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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFund manager: Stay away from Boeing shares as more problems are ahead for the companyMario Veneroso of Kingsview Asset Management says that Boeing has been "dead money" for awhile and he sees a tough road ahead even though it has a strong order book.
Persons: Mario Veneroso Organizations: Email, Boeing, Kingsview, Management
Still-hawkish Fed pauses rate tightening after 10 straight hikes
  + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +13 min
While the market expected a hawkish pause, this is even a little bit more hawkish than market participants anticipated and that’s why you’re having a negative reaction in risk assets. So, it does suggest that the Fed is looking to tighten policy further, but the big question is can the Fed credibly commit to two more rate hikes if they just decided to actually hold rates steady. And what is the threshold for further rate hikes? “GEORGE YOUNG, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, VILLERE & CO, NEW ORLEANS"This a pregnant pause, meaning that they said they're going to pause hikes today but they're going to increase later. ANGELO KOURKAFAS, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, EDWARD JONES, ST LOUIS"We're seeing a more hawkish pause.
Persons: QUINCY KROSBY, Powell, He’s, BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, ” ANDRZEJ SKIBA, ” GENNADIY GOLDBERG, they’ve, ” ELLEN HAZEN, Logan, Waller, “ GEORGE, ANGELO KOURKAFAS, EDWARD JONES, They've, MICHAEL BROWN, hawkishly, WHITNEY WATSON, GOLDMAN, , STOVALL, ” PAUL NOLTE, MICHAEL JAMES Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S, RBC, CPI, PPI, Powell &, Cleveland Fed, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHARLOTTE, NC, WISCONSIN, WELLESLEY , MASSACHUSETTS, ORLEANS, GOLDMAN SACHS, Manheim, ALLENTOWN, CHICAGO
JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) fell 1.2% as it set aside $1.4 billion in anticipation of a mild recession, even after beating quarterly profit estimates. The bank's Chief Executive Jamie Dimon listed a number of uncertainties facing the economy including geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation. Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) reported better-than-expected profit, with CEO Brian Moynihan also acknowledging an "increasingly slowing economic environment". Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) and Citigroup Inc (C.N) fell short of quarterly profit estimates, sending their shares down 3.9% and 0.6% respectively. Keeping the pressure off the Dow Jones, UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH.N) rose 1.9% after beating Wall Street expectations for fourth-quarter profit.
The Dow ended lower, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) ended well off the day's highs. A consumer prices report due Thursday could be key for rate expectations, said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist, LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina. Also, S&P 500 companies are about to kick off the fourth-quarter earnings period, with results from top U.S. banks expected later this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 112.96 points, or 0.34%, to 33,517.65, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 2.99 points, or 0.08%, to 3,892.09 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 66.36 points, or 0.63%, to 10,635.65. The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 129 new highs and 32 new lows.
Nonfarm payrolls increased 223,000 last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. Monthly job growth is well above the pace needed to keep up with growth in the working age population. "Through the rest of the report, the average hourly earnings month over month came in at 0.3%. But everything else about this shows a very, very resilient labor market which doesn’t bode well for a smaller rate hike. "Fed will look at these numbers and say that the labor market is still pretty robust and to the extent that they would like to see a bit of slack in the labor market."
Most rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks such as Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) and Meta Platforms Inc (META.O) fell between 0.7% and 1.4% on Friday, as U.S. Treasury yields rose. The losses made communication services (.SPLRCL), technology (.SPLRCT) and the retail index (.SPXRT) among the top decliners on the S&P 500, with the three sectors shedding between 0.9% and 1.2%. The S&P 500 growth index (.IGX) is down about 30.5% this year, while the value index (.IVX) has fallen just 7.7%, with investors preferring high dividend-yielding sectors with steady earnings such as energy. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.51-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.73-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 79 new lows.
