Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "Julia Coronado"


25 mentions found


Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell should be 'calm, cool, and collected' around rate decision, says Julia CoronadoSubadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, Julia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, Mike Remak, head of investments at Citi Global Wealth join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to share expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Powell, Julia Coronado Subadra Rajappa, Julia Coronado, Mike Remak Organizations: Societe Generale, Citi Global Wealth, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Peter Boockvar and Julia CoronadoPeter Boockvar, Julia Coronado, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the outlook for rate hikes, the likelihood of a recession, and more.
Persons: Peter Boockvar, Julia Coronado Peter Boockvar, Julia Coronado, Steve Liesman
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect higher interest rates in 2024, says Bleakley's Peter BoockvarPeter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Financial, and Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives founder, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the outlook for rate hikes, the likelihood of a recession, and more.
Persons: Bleakley's Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar, Julia Coronado Organizations: Bleakley, Macropolicy
"If long-term interest rates remain elevated because of higher term premiums, there may be less need to raise the fed funds rate," Logan said. The Dallas Fed president said the economy has been stronger than she had expected, as has been the labor market, and that inflation was still too high despite progress in lowering it. But because Logan ran the New York Fed's bond portfolio for years before she took the top job at the Dallas Fed, her views on what's driving long-term rates higher could carry considerable weight as policymakers weigh their next moves. "The expectation of lower Federal Reserve asset holdings over time implies that other investors will need to hold more long-duration securities, which appears to be one factor among the many contributing to higher term premiums," Logan said. Figuring out how much of the higher long-term rates is due to higher term premiums is complex, she added.
Persons: Lorie Logan, Ann Saphir, Logan, Mary Daly, Julia Coronado, Lorie, she's, Krishna Guha, Guha, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Kansas City, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, National Association for Business Economics, Market, San Francisco Fed, Evercore ISI, Dallas Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, York
Most economists think that while the hit could be substantial, it will not be so big that it would plunge America into a recession. Goldman Sachs analysts expect renewed student loan payments to cost households about $70 billion per year. But the student loan payments will also restart at the same time consumers face a number of other headwinds, including shrinking savings piles, a cooler job market and higher price levels after two years of rapid inflation. Retailers have begun to publicly fret that the resumption of student loan payments could collide with those other developments, pushing their shoppers closer to a breaking point. Executives from companies like Walmart, Macy’s, Best Buy and Gap have all warned analysts and investors that student loan payments may put pressure on shoppers’ budgets, eating into some of their sales in the process.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Biden, Julia Coronado, “ It’s, Organizations: Hollywood, United Auto Workers, Retailers, Walmart, Macy’s
Wells Fargo's Mark Smith sees more inflationary headwinds ahead
  + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWells Fargo's Mark Smith sees more inflationary headwinds aheadMark Smith, Wells Fargo Advisors senior vice president and portfolio manager, Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives founder and president, CNBC's Steve Liesman and Rick Santelli join 'The Exchange' to discuss Fed rates, employment index, and economic trends.
Persons: Wells, Mark Smith, Julia Coronado, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Rick Santelli Organizations: Wells, Advisors, MacroPolicy
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Wells Fargo's Mark Smith and MacroPolicy Perspectives' Julia CoronadoMark Smith, Wells Fargo Advisors senior vice president and portfolio manager, Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives founder and president, CNBC's Steve Liesman and Rick Santelli join 'The Exchange' to discuss Fed rates, employment index, and economic trends.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Mark Smith, Julia Coronado Mark Smith, Julia Coronado, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Rick Santelli Organizations: Wells, Advisors, MacroPolicy
If housing cost pressures start to ease more in the coming months, as many economists expect, then the Federal Reserve is almost certainly done. Headline annual consumer price inflation rose a little less than expected last month to 3.2%, and annual core inflation cooled slightly to 4.7%, as forecast. Reuters ImageReuters ImageShelter inflation is running at a 7.7% annual rate and has been far stickier than policymakers would have liked. But Parsons reckons lag effects will soon be bringing shelter inflation down more quickly. Reuters ImageReuters ImageReuters Image(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters)Reporting by Jamie McGeever; editing by Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Jay Parsons, Parsons, Jerome Powell's, Phil Suttle, Julia Coronado, Andreas Steno Larsen, Powell, Jamie McGeever, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Fed, Traders, Reuters, CPI, Suttle, Steno Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, ORLANDO, Florida, materializing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe possibility of a soft landing looks more tangible than it did 6 months ago, says Julia CoronadoJulia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives founder and president and former FOMC economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest productivity numbers, the Fed's rate hike campaign, Fitch's rating downgrade, and more.
Persons: Julia Coronado Julia Coronado Organizations: MacroPolicy
On Thursday, new GDP data will show just how much the US economy grew between April and June. The US has also been experiencing a factory boom, with construction spending on US manufacturing nearly doubling from May 2022 to May 2023. Manufacturing employment recently hit its highest level since 2008, and since Biden took office, around 800,000 manufacturing jobs were added. In the first two quarters of this year, applications to start a business likely to hire employees grew 7% year-over-year. Sectors leading likely employer business applications include accommodation and food services, construction, health care and social assistance, and retail trade.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joe, Biden, Ellen Zentner, Julia Coronado Organizations: Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Congressional, Investments, Economic, Sectors, National Association for Business Economics, Conference, CPI, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, , Philadelphia, frastructure, Mississippi, North Carolina
A 71% majority of economists put the odds of a recession in the next 12 months at 50% or less. It's a turnabout from a March, when a majority saw a recession sometime in 2023. A 71% majority of economists put the odds of a recession in the next 12 months at 50% or less, according to a survey by the National Association for Business Economics. That includes a sizable chunk who are especially optimistic, with one-fourth saying a recession has a probability of 25% or less. And in the March NABE survey, 58% said the US was either already in a recession or that it would come sometime in 2023.
