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☆ Tenacious stock market heads into new quarter aiming to show it's not beholden to the Fed's rate plans
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Here's a scouting report covering a few relevant themes at play heading into the second quarter. The tenacious tape The behavior of the market itself is perhaps the strongest selling point for a bullish outlook from here. After the S & P has returned 10% or more in a first quarter? The index continued higher the following quarter nine of those 11 and was up the remainder of the year all but once. All but one of the previous episodes saw the market higher nine months later, which in this case would take it through 2024.

Persons: It's, YTD, we've, it's, —, Joe Kalish, Ned Davis, – Organizations: Federal, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Treasury, Fed, JPMorgan, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Eaton Corp

☆ Powell made a big statement this week after bond yields slid. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-12 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The swift rise in long-term US Treasury yields over the past few months caused headaches for investors by dragging many of their portfolios down. Bond yields, namely the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, dictate the interest rates on credit cards, mortgages and auto loans. Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed that at this month’s post-meeting press conference, saying he couldn’t pinpoint exactly why yields rose so much in recent weeks. Hours before Powell’s post-meeting remarks, bond yields plunged following the Treasury Department’s quarterly refunding announcement. That’s as opposed to letting bond yields do the Fed’s work for it.

Persons: Jerome Powell, “, Powell, Kathleen O’Neill Paese, Louis Fed, ”, Powell’s, Wall, John Madziyire, Joe Kalish, Ned Davis, Kalish, ” Powell, Celal, That’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Vanguard, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CNN, ” Bank of America, International Monetary Fund, Getty, Bank of America Locations: New York, Washington ,, Anadolu

☆ Wall Street will seek confirmation the Fed is done in next week's big inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Economists polled by FactSet expect U.S. inflation to have risen just 0.1% last month and 3.3% from the year-ago period. Cracks in consumer data Investors will also watch for the October retail sales data for insight into the consumer, who has thus far proven resilient even in the face of higher interest rates and inflation. Investors will also be watching for the October producer price index (PPI) data on Wednesday, as well as housing data on Friday. Monday Nov. 13 Earnings: Tyson Foods Tuesday Nov. 14 8:30 a.m. CPI (October) 8:30 a.m. Hourly Earnings final (October) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek final (October) Earnings: Home Depot , Charles Schwab Wednesday Nov. 15 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Amy Magnotta, It's, There's, Gregory Daco, he'll, Ned Davis Research's, Joe Kalish, NDR's Kalish, Jeff Klingelhofer, Magnotta, Tyson, Charles Schwab, John Williams Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Ategenos, FactSet, Thornburg Investment Management, Walmart, CPI, PPI, Retail, Palo Alto Networks, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, . New York Federal Reserve, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Ross Stores, Body, Housing Locations: . New, NAHB, . Kansas, Bath

☆ Bonds are selling off as stocks tumble. Here’s what it means for 60/40 portfolios
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The 60/40 portfolio wasn't spared, either: The iShares Core Growth Allocation ETF (AOR) , which has a 60/40 split, is facing declines from both asset classes. AOR YTD line AOR's performance year to date The slump harkened back to 2022, when equities fell alongside bonds. "We don't see rates going back to the pre-Covid levels," he said. "[I]nvestors still hate bonds at these levels — rates we would've dreamed of two years ago," said duQuesnay. Vanguard's Aliaga-Diaz noted that the 60/40 portfolio will average 6% on a 10-year forward-looking basis, so there are bound to be tumultuous times and periods of strong performance.

Persons: —, wasn't, They're, Blair duQuesnay, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, duQuesnay, DuQuesnay, Joe Kalish, Ned Davis Organizations: Treasury, Dow Jones, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Vanguard, Fed, Ned Davis Research

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