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"What we've seen is deposit pressures escalate more than previously anticipated," said Alexander Yokum, analyst at CFRA Research, who has a neutral view on regional banks. "A lot of these regional banks, they have less deposits, so if they lose deposits, it can really impact their operating results," Yokum said. "So, higher for longer, I think for a lot of regional banks, would be negative." Here's what Wall Street analysts expect from regional banks this season. Other regional banks reporting this week include Fifth Third Bancorp .
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Yokum, Goldman Sachs, Ryan M, Nash, America's Ebrahim H, Poonawala, CFRA's Yokum, Citi's Keith Horowitz, " Horowitz, Huntington Bancshares Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Regional Banking, U.S . Bancorp, New York Community, CFRA Research, JPMorgan Chase, T Bank, PNC, " Bank, America's, U.S . Bancorp U.S . Bancorp, U.S . Bank, Bank of America, Huntington, Comerica KeyCorp, Comerica, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: U.S, New, Ohio
Late Friday, Moody's Investors Service cut the deposit rating of NYCB's main banking subsidiary by four notches, to Ba3 from Baa2, putting it three levels below investment grade. The downgrade could trigger contractual obligations from business clients of NYCB who require the bank to maintain an investment grade deposit rating, according to analysts who track the company. But the figures are from the day before Moody's began slashing the bank's ratings, sparking speculation about possible flight of deposits since then. For instance, while Fitch Ratings cut NYCB's credit ratings to junk last week, it kept the bank's long-term uninsured deposits at BBB-, one level above junk. To replace deposits, NYCB could raise brokered deposits, issue new debt or borrow from the Federal Reserve's facilities, but that would all probably come at a higher cost, McGratty said.
Persons: NYCB, Moody's, Keith Horowitz, Horowitz, John Pinto, Chris McGratty, NYCB didn't, McGratty Organizations: New York Community Bank, New, Community Bank, Moody's, Citigroup, Fitch, BBB, Federal, CNBC PRO Locations: New, Yonkers , New York, Baa2, Moody's
A New York bank is under severe pressure Friday close to one year after absorbing a large chunk of another bank 30 miles away that had failed. That pressure has been compounded at the Hicksville, New York, bank because it grew massively almost overnight after absorbing the failed Signature Bank. That put New York Community Bancorp at a new level that requires higher regulatory scrutiny, a transition that has been rocky. One of those failed banks, Signature, was acquired by New York Community Bancorp, pushing it above $100 billion in assets, which by law puts it under more scrutiny from regulators. DiNello was CEO of Flagstar Bank, which New York Community Bancorp acquired in late 2022.
Persons: Thomas Cangemi, , Joe Biden, ” Citi’s Keith Horowitz, Horowitz, Cangemi, Alessandro DiNello, DiNello Organizations: New York Community Bancorp, Moody’s, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Bank, Industry, Flagstar Bank, New, Community Bancorp Locations: York, New, , New York
Elsewhere, Goldman Sachs reiterated a buy rating on Nvidia and raised its price target on the high-flying semiconductor maker. Yet his price target sits at $225, implying an upside of 19.7% as he sees opportunity elsewhere. "Anyone pulling up a chart of UBER share price performance in 2023 will think, 'That's a scary chart. Analyst Sarah James upgraded the insurer to overweight from neutral and hiked her price target o $372 from $334. — Alex Harring 5:42 a.m.: Goldman hikes Nvidia price target Things continue to look up for Nvidia , according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Piper Sandler, Alexander Potter, Potter, Tesla, Alex Harring, Bernstein, Uber, Nikhil Devnani, Devnani, — Alex Harring, Keith Horowitz, Horowitz, Cantor Fitzgerald Cigna, Cantor Fitzgerald, Sarah James, James, Ben Hendrix, Hendrix, Christopher Horvers, Horvers, Barbie, Goldman, FY4Q, Toshiya Hari, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Mattel, Nvidia, Citi, Investors, Citizens, Financial, New York Community Bancorp, Aozora, T Bank, RBC Capital, Warner Bros, Golden Globes, Microsoft Locations: California, New, Friday's
Analyst Brad Capuzzi's $8 price target is 43% above where the stock closed on Monday afternoon. "Shares have substantially outperformed this year; catalyzed by the exit of the logistics business & newfound emphasis on profitability," wrote analyst Clarke Jeffries. Bank of America's Vivek Arya lifted his price target to $1,200, or more than a 26% increase from the stock's Monday close of $950.24. Herbert upgraded Boeing to outperform from sector perform and lifted his price target to $275 from $200. "We believe we are in the early stages of a significant shift in sentiment on BA stock," analyst Ken Herbert wrote.
