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This would likely push the Federal funds target range to between 4.5% to 4.75% by the end of this year, he said. Take a look at the stocks Barclays thinks are best-positioned for lower rates later this year. Darden Restaurants is one of the consumer names Barclays believes can outperform when the Fed loosens rates. Clothing retailer Gap is another stock Barclays believes will be a rate-cut cycle winner. GPS YTD mountain The Gap shares in 2024 Agribusiness company Bunge also made the cut.
Persons: Terrence Malone, Malone, Jeff Bernstein, Bernstein, Jason Goldberg, Goldberg, Adrienne Yih, Bunge, Ben Theurer, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Darden, Olive Garden, LongHorn, Fifth, Bancorp, Old Navy, Banana, Analysts, Bunge Locations: Olive, Banana Republic
Analysts expect yet another lackluster quarter for Goldman Sachs , but are not ready to turn away from the stock. Analysts expect earnings per share of $5.31 and net revenue of nearly $11.19 billion, according to estimates from LSEG. "We believe GS is well positioned to benefit from positive secular capital markets related trends (trading benefiting from volatile markets). Jefferies similarly expects a muted quarter for Goldman, forecasting $5.09 per share in third-quarter earnings. The deal will result in a 19 cents per share reduction to the bank's third-quarter earnings, Goldman said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jason Goldberg, Goldberg, Jefferies, Daniel Fannon, Fannon, Ebrahim Poonawala, Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo Organizations: Goldman, Bank of America, Downside, Sixth Locations: LSEG, New York, Goldman Sachs, Friday's, Wells
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA lot of concerns around bank deposits have 'certainly calmed down a bit': Barclays' Jason GoldbergJason Goldberg, Barclays senior equity analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss bank earnings so far, why it hasn't been an easy path for the sector, the impact on the economy, and more.
Persons: Jason Goldberg Jason Goldberg, hasn't Organizations: Barclays
"This quarter is all about higher interest rates for longer," said Mike Mayo, an analyst at Wells Fargo. "There is a constructive environment, and investment banking fees tend to be higher through the end of the year," said Jason Goldberg, a banking analyst at Barclays. Despite the renewed optimism, investment banking activity remains depressed. As rates rise, bond prices fall, representing losses on paper that would be realized if the banks sold the bonds. More broadly, "we're back into this environment where investors think interest rates are going to remain higher for longer," he said.
Persons: JP Morgan Chase, Mike Segar, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Mayo, Ebrahim Poonawala, Jason Goldberg, Richard Ramsden, James Demmert, Ramsden, Tatiana Bautzer, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Nick Zieminski 私 Organizations: JP, Co, REUTERS, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, SoftBank's Arm Holdings, Barclays, U.S, Treasury, Valley Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Reuters, Street Research Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, dealmaking, Israel, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur buy recommendations are slanted towards the biggest banks, says Barclays' Jason GoldbergJason Goldberg, Barclays managing director and senior equity analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the big bank earnings, the message in the data so far, and more.
Persons: Jason Goldberg Jason Goldberg Organizations: Barclays
JPMorgan investors to scrutinize First Republic takeover
  + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Nupur Anand | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Analysts will seek more details about the deal and JPMorgan's plans to integrate First Republic's business into the largest U.S. bank. FIRST REPUBLICJPMorgan has agreed to undertake $173 billion of the failed bank's loans, $30 billion of securities and $92 billion of deposits after First Republic was shuttered down by authorities. Dimon had said that he expects blowback from the FRC deal earlier this month in an interview on Bloomberg TV. loadingAn acquisition of this scale will raise question on integration, execution risks, employee retention among others, analysts believe. JPMorgan has made 19 acquisitions since 2020 but the last major purchase of this scale by the lender was in 2008 of Bear Stearns.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLoan losses for banks will rise, but will be manageable, says Barclay's Jason GoldbergJason Goldberg, Barclay senior equity analyst, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss bank earnings heading into regional banks reporting next week.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig banks benefit from deposit movement after SVB, says Barclays' Jason GoldbergJason Goldberg, Barclays managing director, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his thoughts on the upcoming bank earnings, the banking crisis, and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFocus on U.S. banks remains on deposit flows at regional banks, says Barclays' Jason GoldbergJason Goldberg, Barclays managing director and senior equity analyst, joins CNBC's "Squawk Box" to discuss the banking crisis that's spreading to European banks.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSome of the regional banks are in a postition to capitalize, says Barclays' Jason GoldbergJason Goldberg, Barclays senior analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the banking system.
