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☆ This will be an economically 'testing time' for Israel, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis will be an economically 'testing time' for Israel, economist saysMoritz Kraemer, chief economist at LBBW, says "economically, fiscally, this is going to be a much more testing time for Israel than it has been."

Persons: Moritz Kraemer Locations: Israel

High funding needs and central banks removing support are increasing pricing uncertainty for investors, Sophia Drossos, hedge fund Point72 Asset Management's chief economist, said. Spending plans lacking credibility were seen as most likely to spark market turmoil. I suspect not by default, but when markets start reflecting their worries in Treasury prices, by a political crisis and a potentially ugly adjustment," the former IMF chief economist said. Italy's 2.4 trillion-euro debt pile is the focus in Europe, where the IMF has said high debt leaves governments vulnerable to crisis. "We need more investment, not less," said King's College London professor Jonathan Portes, Britain's cabinet office chief economist during the financial crisis.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Peter Praet, Praet, Sophia Drossos, Daniel Ivascyn, Claudio Borio, Olivier Blanchard, Ray Dalio, Janet Yellen's, Yellen, Jim Leaviss, Giancarlo Giorgetti, Daleep Singh, Joe Biden, Britain's, Yellen's, Jonathan Portes, Clare Lombardelli, Moritz Kraemer, Yoruk Bahceli, Maria Martinez, Leigh Thomas, Giuseppe Fonte, Nell Mackenzie, Naomi Rovnick, William Schomberg, Jan Strupczewski, Dan Burns, Elisa Martinuzzi, Riddhima Talwani, Jayaram, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Financial, of, REUTERS, Institute of International Finance, Reuters, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank for International, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Associates, U.S . Treasury, Wall, Economy, Britain's Treasury, Congressional, Britain's, Institution, Reuters Graphics ACT, King's College London, Labour Party, OECD, Graphics, Thomson Locations: of Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Italy, Britain, United States, Europe, Ukraine, Berlin, Paris, Rome, London, Brussels, Washington, Marrakech

High funding needs and central banks removing support are increasing pricing uncertainty for investors, Sophia Drossos, hedge fund Point72 Asset Management's chief economist, said. Spending plans lacking credibility were seen as most likely to spark market turmoil. I suspect not by default, but when markets start reflecting their worries in Treasury prices, by a political crisis and a potentially ugly adjustment," the former IMF chief economist said. "We need more investment, not less," said King's College London professor Jonathan Portes, Britain's cabinet office chief economist during the financial crisis. Not enough reforms are being implemented, OECD chief economist Clare Lombardelli warned.

☆ German industrial output falls more than expected in July
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Continental employee works at a tyre retreating station before the visit of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, in Hanover, Germany April 17, 2023. REUTERS/Fabian Bimmer/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBERLIN, Sept 7 (Reuters) - German industrial production fell by slightly more than expected in July, the federal statistics office said on Thursday, underlining the challenges faced by the sector after a winter downturn in Europe's largest economy. Production fell by 0.8% in July compared to the previous month. In the less volatile three-month comparison, production between May and July was 1.9% lower than the previous three months, the data showed. Jens-Oliver Niklasch of LBBW said Thursday's data underscored "the continued crumbling of the economy" and predicted the third quarter would bring a decline in economic output.

Persons: Olaf Scholz, Fabian Bimmer, Alexander Krueger, Hauck Aushaeuser Lampe, Jens, Oliver Niklasch, LBBW, Friederike Heine, Maria Sheahan, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Hanover, Germany

☆ US loss of AAA badge a reminder of 'regime shift' for government debt
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"I think it really brings home that shift being a regime shift rather than a cyclical one," Katimbo-Mugwanya said. S&P said the assumption that governments would prioritise servicing debt over spending promises had rarely been tested at such high debt levels. For now, despite the steepest increases in borrowing costs in decades, investors still see little risk in holding governments' longer-term debt. POLICY WATCHGreater focus on longer-term risks should bring scrutiny of government policies. Still, with higher debt an economic reality, few governments are left with the coveted AAA rating.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, David Katimbo, Mugwanya, Bill Ackman, Moritz Kraemer, Fichan, Kraemer, Kshitij Sinha, Martin Lenz, LBBW's Kraemer, Yoruk Bahceli, Davide Barbuscia, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, AAA, Financial, Fitch, EdenTree Investment Management, P Global, LBBW, European Union, European Commission, European Central Bank, Syz, New York Fed, Life Asset, Union Investment, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Japan

☆ German economy faces uphill climb as industrial output falls
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

BERLIN, July 7 (Reuters) - A swift economic recovery for Germany appeared less likely on Friday as data showed a surprise fall in industrial production. Output fell by 0.2% in May compared with the previous month, the federal statistical office said. The industrial production data was a reminder of the uphill climb in Europe's biggest economy if it is to shake off recession, after a surprise increase in May orders fuelled some optimism on Thursday. "We may just see stagnation in the second quarter, but much more likely a renewed decline in economic output," he added. The office offers a breakdown of the data on industrial production on its website.