Persons: Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Brad Capuzzi's, Capuzzi, Lisa Kailai Han, Goldman Sachs, Keith Horowitz, Horowitz, Goldman, — Lisa Kailai Han, Clarke Jeffries, Jeffries, Bernstein, Peter Weed, Weed, UBS downgrades ChargePoint, Robert Jamieson, Jamieson, bode, Timothy Arcuri, America's Vivek Arya, Arcuri, Arya, Herbert, Ken Herbert, John Hecht, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Tuesday's, RBC, Boeing, UBS, Citi Citi, UBS downgrades, UBS doesn't, Broadcom, VMWare, Bank of America, Bank, America's, RBC Capital Markets, , Jefferies Locations: underperform, LendingClub, Goldman Sachs
However, Citi thinks the stock has been "caught in the storm" and sees upside potential ahead. Following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, Zions got caught in a broader panic among regional banks, which led to deposit outflows and funding pressures. 31, 2023, the bank's core deposits fell by nearly 10% to about $64 billion, according to Citi. "ZION has been impacted by deposit outflows, but we find that ZION's core deposits (excluding broker deposits) ranks second lowest on cumulative beta on total deposits so far this cycle. ZION reported positive trends towards the end of 2Q as core deposits were up 3% sequentially," Horowitz said.
Persons: Zions Bancorporation, Keith Horowitz, Zions, Horowitz, ZION, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Silicon Valley Bank, Watch, Management Locations: Silicon, Mar, Zions, 4Q23, NII, ZION
Citi thinks Goldman Sachs ' long-term company goals may be more difficult to reach than investors think. Citi downgraded shares of the investment bank to neutral from buy in a Tuesday note. He cautioned, however, that investor returns will likely be closer to the lower end of Goldman managements forecasts. Goldman shares are up 4.5% this year. GS YTD mountain Goldman Sachs stock has climbed more than 4% since January.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Keith Horowitz, Goldman, Horowitz, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Goldman Locations: GBM
NEW YORK, July 19 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs' (GS.N) profit dropped 60% in the second quarter, missing estimates, as the bank's retreat from consumer businesses and declining real estate investments weighed on earnings. The results were the worst for the Wall Street giant since the second quarter of 2020, when it took writedowns over corruption scandal linked to Malaysian state fund 1MDB. "It definitely feels better over the course of the last six, eight weeks," Solomon told analysts on a conference call. "This moment in the economic cycle creates meaningful headwinds for Goldman Sachs," Solomon said told analysts on a conference call. Net earnings dropped 62% to $1.07 billion in the second quarter versus $2.79 billion a year earlier.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Solomon, Goldman, Keith Horowitz, Goldman's Marcus, Marcus, Morgan Stanley, MS.N, headcount, Niket Nishant, Noor Zainab Hussain, Saeed Azhar, Johann M Cherian, Arun Koyyur, Nick Zieminski, Anna Driver Organizations: YORK, Analysts, Citigroup, Goldman, Revenue, JPMorgan Chase, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Malaysian, writedowns, Bengaluru, New York
Tuesday Bank of America is set to report earnings before the bell, followed by a call at 8:30 a.m. Morgan Stanley is set to report earnings in the premarket, with a conference call slated for 9:30 a.m. Wednesday Goldman Sachs is set to report earnings before the market opens, followed by a call at 9:30 a.m. Tesla is set to report earnings after the close, with a call slated for 5:30 p.m. What history shows: Netflix earnings have exceeded earnings expectations in seven of the last 10 quarters, FactSet data shows.
Persons: Wells, Keith Horowitz, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, BofA's Ebrahim Poonawala, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Marcus, Goldman, UAL, Leslie Josephs, Scott Kirby's, Tesla, Toni Sacconaghi, NFLX, AAL Organizations: Tesla, Netflix, United Airlines, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Tuesday Bank of America, Refinitiv, CNBC, Bank of America, Citi, Goldman, IBM, Thursday, Airlines, Northeast U.S, JetBlue, Northeast Alliance Locations: America, Wells Fargo, Newark, Northeast
But KeyCorp could benefit from asset repricing and is considered a strong bank when looking at the average size of deposits. Investors have been closely following banks' shares of uninsured deposits, meaning those over $250,000, after the closure of Silicon Valley Bank prompted concerns that other banks could be subject to a bank run next. Horowitz said that looking at the percentage of uninsured deposits can be a poor way to identify bad business models, especially for small and medium sized banks as all uninsured deposits are not the same. A large share of uninsured deposits can actually be among the most valuable to a bank, he said, because they are core operating commercial accounts. In other words, KeyCorp's average uninsured deposits represent a much smaller risk to the bank than those at Silicon Valley Bank.