Persons: It's, Julia Coronado, Steve Eisman, Paul Krugman Organizations: National Association for Business Economics, Service Locations: Wall, Silicon
Washington, DC CNN —American businesses are expected to fare better in the coming months, according to a survey of economists and analysts released Monday. A survey from the National Association for Business Economics released Monday showed that businesses have rejoiced in better economic conditions. Meanwhile, a majority of respondents reported that wages at their firms were unchanged — the first time more economists reported no wage gains than rising wages since 2021. The Fed doesn’t necessarily need a recession to do that, but some research suggests the labor market must cool further. The labor market is closely watched by Fed officials since higher labor costs feed into inflation.
Persons: haven’t, , Julia Coronado, Austan Goolsbee, cooldown, Brian Moynihan, bode Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, National Association for Business, Employers, Chicago Fed, Bank of America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, National Federation of Independent, Fed Locations: Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe believe next week's Fed rate hike will be the last: MacroPolicy Perspectives' Julia CoronadoJulia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives founder and president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's rate hike campaign, what to expect from the Fed next week, and more.
Persons: Julia Coronado Julia Coronado Organizations: MacroPolicy, Fed
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA few more rate hikes might not be as damaging to market sentiment after June pause: Julia CoronadoJulia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives, joins CNBC's 'Taking Stock' special to discuss recent comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the central bank's next moves, and the banking sector's impact on Federal Reserve policy.
Persons: Julia Coronado Julia Coronado, Jerome Powell Organizations: MacroPolicy, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy remains very strong despite Fed's rate hikes, says Allspring Global's Margie PatelJulia Coronado, founder of Macro Policy Perspectives, and Margie Patel, senior portfolio manager for multi-asset solutions with Allspring Global Investments, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential for a Fed rate pause, the Fed's mission to find an adequate hold rate, and investment strategies for the fixed-income market.
Persons: Allspring, Margie Patel Julia Coronado, Margie Patel Organizations: Macro, Allspring Global Investments
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession will be an early '24 problem, not this year: MacroPolicy Perspectives' Julia CoronadoJulia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, and Tyler Goodspeed, Cato Institute adjunct scholar and former acting CEA chairman, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss their thoughts on the economic outlook for 2023, how they view the relatively strong labor market, and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBetter supply and demand balance is close-at-hand: Macropolicy Perspectives' Julia CoronadoMacropolicy Perspectives' Julia Coronado, and Michael Strain, director of economic policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the recent jobless claims data, Strain's emphasis on the levels in yields, and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailContagion and fallout risk 'not at all' finished from SVB collapse: Former IMF economist Ken RogoffJulia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives founder and former Fed economist, and Ken Rogoff, former chief IMF economist and Harvard economics professor, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss what the Federal Reserve should do at its next meeting, if there's further contagion risk from the SVB collapse and more.
Fed Chair Powell's testimony: What it means for the market
  + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell's testimony: What it means for the marketEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, and Julia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy perspectives, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss how much weight Powell's comments carry, Yardeni's expectations for the markets in March, and more.
But lately, some economists have begun to worry that the data on which Fed officials rely is becoming increasingly inaccurate. That causes more volatility in the incoming data and hence more volatility in markets, economists say. To what extent are declining response rates to surveys actually impacting the data we use? It is absolutely critical for the Fed and markets that the incoming data is as reliable as possible. Those earnings reached what Buffett called a “record” — $30.8 billion in 2022, topping the $27.5 billion in the prior year.
Nearly 60% of survey respondents said they believe the US had a more than 50% shot of entering a recession in the next 12 months. When such a recession would start was another matter: 28% said first quarter, 33% said second quarter, and 21% said third quarter. Creating some uncertainty among economists, however, is what the Fed might do during that time as well as the potential effect from external factors. NABE economists said they expect unemployment to increase, but the majority doubt it’ll exceed 5%. A mere 2% of respondents said that a “housing market bust” was the greatest downside risk to the US economy in 2023.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacroPolicy Perspectives founder: We are expecting a 25-basis-point rate hike next weekJulia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss what investors should monitor in Thursday's GDP data, how markets will react to good and bad news, and more.
New York CNN —Big Tech earnings are here, and investors are hoping they don’t wreck the good vibes on Wall Street. Three giant tech earnings reports this week — Microsoft (MSFT), Tesla (TSLA)and Intel (INTC) — could change that. In the year-ago quarter, earnings were $2.48 per share on $51.73 billion in revenue. Still, Wall Street expects Tesla’s earnings to grow, if not at the explosive pace of the past few years. Analysts at Goldman Sachs predict that tech growth will slow to 9% between 2021 and 2024 while the sales growth of the overall S&P 500 reaches 7%.
New York CNN —For the first time since the early days of the pandemic, most business economists expect their companies to cut payrolls in the coming months, according to a new survey released Monday. Just 12% of economists surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) anticipate employment will increase at their firms over the next three months, down from 22% this fall. The share of economists expecting payrolls will decline at their companies ticked up to 19%, according to the survey, which was conducted January 4 to January 11. NABE said this is the first time since 2020 that more respondents anticipate shrinking, rather than growing, employment at their firms. The survey found that slightly more than half of the business economists who responded peg the risk of a recession over the next year at 50% or higher, with the biggest risks including higher interest rates and costs.
Revised third-quarter GDP up 3.2% compared with prior 2.9%
  + stars: | 2022-12-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRevised third-quarter GDP up 3.2% compared with prior 2.9%Allison Schrager, Manhattan Institute senior fellow, Julia Coronado, president and founder of Macropolicy Perspectives, and CNBC's Rick Santelli and Steve Liesman join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the revised third-quarter GDP data and more.
Total: 25