simple terms — even if such a fraught summation isn't satisfying. It doesn't make things simple," he said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Friday's Organizations: Federal Reserve

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