Pinterest — Pinterest gained 4.3% after UBS upgraded the social media stock to buy and said shares could pop more than 25% as the company improves its advertising strategy. First Republic , PacWest — Regional bank stocks were moving higher on Monday following a report from Bloomberg News that U.S. authorities were considering expanding government support for banks to provide additional liquidity. Shares of First Republic jumped 23% in premarket trading, while PacWest Bancorp rose about 9%, and Western Alliance gained 5%. KeyCorp — KeyCorp gained 6.8% after Citi upgraded the stock to buy from neutral. Corning — Shares advanced 2.3% after Deutsche Bank upgraded Corning to buy from hold.
Citigroup's top ideas from here for the next 12 months
  + stars: | 2023-03-16 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Citi refreshed its highest conviction ideas for the next 12 months, as the market enters a new period of volatility. Citi highlighted several equity strategies for the coming months, adding four new buy names to its focus list: Targa Resources , Bruker , Criteo , and Comerica . The natural gas company's shares are down 6.9% year-to-date, but have gained 4.2% during the past 12 months. The stock is up about 7% in 2023 and more than 10% during the past 12 months. But the stock is still down more than 28% year to date, given the recent declines in regional bank stocks.
Truist Financial shares can jump 60% after their recent drop, according to Citi. Analyst Keith Horowitz upgraded the bank stock to buy from neutral, saying investors are wrong about the deposit outlook at Truist. "Given the recent price action we view this as an attractive entry point and are upgrading TFC to Buy," he said. Truist shares are down 25% in 2023, and tumbled more than 17% and 16% this and last week, respectively, as investors feared the risk of contagion following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. TFC 5D mountain Truist shares 5-day —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
The fear of further bank woes has taken down some solid stocks that could rebound, including Comerica , according to Citi. Horowitz said the bank was likely sold by many investors because of its high percentage of uninsured deposits, at roughly 70%. That is higher than the average bank but well below the levels at SVB and failed Signature Bank. Comerica's high level of uninsured deposits is reflective of a business tilted toward commercial customers, Horowitz said, which was also the case at SVB and Signature. However, the bank's average account balance for deposits over the $250,000 insurance threshold was less than half of SVB's, Horowitz said.
There's a big buying opportunity in PNC Financial shares, according to Citi. Analyst Keith Horowitz upgraded PNC shares to buy from hold. Bank stocks are under pressure after the Silicon Valley Bank failure. PNC shares fell almost 11% during the prior trading week. PNC 1Y mountain PNC stock —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
A First Republic Bank branch in New York, US, on Friday, March 10, 2023. San Francisco's First Republic shares lost 70% in premarket trading Monday after declining 33% last week. First Republic Bank led a decline in bank shares Monday that came even after regulators' extraordinary actions Sunday evening to backstop all depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and offer additional funding to other troubled institutions. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF lost 4% in premarket trading Monday following a 16% decline last week. The slide for regional bank stocks on Monday comes after a rush of withdrawals from SVB Financial forced that bank to close.
The events of the past few days have shown that regional banks with large amounts of uninsured deposits, like SVB, and New York's Signature Bank, which was closed Sunday, are at risk of deposit flight. KRE 5D mountain Regional bank stocks were under pressure again on Monday after sliding last week. In the case of SVB, the bank had mostly large deposits from companies and wealthy individuals. That can make a bank run worse because smaller retail deposits are seen as more "sticky" than big uninsured accounts. "Unfortunately, one of the first consequences of SIVB's collapse is probably that it will cause a flight of uninsured deposits from smaller, less diverse banks to larger, more diverse ones.
Gains for Morgan Stanley will be harder to come by, according to Citi. Analyst Keith Horowitz downgraded the bank stock to neutral from buy. He also noted that Morgan Stanley's high valuation relative to its peers as a downside catalyst for the stock. The downgrade comes a day after Morgan Stanley reported blockbuster fourth-quarter results. The company's earnings and revenue beat analyst expectations thanks in large part to a record quarter for its wealth management division .
Bank of America 's high valuation little room for upside, Citi warned. Analyst Keith Horowitz downgraded the bank stock to neutral from buy while reiterating his price target at $40, which presents an upside of just 4.1% from Friday's close. "BAC is a high quality franchise that is executing well and may be a good defensive holding in light of upcoming economic and market uncertainty given BAC's good deposit franchise and lower credit risk," he said. He cited a "more conservative view" on deposits going forward and added that that net interest income tailwinds "seem fully factored in" for the banking giant. Other comprehensive income may also be lower, though the bank won't benefit as much because it hedged elsewhere, he said.
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