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Why there's a massive copper shortage
  + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Shawn Baldwin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Demand for copper is surging. The red metal, considered a barometer for economic health, is a vital component for the construction and defense industries as well as a key component in electric cars, wind turbines and the power grid. Existing mines and projects under construction will meet only 80% of copper needs by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency. "High-grade economic copper resources are not abundant, these things aren't all over the place, you have to go find them," said Chris LaFemina, global metals and mining analyst at Jefferies. To look at the challenges facing copper producers, CNBC got a behind the scenes look at Rio Tinto's Kennecott mining operation outside of Salt Lake City.
Persons: Chris LaFemina Organizations: International Energy Agency, Jefferies, CNBC Locations: Rio, Salt Lake City
A chipmaker was among Monday's biggest analyst calls along with a hospital stock. Morgan Stanley upgraded Micron Technology and raised its price target on the stock — though it sees only limited gains ahead. U.S. Steel shares have dropped more than 26% year to date. The bank upgraded the computer memory stock to equal weight from underweight and increased its price target to $130 per share from $98. He also raised hi 12-month price target to $226 from $189, implying upside of 27% from Friday's close.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Dell, Samik Chatterjee, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, DELL, — Brian Evans, Jefferies, Christopher LaFemina, LaFemina, Stifel, Ruben Roy, Baird, Tristan Gerra, Tom O'Malley, Brian Evans, Micron Technology Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Joseph Moore, Moore, AJ Rice, Rice, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Micron Technology, UBS, Universal Health Services, JPMorgan, Dell, Jefferies, U.S, Steel, U.S . Steel, Nippon Steel's, Wall, TAM, Nvidia, Barclays Locations: U.S, Friday's
[1/2] A train loaded with copper cathodes travels along a rail line inside the Chuquicamata copper mine, which is owned by Chile's state-run copper producer Codelco, near Calama city, Chile, April 1, 2011. Lundin last month agreed to pay $950 million for 51% control of the mine, calling the deal "an endorsement that we believe the mining royalty and taxation discussions are trending in the right direction." In the past 18 months, mining giants have been vocal about concerns in Chile. BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AX) said it might reevaluate its investments depending on new tax plans by the government, while Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX.N) has said it would pause expansion plans in Chile, citing political uncertainty. Lundin remains confident in the future of the Caserones project, which began operations in 2014 and has annual output of 100,000 tonnes of copper.
Glencore latest offer is for Teck's shareholders to receive 24% of the combined metals group and up to $8.2 billion in cash for those who may not want exposure to thermal coal, which is the most polluting fossil fuel. Teck said its board will review and evaluate the offer, but nevertheless believes it is "largely unchanged" from the original bid. "The revised proposal does not provide an increase in the overall value to be received by Teck shareholders or appear to address material risks previously raised," Teck said in a Tuesday statement. "Getting Teck's Class A shareholders on board is a separate, more substantial challenge," LaFemina added. Reuters on Monday reported that Glencore Chief Executive Gary Nagle plans to meet with some of Teck's Canadian shareholders in Toronto on Thursday to personally lobby them for support.
The outlook for the global mining industry is strong going into 2023, aided by higher commodity prices, Denise Johnson, group president at Caterpillar , told CNBC. Palladium, copper and gold prices are hitting new highs this week as investors eye China's reopening and anticipate a recovery in demand for these commodities. U.S. industrial names that could get a lift from miners' increased capex spend include Caterpillar and Kennametal , according to Jefferies. International names that may also benefit include Komatsu, Hitachi Construction Machinery, Weir Group, Epiroc and Sandvik, the firm noted. Bank of America analysts upgraded Caterpillar to a buy rating on Friday, citing China's reopening and increased infrastructure spending.
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