Under the University of Virginia Center for Politics' current projections, there are five true toss-up states: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada.
The reality is that if Biden is stuck playing defense in states Democrats usually win, Trump's return to the White House will be a foregone conclusion.
The only question then will be how many Electoral College votes would the former president win.
"If Biden's position gets worse, that's when you see maybe a Virginia or New Mexico get in play," Kondik said.
Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, or Minnesota are not going to be the states that put Trump over 270.
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