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☆ Yield differential is the 'root cause' of Japanese Yen's weakness: Analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYield differential is the 'root cause' of Japanese Yen's weakness: AnalystKhoon Goh of ANZ discusses the continued weakness of the Japanese Yen and says that while the U.S. Fed could alleviate some of the pressure, it is unlikely to do so.

Persons: Khoon Goh Organizations: ANZ Locations: U.S

☆ Current yen levels are 'very uncomfortable' for Japanese officials: ANZ
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCurrent yen levels are 'very uncomfortable' for Japanese officials: ANZKhoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ, says while they will most likely continue to "jawbone," the "hurdle is quite high" for actual intervention.

Persons: ANZ Khoon Goh Organizations: ANZ Locations: Asia

☆ Dollar teeters near one-year low; euro scales 17-month peak
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. “I think the dollar can stay under selling pressure,” said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. Money markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point rate hike from the Fed at its policy meeting later this month, though see rates coming down as early as December. Conversely, investors expect the European Central Bank and the Bank of England to have further to go in their rate-hike cycle. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen rose marginally to 138.66 per dollar and remains more than 4% clear of a seven-month low it hit last month.

Persons: Rick Wilking, ”, Carol Kong, Ryota Abe, China’s, Khoon Goh Organizations: greenback, REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, “, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, SMBC, Reserve Bank of Australia’s, New Zealand, ANZ Locations: SINGAPORE, Westminster , Colorado, Asia

☆ Dollar teeters near one-year low while euro scales 17-month peak
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"I think the dollar can stay under selling pressure," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. Money markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point rate hike from the Fed at its policy meeting later this month, though see rates coming down as early as December. Conversely, investors expect the European Central Bank and the Bank of England to have further to go in their rate-hike cycle. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen rose marginally to 138.66 per dollar and remains more than 4% clear of a seven-month low it hit last month. The Bank of Japan, or BOJ, holds its monetary policy meeting next week, with investors on the lookout for whether the central bank will start phasing out its ultra-dovish policy stance.

Persons: Carol Kong, Ryota Abe, China's, Khoon Goh Organizations: greenback, U.S, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, SMBC, Reserve Bank of Australia's, New Zealand, ANZ Locations: Asia

☆ Dollar rises as hawkish central banks cast shadow over growth outlook; dent risk sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rate hike surprises and hawkish comments from central banks globally have renewed market fears that policymakers have further to go in tightening policy to tame inflation, even at the risk of tipping their economies into a recession. Norway's central bank on Thursday also stunned markets with a 50 bp rate hike and said it aimed for another hike in August. "Markets are definitely taken by surprise by the recent, more aggressive actions that some central banks had to take," said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ. "Also putting into question the following trend of other central banks that initially looked like they've paused but went on to hike rates ... so that's something that markets are starting to become worried about again." Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday the central bank would move interest rates at a "careful pace" from here.

Persons: stoked, Sterling, Nick Bennenbroek, Khoon Goh, they've, Jerome Powell Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, U.S ., The, New, Swiss National Bank, ANZ, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo, New Zealand, Asia

☆ Bank Indonesia to hold key rate at 5.75% for rest of year: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Anant Chandak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

All 34 economists in the June 14-19 Reuters poll expected the central bank to hold its benchmark seven-day reverse repurchase rate (IDCBRR=ECI) at the conclusion of its June 21-22 meeting. Nearly two-thirds of respondents, 15 of 23, said the key policy rate would remain at that level for the rest of 2023, with eight economists expecting a rate cut this year. "Bank Indonesia was one of the first central banks in the region to pause its tightening cycle earlier this year. Mapa added BI would "only consider cutting policy rates should global central banks opt to ease monetary policy." Median forecasts showed a 25-basis-point rate cut to 5.50% in the first quarter of 2024, a slight downgrade from the 50-basis-point cut expected in a May poll.

Persons: Nicholas Mapa, Khoon Goh, Anant Chandak, Veronica Khongwir, Madhumita Gokhale, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Bank Indonesia, Reuters, " Bank Indonesia, ING, Mapa, U.S, Fed, ANZ, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, U.S, Europe, Asia

SINGAPORE, May 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell slightly from a five-week high on Monday after a period of strength that has confused analysts. The euro was up 0.27% against the dollar on Monday at $1.088, rebounding after falling 1.54% the previous week. That helped send the dollar index , which measures the greenback against six major peers, down 0.19% to 102.49. Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets, said a pick-up in U.S. bond yields over the last two days had supported the currency. "If you remove the uncertainty around the debt ceiling situation, the sentiment has been turning bearish against the dollar," said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ.