The S&P 500 bank subsector (.SPXBK) is up 4.9% so far in 2023 slightly ahead of the benchmark S&P 500's (.SPX) 3.3% gain. But some investors are circumspect as banks themselves warned during earnings season in January that they expect higher loan losses and weaker demand for borrowing. The rate increases have boosted banks' income, giving them the go-ahead to charge higher interest rates for loans. But now, bank customers with savings accounts are seeking out higher interest rates on deposits, offsetting some lending gains. Barclay's analyst Jason Goldberg sees economic strength as a bigger factor for bank stocks this year than the Fed hikes path.
Online retailers use psychological tricks and tools to get consumers to make purchases. But we're shopping online now more than ever before, and these subtle nudges are starting to feel more widespread. Buy online, pick up in storeBuy online, pick up instore was all the rage during the pandemic. So much of how we shop and make purchase decisions is subconscious, he said, and while you may rationally know that scarcity is a marketing tactic, your subconscious doesn't. Tips for avoiding retailers' marketing tricksJust being aware of these marketing tactics isn't enough to protect you from them, Goldberg said.
Online retailers use psychological tricks and tools to get consumers to make purchases. Offering incentives for adding more items to online carts like free shipping is another example of the psychological tricks a retailer can play. Buy online, pick up in storeBuy online, pick up instore was all the rage during the pandemic. So much of how we shop and make purchase decisions is subconscious, he said, and while you may rationally know that scarcity is a marketing tactic, your subconscious doesn't. Tips for avoiding retailers' marketing tricksJust being aware of these marketing tactics isn't enough to protect you from them, Goldberg said.
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report fourth-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Earnings: $3.07 per share, 7.9% lower than a year earlier, according to Refinitiv. Investment banking revenue is expected to plunge 50% in the wake of frozen IPO markets and subdued deals, Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg said in a Jan. 11 note. Of greater interest, perhaps, is what JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says about the economy. The other large retail banks, including Bank of America , Wells Fargo and Citigroup , are also scheduled to release results Friday, while Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley report Tuesday.
It's been a confusing time for investors in bank stocks. Analysts are expecting a mixed bag of conflicting trends when four of the largest U.S. banks report fourth-quarter results Friday. "Our continued cautious view ... reflects ongoing macro risks and likely weakening bank fundamentals —including peaking net interest margins," Deutsche Bank analyst Matt O'Connor said in Jan. 5 note. The outlook Investors tend to discount fourth-quarter results in favor of what managements say about their outlooks for the coming year. "We expect above-consensus expense guides will likely weigh on bank stocks during 4Q22 earnings as managements communicate their 2023 budget plans," Graseck said.
The outlook for Ally Financial is more uncertain in 2023, according to Barclays. Analyst Jason Goldberg downgraded shares of Ally to equal weight from overweight, saying the bank is more vulnerable to a downshift in the economy. "This year is likely to witness the end of the Fed tightening cycle and loan loss normalization," Goldberg wrote in a Tuesday note. Ally shares had their worst year on record in 2022, dropping 48.7%. In addition to Ally, the analyst downgraded shares of Capital One Financial to equal weight from overweight, saying that the two stocks are the "most exposed banks we cover to the lower-end consumer."