The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) fell for the fifth straight session on Wednesday. The Nasdaq (.IXIC) was down for the fourth straight session, dragged lower by a 1.3% drop in Apple Inc (AAPL.O) on Morgan Stanley's iPhone shipment target cut and a 3.9% fall in Tesla Inc (.IXIC) over production loss worries. The CBOE volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to a two-week high to 23.01 points. The S&P 500 is on track to snap a three-year winning streak, down 17.4% so far in 2022. The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and seven new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 36 new highs and 226 new lows.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) has gained 17.5% in the last two months, while the Nasdaq index (.IXIC) has added 4.2%. Traders expect the Fed to increase rates by 50 basis points in December, with the rates peaking in June 2023. So I don't really make much out of that, I'd like to see what Powell has to say," Saluzzi added. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.15-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.09-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded three new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 51 new highs and 120 new lows.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Thursday the U.S. central bank needed to keep raising interest rates given that its tightening so far "had only limited effects on observed inflation". The comments, coming on the heels of strong retail sales data, dampened hopes of the Fed toning down its hawkish approach following softer-than-expected inflation reports. They are getting more comfortable with a generally higher interest rate regime," said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. ET, Dow e-minis were up 224 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 35.5 points, or 0.9%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 118.25 points, or 1.01%. Applied Materials Inc (AMAT.O) gained 4.0% after the chip tools maker forecast first-quarter revenue above estimates, on hopes of easing supply chain constraints.
read moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: S&P 500 futures turned sharply higher and were up 3.1%BONDS: The yield on 10-year Treasury notes tumbled and was down 21.5 basis points at 3.927%; The two-year U.S. Treasury yield was down 26.6 basis points at 4.362%. The dollar index was off 1.3%COMMENTS:BRIAN JACOBSEN, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN“Well, that was a relief. And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.
VIEW Comfortably cool US Oct CPI spells relief for Fed
  + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. Next, we immediately turned our attention to the CPI and that clearly came in better than expected. It rocketed the futures higher and then to top it off, weekly initial unemployment claims came in higher than expected. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.
read moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: S&P 500 futures turned sharply higher and were up 3.1%BONDS: The yield on 10-year Treasury notes tumbled and was down 21.5 basis points at 3.927%; The two-year U.S. Treasury yield was down 26.6 basis points at 4.362%. And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. Next, we immediately turned our attention to the CPI and that clearly came in better than expected. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.
3 Markets rejoice after surprisingly cool inflation report
  + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +9 min
YUNG-YU MA, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, BMO WEALTH MANAGEMENT, CHICAGO“The better-than-expected CPI numbers are welcome but show a lot of underlying volatility. What Powell said is that we are going to need a few more reads on good CPI data before he can say we’re done." Shelter is the main contributor to inflation and everyone should know by now that it’s a garbage indicator of where inflation is headed. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. “The good news is that we saw a significant sequential improvement, inflation is clearly moving in the right direction.
A standout all year, the S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) is up 26% in October alone, against an 8% rise for the overall S&P 500 (.SPX). Overall S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed just 4%. Indeed, excluding energy's contribution, S&P 500 earnings are set to have declined 3.5% in the quarter, according to IBES. Energy companies are benefiting from rising oil and gas prices, with U.S. crude prices up 16% so far this year. Indeed, energy sector earnings are expected to decline 11.5% in 2023, according to IBES data.
Wall Street surges as market seeks bottoming signs
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Reuters Staff | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
FILE PHOTO: Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. That seems to be the daily MO for the market.”PHIL BLANCATO CEO OF CEO OF LADENBURG THALMANN ASSET MANAGEMENT“This is the turnaround week every single year. If you look for the single best turnaround week for the year, it’s always the second week of October. The fourth quarter is on average the best quarter every single year and on average the turnaround week happens the second week of October. You’re seeing earnings hold on so far.
Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterInvestors were anxiously awaiting the producer price index report Wednesday and consumer price index data on Thursday. "A few investors might be trying to bet on a better-than-expected inflation report," said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Investment Management in Chicago. The S&P bank index (.SPXBK) was down 1.1% ahead of quarterly results from some major banks later this week. The reports are expected to kick off the third-quarter reporting period for S&P 500 companies. The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 95 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 517 new lows.
With that, concern about earnings has been rising as companies face higher inflation and possibly weakening demand. "The market is most worried about demand slowing in the U.S. and demand slowing globally," she said. Analysts have cut their S&P 500 earnings estimates for the third and fourth quarters, and for all of 2022. "Really up until maybe a month or two ago, we didn't see much in the way of earnings downgrades. The S&P 500 (.SPX) is down 23% for the year so far, while the Nasdaq is down 31%.
Aggressive Fed hikes rates another 75 bp, surprising no one
  + stars: | 2022-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
So this is a pretty hawkish 75 basis point increase when it comes to how the text reads." What it's telling us is that the Fed is expecting to rates to continue to move higher into 2023." There's a camp that says whatever the Fed guides to has typically been the floor and not the ceiling. This communication is basically signaling that the Fed's going to continue to be aggressive and remain hawkish. Not only did the Fed hike another unusually large 75 bps today, it is basically saying it will do it again in November.
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