☆ Dollar rises to 5-week high on inflation worries; lira falls
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Worries over a debt-ceiling standoff on raising the U.S. government's $31.4 trillion borrowing limit also lent some support to the safe-haven dollar. "Now that the Fed is sort of out of the way, inflation in the U.S. has come in softer than expected. The Japanese currency dipped as low as 136.27 per dollar, and was last about 0.3% lower at 136.17 per dollar. The dollar was last up 0.28% at 19.635 Turkish lira after earlier jumping to 19.70 for the first time since March 10. The U.S. currency sank 0.72% to 33.735 baht in onshore Thai trading, and earlier dipped as much as 0.92%.

The MSCI All-World index (.MIWD00000PUS) fell 0.2%, thanks to a broad-based decline in equities around the world. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures , fell between 0.3-0.5%, suggesting a touch of weakness at the opening bell. The Fed's "beige book" of economic conditions is published on Wednesday and appearances are due from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and New York Fed President John Williams. In an interview with Reuters on Tuesday, St Louis Fed President James Bullard said that, far from pausing, the central bank should keep raising interest rates, based on how persistent inflation has proven to be. UK inflation fell to 10.1% in March, from February's 10.4% - above expectations for a decline to 9.8% and the highest in western Europe, according to data on Wednesday.

☆ Stocks slip as focus turns back to Fed and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"With those stresses easing away, markets are now back to focusing on the Fed." A slew of Federal Reserve speakers are in the frame over the rest of this week ahead of the pre-meeting blackout period that begins on the weekend. The Fed's "beige book" of economic conditions is published on Wednesday and appearances are due from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and New York Fed President John Williams. "Lower rate volatility and reduced expectations for Fed rate hikes should put the broad U.S. dollar in a weaker position," HSBC analysts said in a currency outlook note. This held down real yields, propped up equity multiples, and tightened credit spreads in the face of falling earnings expectations.

☆ Stocks slip as focus falls back on Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed's "beige book" of economic conditions is published later on Wednesday and appearances are due from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and New York Fed President John Williams. Markets are pricing an 86% chance the Fed raises rates by 25 basis points at the May meeting, and that wasn't swayed terribly much by conflicting outlooks from two non-voting Fed officials on Tuesday. St Louis Fed President James Bullard told Reuters the Fed ought to keep raising rates to subdue persistent inflation. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told CNBC he thinks the Fed should hike one more time then pause to consider the next move. The prospect of peak rates has been applying downward pressure on the U.S. dollar.

☆ Singapore core inflation steady at 5.5%, focus on April policy review
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Chen Lin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

February's core inflation rate - which excludes private road transport and accommodation costs - compared with a forecast in a Reuters poll of economists for a 5.8% increase in February. However, the inflation rate in February is still at the same level as in January, which was the fastest pace seen since November, 2008. MAS has said core inflation was likely to stay at about 5% for the early part of 2023. It has also projected a core inflation rate of between 3.5% to 4.5% in 2023, with headline inflation coming in at between 5.5% and 6.5%. While analysts said inflation in February was below their forecasts, there were divisions over the implications for a monetary policy review MAS will conduct in April.

☆ We still expect some Asian central banks to continue hiking interest rates, says ANZ Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe still expect some Asian central banks to continue hiking interest rates, says ANZ BankKhoon Goh of the bank says "this is not the start of an easing cycle in this region — far from it." 01:48 3 minutes ago

☆ Indonesian rupiah and Indian rupee have lagged behind other emerging market currencies: ANZ Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndonesian rupiah and Indian rupee have lagged behind other emerging market currencies: ANZ BankKhoon Goh of the bank says the two economies are not seen as "huge beneficiaries" of China's reopening.

☆ Malaysia surprises by holding rates as economic risks loom
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( A. Ananthalakshmi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Bank Negara Malaysia held the overnight policy rate at 2.75%. "Today's decision allows the monetary policy committee to assess the impact of the cumulative past overnight policy rate (OPR) adjustments, given the lag effects of monetary policy on the economy," Bank Negara Malaysia said in a statement. Future monetary policy moves would depend on both domestic inflation and the growth outlook, it said. The central bank has said growth in 2022 likely surpassed the government's 6.5%-7% forecast, but would drop to 4%-5% this year. Capital Economics said it now expects the Malaysian central bank to hold interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year, and begin cutting in 2024.