Wells Fargo shares move lower after $3.5B CFPB settlement
  + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWells Fargo shares move lower after $3.5B CFPB settlementJason Goldberg, Barclays senior equity analyst, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Wells Fargo's record setting CFPB settlement, how Wells is positioned to withstand the current interest rate environment and the how new management will make progress on lifting the asset cap.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Jason Goldberg, Barclays senior equity analystJason Goldberg, Barclays senior equity analyst, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Wells Fargo's record setting CFPB settlement, how Wells is positioned to withstand the current interest rate environment and how new management will make progress on lifting the asset cap.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBanks are entering a period of uncertainty, says Barclays' Jason GoldbergBarclays Senior Analyst Jason Goldberg, and Hennessy Funds Portfolio Manager David Ellison join 'Closing Bell' to discuss back stocks sliding downward, net intrest income exposure, and fears associated with rising credit loss.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Barclays' Jason Goldberg and Hennessy Funds' David EllisonBarclays Senior Analyst Jason Goldberg and Hennessy Funds Portfolio Manager David Ellison join 'Closing Bell' to discuss back stocks sliding downward, net interest income exposure and fears associated with rising credit loss.
TikTok is diving into e-commerce as it builds out a US fulfillment and shipping logistics team. As TikTok takes its initial steps into the physical side of e-commerce, several logistics experts told Insider not to expect the company to follow Amazon's playbook. "If you want to be anything like what Amazon has built you are $100 billion behind," Matthew Hertz, cofounder of e-commerce logistics consultancy Second Marathon, said. Shein is one Chinese company that has managed this transition successfully, by focusing on the niche but fast-growing field of cross-border e-commerce logistics. Japanese e-commerce company Rakuten acquired two US fulfillment companies in 2019 only to combine them and sell them back to the founder of one this year.
Cofounder and CEO Jason Goldberg launched Airstack during the depths of the crypto crash. He ignored advice to take the summer off and instead built a prototype, which caught VCs' attention. Jason Goldberg cofounded his Web3 development startup, Airstack, in May, just as crypto markets began to unravel. Airstack's technology essentially creates application programming interfaces, or APIs, for Web3 applications. It improves upon existing infrastructure such as The Graph by allowing developers to access real-time data from several Web3 applications at a time, Goldberg said.
Cofounder and CEO Jason Goldberg launched Airstack during the depths of the crypto crash. Jason Goldberg cofounded his Web3 development startup, Airstack, in May, just as crypto markets began to unravel. Airtable has raised $3 million in pre-seed funding from investors including Animal Ventures, Warburg Serres, Polygon, Genblock, Fenbushi, Resolute Ventures, WW Ventures, Tensai Capital, WestWave Ventures, Lecca Ventures, and Martin Crowley's Peoples Syndicate. Airstack's technology essentially creates application programming interfaces, or APIs, for Web3 applications. It improves upon existing infrastructure such as The Graph by allowing developers to access real-time data from several Web3 applications at a time, Goldberg said.
Last year, industry insiders predicted that 2022 would be the year of social shopping in the US. As the year closes, here's the state of play when it comes to social shopping. From TikTok to YouTube, companies introduced features to encourage users to shop in their apps — including native checkout — and shoppable livestreams, photos, and videos. "Everybody is trying to beef up their infrastructure for social commerce," Jason Goldberg, the chief commerce-strategy officer at Publicis Groupe, told Insider. Here's the current state of play in social shopping:
Big American banks have mostly resisted bulking up loan loss reserves this year as the financial health of consumers and corporations has held up despite mounting recession concerns. For much of the year, bank managers have told one story, while stocks have told another. Retail customers were spending briskly and still had ample cash in their accounts, executives including Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan have said . In April, JPMorgan was the first big bank to begin boosting reserves for credit losses, taking a $902 million charge. Analysts expect the New York-based bank to generate $2.90 per share in third-quarter earnings, 22% lower than a year earlier.
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