Persons: Carsten Brzeski, Brzeski, Jens, Oliver Niklasch, Anna Mackenzie, Rene Wagner, Rachel More, Miranda Murray Organizations: Reuters, ING, Thomson Locations: BERLIN, Germany, Ukraine

☆ EU debt’s credibility problem is worsening
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Rebecca Christie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

BRUSSELS, May 9 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The European Union’s debt credibility is suffering from rising doubts, as well as rising rates. Relative to initial projections, EU borrowing costs are on course to go up by tens of billions of euros. Even so, as of Tuesday, two-year EU bonds were yielding 3.02% compared to 2.79% for France and 2.94% for Spain , with five-year EU bonds at 2.87% against 2.63% for France . EU debt trades as a supranational institution, not a country. Financially, the EU general budget will be able to manage the increase in debt costs using existing measures.

☆ German corporate treasurers urged not to underestimate the current situation
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

FRANKFURT, March 16 (Reuters) - German corporate treasuers were urged by an industry association on Thursday not to "underestimate the current situation" as cracks in the global banking system emerge. The warning came in a blog post on Thursday from the Association of German Treasurers entitled "SVB collapse not without consequences for treasurers" asking whether this was a "Lehman 2.0" moment. "Nevertheless, treasurers should not underestimate the current situation, even if they themselves are not directly or indirectly affected by the collapse of the three U.S. banks," the association wrote. It cited a reserch report from the bank LBBW saying that a flight to quality could weaken smaller and medium-sized banks. Reporting by Tom Sims and Marta Orosz Editing by Paul CarrelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Europe considers a digital currency as it strives to counter U.S. and China's tech dominance
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Silvia Amaro | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The European Central Bank is working on a digital currency as the region seeks to protect itself from tensions with China and the United States. The central bank started investigating the feasibility of a digital euro back in October 2021. Right now, Europe lacks digital platforms," Guido Zimmermann, senior economist at German bank LBBW, told CNBC Wednesday. "Already now more than two thirds of European card payment transactions are run by companies with headquarters outside the European Union," she added. Mastercard , Visa , PayPal, Alipay and UnionPay make up the top global companies for payments.

☆ Central banks are most worried about a price-wage spiral, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCentral banks are most worried about a price-wage spiral, economist saysMoritz Kraemer of LBBW discusses the outlook for monetary policy and the factors likely to influence it, such as energy prices, the labor market and inflation.

☆ German producer prices unexpectedly fall in October
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

BERLIN, Nov 21 (Reuters) - German producer prices fell unexpectedly on the month in October, due primarily to a dip in prices for electricity and distributed natural gas, according to data released on Monday. Producer prices of industrial products fell 4.2% on the month, theFederal Statistical Office reported, compared with economists' expectations for a rise of 0.9%. October marks the first month-on-month decrease in producer prices, considered a leading indicator for consumer prices, since May 2020. Electricity prices were down 16.9% across all customer groups compared with September 2022, while prices of natural gas were down 9.0%, according to the office. Germany's consumer prices, harmonised to compare with other European countries, were 11.6% higher year-on-year in October.

LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - New G7 and European Union sanctions on Russian oil exports will have a muted impact on flows and global prices according to analysts polled by Reuters, as Russia is set to largely succeed in rerouting its trade eastward. Analysts at the Bank of Nova Scotia, however, saw oil export and production levels remaining relatively flat despite the sanctions. Up to 80-90% of Russian oil could still flow if Moscow seeks to flout the G7 price cap, a U.S. treasury official told Reuters last month, leaving 1-2 million bpd shut in. "The implementation of Russian sanctions ... will remove 1.5 million bpd of supply from the market. "While we believe (the price cap) would be very difficult to implement, it would directionally raise the likelihood of more Russian oil staying on the market at any price."

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