☆ Malaysia central bank to hike rates to 3.00% on Thursday: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( Sujith Pai | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) became in May last year one of the first Asian central banks to hike rates in the current cycle and has added a cumulative 100 basis points. Median forecasts in the poll showed inflation to average 3.0% this year, an upgrade from the 2.8% predicted in October. All but one of 27 economists in the Jan. 10-16 Reuters poll forecast the central bank to hike its overnight policy rate (MYINTR=ECI) to 3.00%, where it was before the pandemic, at its meeting on Jan. 19. While a slim majority of respondents, 13 of 24, expected rates to still be 3.00% at end-March, 10 of them had a 3.25% forecast. Nearly 60% of economists, 14 of 24, expected rates to reach 3.25% or above by end-June, a quarter point higher from a November poll.

☆ Dollar stays bullish on resilient U.S. jobs market
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-06 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A separate report also revealed that private employment increased by 235,000 jobs last month, far exceeding expectations for a 150,000 increase. Against a basket of currencies, the U.S. dollar index jumped 0.9% to a nearly one-month peak of 105.27 overnight. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar rose 0.6% to hit a one-week top of 134.045 yen overnight, and last bought 133.44 yen. December's flash inflation figures for the euro zone will also be out on Friday, where expectations are for an annual inflation rate of 9.7%. Data from Germany, France and Spain have already showed a slowdown in inflation last month, suggesting that euro zone inflation could come in below expectations.

☆ Reaction to Anwar Ibrahim's appointment as Malaysian prime minister
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Malaysia's king appointed long-time opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim as prime minister on Thursday, ending five days of unprecedented post-election crisis after inconclusive polls. Anwar's appointment caps a three-decade long political journey from a protege of veteran leader Mahathir Mohamad to protest leader, to a prisoner convicted of sodomy, to opposition leader and, finally, prime minister. The former finance minister and deputy prime minister will have to address soaring inflation and slowing growth, while calming ethnic tension that has flared since a Saturday election. ADIB ZALKAPLI, DIRECTOR AT POLITICAL RISK CONSULTANCY BOWERGROUPASIA:"With the appointment of Anwar as the 10th prime minister, this is a closure to the longest-running political crisis in Malaysia that began 24 years ago when he was sacked by the prime minister Mahathir Mohamad .... So it's an important closure, Anwar has been the longest-serving potential prime minister candidate.

Hong Kong/Tokyo CNN Business —A quarter of a century ago, a major financial crisis ripped through Asia, shaking its economies to the core. “I do not expect a repeat of the [1997] Asian Financial Crisis this time,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at ANZ Research. “Importantly, there is not the same build up of foreign denominated debt in recent years, which was one of the triggers of the Asian Financial Crisis,” Goh added. China and Japan have the world’s two biggest foreign exchange reserves, holding $3 trillion and $1.3 trillion respectively. “Asia’s resilience in the face of the current global storm is partly the result of reform that the Asian Financial Crisis prompted,” Neumann from HSBC said.

☆ Explainer: What's inside China's toolbox to rein in excess yuan weakness?
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The local currency also looks set for the biggest annual loss since 1994, when China unified official and market exchange rates. The rapid yuan declines prompted the People's Bank of China (PBOC) to lower the amount of foreign exchange financial institutions must hold as reserves to rein in weakness. The PBOC has been setting firmer-than-expected daily yuan midpoint fixings since late August to prevent excess yuan weakness, as the onshore spot yuan can only trade in a 2% narrow range around the midpoint. The central bank adjusted the methodology a few times before suspending it in October 2020. "The yuan exchange rate level itself is not the most important, the nature of the issue is whether China's cross-border capital flows remain stable," said Zhong Zhengsheng, chief economist at Ping An Securities.

☆ Chinese yuan could hit 7.10 level, says ANZ Bank
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese yuan could hit 7.10 level, says ANZ BankKhoon Goh of the bank says the "psychological 7 level has broken" and discusses the factors causing the Chinese yuan to depreciate further.

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